Bullish Patterns
USD/JPY Market Update: Support Holds and Resistance Levels AheadUSD/JPY has held firm at the support level and is now returning to a buy zone. Currently, the market is at 156.500, with the next resistance level set at 159.000.
I’ve explained the market clearly in my chart analysis for easier understanding.
If anyone has questions, feel free to ask in the comments or send me a message in my inbox.
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GIGA Long Swing OpportunityMarket Context:
GIGA stands out as one of the strongest meme coins, holding within a major support zone despite market fluctuations. This support area offers an attractive risk-to-reward ratio for a long swing trade.
Trade Details:
Entry Zone: $0.05 (support zone)
Take Profit Targets:
$0.071
$0.095
Stop Loss: Daily close below $0.045
This trade leverages GIGA's resilience, with profit targets set at key resistance levels. Exercise disciplined risk management! 📈
Anticipated ZEN Drop Hits Target – Long Now?The anticipated drop I was watching has played out, providing excellent long setups across many coins, including ZEN. ZEN retraced perfectly to the POC at $17.07, aligning with the fib retracement 0.85
This confluence makes it an ideal long setup, offering great potential gains
Long Entry: $17.3
Target 1: $21 (R:R 2.5)
Target 2: $27 (R:R 6)
27/01/25 Weekly outlookLast weeks high: $109,555.48
Last weeks low: $99,643.66
Midpoint: $104,599.57
A new Bitcoin ATH as President Trumps second term officially begins! Just shy of $110K with a much tighter range of $10k from range low to high leaves Bitcoin in a very interesting place going into what has been called the first "pro-crypto" administration.
Now the weekly close is an interesting one as there is a clear sell-off that has continued at time of writing bringing the price down below the weekly low. This has been a common theme in recent weeks as either a bearish SFP of the weekly high early in the week resulting in a sell-off for the remaining days. Or the opposite were a sweep of the weekly low early on results in a recover rally for the rest of the week. As of right now the later is in play but what is causing this sell-off this time?
The AI issue:
The recent headlines have been that the US wants to win the AI war and be the dominant force in what is possibly the most important product of the future. OpenAI, Grok, Meta etc all have AI products and services and the US government hope that by backing these companies the US can be the victors of this race. However, the game has changed with the release of "DeepSeek R1" a chinese AI competitor with some remarkable attributes that has the US stock market very worried as reflected in the pre-market.
DeepSeek R1 was reportedly built for $6m, now this is a Chinese company and therefor any numbers should be taken with a pinch of salt but OpenAI has raised $17.9B for ChatGPT and many now see DeepSeek as a superior product in many ways:
- Less GPU intensive due to a more efficient and streamlined model, this is mainly why NVIDIA pre-market is down 11% at time of writing, investors are seeing that perhaps US companies have overblown the demand for GPU's as the product they are making is not optimised in comparison.
- Considerably cheaper due to this streamlined approach, personally this is a symptom of how America has been operating as a nation since the pandemic, a severe lack of efficiency made up for by throwing insane amounts of capital at the problem with no thought as to where the money comes from (printed via QE & tax payer funding). DeepSeek just proved why Trumps planned approach of getting value for money and increasing efficiency is a winning formula, anything else is unsustainable.
- Open source code, we would expect the company called OpenAI that was founded on the basis of transparency and the mission to do good as a non-profit would be the product that has publicly available code, but no that would be DeepSeek... This further compounds just how out of touch the US based AI companies have got, the quest for revenue has taken over as the mission goal, which in the case of AI is very dangerous.
To conclude the AI problem, the Chinese AI product is cheaper, more efficient and more transparent that current US based products and that is why indirectly BTC took a tumble.
On the data news this week FOMC is on Wednesday, the forecast is for interest rates to remain unchanged however the volatility of FOMC often leads to interesting price action, this could be another reason for the sell-off as de-risking takes place.
For this week I am looking at using the chaos to find goo d long entries, I still think that Feb-March looks good until I have reason to think otherwise. Weekly low is a key S/R level that will determine by bias in the short term until then.
TL;DR
- DeepSeek R1 worrying investors of US AI companies as the Chinese AI product is far cheaper, more efficient and more transparent. US stocks down on pre-market.
- FOMC midweek, first of Trump admin, volatility expected.
- Weekly low key S/R level for BTC
VIRTUAL - A Long Opportunity or More Pain Ahead?VIRTUAL has dropped over 50% from its all-time high of $5.14, now trading around $2.50. A head and shoulders pattern has formed, with price currently testing the neckline, a bearish sign that could signal further downside. Let’s break down potential targets and trade setups.
Key Levels and Support Zone:
1.) POC from December 2024 Range:
Located at $1.67, a significant level from previous trading activity
2.) Anchored VWAP:
Taken from the lows, currently around $1.62, reinforcing the $1.66 zone as strong support
3.) Fibonacci Retracement (Log Scale):
The 0.382 Fib from the recent wave sits at $1.77, providing additional confluence for the support area
4.) Trend-Based Fibonacci Extension:
The 0.786 Fib aligns at $1.71, further strengthening the $1.70–$1.80 range as a reliable support zone
Trade Setups:
Short Setup:
Entry: $2.836 (Fib retracement 0.618 from the current downtrend)
Target: around $1.80
Stop Loss: Above $3
Risk-to-Reward: 5:1
Potential Drop: 30–40% from the entry level
Long Setup:
Entry: $1.70–$1.80 range
Target: Depends on confirmation and take profit areas. A realistic initial target could be around $2-$2.30
Stop Loss: Below $1.52
Risk-to-Reward: 2:1 or better depending on take profit strategy
XRP - Key Levels to WatchXRP recently broke its all-time high (ATH) from 2018, touching $3.317. This key resistance was fiercely defended by bears, offering a strong short opportunity on the first break. Now, after consolidating for over 10 days, let’s dive deeper into the key levels and confluences to plan trades.
Resistance Levels
All-Time High (ATH) - $3.317
Key resistance from the recent ATH breakout, strongly defended by bears
Support Levels and Confluence
Fibonacci Retracement: 0.618 retracement of the recent impulse wave aligns at $2.74078
Weekly Level: A strong weekly level at $2.75 provides further support
Daily Level: The daily level at $2.72763 lies within the support zone
Swing High from the Previous Trading Range: The December 2024 swing high at $2.725 adds more confluence
Volume Profile (VAH): Value Area High (VAH) of the previous trading range aligns with the support zone
Fibonacci Speed Fan: The 0.618 speed fan intersects at $2.7, depending on the timing (late January to early February)
Pitchfork: While not plotted, it aligns closely with this zone, further supporting the level
Support Zone: $2.75-$2.71
Short Trade Setup
The first short opportunity arose at the ATH of $3.317, providing an excellent risk-to-reward ratio. If missed, another short trade setup can still be executed at the current price:
Entry: Enter at the current price
Stop Loss: Above $3.29
Take Profit: $2.80
Risk-to-Reward (R:R): 2:1
Long Trade Setup
Entry: Ladder longs between $2.75 and $2.71
Stop Loss: Below $2.63
Take Profit: $2.95
Risk-to-Reward (R:R): 3:1 or better
XLM - Will XLM Find Strength or Stumble?XLM has been in a downtrend for the past 10 days after rejecting from the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement resistance. The price action shows lower highs and lower lows with no significant volume, signaling a potential continuation of the trend. Let’s identify the key support and resistance zones and possible trade setups.
Support Zone
A strong support zone lies between $0.3725 and $0.3695 based on multiple confluences:
Monthly Level: At $0.3725
Anchored VWAP: From the very low, the VWAP aligns with the monthly level
Fibonacci Retracement: Drawing the fib retracement from the year’s low to the recent high, the 0.75 Fibonacci level lies at $0.3695
Resistance Zone
Key Level: Price data highlights $0.435 as a significant S/R zone
Fibonacci Retracement: The 0.618 Fibonacci retracement from the current wave aligns with the key level
Short Trade Setup
Entry: 0.618 Fibonacci retracement/key level at around $0.435
Stop Loss: Above the previous high
Take Profit: Target the support zone at round $0.3725
Risk-to-Reward (R:R): 4.5
Long Trade Setup (on confirmation)
Entry: Long position between the support zone of $0.3725 and $0.3695
Stop Loss: 3% SL
Take Profit: around 0.39/0.4
Risk-to-Reward (R:R): 2 or better
ETH Rejected at POC – Bears Eye $3000 againOver the past two days, Ethereum struggled to maintain momentum above the Point of Control (POC) of the current range. Price action formed wicks above the POC but closed below, signaling clear rejection at this level.
Key Support Zone
The $3000 area holds significant support, bolstered by several confluences:
Fibonacci Levels: The 0.786 fib retracement ($3045) aligns with the old 0.618 fib retracement ($3025)
4H Bullish Block: A strong demand zone on the 4-hour timeframe supports this level
Trend-Based Fibonacci Extension: 1:1 extension lines up perfectly with the 0.618 fib retracement
Psychological Level: The round number at $3000 adds psychological strength to this support
Short Setup:
Entry: POC of the range
Stop Loss: Above the recent high
Take Profit: $3000 zone
Risk-Reward: 3:1, offering a solid trade opportunity
Long Setup (Confirmation Needed):
Entry: Between $3025–$3000, upon bullish confirmation
Stop Loss: Below $2900
Take Profit: open
US500 - Short-Term Pain!Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst.
📈US500 has been in a correction phase and it is currently approaching the lower bound of the blue channel.
Moreover, the blue zone is a strong demand and structure.
🏹 Thus, the highlighted blue circle is a strong area to look for buy setups as it is the intersection of structure and lower blue trendline acting as a non-horizontal support.
📚 As per my trading style:
As #US500 approaches the blue circle, I will be looking for bullish reversal setups (like a double bottom pattern, trendline break , and so on...)
If the blue intersection is broken downward, a deeper correction towards the green intersection would be expected.
📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management.
Good luck!
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Rich
GOLD BULLS ARE GAINING STRENGTH|LONG
Hello, Friends!
Bullish trend on GOLD, defined by the green colour of the last week candle combined with the fact the pair is oversold based on the BB lower band proximity, makes me expect a bullish rebound from the support line below and a retest of the local target above at 2,784.077.
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AUD/JPY BUYERS WILL DOMINATE THE MARKET|LONG
Hello, Friends!
AUD/JPY is trending up which is evident from the green colour of the previous weekly candle. However, the price has locally plunged into the oversold territory. Which can be told from its proximity to the BB lower band. Which presents a beautiful trend following opportunity for a long trade from the support line below towards the supply level of 98.447.
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CAD/CHF BEST PLACE TO BUY FROM|LONG
Hello, Friends!
CAD/CHF pair is trading in a local downtrend which we know by looking at the previous 1W candle which is red. On the 12H timeframe the pair is going down too. The pair is oversold because the price is close to the lower band of the BB indicator. So we are looking to buy the pair with the lower BB line acting as support. The next target is 0.636 area.
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Spire Global, Inc. (SPIR) AnalysisCompany Overview:
Spire Global, Inc. NYSE:SPIR is a leader in satellite-powered data and analytics, offering actionable insights for industries such as agriculture, maritime, and energy. Its innovative solutions and strong market presence position Spire as a key player in leveraging space technology for solving critical challenges.
Key Catalysts:
Record Bookings and Demand Growth:
Spire achieved record Q3 2024 bookings of $40 million, reflecting strong customer demand for its satellite-powered analytics solutions.
Continued growth in industries like climate monitoring and supply chain optimization underscores Spire’s market relevance.
Strategic NASA Partnership:
A contract with NASA to deploy wildfire-detecting satellites highlights Spire’s leadership in addressing environmental challenges.
Plans to launch eight satellites by 2025 further strengthen its environmental solutions portfolio.
Maritime Business Sale:
The $241 million sale of Spire’s maritime business allows the company to:
Retire all outstanding debt, significantly improving its financial stability.
Focus resources on high-growth opportunities like space-based data analytics and environmental applications.
Investment Outlook:
Bullish Case: We are bullish on SPIR above the $15.50-$16.00 range, driven by its innovative solutions, increasing demand, and strengthened financial position post-maritime business sale.
Upside Potential: Our target for SPIR is $26.00-$27.00, supported by its NASA partnership, continued booking momentum, and focus on tackling global challenges with satellite technology.
🚀 SPIR—Transforming Insights with Space-Powered Innovation. #SpaceTech #SatelliteData #Innovation
Oklo Inc. (OKLO) AnalysisCompany Overview:
Oklo Inc. NYSE:OKLO is at the forefront of the clean energy revolution, specializing in compact nuclear reactors designed for efficiency and scalability. Its innovative solutions position it as a transformative player in addressing the global demand for clean, reliable energy.
Key Catalysts:
Landmark Partnerships:
Switch Partnership: A deal to supply 12 gigawatts of nuclear power highlights Oklo’s leadership and demonstrates its capacity to scale operations, significantly boosting its revenue potential.
RPower Memorandum: Supporting data centers, a rapidly growing market, Oklo expands into industries with high energy demands, further solidifying its presence in strategic high-growth markets.
Robust Order Book:
With 14 gigawatts of secured orders, Oklo demonstrates strong market demand and a clear path toward sustained growth and market leadership in advanced nuclear energy solutions.
Market Potential & Expansion:
Oklo’s compact nuclear technology offers cost-effective, carbon-free energy, positioning it to capitalize on global trends toward decarbonization, increased data center energy needs, and clean energy mandates.
Investment Outlook:
Bullish Case: We are bullish on OKLO above the $31.00-$32.00 range, driven by strong partnerships, robust order growth, and expanding applications for its technology.
Upside Potential: Our target for OKLO is $60.00-$61.00, supported by its innovative solutions, increasing market adoption, and entry into high-demand sectors like data centers.
🚀 OKLO—Powering a Clean Energy Future with Innovation and Scalability. #NuclearEnergy #CleanTech #Innovation
BTC.D - Official Alt Season ?Charting this on a weekly timeframe is tough, so use it as a reference point only.
I’ll provide more precise analysis on lower timeframes, but this represents my general macro outlook. But: Start preparing for an Exit Strategy. You are warned.
1st area of Interest = Green Box (45-46%)
2nd area of Interest = 43% Horizontal Support and close Trendline Support
3rd area of Interest (in case we got very lucky) = 39.70%
Could Cardano Bulls Push Past Pennant To $2 Resistance?!Cardano made an impressive 315% gain from the Low on Nov. 4th/5th @ .32 to the High on Dec. 3rd @ $1.32 following the Pro-Crypto Republican won Presidential Debate with not only BINANCE:ADAUSD seeing this kind of Rally but across the entire Crypto Market!
Since that High, Price on Cardano has slipped into a Consolidation of what seems to be a Pennant Pattern with Lower Highs working into Higher Lows.
Both Legs of this Triangle still need a 3rd Touch to Validate the Integrity and Existence of both Trend-lines. I would like to see Price make a 3rd Touch of the Rising Support around the ( .95 - .93 ) Range before moving back up to test the Falling Resistance.
If Bulls are able to gain enough Support from the Rising Support, it could be enough to give them momentum to make a Bullish Break to the Falling Resistance and based from the Pattern Statistics:
- Generate an Extension of the same size of Trend move that came prior to the formation of the Pattern called the "Flagpole" putting the Potential Extension of Price into the $2 Resistance Zone!
**Caution: Triangle Patterns are known to fail 1/3 of the time so a Bearish Breakdown of this pattern is still possible. Watch for False Breaks/Breakouts!
VINE LOOKS BEARISH THEN 90% OR 300% INCOMINGAfter a failed breakout of the all time highs, we have broken the uptrend and look to aim lower. Unless the highs are claimed I'm currently bearish and looking for range lows to be tested for a long entry to back to the highs which can print 90% returns.
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This is not financial advice. This is for educational purposes only.