XAUUSD BULLISH PROJECTION DATA-INDUCED MARKET REPRICING SETS USDWhile this report’s focus leans more heavily on the technical analysis, it is only prudent to take into account the effect of recent dollar and Fed funds rate repricing this last week. On Thursday, strong jobs numbers from ADP data saw markets lift expectations of a possible 50 bps hike in February to around 45% resulting in a slight bid in the dollar. That of course was before the ISM services PMI data revealed that the largest sector of the US economy had just dipped into a contraction, immediately erasing prior dollar gains as the market repositioned once more, this time for a potentially more cautious Fed approach on the terminal rate.
Bullih
SHE'S BEEN LOYAL BUT I EXPECT HER TO CHEAT SOON! BUY ETHUSDThere's always loyalty to some degree when it comes to structure just like in a relationship. Ethereum has built up a good relationship with the resistance level at around 4200 but at some point this relationship will fail, again just like in a real life relationship. The question is, will ethereum end this relationship and move on? Or will it give it one more try?
Bitcoin Short-term Bullish as Long as $48.4K is not Tested AgainHey guys!
Give this idea a like and follow me if you aren't yet. Now lets get started:
So the "Uncle" Biden news came out of nowhere yesterday while I was out most of the day and that got many sellers panicking across all markets including the Bitcoin and Crypto markets. That said the likeliness of congress passing a doubling taxation from 20% and 39% is rather low in my opinion, I think everyone is over-reacting with many calling the start of the Bear Market on Bitcoin and a failed Megabull etc. etc.
Anyways, here is what I am looking at short-term and long-term as well:
- I had recommended to buy $52-51.3K bottom of the support channel and the higher low before the Biden tax proposal news came out so I told everyone to just HODL as the mild bearish scenario would take us towards the 1W Bollinger Band at $46-45K which would be a great buy/long (30% Correction). But so far it seems we stopped close enough to it at $47,700~ due to front running of buyers and the contract expiry on Bitcoin last night. So it was not really worth it so far to sell. The proper sell area was when I called the sell off short-term once $62K broke a while back.
- On the Daily, the RSI has reached oversold levels of 30 which means that this is a good buy are to buy long-term Bitcoin at from here $50K down to the 1W bollinger midband at $46-45K. Historically, for those who followed me back to 2017, you know that I called every buy the dip level precisely on Bitcoin using the 1D RSI in oversold conditions, and right now I can tell you we are nearing a final bottom before we rally up.
- Short-term to look for till Sunday:
IF this is the bottom and we do not roll back in the next 24 hours to $48,400, then the bulls need to hit the 52-53k top of the falling wedge to get started. Then break out from the wedge to confirm a bull reversal and close the Weekly on Sunday close to 55K. Once that happens, ALTSBTC can rally hard as I had expected initially into end of May.
So far ALTS like ETHUSD and LTCUSD have nicely held their bottom support or previous top holding as support levels and remain bullish.
When would I turn bearish: I would turn bearish mid-term if sell off to $48,400 again, and we close a 3D or 1W candle below the 1W Bollinger Midband at $45K~ . So if there is a test of $42-40K it will need to be rebought fast, else it would mean we have bigger problems on our hands trend wise with a retest of 35-32K being likely which is the Elon and Michael Saylor mode/support buy level
- This current idea ties well with my long-term call I shared before with everyone:
- At last, the Megabull is NOT over, we are just in needed a 30%~ correction before we continue our dual bull run to 100K+ then 400K by year end.
Best of luck and happy trading!
Carl M.
16K still in sight for $BTCWith the ADX looking promising for another trend line break to the upside, the target for the near-term trend line break matches up with the target I had way back when at the long-term trend line break.
If momentum keeps on this week a nice break here would bring the 16K target back into view (which for me has never left) with another validated pattern move.
Happy Trading!
Fibo
CLOAK : Upto 175% Profits In the Mid Term.#Accumulation_Recomendation
Pair : CLOAK / BTC
RSI : 50
Note : After a healthy 3 wave correctional wave pull back Cloak started its reversal with a good volume pump and a breaking out scenario from the falling wedge created. Both RSI and MACD looking bullish in favor of the bulls so far. It would be a good position for the mid term to hold.
Accumulation Area : 7000 sats - 8000 sats
Distribution Area
Short Term:
Target 1 : 9328 sats
Target 2 : 10219 sats
Target 3 :12550 sats
Target 4 : 12813 sats
Target 5 : 13700 sats
Mid Term Target
Target 6 : 14730 sats
Target 7 : 15644 sats
Target 8 : 16588 sats
Target 9 : 17990 sats
Target 10 : 19413 sats
Stop Loss : 6150 sats
Risk : Medium
Capital Accumulation : 4%