Bitcoin's 1065-Day Bull Run Nearing Its End – A Cycle ComparisonThis chart illustrates Bitcoin’s historical price action over three major market cycles, each lasting approximately 1065 days (35 months). The pattern suggests that Bitcoin follows a well-defined four-year cycle, influenced by its halving events. Each cycle begins with a bearish phase (marked in red), followed by a strong uptrend (green), leading to a peak before another correction phase starts.
A key observation is that the duration of each bull run remains consistent, lasting around 35 months (~1065 days) before reaching its peak. Historically, Bitcoin has followed a similar trajectory, with price action mirroring previous cycles. If this pattern holds, the current bull run may reach its peak within the next 6-8 months, placing the market top around late 2025.
Additionally, past cycles show that altcoins tend to experience their strongest moves after Bitcoin peaks, meaning an altseason could emerge by Q3–Q4 2025.
Btcusdtsignal
BTC:In the short term, it may start to rise continuouslyAs I analyzed yesterday,The chart shows a bullish reversal pattern, likely an inverse head and shoulders or a bullish triangle breakout.
After a brief pullback, BCT has started to rise. We can still buy below 84,500. However, it should be noted that if it rises to 85,500, it may reach the resistance level. At this time, we can stop making purchases.
Today's trading strategy for BTC:
buy@83710
SL: 83256
TP1:84500
TP2:85500
I always firmly believe that profit is the sole criterion for measuring strength. I will share accurate trading signals every day. Follow my lead and wealth will surely come rolling in. Click on my profile for your guide.
BTC Today's strategyAt present, BTC is still fluctuating in the range of 80K-85K. This week, after reaching around 85K many times, it started to fall, and the consecutive short bets I provided also made profits many times.
If you are currently unsatisfied with the bitcoin trading results and are looking for daily accurate trading signals, you can follow my analysis for potential assistance.
Today's BTC trading strategy:
btcusdt sell@85K-87K
tp:83K-81K
BTC: Market AnalysisThe support level of BTC is starting to move upwards. Currently, the market is still trading within the range of 80K to 85K. This week, it started to decline after reaching around 85K three consecutive times. The consecutive shorting strategy I provided has also been profitable repeatedly.
However, it should be noted that the current downward trend of BTC has somewhat slowed down. It is crucial to continue paying attention to whether the resistance at 85K to 87K is effective. Before there is a clear breakout, you can continue to attempt shorting.
BTC Trading Strategy:
BTCUSDT sell@85K-87K
tp:83K-81K
Currently, my account balance has grown from an initial $40,000 to $600,000 in profits. I will share accurate trading signals every day, and you have the option to copy my trading orders. If you're interested in getting these signals, you can click on the link below this article.
BTC: Daily AnalysisThe chart shows a bullish reversal pattern, likely an inverse head and shoulders or a bullish triangle breakout.
The price has broken out of the triangle formation, indicating a potential continuation of the uptrend.
The setup suggests a bullish outlook with a well-defined entry, stop loss, and take-profit levels.
If the price holds above the entry level and breaks resistance, the next targets could be achieved.
If BTC drops below the stop loss, the trade would be invalidated, signaling a potential downtrend or retest of lower support.
Trading Plan:
BUY@83,710 USDT
SL: Placed around 83,256 USDT to manage risk.
Targets:
1st Target: ~84,500 USDT
2nd Target: ~85,500 USDT
I always firmly believe that profit is the sole criterion for measuring strength. I will share accurate trading signals every day. Follow my lead and wealth will surely come rolling in. Click on my profile for your guide.
BTC/USDT "Bitcoin vs Tether" Crypto Market Heist Plan🌟Hi! Hola! Ola! Bonjour! Hallo! Marhaba!🌟
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Entry 📈 :
"The loot's within reach! Wait for the breakout, then grab your share - whether you're a Bullish thief or a Bearish bandit!"
🏁Buy entry above 93000
🏁Sell Entry below 84000
📌However, I recommended to place buy stop for bullish side and sell stop for bearish side.
Stop Loss 🛑:
🚩Thief SL placed at 88000 (swing Trade Basis) for Bullish Trade
🚩Thief SL placed at 92000 (swing Trade Basis) for Bearish Trade
Using the 4H period, the recent / swing low or high level.
SL is based on your risk of the trade, lot size and how many multiple orders you have to take.
Target 🎯:
🏴☠️Bullish Robbers TP 11000 (or) Escape Before the Target
🏴☠️Bearish Robbers TP 68000 (or) Escape Before the Target
📰🗞️Fundamental, Macro, COT Report, On Chain Analysis, Sentimental Outlook, Intermarket Analysis, Future Prediction:
BTC/USDT "Bitcoin vs Tether" Crypto market is currently experiencing a Neutral Trend (slightly Bearish🐼),., driven by several key factors.
1. Fundamental Analysis⭐⚡🌟
Fundamental analysis evaluates Bitcoin’s intrinsic drivers:
Adoption Trends:
Institutional inflows via Bitcoin ETFs remain strong, with $1.5 billion added in Q1 2025. MicroStrategy holds 300,000 BTC, reinforcing corporate adoption—bullish.
Regulatory Environment:
The U.S. signals a pro-crypto stance with talks of a strategic Bitcoin reserve, boosting confidence—bullish. However, global regulatory uncertainty (e.g., EU tax proposals) adds mild bearish pressure.
Halving Impact:
Post-2024 halving (April), supply issuance dropped to 450 BTC/day. Historical patterns suggest price appreciation 12-18 months later, supporting a bullish outlook for 2025.
Network Usage:
Transaction volume is up 10% year-over-year, driven by Layer 2 solutions (e.g., Lightning Network)—bullish for utility and value.
Inflation Hedge Narrative:
With U.S. inflation at 3.0%, Bitcoin’s appeal as a store of value grows—bullish, though tempered by short-term risk-off sentiment.
Detailed Explanation: Fundamentals are strongly bullish long-term due to adoption, supply scarcity, and macro trends. Short-term bearish pressures from regulatory uncertainty and profit-taking explain the current dip to 87,000.
2. Macroeconomic Factors⭐⚡🌟
Macroeconomic conditions influencing BTC/USD:
U.S. Economy:
Fed rates at 3.0% with no immediate cuts signal tighter conditions—bearish short-term as capital favors yield-bearing assets.
Unemployment steady at 4.2% supports economic stability—neutral.
Global Growth:
China’s GDP growth slows to 4.2%, reducing demand for risk assets like Bitcoin—bearish.
Eurozone PMI at 47.8 indicates contraction, pressuring global markets—bearish.
Currency Markets:
USD strength (DXY at 106) weighs on BTC/USD, as a stronger dollar reduces Bitcoin’s appeal—bearish short-term.
Commodity Prices:
Oil at 668/BBL
and gold at $2,950 reflect a mixed risk environment—neutral for Bitcoin.
Geopolitical Risk:
Middle East tensions elevate safe-haven demand, but Bitcoin’s correlation with gold is weakening—neutral to mildly bearish.
Detailed Explanation: Macro factors tilt bearish short-term due to USD strength and global slowdown, countering Bitcoin’s long-term bullish fundamentals. This tension explains the current downward trend from higher levels.
3. Commitments of Traders (COT) Data⭐⚡🌟
COT data reflects futures positioning:
Speculative Traders:
Net long positions at 15,000 contracts, down from 25,000 at the 95,000 peak. Reduced bullishness suggests caution—bearish signal.
Commercial Hedgers:
Net short at 20,000 contracts, stable. Hedgers locking in gains indicate no panic—neutral.
Open Interest:
45,000 contracts, down 10% from February highs. Declining participation hints at fading momentum—bearish.
Detailed Explanation: COT data supports a bearish short-term view. Speculators unwinding longs and falling open interest align with the downward trend, though hedgers’ stability prevents a sharper collapse.
4. On-Chain Analysis⭐⚡🌟
On-chain metrics provide insights into Bitcoin’s network activity:
Exchange Balances:
2.6 million BTC on exchanges, up 5% in March. Rising supply suggests selling pressure—bearish.
Transaction Volume:
Daily volume at $10 billion, flat month-over-month. Lack of growth signals reduced buying interest—neutral to bearish.
HODLing Behavior:
70% of BTC unmoved for over a year (13.8 million coins). Strong holder conviction limits downside—bullish long-term.
Miner Activity:
Miners hold 1.8 million BTC, with minimal outflows. Stable miner behavior supports price floors—mildly bullish.
Realized Price Levels:
Realized cap indicates a cost basis of 78,000 for recent buyers, acting as support—bullish if held.
Detailed Explanation: On-chain data is mixed. Short-term bearish signals from exchange inflows contrast with long-term bullishness from HODLing and miner stability, suggesting a correction rather than a collapse.
5. Intermarket Analysis⭐⚡🌟
Correlations with other markets:
USD Strength:
DXY at 106 pressures BTC/USD inversely—bearish short-term.
S&P 500:
At 5,900, down 2% this week, reflecting risk-off sentiment. Bitcoin’s 0.6 correlation with equities adds downward pressure—bearish.
Gold:
At $2,950, gold rises as a safe haven, decoupling from Bitcoin—neutral to bearish.
Bond Yields:
U.S. 10-year yields at 3.8% attract capital away from risk assets—bearish.
Altcoins:
ETH/BTC ratio at 0.035, with altcoins underperforming Bitcoin, reinforcing BTC’s relative strength—mildly bullish.
Detailed Explanation: Intermarket signals are bearish short-term due to USD strength, equity declines, and yield competition. Bitcoin’s resilience versus altcoins offers some support, but broader risk-off trends dominate.
6. Market Sentiment Analysis⭐⚡🌟
Investor and trader mood:
Retail Sentiment:
Social media analysis shows 45% bullish sentiment, down from 60% at 95,000. Fear of further drops prevails—bearish.
Analyst Views:
Consensus targets range from 80,000 (short-term support) to 100,000 (Q3 2025), reflecting uncertainty—mixed.
Options Market:
Call/put ratio at 0.9, with balanced positioning. No strong directional bias—neutral.
Fear & Greed Index:
At 40 (neutral), down from 70 (greed) in February, indicating cooling enthusiasm—bearish shift.
Detailed Explanation: Sentiment has turned bearish short-term as retail investors react to the decline from 95,000. Analysts’ mixed views and neutral options activity suggest a wait-and-see approach, aligning with the current trend.
7. Next Trend Move and Future Trend Prediction⭐⚡🌟
Price projections across timeframes:
Short-Term (1-2 Weeks):
Range: 84,000 - 88,500
Likely to test support at 86,000-84,000 if selling persists; a bounce to 88,500 possible on relief rally.
Catalysts: U.S. economic data (e.g., CPI on March 12), ETF flows.
Medium-Term (1-3 Months):
Range: 80,000 - 92,000
Below 84,000 targets 80,000 (realized price support); above 88,500 aims for 92,000 if risk appetite returns.
Catalysts: BOJ policy update, institutional buying.
Long-Term (6-12 Months):
Bullish Target: 100,000 - 110,000
Driven by halving cycle, adoption, and inflation hedging—65% probability.
Bearish Target: 70,000 - 75,000
Triggered by global recession or regulatory crackdown—35% probability.
Catalysts: U.S. strategic reserve decision, Q3 GDP data.
Detailed Explanation: Short-term downside to 84,000 aligns with current bearish momentum. Medium-term consolidation reflects macro uncertainty, while long-term upside to 100,000+ hinges on fundamentals prevailing over temporary setbacks.
8. Overall Summary Outlook⭐⚡🌟
BTC/USD at 87,000 is in a short-term bearish correction within a broader bullish cycle. Fundamentals (adoption, halving) and on-chain HODLing support long-term gains, but macro headwinds (USD strength, global slowdown), COT unwinding, and risk-off sentiment drive the current downward trend. Exchange inflows and declining sentiment reinforce near-term weakness, with support at 84,000-80,000 likely to hold. Medium-term recovery to 92,000 and long-term growth to 100,000+ remain plausible if catalysts align.
📌Keep in mind that these factors can change rapidly, and it's essential to stay up-to-date with market developments and adjust your analysis accordingly.
⚠️Trading Alert : News Releases and Position Management 📰 🗞️ 🚫🚏
As a reminder, news releases can have a significant impact on market prices and volatility. To minimize potential losses and protect your running positions,
we recommend the following:
Avoid taking new trades during news releases
Use trailing stop-loss orders to protect your running positions and lock in profits
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BTC Today's strategyThe balance of long and short power in the market suggests that there may be explosive movements in the short term. At present, the price of Bitcoin is fluctuating in the range of 82,000-85,000 US dollars, and the short-term resistance is at 86,000 US dollars. A break through 86,000 US dollars could trigger a new round of gains
Bitcoin ETF funds have seen net outflows for five consecutive weeks, with demand falling to the lowest level in 2025, indicating that institutional funds are withdrawing and market sentiment is turning cautious. However, institutions such as MicroStrategy continue to buy, providing some support for bitcoin prices
The market is worried about the risk of possible liquidity tightening before the FOMC meeting in March, the uncertainty of the global economic situation and the signs of monetary policy adjustment in some major economies, making traditional financial marekts more attractive, and there is a trend of capital flowing back from the cryptocurrency market to the traditional financial field, which has some pressure on the bitcoin price
btcusdt sell@85500-86500
tp:83K-81K
We will share various trading signals every day. Fans who follow us can get high returns every day. If you want stable profits, you can contact me.
BTCUSDT sell@85K-87KCurrently, BTC is still trading within the range of 80,000 to 85,000. After testing the support below 80,000 several times, it has risen again. Before a breakout is formed in the trading range, continue to trade within this area.
Today's trading strategy for BTC:
btcusdt sell@85K-87K
tp:83K-81K
Currently, my account balance has grown from an initial $40,000 to $600,000 in profits. I will share accurate trading signals every day, and you have the option to copy my trading orders. If you're interested in getting these signals, you can click on the link below this article.
BTC Today's strategyIndustry News: Japanese listed company Metaplanet increased its holdings of 162 BTC, which to some extent reflects institutional optimism towards Bitcoin, and may have a positive impact on market sentiment, attracting more investors to pay attention and buy. However, Bitcoin's real-world application is still relatively limited, and its fundamentals are still relatively weak, which may limit the price of Bitcoin in the long run.
From the supply side, after bitcoin hit its highest price in history, short-term holders (STH) increased their holdings, while long-term holders (LTH) decreased their holdings. This change in supply pattern reflects the growing speculative atmosphere in the market, and short-term traders are more sensitive to price fluctuations, which may lead to increased volatility in bitcoin prices. From the demand side, despite the continued increase in bitcoin holdings by institutional buyers and ETFs, actual spot demand continues to decline. If demand does not recover, bitcoin's continued rally may be difficult to maintain.
Overall, the price of Bitcoin on March 14, 2025 is currently showing a certain upward trend, but the overall trend is still facing many uncertainties. A variety of factors such as the macroeconomic environment, the Federal Reserve's monetary policy, industry dynamics, and market supply and demand are all having an impact on the trend of Bitcoin.
buy:77K-79K
tp:83K-85k
We will share various trading signals every day. Fans who follow us can get high returns every day. If you want stable profits, you can contact me.
BTCUSDT SHORT (FIXED 1-ST target NOW) I fix the 1st take at $80,913 and move the stop order to breakeven .
1- the position itself is correct, but such manipulations with the news background and constant volume shift do not allow to correctly assess the moment of price reversal
2- Key markings before opening the position also took the format of price manipulation and should not have reached the value of $84,000 again in a normal market
In this regard, I decide to secure the position and take part of the profit in order to calmly continue trading while respecting the risks .
Main overview:
Further targets remain unchanged
BTCUSD: If trading, buy or sell?Dear traders, are you still wondering how to trade BTCUSD? Short or buy? Then take a look at Jack's ideas.
BTCUSD observes from the current trend. A bottom rebound trend is formed, and then the pressure from above prompts the formation of a triangle consolidation stage in the short term. If the position of 84,000 is effectively broken through and the return test is stable, then the target of 86,000 will not be too far away. It is recommended to buy low in operation. Below 82,000 is a good opportunity to intervene, because the increase/decrease of Bitcoin is very large, so remember to bring a stop loss of 1,500 points and set a take profit. Prevent the loss from expanding or the profit from decreasing.
Continuously release accurate trading opportunities for BTCUSD. Many traders have followed and made profits. This is a very good result. If you don't know how to trade, you can pay attention to the information in the analysis circle, and of course you can also leave me a message.
If you want to make good profits in this trading market. Then you need guidance. It’s not embarrassing to be guided, what’s embarrassing is that the account balance is slowly decreasing.
BTCUSD: If trading, buy or sell?Dear traders, are you still wondering how to trade BTCUSD? Short or buy? Then take a look at Jack's ideas.
BTCUSD: Combined with the current trend, the bottom is initially formed, so in terms of operation ideas, my suggestion is to buy BTCUSD at a low level. Currently, below 82,000 is a good buying point.
The top pressure of 8,600 above still exists. On weekends, this is a dense trading area. As the top of a short-term decline, when the market rises, this will be converted into a pressure position.
Combined with the current trend, there is still a lot of room above, so buying is a reasonable choice.
Keep an eye on the real-time trading opportunities announced in the analysis circle every day. If you want to follow.
BTC:sell@85K-87KYesterday I emphasized that BTC will start to rise after reaching 78K, and you can continue to short it when it reaches 85K
btcusdt sell@85-87K
tp:82K-80K
Currently, my account balance has grown from an initial $40,000 to $500,000 in profits. I will share accurate trading signals every day, and you have the option to copy my trading orders. If you're interested in getting these signals, you can click on the link below this article.
BTCUSD buy signal. Don't forget about stop-loss.
Write in the comments all your questions and instruments analysis of which you want to see.
Friends, push the like button, write a comment, and share with your mates - that would be the best THANK YOU.
P.S. I personally will open entry if the price will show it according to my strategy.
Always make your analysis before a trade
BTCUSD: If trading, buy or sell?Dear traders, are you still wondering how to trade BTCUSD? Short or buy? Then take a look at Jack's ideas.
BTCUSD: After the low of 76600 hit the support, BTCUSD reversed. Yesterday, it also led them to sell high and buy low. Every transaction is almost 4000 points. Back to today, the New York market is about to open. The 83,000 barrier above was not broken today, and the highest rebound was 82,000. In terms of the overall trend, the short-term trend is still bearish. So selling at high levels is my idea. There is no news barrier at present.
Short selling in the range of 82,000-81,000. Waiting for a sharp drop in the market. tp77000.sl83500.
Keep an eye on the real-time trading opportunities announced in the analysis circle every day. If you want to follow.
BTCUSDT: Will It Rise Again?After experiencing consecutive declines, the support level of BTC has shifted downward again, and the downward trend is obvious. However, after the decline ends, it may start an effective upward movement.
Today's trading strategy for BTC:
btcusdt buy@76K-78K
tp:80k-82K
Currently, my account balance has grown from an initial $40,000 to $500,000 in profits. I will share accurate trading signals every day, and you have the option to copy my trading orders. If you're interested in getting these signals, you can click on the link below this article.
BTC: About to RiseBTC has experienced a significant decline today and is approaching a key support level. It may迎来 an effective upward movement. Pay close attention to the key support level at 78K.
Currently, my account balance has grown from an initial $40,000 to $500,000 in profits. I will share accurate trading signals every day, and you have the option to copy my trading orders. If you're interested in getting these signals, you can click on the link below this article.
There are no failed investments, only failed operationsI. Trend analysis
🔹 overall trends:
Since the beginning of 2024, Bitcoin has experienced a clear upward trend, peaking at nearly $115,000.
The price has recently fallen below several key support levels and entered a downward trend, with prices testing support in the 80,000-85,000 range.
The short-term trend remains weak, and the market may continue to seek lower support levels.
🔹 moving average system:
The short-term moving average (red, 10th) indicating that the market is still dominated by short-term bears.
The long-term moving average (blue, 60 days) has also started to turn downward, suggesting a weakening of the medium-term trend.
Conclusion: The market is still in a downward trend, and the moving average system shows no obvious signs of stabilization.
Structural analysis (K-line morphology)
📌 head and shoulders may have been completed:
From the high level formed by 93,000 to 115,000, there is a more obvious head and shoulder structure, which is currently falling below the neckline (82,000) and accelerating the decline.
If this pattern holds, the target decline level may test the 77,000-80,000 area.
📌 M head shape:
The previous two highs (around 100,000) formed an M-head and fell below key support, remaining weak in the short term.
📌 support area:
77000 (important support, if broken, the medium-term trend may accelerate to short)
72000~ 75000 (target in extreme cases)
📌 resistance areas:
89000~ 90000 (early neckline, has turned to strong resistance)
93000 (if the market rebounds, it needs to break through this level to reverse the trend)
Bitcoin Collapses $80K, What’s Next?Its price briefly stabilized around $86K over the weekend before heading south at the start of the business week. It dropped to around $80K, leaving millions in liquidations on a 24-hour basis. Later, bulls stepped in and pushed the valuation to nearly $84K. The resurgence, however, was short-lived and was followed by another free fall to as low as $79,500. As of this writing, BTC is trading around $79,000, representing a 5% drop on the day. Its market cap dropped below $1.6 trillion.
While many industry players are hopeful that this is another temporary pullback that can be replaced by a new bull run, others are not so optimistic. Next up is a re-estimation of $78K for BTCUSD, “if that fails, the next $76300, 75,500 in the crosshairs.” BINANCE:BTCUSDT BITSTAMP:BTCUSD COINBASE:BTCUSD BYBIT:BTCUSDT.P
BTCUSD: If trading, buy or sell?Dear traders, are you still wondering how to trade BTCUSD? Short or buy? Then take a look at Jack's ideas.
A new week has begun again. Good morning, dear traders. Do you plan to make money or lose less in the market this week? How to do it?
BTCUSD: BTCUSD fell sharply again in the market over the weekend. After the opening of the new week, it hit a low of 80,000 points, a drop of 10k. It is a good profit for those who sell. But it may be uncomfortable for those who do more. Unless you place a low-risk order, you will stop your order or expand your loss if you trade rashly without guidance.
There is no major adjustment on the news side. The stock index futures in the US market fell sharply after the opening. BTCUSD is suspected to follow the trend and fall. The current BTCUSD quote is 82,300. With the arrival of daylight saving time. Some US economic data are one hour ahead of schedule, and the opening of North American stock markets is also the same. Bitcoin rose sharply when Trump listed it as a "strategic reserve currency" last time. The market has been showing a bearish trend, and there is no news impact at present. It is still mainly shorting at high levels. In the short term, we need to pay attention to the support of 79k. The upper side needs to pay close attention to the short-term pressure of 86k.
Keep an eye on the real-time trading opportunities announced in the analysis circle every day. If you want to follow.