SPX: Denial on Denial.SPX: Denial on Denial.
There are too much facts going on for anything else to happen than this.
where should I even start.
Highest debt ever above 140% for US. No increased debt ceiling.
Yield curve topped out. Bonds needs to get bought.
Inflation coming down harder and unemployment increasing rapidly.
Core CPI is larger than CPI. harder for households.
More house on the market than ever. Households are not getting sold.
VIX expiration today 17e.
Biggest expiration in QQQ, SPY, IWM, VIX expiration 19e this week.
FED PIVOT is already here. When that happend in history, Recession has always followed.
More outflow in stocks than inflows. Options is the only one saving the market till everything expire and the short bag is to great.
Buildup
HIDDEN💎Script name: Tilaknagar Industries
Cmp 137
Buy above 140
Safe buy above 145-150
Sl can be placed below 95
TGT 170-200+
Trail sl accordingly
POSITIVE FACTORS
Increased profitability over quarters
Increased FII Holdings subsequently
High ROE and ROCE
NEGATIVE FACTORS
High P/E ratio
Doubtful increase in profitability in the last quarter
Low book value
80% promoters holding pledge
Imp note: It can be bought once it break its all time high with good volume else can be avoided. I AM OUT of this stock but due to it's gaining momentum had to analyse the same here .
Note : It's my own view not any personal recommendation for the particular stock or entity to invest in. Do your own research and decide at your own risk.
Excellent volumes, Aiming to fly fast toward north$ORN #ORION #PROTOCOL Exceptional volumes seen in $ORN during the recent times. Fantastic reversal seen from support and the breakout of the trendline resistance. If #BTC stays good this will the fastest one to fly north. Interesting setup up overall for sure. #Watching
Basic Conclusion and ConfusionI have questions about perdicting an asset/commodity deflation event or crash below If you have time. Prices are through the roof right now making the entire investing world to seem speculative. I think the market is showing weakness and there may be a crash around the corner, I'm looking at patterns to see if there's any similarities between the build up to a crash and seeing where volition is creeping towards a big leap before a significant increase in volition such as the red bar pattern over today's current situation (from a jump in 2018) where I found similarities with other minor jumps in volition and a pull back in a bullish pattern, given that a majority of the market can see inside before retailers is it possible that these build up events where fear becomes the headline for few weeks to months ends up being a sudden crash in value. Professionals and "Professionals" have said time and time again that the build up is here, it's been happening for months to years given assets are up at record highs and inflation is going now where anytime soon, our supply chain will only get worse till February I hope, even then it'll take years before we see commodities stabilize and by then the value of the dollar will not be what was, oh also the richest minority own the largest majority of everything still.. is there much of a pattern and what are some of your ideas? I hope we both learned something?
Is there a way of timing a economic crash?
Is the 36 month trading period a thing?
Is it best not to worry about the crash? it'll happen eventually as time has proven again and again.
Best case scenario I reposition some previous sales and some savings.
If a company doesn't rally back to it previous average after crash, is it still worth it to invest into said company since it is sustainable and growing a dedicated user base?
Best Most Possible Buy in Bull run.According to my analysis, I see a good buy in Rallis 313-315 in this bullish market.
Reasons:
1. Supertrend {14/3} generated a buy signal
2. Average Directional Index is above 20* and is rising.
3. 200 ema and 50ema crossing.
Time frame: 1day, Strategy Type: Swing Trade
*ADX above 20 generally suggests that stock is not in sideways.
I firmly believe that Rallis can give 5-20% in 10 to 15 days.
NOTE: This is my personal opinion only, not a tip or something. I am not SEBI registered, this is for educational purposes only, you may use my strategy but I will not be responsible in any way for the profit or losses if occurred.
Harmony Building a foundation April 7th was my initial bottom for harmony but then an unexpected correction came on April 18th pushing the price down even further. Here's my update on Harmony I think we are seeing an Impulsive reversal forming. If we can continue to see some buildup(Consolidation) on the way up instead of a Moonish move straight up I think harmony is primed to hit $1 by the summer time.
SHORT TERM PRICE PREDICTION($0.35)
(NOT FINANCIAL ADVICE) DO YOUR OWN RESEARCH!
GBPJPY H1 As u can see, the price was consolidating for a long period of time more than 150 hours...
As u can see on the bottom price gained some liquidity below and all the stops were hunted.
Next we can wait for build up at the top near the resistance and enter on the breakout.
Remember, Patience is a key, u need only 1 - 2 trades a week having a good R:R to make it good on the long run.
Stay tuned, we will update u soon providing a valid setup for trading.
GPBJPY LONGBuildup trading opportunity as price has been creating a buildup and ranging throughout Asia session near a HTF resistance zone, waiting for price to come back down to a minor support to get the best entry. Trade idea is dead is price falls below and continues to push below that minor zone.
Crude Oil | July contract continues to look bullish
the trend change of crude oil started at 29 Apil, signaled by RSI divergence or RSI failure swing
the second green arrow indicates the second long position, which was the buildup of a to-be breaking double bottom
an ascending trendline was then formed, which is never broken
the price then broke out, half of the profits was taken at the red arrow, by expecting a pullback
the third green arrows indicates the re-entry at the consolidation area
as the last trading day of June contract is approaching, July contract will be a better trade
The buildup before a positive breakout in price?To me this action looks like the calm before the storm. A space without volatility where price is not going down lower to previous low levels. As price is coming from a previous downtrend into a level with lots of support, this gets me to believe that this breakout would be on the upside.
The bigger picture - we are accumulatingWe are building. Nothing more than a period of accumulation inside this range.
As more big dogs enter the price will continue to discount and range. Everyone will have a piece of the pie before this bad boy takes off.
always remember...
2020 - IMF enters on the ledger system
2023 - First wave of large investors after regulation will happen in a 3 year span most likely as regulation has been said to take 3 to 5 years from 2018.
2030 - Interledger protocol is complete
I am interested to see where XRP will be when all escrow is sold off.
We have yet to revisit 50% of the ATH. I will be ready for the rest stop the day it comes. Take advantage of that and lets see how prices are after the summer time.
I am expecting a September rise in alt coins. Lets see if it happens. Ya never know!
AUD/JPY looking shorts after D1 bears re-establish themselvesPretty simply....we've attacked this level really inefficiently over the last couple of weeks. Since that big gap down, price re-filled the area, retested the volatility expansion area, and failed to recover up past the preceding wedge.
Bias is down, looking for setups on the H1.
EURUSD Short SetupBuildup on short-term Support & Trendline. Rejection of higher price in the last 4 candles.
Short the Breakout of the red Support or Wait for the first Pullback.
Sky has never been the Limit
The informations and the strategies discussed are NOT recommendation to buy, sell or trade any securities. They are strictly for educational and illustrative purposes.
NQ major test coming up (NQ1!)The NQ is one of the trappiest contracts out there, so watch what happens at this level. It's worth zooming in to the 15m just to study the aftereffects in a few days.
The longer it builds up near the High WITHOUT breaking it, the more I'll be biased long. If we probe it overnight, I'll be back to cautiously looking.
Ideally I either want a naked attack in the morning WITHOUT a preceding spring --> that's mean a short, expecting a trap and a major drop in the market.
OR I'd like to see price come down a bit at the open, scoop, and re-attack the High --> that's grounds for a breakout trade.
Remember, D1 analysis and shorter time frame execution means different things for different people. Do NOT trade the NQ unless you are experienced...