BTCUSD: Long, target 78000-82000
Bitcoin, as a digital asset, is a form of risky investment, but it is also a type of currency, or one might call it a virtual private currency. It possesses the attributes of money, and to some extent, it also shares the safe-haven characteristics of gold. This is why I previously predicted Bitcoin’s trend based on gold’s movement, successfully shorting from around 70,000 to the target near 48,000. We can approach it similarly this time.
As we all know, gold has surpassed 2,500 due to the potential threat of war and the impact of inflation. During this period, Bitcoin did not see a significant rise but rather fluctuated within the 56,000-62,000 range. This is due to its dual attributes. However, it also did not experience a significant drop. Does this mean that the capital market's risk assessment of Bitcoin in the current unstable international situation is not very high? Is its safe-haven characteristic still present?
Based on the above assumptions, I believe that as the demand for gold as a safe haven diminishes (this does not mean that gold’s safe-haven attribute will disappear, but rather that gold’s price has reached a new historical high, which may cause some hesitation among those considering entering long positions. This is human nature, and during this period, the possibility of idle funds flowing into Bitcoin will increase), Bitcoin is very likely to experience a significant surge. Therefore, in the current Bitcoin trading, going long might be the better choice.
As for the target of this long position, I think we can tentatively set it around 78,000-82,000.
