BTC Bounce from $58,000: Heading Towards ?I've been closely tracking Bitcoin's price action, and my latest analysis suggests that we may be witnessing a significant bounce from the $58,000 level, a strong support zone. After a recent dip, BTC is currently trading at $65,655, and based on key technical indicators, I expect it to rally toward $74,000 with a couple weeks.
however It's only a matter of price breaking above the 67000k resistance level as shown on chart. So this is a key level to watch
Key factors driving this prediction:
Support at $58,000:
This level has historically acted as a strong floor for Bitcoin, with previous bounces leading to upward moves to retest 63k +- 1000points resistance range.
Volume and Momentum:
Increasing trading volume and momentum indicators are pointing to a potential upward continuation.
Moving Averages:
BTC is currently holding above key moving averages, reinforcing the possibility of bullish momentum.
Market Sentiment:
With recent developments in the fundamental space, sentiment is leaning bullish, adding further conviction to the potential for this move.
If this analysis plays out, we could see BTC pushing through resistance levels and reaching $74,000 in a couple weeks time frame ideally. Keep an eye on these key levels as the price action unfolds.
MCG
Btusdt
BTCUSDT: Heading towards $82,000Dear Traders,
Price is currently making correction in daily timeframe, in our view price can drop to 62k to 63k region where we can see strong bullish pressure coming in the market. However, it is also notable that price can just reverse from the current price area that it is trading at, as price already have been dumped once to 54k and there is no strong reason that it would drop to 63k region.
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HelenP. I Bitcoin can rebound up higher than trend lineHi folks today I'm prepared for you Bitcoin analytics. A not long time ago price rebounded from the trend line and reached the support level, which coincided with the support zone and even rose higher than this level, but soon it turned around and fell back to the trend line. After this movement, BTC made a strong impulse up from the trend line, thereby breaking 66800 and 71100 levels, after which turned around and started to decline inside the triangle. Soon, the price broke the 71100 level one more time and fell to the support level, after which rebounded and rose to the resistance line of a triangle pattern. But soon, Bitcoin fell to the trend line and then made impulse up to the resistance zone, exiting from the triangle and breaking the resistance level again. Then price some time traded in the resistance zone, after which turned around and dropped to the trend line first, and recently broke this line and fell to the support level. For this case, I expect that BTCUSDT will turn around and start to grow to the trend line. When the price reaches this line, BTC can break it, make a retest, and continue to move up, therefore I set my goal at 69600 points. If you like my analytics you may support me with your like/comment ❤️
Why Trend is Not My Friend in Trading: Impact of Futures MarketsWhy Trend is Not My Friend in Trading: The Impact of Futures Markets
In trading, it's often said that the real money is in the futures markets rather than the spot markets. Futures markets offer higher leverage, greater opportunities for profit, and a unique set of dynamics that can be advantageous for informed traders. However, while it's wise to focus on futures markets for these reasons, blindly following trends within them can be misleading and risky.
The Relationship Between Futures and Spot Markets
Trends in futures markets often have opposing effects in the spot market. The direction of the spot market is frequently determined by activities in the futures markets. For example, while the spot market may show an uptrend, this is often not due to a genuine upward trend but rather a downtrend (more short than long) in the futures markets. This apparent contradiction arises because futures markets exert a powerful influence on spot prices through mechanisms such as leverage, speculation, and contract expirations.
In essence, there is no consistent trend that can be relied upon across both markets, which is why "trend is not my friend" in trading. Understanding the intricate dynamics between these markets is crucial for making informed trading decisions.
Example of Analyzing the Bitcoin Futures Markets
On November 30, 2022, during a relatively uneventful period in the cryptocurrency market, I took the opportunity to delve deeper into market analysis. I observed an intriguing pattern in the Bitcoin market, drawing from historical data and technical indicators to make future predictions
In March 2021, I noticed that BTCLONG crossed above the RSI (Relative Strength Index) 50 level at the monthly close. This event was significant, as it triggered a long squeeze beginning in April 2021 that persisted for several months. A long squeeze occurs when a heavily longed asset experiences a sharp price drop, forcing long holders to liquidate their positions, which in turn exacerbates the downward pressure.
By November 2022, I saw a similar setup but in the opposite direction. With the monthly close of November 2022, BTCSHORT was poised to cross above the RSI 50 level. Based on historical patterns, I speculated whether this would lead to a major short squeeze, similar to the long squeeze of April 2021. A short squeeze happens when a heavily shorted asset rises in price, compelling short sellers to cover their positions by buying back the asset, which drives the price even higher.
To add depth to my analysis, I drew a Fibonacci retracement, indicating that the maximum pain point for both long and short positions converged around the $31,000 price level. I mused about the possibility of a "Santa rally" – a rise in asset prices during the final week of December – potentially pushing Bitcoin to this level.
As the cryptocurrency community considered my analysis, market dynamics began to unfold. True to my prediction, a short squeeze did indeed follow the November 2022 monthly close. Bitcoin prices surged as short sellers scrambled to cover their positions, fueling a rapid increase in buying pressure. This rally propelled Bitcoin towards the $31,000 level, validating my technical analysis and highlighting the cyclical nature of market movements driven by trader psychology and technical indicators.
The short squeeze of December 2022 became a notable event in Bitcoin's price history, mirroring the long squeeze of April 2021. It served as a reminder of the importance of technical analysis and historical patterns in understanding and predicting market behavior. The anticipation of a potential Santa rally added a festive twist to market sentiment, capturing the imagination of traders and analysts alike.
In conclusion, my analysis on November 30, 2022, accurately foresaw the short squeeze that followed BTCSHORT's RSI 50 crossover. This event not only provided a profitable opportunity for those who heeded my analysis but also contributed to the broader understanding of market mechanics in the ever-evolving world of cryptocurrency trading.
Now, in June 2024, a new development has emerged. For the first time on a monthly basis, both short and long positions are below the RSI 50 level. To refine our predictions, we can examine lower time frames. On weekly and daily charts, when the RSI for both short and long positions falls below 50, and the RSI for long positions is even lower than for short positions, the price typically doubles. Given that Bitcoin's current price is around $70,000, a prediction of $140,000 is not unrealistic. However, because there are too many long positions in daily time frame, I expect a drawback of about 10% to follow before the price doubles.
This new scenario presents an intriguing opportunity to apply past patterns to current market conditions, forecasting a potentially significant price movement. As the market continues to evolve, the importance of thorough analysis and historical insight remains paramount in navigating the dynamic landscape of cryptocurrency trading.
Conclusion
In the complex and highly leveraged environment of futures markets, relying solely on trends can be perilous. The volatility, speculative nature, and structural peculiarities of futures markets often create false signals and abrupt reversals. Successful trading in futures markets requires a nuanced approach that goes beyond trend analysis, incorporating risk management, understanding of market mechanics, and a keen awareness of market sentiment. By recognizing the limitations and potential pitfalls of trend-following in futures markets, traders can develop more resilient and adaptable strategies.
How far can the price of BTC go ?The chart shows the levels to which the BTC price may drop in the coming days/weeks.
Currently, we can see that the price is based on the support at the 0.382fib level at the price of $60,000. I further identified a strong support zone from $55,000 to $52,000, which is between 0.382fib and 0.618fib, taking into account two fib retracement grids and trend-based fib extension.
The third place is the second very strong zone from $43,487 to $38,591, located between the 0.618fib and 1fib levels of the previously mentioned fib grids.
When we look at the RSI indicator, we will see a break at the bottom from the trend line, under which there is room to continue the downward trend. However, the STOCH indicator shows a descent below the lower limit, which previously resulted in a change of movement path, which in this case may return the price to the upward trend.
Currently, the correction level reaches 18%, which is a relatively small decrease compared to the earlier stages of the growth market. However, here I do not expect a descent below the first support zone, at which the correction would be around 30%.
BTC for wave 4 and only then move to wave 5?As you can see, BTC has entered a very strong resistance zone, the current upward movement looks like waves 3, which could indicate a potential rebound in waves 4 and only then an upward movement in waves 5.
Overheating of the indicators is also visible on the RSI and STOCH indicators, which should translate into a healthy recovery. It is worth remembering BTC cycles in which, before the previous Halving, we could observe rebounds of 20-30%.
BTC/USDT 1HInterval Short-TermHello everyone, I invite you to review the BTC to USDT chart and here we will check the situation in the one-hour time frame. It is worth starting by identifying the uptrend line from which the price broke out sideways, moving in the local sideways trend channel.
Now let's move on to marking the support places. We will use trend-based Fib extension grids to mark the supports and here we can immediately see that the price remains in the support zone from $43,691 to $43,510, then support appears at $42,961 and then we can see a drop to around $42 083 USD.
Looking the other way, we can similarly mark places where the price should encounter resistance on its way up. As you can see, resistance was formed at the level of USD 43,801, then just at the upper border of the horizontal trend channel there is a resistance zone from USD 44,216 to USD 44,435, and after overcoming it we can observe an increase to approximately USD 45,064.
Turning on EMA Cross 10 and 30 we see that they indicate a return to the local downtrend, it is worth watching the indicator's behavior in the coming hours.
The CHOP index indicates that there is still energy to move, on the RSI we are moving around the middle of the range in a local downward trend, while the STOCH indicator remains at the lower limit, which may result in an attempt to increase the price.
BTC/USDT 1D Review CHartHello everyone, I invite you to Tuesday's review of the current situation on BTC in the USDT pair, taking into account the one-day time frame. First, we will use blue lines to mark the upward trend channel from which, as you can see, the price has come out at the bottom. Therefore, at this point, you need to determine a new side trend channel in which the price is currently moving.
When we turn on the EMA Cross 200, we can see that the BTC price has gone above the blue moving average line of 200, and we are currently struggling to stay in the uptrend.
Now we can move on to marking support areas in case the correction deepens. And here, first of all, it is worth marking the support zone from $25,617 to $23,654, from which the price has already bounced several times, but when we fall below this zone, we may see a drop to the vicinity of the second, very strong support zone from $21,748 to $18,976.
Looking the other way, we can determine resistance locations in a similar way using the Fib Retracement tool. And here you can see that the price is again approaching the resistance at the level of $28,043, only when we go up above it, we will see an attempt to attack the very strong resistance at the level of $31,912, which is also the upper limit of the currently ongoing sideways trend channel, then a path will open up direction $35,724.
Please pay attention to the CHOP index, which indicates that the energy is slowly starting to grow, on the STOCH indicator we are near the upper limit, which may result in a greater recovery, but on the RSI indicator we are back near the middle of the range and considering that we have not touched the upper limit, we can see a new attempt at growth after the current recovery.
BTC 1D Review Chart Hello everyone, I invite you to review the current situation on BTC in pair to USDT, taking into account the interval of one day. First, we will use the blue lines to mark the downtrend channel, which the price has left with a strong downward move, while we are currently seeing a sideways exit from the downtrend line.
Now we can move on to marking support areas in case the correction starts to deepen. For this we will lay out the Fib Retracement grid and here we can immediately see that the price stays in a strong support zone that lasts from $26311 to $24793, when the zone is broken down by the price we can see a strong downward move to the support area of 20411 $.
Looking the other way, we can also check resistance points for the price when it starts to rise. As we can see the first resistance is at $27625, then we have the second resistance at $28477, then there is a strong resistance zone from $29244 to $30422, only when the price goes up and then positively tests this zone will move towards a very strong resistance at at $31,858.
When we turn on the EMA Cross 200, we see that the price has fallen below the moving average of 200, indicating a return to the downtrend.
When we look at the CHOP, RSI and STOCH indicators, we can see that energy is used everywhere and as the price movement on the chart confirms, we can see on the indicators that we are in a period of consolidation, which may give an upward movement in the coming days.
Daily BTC 4HChart - targets and stoplossHello everyone, let's look at the BTC to USDT chart on a 4-hour timeframe. As you can see, the price is moving below the local downtrend line.
Let's start with setting targets for the near future that we can take into account:
T1 = 25401$
T2 = 25579$
T3 = 25806$
and
T4 = 26469$
Now let's move on to the stop loss in case of further market declines:
SL1 = 25107$
SL2 = 24861$
SL3 = 24660$
and
SL4 = 24456$
Looking at the CHOP indicator, we see that the energy has been used, the MACD, despite the price increase, remains in a downward trend, while the RSI has a visible rebound, we still have room for the price to overcome the current resistance.
BTC Rebound Ahead!⚡️🚀 Is XRP in for a Correction? 🤔An imminent market rebound is on the horizon for Bitcoin, Binance, Avalanche, and Polkadot, as stormy weather approaches the global crypto market ⛈️. However, Ethereum faces a slightly bearish market with downside risk.
Over the next week, the cloudy skies predicted for Bitcoin and Ethereum signal a slightly bearish market with downside risk ☁️. Meanwhile, XRP faces tropical conditions 🌴, hinting at a market correction in the coming week.
Stay tuned for more crypto weather insights and reports! Follow us to stay updated. 🌩️⛅🌈
Bitcoin Support & Resistance AnalysisPrices move because of supply and demand . When demand is greater than supply, prices rise. When supply is greater than demand, prices fall. Sometimes, prices will move sideways as both supply and demand are in equilibrium.
When support and resistance lines are broken, there is a high possibility of a significant uptrend in that direction. Be aware of the stop-loss area when trading on margin
🔴Resistance Line 30191$
🔴Resistance Line 29346$
🔴Resistance Line 29148$
🔴Resistance Line 27837$
🟢Support Line 27201$
The above price level represents an important tipping point, not an absolute analysis for buying and selling. You must be careful about your investment decisions.
Thank you for reading my poor analysi
BTC/USDT FORMING BULL FLAG IN LTF!!Hello everyone, if you like the idea, do not forget to support it with a like and follow.
Welcome to this quick BTC update.
After the FOMC BTC is still hovering around the $30k level. It is forming a bull flag-like structure in 1hr time frame. If it breaks out from this bull flag then we might see another pump up to the HKEX:32 -$32.5k level.
Invalidation:- $29.5k
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Bitcoin PA and 50SMAI have posted this idea before but it seems it has just been confirmed (for the moment)
The number of days PA spent below the 50 SMA since ATH is 434 and that is identical to the PA from 2013 fter that ATH. So similar in fact that PA came back up and tested the 50 as resistance 84 days after it went under on both occasions.
Not only this but PA went under the 50SMa 266 days after the ATH on Both occasions also
And so now, as we csn see on the Ghosted PA on the current chart, PA has also followed the same trajectory near enough now that the resent
breakout is damn near on top of those candles.
Does this mean that PA will continue to follow ? NOPE but it maybe worth watching what happens when we break away from this as the Worlds fundamentals are very different from 2013 and will have an effect, maybe for the bigger gains ?
Aways trade safly and with a plan for both Bulls and Bears
Running Flat Wave 4 Over for Bitcoin? Correction from my first post. I dont believe my first chart was zoomed out enough to see the correction.
Bitcoin hit a critical resistance earlier with a running flat extension potentially signifying that this corrective move could be over or near it very soon.
Additionally, what is really interesting is that the C leg of this move is 1.5 times the length of A which is very common in these corrections. The date hit exactly at the current high.
Could still l go up, but things are aligning nicely for a potential final five waves down. If this target begins to make headway, I will post some potential targets.
Trade safe.
BNBUSDT |Coin Overview| Time for a fix, no?Hello trader Today I prepared a new idea for you. Like and subscribe to the channel there is a lot of useful information✅
My last attempt at BNB ended in zero, this rocket flies without leaving a chance for short positions.
On the chart, we have approached the upper border of the rising channel, also pay attention to the "rising wedge" formation. I think the level of $340 will be decisive for the correction of BNB.
We will observe, also we should not cancel the fact that we can test $ 350, well, it’s so easy to throw a bait))
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