The Coca-Cola Company. Just Coke it!Coca-Cola (KO) will likely post "solid" Q2 results next week as it benefits from "best in-class" organic growth, UBS said in an earnings preview emailed Tuesday.
The firm said it expected the company to book $0.79 in Q2 earnings per share.
UBS also expects the company to follow its recent historical pattern of increasing organic revenue and EPS growth guidance after it posts its Q2 results.
The firm said it expects Coca-Cola to achieve 8.9% in organic revenue growth, in line with consensus and at the high end of the company's guidance of 8% to 9%.
UBS added that it does not think the "bar has shifted" for the company in the context of a more challenged Q2 for rival PepsiCo (PEP) . Instead, the firm said that global beverage volume performance and pricing in North America were either in line or better than expected.
UBS has a buy rating on the company's stock with a price target of $74.
Consumer staples Go higher, break up 52-weeks highs
In fundamental terms, The Coca-Cola likely will be benefited by lower interest rates, while in technical terms it has just set new 52-weeks highs.
In long-term Coca-Cola shares follow above 5-years SMA for a 15th consecutive year in a row.
Buffett
AAPLE VS NASDAQ. THE FRUITY COMPANY AHEAD OF EARNINGS CALLConsumer tech manufacturer Apple (AAPL) is due to report earnings next Thursday, February 1. Notably, waning iPhone demand out of China has worried investors as Apple had a rocky 2024 start, dealing with several stock downgrades.
Some of analysts slowed down its expectations for Apple and the biggest tailwinds and risks for its various devices.
"As far as those businesses are concerned, the only one that will probably show growth is Mac because some of the new products that they rolled out and easy comps from a year ago, you will probably see some sharp declines specifically on the iPad side of things...," they note.
The main graph is a ratio, between Apple stocks price NASDAQ:AAPL and overall NASDAQ:NDX Nasdaq-100 Big Tech index.
It's been a while since Buffett put the money into Fruity Company in Q2'16, and since that Apple stock outperformed the whole index, appr. by 150 percent over the next 6 years.
By the way, Apple stocks as well as Nasdaq-100 index hit the bottom, in early Q4'22 and since that, Apple underperforms the whole Big Tech Index, totally.
Basically NASDAQ:AAPL losses against NASDAQ:NDX further, over the past 12-15 months later they both hit the bottom. In this time the major break down happens in massive reversed Head-and-Shoulders ctructure, just ahead of Q4'23 Earnings call.
This is the bottom line, I'm avoid the Fruity Company ahead of Earnings Call.
Happy trading to everyone. See y'all later.
🏯 TOPIX FUTURES: JAPANESE BULL SAMURAI IS STILL ALIVELegendary investor Warren Buffett was on a trip to Tokyo, the capital of Japan, two months earlier in mid-April 2023, and the titans of the country's giant energy and commodity conglomerates were there to make their presentations.
As usual, over glasses of Coca-Cola NYSE:KO - one of Buffett's most famous investments, they walked into Warren Buffett's suite at the luxury Four Seasons hotel and individually told the 92-year-old American investor the same thing: Japanese trading houses are cheap and should accelerate their move beyond commodities.
The support of the Oracle of Omaha is an important vote of confidence in the big five Japanese trading houses - Mitsubishi Corporations TSE:8058 , Mitsui TSE:8031 , Sumitomo TSE:8053 , Itochu TSE:8001 and Marubeni TSE:8002
It's also a broad endorsement of Japan, that is considered to have outlived its heyday 30-35 years ago, as well as considered less relevant than Asian counterparts such as China and India.
But there's one big question: Is Buffett betting on phasing out fossil fuels, the trading house products themselves, or a combination of the two? Or something else, like impact of the weak yen!?
Buffett's Berkshire Hathaway NYSE:BRK.B reported in August 2020 that it had acquired about 5% of the shares of five trading houses, that sent their stocks up and raised their total investment value above $6 billion. When the Covid-19 pandemic dampened demand for goods, it pushed down the value of company stocks, four of which traded below book value.
“They were selling, I thought, at a ridiculous price,” - Buffett said to CNBC in March 2023.
Three years after the Covid-19 pandemic (that is now hardly remembered) Warren Buffett's bets on Japan have nearly tripled to over $17 billion.
But even this Growth does not stop Buffett. Staying in Tokyo this spring, Buffett confirmed intentions to buy more shares, and participate in more big deals.
In addition, Berkshire recently unveiled plans to issue its own yen-denominated bonds, which help hedge against the depreciation of the yen against the US dollar as well as depreciation of Japanese stocks in dollar terms.
The technical main chart is dedicated to futures on the TOPIX index TSE:TOPIX widely known, along with the Nikkei 225 index $TSE:NKY .
The TOPIX index is an important stock market index for the Tokyo Stock Exchange (TSE) in Japan, tracking all the local companies of the TSE Prime-market division.
Buffett's mission to Japan marked, as it easy to find in the technical picture of TOPIX ( TSE:TOPIX ) - a significant moment, as a result of the breakdown of the key long-term resistance, with the prospect of further more than doubling the index TSE:TOPIX and its market value.
Buffett is just one step away from skyrocketing to the Moon 🚀Warren Buffett's Berkshire Hathaway just snapped up more Occidental Petroleum shares, pushing the legendary investor's stake in the oil company to just over 25%.
Buffett's conglomerate purchased another 2.1 million shares of Occidental in the past week when the stock traded at $57.89, an amount worth $123 million in total, according to a recent Securities and Exchange Commission filing.
Berkshire now owns 224 million shares of the oil producer worth $13 billion. That represents just over quarter of Occidental's entire value, with a total market cap of $52.56 billion.
Buffett has been vocal about his bullishness on Occidental Petroleum, snapping up big chunks of the stock over the past year as oil and natural gas prices skyrocketed in the aftermath of Russia - Ukraine tensions.
And though Buffett has said he has no interest in taking over Occidental, Berkshire gained approval from regulators to potentially own up to 50% of the company last August.
Energy prices, meanwhile, have eased from their highs last summer, but analysts have said prices are in for another surge later in the year, especially if China's economic reopening leads to a big upswing in oil demand.
Moreover El Niño is here. Commodity prices could swing in turmoil.
Berkshire Hathaway: Bearish Gartley Hinting at a 40-60% DeclineBerkshire Hathaway is currently trading at the HOP level of a Bearish Gartley and at this HOP level, upon close, will likely confirm a Bearish PPO Confirmation Arrow as the PPO Oscillator itself gets closer and closer to breaking below a well established trend line.
Along with that, we have some Bearish Divergence on the MACD and the price action we got at the HOP resulted in a green Shooting Star Candlestick Reversal Pattern that we are working on confirming via a Weekly Bearish Engulfing.
If all goes as expected, I would think that the shares of Berkshire Hathaway will first pull back 27% which would put at the 2022 lows but after that I think it will likely pullback around 40%-60% to fill an unresolved gap at $314,850.00
ID coin is on the long list with the level of 0.021976Hello everyone!!!
AIHermes today identified the coin ID on the long list with the level of 0.021976
Entry model - breakout! Leverage 10-20X
Stop is short.
We see a long accumulation and a gorgeous squeeze!
1st target 0.2349
Trade with us, trade better than us!
Today:
17 coins on the long list
11 coins on the short list.
Lead in the short zone.
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NMR coin is on the long list with a level of 14.81Hello everyone!!!
AIHermes today identified the coin NMR on the long list with a level of 14.81
Entry model - breakout! Leverage 10-20X
Stop short.
We see a long accumulation and a gorgeous squeeze!
1st target 15.88
Trade with us, trade better than us!
Today:
17 coins on the long list
11 coins on the short list.
Coins on the short side.
The full list of coins is delivered by our bot every day at 9.00 am
DOT coin is on the long sheet with a level of 4.234Hello everyone!!!
AIHermes today identified a coin DOT on the long sheet with a level of 4.234
Trade entry model - breakout! Leverage 10-20X
Stop short.
We see a long accumulation and a gorgeous squeeze!
1st target 4.363
Trade with us, trade better than us!
Today:
13 coins on the short list
16 coins on the long list
A lead in the long zone.
The full list of coins is delivered by our bot every day at 9.00 am
AVAX is on the long list with a level of 4.537Hello everyone!!!
AIHermes today identified the coin AVAX on the long list with a level of 4.537
Entry model - breakout! Leverage 10-20X
Stop short.
We see a long accumulation and a gorgeous squeeze!
1st target 4.69
Trade with us, trade better than us!
Today:
19 coins on the short list
17 coins on the long list
AGIX on the long list with a level of 0.1844Hello everyone!
AIHermes today identified a coin AGIX on the long list with a level of 0.1844
Entry model - breakout! Leverage 10-20X
Stop short.
Trade with us, trade better than us!
Today:
15 coins on the short list
17 coins on the long list
KO trending up LONGKO as a long standing Buffet holding- is a slow mover with a decent dividend. For stock and
especially options traders like myself, it is now well positioned for a long trade.
KO's recent pivot highs were early to mid May with the highest trading volume at $64 according
to the interval volume profile.
KO descended mid-May into June 1st and then had a Fib. retracement and
reversal. On the 2H chart, KO price has risen ifrom the bottom of the high volume area of the
overall while the RSI / MTF ( Chris Moody) shows relative strengths in the range of 50-70
with the one hour TF RSI higher than the 4H TF RSI as a sign of bullish momentum.
The triple indicator shows money flow and price momentum both with bullish signals.
The Lorentzian AI indicator with machine learning printed a buy signal on July 12th
The have added to the chart two VWAP sets of bands anchored about May 1st and June 1st.
Price is in a VWAP band breakout moving from between the second negative deviation lines in
red and the first negative deviation lines in blue to the current position between the first
negative deviation blue lines and the black mean aVWAP lines I see this as a classical
opportunity to buy low and sell high.
Trade specifics are a stop loss of 60.15 at the first negative deviation bands while the targets
are one third of the position at 61.6 ( mean aVWAPs) another third at 63.0 ( first deviation band
above aVWAPs) and the final third at 64.4 ( the second upper deviation band ) I will raise the
stop loss to break even upon price reaching 61 and in doing so, the trade becomes risk-free.
I will devote 3 % of the account to this trade and may opt to take a call options trade as well
striking $163 with a DTE of 9-10. I will select an entry buy zooming into onto the 5-15 minute
time frame. Profits from a low risk trade like this will be re-deployed into others a bit riskier as
a means of stratifying and rebalancing risk and its managment.
BTCUSDT 27500 SHORT. Bitcoin! It's the calm before the storm! Bitcoin!
Bitcoin! It's the calm before the storm! The bad news. The Cross of Death. The price is below 100MA!
The problems with Binance and Coinbase are just beginning!
We can see on the chart that Bitcoin's price is in the short zone.
We are below the 100 MA.
Today's trading level is 27500 below short, above long!
We also have the moving averages drawing a Death Cross.
Take a look at the history.
Before the Death Cross, Bitcoin is usually down 30%.
While bitcoin is below 27500 trade short on the short list.
BUYSELLSTYLE trading levels at 0706
Long
ETH 1918
BNB 299.5
BGB 0.4911
MX 3.50
BIT 0.4971
LTC 91.47
AVAX 15.06
ETC 17.68
NEAR 1.53
KAVA 1.227
XLM 0.0902
NKN 0.1187
ICP 4.525
WOO 0.2315
HBAR 0.0499
UNFI 4.287
Short
ETH 1778
BNB 272
BGB 0.4313
MX 3.20
BIT 0.4711
LINA 0.01366
MATIC 0.7896
ADA 0.3365
GALA 0.02705
IDU 0.3514
DOT 5.11
MANA 0.448
TRX 0.07681
WAVES 1.664
ALGO 0.1310
AUDIO 0.21
ONT 0.1957
CELR 0.01774
FLOW 0.642
XEM 0.0292
LQTY 1.023
COTI 0.0593
Guide
BTC 27500 Above long. Below short.
BTC 25810 Avalanche
BTC 28477 Rocket
ru.tradingview.com
BTCUSDT 27524 Long! Let's break through 50MA 1D and fly to 33000Bitcoin is being pushed into the bull zone!
The price is being pushed above 50MA!
Going above 50MA (28146) and breaking through 28447 will open the way to 30036 and 31000 levels!
Then the stop cloud is activated and the first target is 32390!
Profit to all!
Trade BuySellStlye levels!
Trade with us, trade better than us!
BTCUSDT 26605 Long! 14 long and 23 altcoins ShortGuide
BTC 26605 Above long. Below short.
BTC 25811 Avalanche
BTC 27524 Rocket
We analyze 150-200 coins every day!
Coins with a volume of more than 10 million on Binance futures.
With the help of Hermes artificial intelligence we determine the levels for trading!
BuySellStyle levels are abnormal points on the charts from which momentum is possible!
Today we have such coins on the list.
Follow my profile and I'll be posting
Levels for the BUYSELL trade on 0106
Long
ETH 1887
BNB 316.7
BGB 0.45
MX 3.235
BIT 0.5291
LTC 92.35
XRP 0.5293
SOL 21.40
MATIC 0.9076
INJ 7.428
OCEAN 0.3878
SXP 0.4434
XLM 0.0931
ALGO 0.1471
QNT 119.1
EGLD 37.37
COTI 0.0736
Short
ETH 1840
BNB 301.2
BGB 0.4313
MX 3.0978
BIT 0.4971
XRP 0.50
OP 1.345
SOL 20.29
PEPE 0.00000123
ARPA 0.06542
CFX 0.2746
SUI 0.9366
PHB 0.8018
DOT 5.17
NEAR 1.53
CRV 0.794
APE 3.10
ATOM 10.2
GMT 0.2480
SUSHI 0.829
HOOK 1.34
OMG 0.733
STMX 0.004130
JASMY 0.004416
LQTY 1.151
ICX 0.2327
GAL 1.301
GMX 52.38
Guide
BTC 26605 Above long. Below short.
BTC 25811 Avalanche
BTC 27524 Rocket
Wise words from Buffett’s annual letterWarren Buffett, often referred to as the "Oracle of Omaha," is one of the most successful investors of all time. His investment philosophy, centered around value investing and long-term growth, has transformed Berkshire Hathaway from a struggling textile company into a sprawling conglomerate, encompassing a diverse range of businesses from insurance and utilities to railroads and retail. Buffett's shrewd investment strategies and unparalleled business acumen have made Berkshire Hathaway a powerhouse in the global economy, and himself a beacon of wisdom in the world of finance.
Warren has been investing through Berkshire Hathaway (BRK.A) (BRK.B) for 58 years, but he ascribes most of his success to remarkably few decisions.
He writes:
“Our satisfactory results have been the product of about a dozen truly good decisions – that would be about one every five years – and a sometimes-forgotten advantage that favors long-term investors such as Berkshire.”
The turbulent swings of the market are utterly engrossing. An overwhelming amount of information and analytics are constantly prompting us to act. However, taking into account Buffett's advice—that only one great idea is needed every five years—can help us understand the importance of every investment decision we make.
This parallels another renowned saying from Buffett, advising us to limit the number of good investment strategies we attempt to execute.
Buffett proposes a '20-slot punch card' guideline: Imagine being handed a card with only 20 holes, each punch representing each investment you could make in your entire life. After all the slots have been punched, you can't make any more investments. Given these constraints, you would be compelled to scrutinize each decision and would tend to invest heavily in what you've deeply pondered. Consequently, your results would significantly improve.
Warren’s letter goes into his ‘secret sauce’ and some of the 12 ideas that have worked for him. Of particular emphasis this year: the compounding of long-term dividend and cash flow growth from his purchases 30 years ago, particularly Coca-Cola (KO) and American Express (AXP).
He writes:
“In August 1994 – yes, 1994 – Berkshire completed its seven-year purchase of the 400 million shares of Coca-Cola we now own. The total cost was $1.3 billion – then a very meaningful sum at Berkshire.
The cash dividend we received from Coke in 1994 was $75 million. By 2022, the dividend had increased to $704 million. Growth occurred every year, just as certain as birthdays. All Charlie and I were required to do was cash Coke’s quarterly dividend checks. We expect that those checks are highly likely to grow.
American Express is much the same story. Berkshire’s purchases of Amex were essentially completed in 1995 and, coincidentally, also cost $1.3 billion. Annual dividends received from this investment have grown from $41 million to $302 million. Those checks, too, seem highly likely to increase.
These dividend gains, though pleasing, are far from spectacular. But they bring with them important gains in stock prices. At year end, our Coke investment was valued at $25 billion while Amex was recorded at $22 billion. Each holding now accounts for roughly 5% of Berkshire’s net worth, akin to its weighting long ago.
Assume, for a moment, I had made a similarly-sized investment mistake in the 1990s, one that flat-lined and simply retained its $1.3 billion value in 2022. (An example would be a high-grade 30-year bond.) That disappointing investment would now represent an insignificant 0.3% of Berkshire’s net worth and would be delivering to us an unchanged $80 million or so of annual income.”
Advice for contemporary investors: Given the resurgence of returns in the fixed income sector, where short-term Treasuries are currently yielding close to 5%, some investors are wondering if equities are now facing stiffer competition. However, these fixed income returns may find it challenging to outpace inflation over time. Unlike fixed income, equities such as Coca-Cola and American Express offer long-term compounding through dividend growth, which is a critical advantage for investors seeking wealth accumulation.
In conclusion , Warren Buffett's investing principles, embodied in his stewardship of Berkshire Hathaway, provide invaluable lessons for all investors. Despite the allure of seemingly competitive returns in other markets, it is essential to remain focused on the long-term potential of equities, particularly those with a robust track record of dividend growth. As Buffett's success has shown, patient investing based on sound understanding and rational decision-making can yield substantial results over time.
Stay tuned for more educational content and subscribe to our channel.
Top Mentors in Finance and BusinessMentors play a critical role in guiding individuals and businesses towards achieving their goals. Whether it's in finance, business strategy, market analysis, or cryptocurrency, the insights and experiences of successful mentors can be invaluable assets in navigating through complex situations and making informed decisions. In this article, we will explore some of the most popular mentors in these fields and highlight their contributions to their respective industries. From Warren Buffett to Andreas Antonopoulos, these mentors have made significant impacts and continue to inspire and educate aspiring individuals and businesses around the world.
Finance Mentors:
1. Warren Buffett - Widely recognized as one of the most successful investors of all time, Warren Buffett is the chairman and CEO of Berkshire Hathaway. He has a long-term investment approach and has made successful investments in companies such as Coca-Cola, American Express, and IBM.
2. Ray Dalio - Founder of Bridgewater Associates, one of the world's largest hedge funds, Ray Dalio is a successful investor and philanthropist. He is also known for his unique investment principles, such as "radical transparency" and "radical honesty."
3. Jim Rogers - A well-known investor and author, Jim Rogers has written several books on finance and investing, including "Investment Biker" and "Adventure Capitalist." He is also the co-founder of the Quantum Fund with George Soros.
4. Nassim Taleb - A former trader, Nassim Taleb is the author of the best-selling book "The Black Swan," which explores the impact of unpredictable events in financial markets. He is also a proponent of the idea of "anti-fragility," which suggests that systems should be designed to benefit from shocks and volatility.
5. Paul Tudor Jones - Founder of Tudor Investment Corporation, a hedge fund with a long and successful track record, Paul Tudor Jones is a prominent investor and philanthropist. He is also known for his philanthropic work through the Robin Hood Foundation.
Business Strategy Mentors:
1. Michael Porter - A leading authority on business strategy, Michael Porter is a Harvard Business School professor and author of several books on competitive strategy, including "Competitive Advantage" and "The Five Forces."
Clayton Christensen - A Harvard Business School professor and author of several books on innovation and disruptive technologies, Clayton Christensen passed away in 2020 but remains a highly respected mentor in the field of business strategy.
2. Gary Hamel - A management expert who has written extensively on innovation and strategy, Gary Hamel is a founding member of the Management Innovation eXchange and the author of several influential books, including "Leading the Revolution."
3. W. Chan Kim - Co-author of the best-selling book "Blue Ocean Strategy," W. Chan Kim advocates for creating new market spaces rather than competing in existing ones. He is also a professor of strategy and international management at INSEAD.
4. Anita Elberse - A Harvard Business School professor who specializes in the entertainment and media industries, Anita Elberse is the author of the book "Blockbusters," which explores the strategies used by successful entertainment companies.
Market Analysis Mentors:
1. Peter Lynch - A former fund manager who is known for his investment strategies and his ability to identify undervalued companies, Peter Lynch is the author of the best-selling book "One Up on Wall Street" and "Beating the Street."
2. John Murphy - A technical analyst who has written several books on the subject, John Murphy is known for his work on intermarket analysis and is the author of "Technical Analysis of the Financial Markets."
3. Martin Pring - Another technical analyst who has written extensively on market indicators and technical analysis, Martin Pring is the author of several books, including "Technical Analysis Explained" and "The Complete Guide to Technical Analysis."
4. Ralph Acampora - A chartered market technician who is known for his work on chart analysis and market cycles, Ralph Acampora is a frequent guest on financial news networks and the author of "The Technical Analysis Course."
5. Ed Seykota - A former trader and one of the pioneers of computerized trading systems, Ed Seykota is known for his work on trend-following and
Cryptocurrency Mentors:
1. Andreas Antonopoulos - A prominent cryptocurrency educator, Andreas Antonopoulos is the author of several books, including "Mastering Bitcoin" and "The Internet of Money." He is also the host of the "Let's Talk Bitcoin" podcast and has given numerous talks on the subject.
2. Vitalik Buterin - The founder of Ethereum, Vitalik Buterin is a prominent figure in the cryptocurrency world. He has been involved in the development of several blockchain-based projects and is known for his work on smart contracts.
3. Charlie Lee - The founder of Litecoin and a former Google engineer, Charlie Lee is a prominent figure in the cryptocurrency community. He is also a vocal advocate for the adoption of cryptocurrencies as a means of payment.
4. Cameron and Tyler Winklevoss - The Winklevoss twins are known for their early investment in Bitcoin and their efforts to establish regulated cryptocurrency exchanges. They are also the founders of Gemini, a leading cryptocurrency exchange.
5. Changpeng Zhao - The founder and CEO of Binance, one of the world's largest cryptocurrency exchanges, Changpeng Zhao is a prominent figure in the cryptocurrency world. He is also a vocal advocate for the adoption of cryptocurrencies as a means of payment and has been involved in several blockchain-based projects.
In conclusion, the above mentors have made significant contributions in their respective fields and are highly respected in their industries. While their teachings and philosophies may differ, they have all played a crucial role in shaping the way we think about finance, business strategy, market analysis, and cryptocurrencies. Aspiring individuals and businesses can benefit greatly from their insights and experiences.
Buffett's Strategy for Modern MarketsWarren Buffett's Investment Model: Adapting the Oracle of Omaha's Strategies to Today's Markets
As someone deeply inspired by Warren Buffett's investment principles, I've always been fascinated by how his strategies can be adapted to the ever-changing financial landscape. In exploring this subject, my goal is to share valuable insights that fellow investors can apply in today's dynamic markets while still drawing from the wisdom of the Oracle of Omaha.
Warren Buffett has long been hailed as one of the greatest investors of all time. His value-based investment strategy has proven to be wildly successful for decades. However, as the financial landscape evolves, it's essential to examine the continuing effectiveness of his approach in today's markets. This article will explore key aspects of Buffett's investment model and assess which elements remain relevant and which may have lost their edge.
Section 1: The Core Principles of Warren Buffett's Investment Model
1.1 Long-term value investing
a. Patience and discipline: Buffett's approach requires investors to patiently wait for opportunities to buy undervalued stocks and hold them for the long term, often ignoring short-term market fluctuations.
b. Margin of safety: Buffett emphasizes purchasing stocks at a discount to their intrinsic value, providing a margin of safety and reducing the downside risk.
c. Dividends and reinvestment: Buffett's model often focuses on companies that pay stable and growing dividends, which can be reinvested to compound returns over time.
1.2 Moats and competitive advantage
a. Pricing power: Companies with strong pricing power can increase prices without significantly affecting demand, providing a competitive edge.
b. Brand recognition: A strong brand can create customer loyalty, making it difficult for competitors to gain market share.
c. Cost advantage: Companies with a cost advantage can offer products or services at lower prices or enjoy higher profit margins, increasing their competitiveness.
1.3 Focus on quality businesses
a. Financial health: Buffett seeks companies with low debt levels and strong cash flow generation, indicating financial stability.
b. Management quality: A capable management team is crucial to a company's success, with Buffett prioritizing companies led by experienced and shareholder-oriented leaders.
c. Consistent earnings growth: Companies with a history of consistent earnings growth are more likely to deliver strong returns over time.
Section 2: The Changing Landscape: Points of Buffett's Strategy Losing Effectiveness
2.1 Ignoring technology and growth stocks
a. Missed opportunities: Buffett's aversion to technology stocks has caused him to miss out on significant investment opportunities in companies like Amazon, Google, and Apple.
b. The rise of disruptive technologies: The rapid pace of technological innovation has led to disruptive companies reshaping entire industries, with early investors in these companies often reaping substantial rewards.
c. The importance of adaptability: Investors should be willing to adapt their strategies to recognize the changing landscape and embrace new investment opportunities.
2.2 Relying on financial statement analysis
a. The limitations of traditional metrics: Metrics like price-to-earnings (P/E) and price-to-book (P/B) ratios may not accurately capture the value of companies with significant intangible assets.
b. The role of intangibles: Intangible assets, such as intellectual property, customer relationships, and brand value, are increasingly important drivers of business success.
c. Alternative valuation methods: Investors should consider incorporating alternative valuation methods, such as discounted cash flow (DCF) analysis and relative valuation techniques, to better assess a company's true worth.
Section 3: Adapting Buffett's Investment Model to Today's Markets
3.1 Embracing technological innovation
a. Identifying future industry leaders: Investors should seek out companies with innovative technologies that have the potential to become industry leaders in their respective sectors.
b. Focusing on long-term growth potential: While some technology and growth stocks may appear overvalued by traditional metrics, their long-term growth potential may justify a higher valuation.
c. Balancing risk and reward: Investing in technology and growth stocks may carry higher risks, but also the potential for greater rewards, which can be balanced through careful portfolio diversification.
3.2 Diversification across industries and geographies
a. Expanding investment horizons: By investing in a variety of industries and regions, investors can capitalize on global growth opportunities and reduce dependence on specific sectors or markets.
b. Mitigating regional risks: Diversification across geographies helps to mitigate risks associated with regional economic downturns or political instability.
c. Harnessing the potential of emerging markets: Investors can seek opportunities in emerging markets with strong growth potential and favorable demographic trends, further diversifying their portfolios.
3.3 Incorporating ESG factors
a. Long-term sustainability: Companies with strong ESG performance are more likely to be sustainable in the long term, aligning with Buffett's long-term value investing approach.
b. Improved risk management: Incorporating ESG factors into the investment decision-making process can help identify potential risks and opportunities that may not be apparent through traditional financial analysis.
c. Growing investor demand: As ESG investing gains traction, companies with strong ESG performance may attract increased investor interest, potentially driving higher valuations and returns.
Warren Buffett's investment model has been highly successful for decades, but it's essential to adapt his principles to the ever-changing financial landscape. By embracing technological innovation, diversifying investments, and incorporating ESG factors, investors can continue to benefit from the wisdom of the Oracle of Omaha while navigating the complexities of today's markets.
Berkshire HathawayThe Berkshire Hathaway company in the face of all the financial uncertainty is the one that is resisting the fall the most if we compare it to other companies in the same sector. Therefore, before an economic recession may be the least likely to fall and with it a company that would be safe to invest.
OXY - Great setup
NYSE:OXY - Elliott wave Analysis
Warren Buffet bought OXY in Q1,Q2 and Q3 of 2022. We can't all be Buffets but a a good setup might be in place right now.
A clear upward impulse wave starting in October 2020, with an extended third wave that reached its peak on May 31, 2022.
Since then, we have been witnessing a period of consolidation in the form of a retracement wave (4). The sideways movement of the price is characteristic of a triangle pattern.
Triangles are a slow and sideways movement that indicate a balance in the convictions between bulls and bears. They are only present in waves 4, B, and X, preceding the final wave of a sequence.
The eventual outcome of a triangle pattern is a wave 5 of the impulse sequence, also know as the post triangle thrust. The good part is that we can calculate this post triangle thrust.
In terms of Fibonacci retracements, the current retracement of 0.236 in wave 3 aligns with the second most common Fib retracement for wave 4.
It is important to note that triangle patterns can be difficult to trade. Why because in this case the triangle can take the form of a B wave at a larger degree than fall in wave C finishing the correction. than moving up in wave 5 of the larger impulse wave. This may not be relevant in the current situation, however, it is important to exercise caution and keep this in mind."
When they conclude though, they result is the post triangle thrust.
ConclusionGood upside potential at least to $74 level 13% increase from the current level. There is also another energy stock with the same wave count NYSE:PXD this time with a dividend yield of 11 %.
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Price is what you pay, but value is what you getWarren Buffett is the most successful stock investor in the history of the world. Of course, which we know now. "The Oracle of Omaha" - that's what fans of his "magical instinct" call Buffett. But is that the point?
As an 11-year-old child, little Warren was inspired by the possibilities of the stock market and invited his sister to participate in his first investment. These were preferred shares of Cities Service. The sister agreed to take the risk and Warren bought 3 shares at $38.25. But then, the wave of enthusiasm turned to disappointment and guilt - the shares fell to $27. Buffett's first investment "enterprise" lost 29% of the amount of investments that were borrowed. We can only imagine how the young investor felt at that moment, but I think this feeling is familiar to many: positive expectations clashed with the harsh reality of the stock market. Warren didn't sell shares. But when the price for them reached $40, he did it instantly. Apparently, considering this whole undertaking a mistake. The income was 4.6%, the sister received her money back. Everything worked out. Surprisingly, Cities Service's share price rose to $202 a few days later. Or +428%, Warren!
The entire subsequent history of Warren Buffett confirms that he drew the right conclusions from the experience of his childhood. He realized that the price on the stock exchange may not reflect the value of the company itself. Buffett began to study accounting, the principles of fundamental analysis of enterprises, the ideas of Benjamin Graham. This allowed him to develop an approach that consisted in determining the real value of the company, different from the one that we see on the stock exchange.
"Price is what you pay, but value is what you get".
From myself I will add: and if the value is higher than the price - such an investment is considered reasonable.
In the chart above, the price history of Buffett's main holding company, Berkshire Hathaway . As well as the S&P500 index. As you can see, his company "overtakes" the index, which means it shows much better performance than the average value of 500 US companies.
Perhaps, in addition to deep analysis of the companies' business, Buffett's unique investor instinct helps, I don't know. But the fact that he is a real Wizard of our time is an indisputable fact for me.
HPQ long term outlook and where to buyWith the break of key moving averages (21w and 34w) a patient investor following the Buffett playbook might want to look into acquiring HPQ for a trend continuation in the long term uptrend of this stock. The question is, as always, where will it bottom? Outlined is the most likely scenario: bottom will be somewhere in between $30 and $31. Invalidation of this idea comes from making a new lower low, shown with a stop loss under $26. The patient investor should expect to reach target of $40 if not much, much more. This corresponds to a >30% move.
This TA is based on the idea of monthly support levels (monthly S1-S3 lines) and demand zones (white candles within our indicators). The prior range from June-October 2021 also provides excellent support. Monthly support levels will change tomorrow with the arrival of a new month but we expect them to simply add additional confluence to this idea when they are printed.