Analysis of the ETH Chart (Dec 27, 2024)Ethereum's price action today shows signs of a potential breakout, but key resistance levels remain a hurdle. Here’s a deeper look into the structure and possible outcomes:
Key Observations:
Support Rebound:
ETH bounced strongly from the Bear Apex zone (~$3,300), signaling buyer interest and the defense of a critical level. This was accompanied by a significant spike in volume, showing strong demand.
Resistance Test:
After the bounce, ETH surged towards the Swing resistance (~$3,420) but failed to hold above it. The rejection here indicates that sellers are still active at this level.
Consolidation:
ETH is now consolidating between $3,360 (Bullish Weekly support) and $3,420, forming a narrow range that could precede a larger move. Reduced volatility here often hints at a pending breakout.
Volume Profile:
A noticeable increase in volume during the bounce suggests that this upward move is supported by strong participation, which is crucial for sustainable momentum.
Bullish Indicators:
The price has reclaimed and is holding above the Bull Day zone (~$3,380-$3,400), a positive sign for continuation if maintained.
Bearish Risks:
Failure to break and hold above $3,420 could lead to a retest of $3,360, and a loss of this support might result in another attempt towards $3,300 or lower.
Is a Large Move to the Upside Likely?
ETH appears to be gearing up for a breakout, but confirmation is needed:
Bullish confirmation: A clear breakout above $3,420 with strong volume would open the door to higher targets like $3,440 and $3,500.
Bearish invalidation: A loss of $3,360 would shift the focus back to the downside, with $3,300 as the next major support.
Key Levels to Watch:
Upside targets: $3,420, $3,440, and $3,500.
Downside risk levels: $3,360, $3,300, and $3,280.
Conclusion:
Ethereum is showing strength after bouncing from key support, but it must clear $3,420 to confirm a bullish breakout. Traders should monitor the consolidation zone closely for signs of continuation or rejection.
Btdusd
BTCUSD: fractal analysisConcerning fractal analysis for the bulls in the crowd. Compare the purple boxed fractals, the green and the red. Very similar patterns to how we topped last spring. If the pattern holds we are now in the red box and I would expect a pattern similar to what is referenced by the red arrows. Buyer beware ..
Bitcoin 3 optionOption 1) Long Bull trend. 1D Chart.
Market currently appears to show a bear trend in Elliot wave 4 of 5.
We are looking to enter on a confirmation bar moving higher from a wave 5 bottom.
This may or may not be lower than the previous wave 3 low, signalling either exhaustion or a shift in momentum to the up side. Either way, we would expect movement toward the short term average, green dash line.
Should an ABC Elliot wave begin to form, exercise caution and consider locking profit as this may signal the start of a Long Bear trend.
Option 2) Long Bear trend, back to long term average, green dotted line.
We see a channel forming (red dotted lines).
An example of what this scenario may look like can be seen between Nov-2017 and Mar-2018.
The opportunity here is, using lower chart timeframe, buy/sell lower/upper red channel on approach to the green dotted line provided the trend holds.
This option assumes more risk than option 1 as we are working against the trend by buying pullbacks in a downward market.
For this option to be nullified, the channel structure would be breached with price finding new support/resistance outside of this channel.
Option 3) Alternatively, this could be an ABC Elliot wave, with wave 4 actually being wave 1 of a bull 5 wave. If so, we would expect this to break the red channel, see signs of wave 2 pullback and would look to enter on a confirmation bar moving higher to form wave 3.