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SPX Bubble Where do we begin, well here it goes: We are in a Bear Market 1. All time high bubble has popped with a fastest one month drop of 36% in history,exceeding the pace of declines even during the Great Depression. 2. Megaphone pattern is playing out from 2018-2020 high and lows 3. Elliott Wave corrective ABC with leg B looks to be completed with 2800 level rejection, leg C is about to start which will take SPX a lot lower towards retesting resent lows around 2180 4. Leg B created a bearish bounce of approx. 25% with a rising wedge clearly defined. Every bear market has these wild bounces and this one is no different. 5. Current price rejection is sitting at .50 Fibonacci level. 6. There is a Death Cross on a daily with 50dma crossing 200 6. Drop to 2200 for leg C is a start to retest the resent lows with 1800 in the picture.
FOREXCOM:SPX500Short
by berchik01
2
Did The Everything Bubble Just Pop??Inside a month we have nearly liquidated more assets than what was lost during the entire .Com bubble! There is a chance to catch within a few months around 16-17k - however - the market won't fully be recovered and healthy again until we do a full reset all the way down around 12,000. If that indeed happens then by the time its all said and done Wall Street would have lost more money than the .Com Bubble and Great Recession combined! But hey at least the charts show that 2029-2031 should be booming again! Peace & Love - BK
TVC:DJIShort
by bdkelly1203
3
The end of Bitcoin Speculative BubbleThis obviously isn't a technical analysis, but an example of what a blow-off would look like if it is indeed what we are going to experience (and i strongly believe we are). We know that bitcoin is a speculative bubble, we know what a speculative bubble blow-off look like, we know that a bubble that takes 10 years to appear can blow-off in just a few months. Take care of your money and most importantly of yourself and your family, don't stay in a sinking boat because of anger, fear or greed, take whatever loss/profit you made and get out of the biggest ponzi scheme ever created before it's too late ;)
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDShort
by Biscuitage
15
Buy Gold and Sell StocksThe S&P to Gold Ratio has effectively traded sideways for the last few years. The ratio has now broken out to the downside. I would say that a 30-80% correction in the stock markets remains a threat despite Fed rescue efforts. I believe over the next several years that gold will outperform the s&p500. Contrary to popular belief, US stocks have not greatly outperformed Gold since 2015. Jeff Gundlach of DoubleLine Capital in an interview from March 4th talked about the corporate bond bubble beginning to burst. He said the Fed would cut rates 50 basis points at the next FOMC. (They very well might cut before that.) He said he believes gold will go to a new all-time high. He also talked about how financial stocks in Japan are down 85% ever since they adopted zero rates 20 years ago. For that reason I think there's little reason to think that the SPX or the NASDAQ is going to bounce into a mega rally. I think there's a lot of reason to think that lots of money is going to flow into gold and silver. Even in the worst case scenario - a 2008 style crash - gold will fall much less than stocks. Gold stocks may take a significant beating. For that reason it may be strategic to reduce mining exposure here and increase gold and silver exposure gradually. The speed of the DXY 's fall the last 2 weeks tells me that it has the potential to fall a lot further if Fed Monetary policy expands tremendously. If that is the case, I don't think gold has much downside in this scenario versus 2008. But I think US indices as well as gold stocks have higher risk here. If the Fed is slow in cutting rates and never steps in front of the market until it crashes, then expect a 2008 type of event that may not be gold-negative.
TVC:SPXShort
by Ludwig_Von_Mises
Spce is going for a crash landing?Our last TA on SPCE was pretty acurate we got a bounce just above our target with just .20cents off. I'm always a follower of trading range lines or highs lows in predicting pull backs. As of now at closing we are at $26.50 with the low of $25.71, which is marketed on this graph since aftermarket price movement isn't shown due to low volume, yet we all know SPCE has bubblish volume. As of now we can hold off on SPCE until we get bullish movement, but what caused this drop? 1. SPCE was in a microbubble with Bullshit expectations. 2. The EPS was off by a Shit load and anyone could have seen this coming, besides the people getting behind the hype. 3. Corona ingeneral has had affect on the market after it spread to Europe and recently theres a case in California. What's next for SPCE? well its the market bubble graph and as of now we could say we are in Anxiety since the bounce was Complacency. We could honestly see a sub $10 SPCE with we knowing SPCE won't beable to make any money even raising the price will just hurt the company itself. They need development like SpaceX with inovation on its Rockets. SpaceX has reuseable rockets. Next target is our trading range of $19.06-$24.25. You can see past TA which hasn't change
NYSE:SPCEShort
by nathanielx9
QQQ Breakdown - The Bubble is poppingI've been looking for a market top for awhile due to many macro and fundamental reasons. Further downside can be accelerated by the odds increasing that Bernie Sanders may be the next US president if the market trump claimed credit for falls apart before the election. We don't seem to come into solid resistance until we hit the August trading range. If we undercut the August lows, I think we still have plenty of room to the downside. Either way, am considering reversing short positions to at least neutral once we hit the 200-day moving average as it may come in at similar levels.
NASDAQ:QQQShort
by icybergey
Virgin Galatic long or shortVirgin Galatic has been making its name recently, yet should you be buying or selling? The honest answer nobody knows, yet we can try to get pretty dam close to where its gonna go. Almost everyone knows that this company is gonna be losing money in the short term and mid long term, yet is priced in? I say it's not and its EPS will be corolated with the SP500 with the ETF UFO being connected to SPCE price movement till the reevaluate their portfolio. For a discloser I sold my SPCE at 27.80 after buying at 11.30, yet I been playing it has a caution from being from the Crypto markets. I'm not saying I'm a bear cause I sold early, but I just want to see confirmation and strength in the graph before reentering with its atl being the $7 range I would go short with it 19.06 being a last resort hold for the bulls and 25.25 being just above a 60% correction in the micro bubble of SPCE. I put 27.99 give or take as we may have a bounce unless we blow through it. The MACD is bearish with the RSI neutrual, which could have a short squeeze yet looks very dependent on what the EPS is gonna say. A trading range of 38.72 has the high, yet the low hasn't been fully formed just yet but could say at current price could be the bottom of the current trading range, yet the volume has been rougly 100million shares traded daily. I would be short with no option call just shave off profits and WSB is already moving on from SPCE, yet shouldn't really take financial advise from them since with the amount of traders there could only move the market all together is .01% thats if everyone got behind a stock.
NYSE:SPCEShort
by nathanielx9
1
SPX - GOLD/SPX Ratio - Divergence Signals Meltdown or Melt Up?This is a a very interesting chart today, on the left we have the SPX as of present time (monthly), in the middle we have the SPX/ GOLD ratio (monthly) and on the right we have the SPX chart during the period of the tech wreck (monthly) from 1996-2001. SPX: Then and Now Firstly i want to draw your attention to the previously stated rising support and resistance lines, on both SPX charts, the similarities are undeniable. With one major difference, the purple vertical line marks the Repo overnight rate spike and the subsequent global CB liquidity dump into the markets, if we examine the charts prior to this point, the SPX appeared to be in the last wave of the 10 yr bull market, in fact corporate earnings reflected this, as earnings failed Q1, Q2, Q3 and Q4. The pattern of three slightly higher highs is self evident, albeit the lowers were more extreme during the 2018 topping pattern, with the second down wave being 15% compared with 10% of the 2000's second wave. What can we conclude from this? Well, i think that if it were not from the CB pivot to easing monetary policy and a indiscriminate lender in the Fed via the Repo market, then the SPX very well may have retested the lower trendline at around 2,500. Instead the SPX has piled on an additional 410 points onto the index, but the risks have not been alleviated, far from it. SPX/ GOLD Ratio: Trendline break The SPX/ GOLD ratio tells quite an interesting story, the ratio has been in a steady uptrend since 2012, in other words, stocks have been decisively outperforming gold for that period of time (no surprises so far). But as you can see, there has been a clear trend break in June-July 2019, the ratio dropped quite suddenly, before reversing and going up to test the trendline from below, the point at which the ratio reversed and began climbing again was during the Repo/ liquidity dump, this is not surprising at all, however, the fact that the ratio has been unable to reclaim the trend before falling away again is quite interesting. This would suggest, at least according to the ratio, that the SPX may very well have peaked and begun the roll over into a "gold measured" bear market. I want to stress something however, this does not mean much AT ALL, when it comes to the dollar denominated index, what this means, if true, is that gold will also be benefiting from this move higher (should stocks continue higher) and we may very well be entering a "Melt Up" Phase, whereby most if not all asset classes are carried up in a sea of liquidity (for stocks and risk assets) and weaker fundamentals such as gold. It is worth noting that although stocks are grossly overvalued, as a trader i must acknowledge that billions of dollars will be injected to prevent a 2000/ 2008 style melt down, this may very well result in the most insane rally in equities in modern history. Bankers know the damage that stock market crashes can do and governments are now dependent on a rising stock market, both politically and financially, therefore i expect to see a sea of liquidity enter the market at the first signs of trouble. But, even a 20% drop from these levels would still be within the two trendlines, so the point at which the liquidity will come, is still uncertain. -TradingEdge
SP:SPX
by Profit_Link
1
Guess What - Even More New All Time Highs Coming - Read belowEveryone knows the stock market is at record highs because the US economy is the best ever. HAHA! Coronavirus is stock market bullish. How could it be stock market bullish when considering the following: Apple is lowering earnings guidance, china's economy is hurting, and hurting US economy? Well the Coronavirus is causing China to pump 150 yuan into the market this is pushing China's market up, stock market positive. Guess who else is doing the same thing, US is pumping record amounts of cash to push this market higher. We are qe infinity and the stock market will continue to go up until the central banks that run the world decide to end it. We in a massive stock market bubble that will continue to get bigger.
TVC:SPXLong
by rjchilia123