Get started

Buffetindicator

SPX is INSANE!! . . annnd Slightly Overbought?I mainly trade crypto but after having seen some parity with Bitcoin and SPX, I figured I'd drop this and see what comes back up. Would love to hear feedback on it but my general sentiments are that this thing looks toppy as H E Double Hockeystick!! I recently saw that margin debt is at an all time high, stocks as a % of household financial assets is also at an all time high and the Buffet indicator of composite value to GDP was about 90% higher than the long term trend of "fair valuation" which would be closer to 120% vs. the current 230% as of a recent reading. DYOR of course and don't take this as investment or financial advice but man, I'd be taking some off the table and putting it into something a bit more tangible. Good luck! “All models are wrong, but some are useful.” ~ George E.P. Box
SP:SPX
by FudBox
Looking through the Fed Liquidity Lens, Also Inflation is comingPlaying with numbers, trying to view equity valuations through the lens of the modern Fed era. Realtive to M2 it looks like we're in a Bear-Market-Rally even though indexes are at ATH. It looks like we now live in a bizarro-world where equity prices in a Bear-Market go up while the money supply vastly outpaces productivity. The Fed is now saying that they aren't going to try to manage near-term inflation and will instead target a longer-term "average" inflation value of 2%, allowing for higher rates in the near future to begin making up for the long period lower rates we've seen the past few decades. This sounds to me like the Fed realizes that, thanks to their unlimited liquidity, inflation is coming and also that they realize they no longer have the ability to do anything about it; they're stating this change in strategy now as a preemptive excuse, hoping that it will keep markets from freaking out when the inevitable happens. Anyone else have thoughts on this?
SP:SPX
by RobBiddle
3
Buffet Indicator and Gold at the all-time highs... I just don't get it, we currently have: Gold at the all-time high Buffet indicator is at the all-time high (because of a huge GDP drop in Q2 ) But we're only 3% below the all-time high on S&P and VIX is at the lowest levels since Feb. Something is wrong here, I think we should definitely see another correction. V-shape recovery is too easy for these kinds of conditions. Disclaimer Please remember that past performance may not be indicative of future results. Due to various factors, including changing market conditions, the strategy may no longer perform as good as in historical backtesting. This post and/or the script don’t provide any financial advice.
SP:SPXShort
by QuantNomad
6