AIOZ Long Swing Trade OpportunityMarket Context:
AIOZ is approaching a key support level, which offers a potential bounce opportunity for a swing trade setup.
Trade Details:
Entry Zone: Around $0.36
Take Profit Targets:
$0.50
$0.60
Stop Loss: Below $0.33
This setup aims to capitalize on the support level holding for a move to the upside. 📈
Bullish Patterns
USD/CHF BEST PLACE TO BUY FROM|LONG
Hello, Friends!
Previous week’s red candle means that for us the USD/CHF pair is in the downtrend. And the current movement leg was also down but the support line will be hit soon and lower BB band proximity will signal an oversold condition so we will go for a counter-trend long trade with the target being at 0.912.
✅LIKE AND COMMENT MY IDEAS✅
Understanding Buying Climax, Stop, and Spring in VSAMastering Institutional Trading: Understanding Buying Climax, Stop, and Spring in Volume Spread Analysis (VSA)
Observation – Understanding Buying Climax, Stop, and Spring in Market Structure
A buying climax (BC) occurs when price surges sharply alongside high trading volume, signaling strong buying activity. However, this aggressive move often exhausts demand, leading to a stop, where price movement either pauses or begins to reverse. At this point, the market assesses whether buyers can sustain the uptrend or if selling pressure will take over.
In Volume Spread Analysis (VSA), a classic sequence is:
1. Buying Climax (BC): A sharp move up with high volume.
2. Stop Bar: Price consolidation or minor pullback after the climax.
3. Spring Bar: A downward shakeout followed by a reversal, indicating the presence of renewed buying interest.
A spring bar after a stop is a bullish signal, suggesting that previous selling pressure has been absorbed and institutions may be accumulating positions. If confirmed by a strong up bar with high volume, this signals a potential breakout, as it demonstrates that buyers are stepping back into the market.
The strength of the bar following the spring is crucial. A wide-range bullish candle with rising volume confirms that buying pressure is resuming, increasing the probability of an uptrend continuation. However, weak volume or failure to clear key resistance levels can indicate a fakeout, leading to further downside.
🔥 XAUMO Institutional Analysis – Gold (XAU/USD) Tokyo Session (Feb 18, 2025)
Market Context – Tokyo Session vs. Prior Market Structure
📍 Current Price: $2,902.98
📍 Key Institutional Levels from Yesterday:
• Resistance Rejection: $2,906.30 (VSA Liquidity High)
• Support Zone: $2,891.67 - $2,888.11 (Institutional Demand Area)
• XAUMO 2RC/Black Swan Stop Zones: $2,892.92 (Key Bullish Trigger or Stop Hunt Zone)
Tokyo Session Key Observations
✅ Buying Climax (BC) → Strong price rally with high volume.
✅ Stop Bar Formation → Market paused following the aggressive buying.
✅ Spring Bar Emergence → Potential bullish reversal structure forming.
✅ VSA Condition: Neutral → The market is in transition; no clear trend yet.
✅ Volume Change: -10.7% (Slight decline, indicating caution among buyers).
✅ Spread Change: +23.27% (Wide price movements suggest liquidity testing by institutions).
📊 XAUMO Institutional Breakdown – Understanding Buying Climax & Spring
1️⃣ Buying Climax (BC) – Institutional Aggression & Liquidity Test
🔹 Yesterday, price reached resistance at $2,906.30 and pulled back.
🔹 A sharp rally (BC) on high volume suggested aggressive buying by institutions.
🔹 Liquidity was likely absorbed in the $2,892.92 - $2,891.67 range before the price pushed back up.
📌 XAUMO Key Takeaways:
• A buying climax signals strong demand, but the pause suggests Smart Money is evaluating the next move.
• The next confirmation move is crucial—continuation or reversal depends on volume and structure.
2️⃣ Stop Bar – Institutional Liquidity Testing
🔹 After the BC, price stalled and formed a stop bar (consolidation).
🔹 This stop represents either accumulation (buying) or distribution (selling).
📌 XAUMO Key Takeaways:
• Break below $2,892.92 → Indicates deeper liquidity absorption; potential downside continuation.
• Holding above $2,891.67 → Suggests institutions are accumulating for a bullish breakout.
3️⃣ Spring Bar – The Institutional Shakeout Before a Move?
🔹 Price dipped towards $2,891.67 before rebounding—forming a spring bar.
🔹 This can be a bullish signal, but confirmation is needed.
📌 XAUMO Key Takeaways:
• If the next candle is a strong up bar with increasing volume → Confirms bullish continuation.
• If the price struggles above $2,905+ or volume remains weak → Expect a fakeout and potential dump.
🚀 XAUMO Institutional Trade Plan – Tokyo Session Execution
📈 Scenario 1: Bullish Breakout (Spring Confirmation & Volume Increases)
💰 Buy XAU/USD @ $2,903.50 - $2,905
📍 Stop Loss: $2,892.92 (Institutional Stop Zone)
🎯 Target Levels:
1️⃣ $2,910
2️⃣ $2,916
3️⃣ $2,923
✅ Probability: 75%
📌 Why?
• The spring bar bounced from liquidity → Possible upside confirmation.
• If the next bar shows strength, buyers are stepping in → Expect breakout above $2,906.
📉 Scenario 2: Bearish Rejection (Failure at $2,905 - $2,906 Again)
💰 Sell XAU/USD @ $2,905
📍 Stop Loss: $2,910
🎯 Target Levels:
1️⃣ $2,895
2️⃣ $2,892
3️⃣ $2,888
✅ Probability: 70%
📌 Why?
• If price rejects resistance at $2,906.30, Smart Money is distributing positions.
• Volume drop (-10.7%) suggests buyers aren’t fully committed.
• Break below $2,892.92 could trigger more sell pressure towards $2,888.
📢 XAUMO Execution Strategy – Final Institutional Outlook
✅ Next hourly bar confirmation is critical → The spring must be followed by a strong up bar for a bullish breakout.
✅ If price holds $2,892 - $2,891.67, upside potential remains valid.
✅ If price fails at $2,906 and volume weakens, expect another rejection and potential downside move.
🔥 Smart Money moves strategically—wait for confirmation before entering! 🚀
📖 XAUMO Institutional Strategy – Simplified for Beginners
1️⃣ Buying Climax (BC): The price surges fast, attracting late buyers, but Smart Money is already planning their next move.
2️⃣ Stop Bar: The price pauses or reverses. This is where institutions test liquidity to see if there’s enough demand for a move higher.
3️⃣ Spring Bar: A small drop that shakes out weak traders before a possible reversal. If confirmed, it means Smart Money is accumulating.
🔹 Next Step?
• If buyers come back strong, price breaks higher (bullish).
• If volume remains weak, Smart Money sells into the rally, and price drops again (bearish).
💡 Tip: Don’t rush in! Institutions don’t reveal their moves immediately—wait for confirmation before entering a trade. 🚀
SOL Biggest Bargain Buy Opp at 50WMAI wrote my thesis on Solana in July 2023 when it was at $25 and memecoins weren't even a thought.
No one even knew what BONK was, but the developer community was thriving, and all the best dApps were being built there.
Now that people are tired of rinsing themselves clean at the casino, it's funny to see them call CRYPTOCAP:SOL ded ~$180💀
SOL is up 625% since I first wrote about it 😂
The blockchain has tremendously improved in every metric, with a plethora of new advancements on the near horizon, including Firedancer 🔥
Buying SOL here at the 50WMA is an absolute gift.
Target is still, and always will be $700-850 within the next 9 months.
eth long midterm"🌟 Welcome to Golden Candle! 🌟
We're a team of 📈 passionate traders 📉 who love sharing our 🔍 technical analysis insights 🔎 with the TradingView community. 🌎
Our goal is to provide 💡 valuable perspectives 💡 on market trends and patterns, but 🚫 please note that our analyses are not intended as buy or sell recommendations. 🚫
Instead, they reflect our own 💭 personal attitudes and thoughts. 💭
Follow along and 📚 learn 📚 from our analyses! 📊💡"
ADA Long Position OpportunityMarket Context:
ADA is showing strong buyer activity around $0.50 and holding above the 200-Day EMA. A reclaim of $0.84 could signal a medium-term structural shift, offering a solid entry for upside potential.
Trade Details:
Entry Zone: Around $0.84 on a confirmed reclaim
Take Profit Targets:
$0.98
$1.15
Stop Loss: Below $0.75
This setup provides a favorable risk-to-reward ratio, with potential for upside if the reclaim holds. 📈
Bitcoin (BTC) Market AnalysisCurrent Range & Price Action:
Bitcoin is consolidating within a well-defined range between $92,000 and $108,000, following a strong upward trend that has maintained bullish market sentiment.
Despite recent sell-offs, BTC holding above the $90,000 level suggests strong underlying demand and resilience from buyers.
Decreasing Volatility & Breakout Potential:
The market is experiencing declining volatility, a common precursor to significant price moves. This coiling effect suggests that a major breakout may be imminent.
Conditions currently favor an upward breakout, as Bitcoin remains in a long-term bullish trend and is supported by strong market demand.
Key Resistance & Support Levels:
A break above the $108,000 resistance level could trigger a rally to $124,000, based on the rectangle pattern’s measured move.
Conversely, a break below the $92,000 support would challenge the bullish structure and may lead to a reassessment of the market outlook.
Outlook:
As long as BTC remains within this range and holds above the critical $90,000 level, the setup points to a potential continuation of the uptrend.
Traders should closely monitor price action around $108,000 for signs of a breakout, as well as the $92,000 level to manage downside risk.
Conclusion:
With Bitcoin consolidating and holding key support levels, the technical setup favors potential upside. A decisive move above $108,000 would likely lead to a continuation of the broader bullish trend, targeting $124,000 in the near term. Conversely, a break below $92,000 would signal caution and could lead to a broader market correction.
AppLovin (APP) AnalysisCompany Overview:
AppLovin NASDAQ:APP is a mobile marketing leader, providing developers with tools for user acquisition, ad optimization, and analytics. The company also benefits from its owned apps, such as Monopoly GO!, which contribute 30% of its revenue.
Key Catalysts:
AI-Driven Revenue Expansion 🤖
AI plays a pivotal role in AppLovin’s success, driving 80% of its revenue growth. This AI advantage helps optimize user engagement and ad targeting, boosting overall platform efficiency.
Mobile Gaming Growth 🎮
The mobile gaming industry is projected to grow at an 8% annual rate through 2027, positioning AppLovin to benefit as a key player in game monetization and marketing solutions.
E-Commerce Ad Expansion 🛒
AppLovin’s new e-commerce ad pilot could generate FWB:30M -$50M in Q4 2024, with a self-service platform launch in mid-2025 targeting the $200B+ global e-commerce ad market.
Analyst Confidence 📊
Oppenheimer has reiterated its Outperform rating, with a $480 price target, citing AppLovin’s earnings potential, robust ad revenue streams, and growing monetization avenues.
Investment Outlook:
Bullish Case: We are bullish on APP above the $380.00-$400.00 range, supported by AI adoption, ad growth, and entry into e-commerce advertising.
Upside Potential: Our price target is $650.00-$670.00, reflecting AppLovin’s potential to expand its revenue base across multiple high-growth sectors.
📢 AppLovin—Driving Innovation in Mobile Advertising and Game Monetization. #AppMarketing #AI #MobileGaming
Robinhood (HOOD) AnalysisCompany Overview:
Robinhood NASDAQ:HOOD is a pioneer in commission-free trading, catering to younger investors with its intuitive, mobile-first platform. The company’s ecosystem includes 25.1 million investment accounts and $152 billion in assets under custody, creating opportunities for recurring revenue streams and cross-selling financial products.
Key Catalysts:
CME Futures Integration 📊
The recent integration of CME Group futures trading allows users access to commodities and index futures, expanding Robinhood’s offerings for more advanced traders. This could add over $200 million in annual revenue, enhancing platform monetization.
Crypto Market Expansion ₿
With a strong presence in bitcoin and ether trading, Robinhood is well-positioned to capitalize on growth in crypto adoption, particularly as regulatory clarity improves in the U.S.
Recurring Revenue Streams 💵
Robinhood’s diversified revenue base includes interest income, premium subscriptions (Robinhood Gold), and securities lending, all of which provide consistent income and bolster financial stability.
Expanding User Base 📈
Continued growth in Robinhood’s user base and account activity drives the platform’s potential for monetization, supported by new product launches and user engagement strategies.
Investment Outlook:
Bullish Case: We are bullish on HOOD above the $46.00-$47.00 range, supported by product expansion, crypto growth, and increasing user engagement.
Upside Potential: Our price target is $80.00-$82.00, reflecting confidence in Robinhood’s ability to diversify revenue streams and capitalize on new financial products.
📢 Robinhood—Redefining Retail Trading with Innovation and Expansion. #CommissionFreeTrading #HOOD #Crypto
XRP POII am watching the bullish FVG I have highlighted below. I want to see if price retraces lower into it to find bullish support for higher prices.
If we go into smaller time frames we can see that XRP is consolidating again. This could be very bullish for us if XRP is looking to blow the $3.40 highs.
DISCLAIMER:
TRADING CAN CAUSE COMPLETE LOSS OF FUNDS. ANYTHING I SHARE HERE IS JUST MY INSIGHT AND NOT FINANCIAL ADVICE.
atom buy midterm"🌟 Welcome to Golden Candle! 🌟
We're a team of 📈 passionate traders 📉 who love sharing our 🔍 technical analysis insights 🔎 with the TradingView community. 🌎
Our goal is to provide 💡 valuable perspectives 💡 on market trends and patterns, but 🚫 please note that our analyses are not intended as buy or sell recommendations. 🚫
Instead, they reflect our own 💭 personal attitudes and thoughts. 💭
Follow along and 📚 learn 📚 from our analyses! 📊💡"
GU Ascends From Triangle - Breakout & Retest Set-UpFX:GBPUSD ended last week with a Bullish Price Breakout of the Ascending Triangle that it fell into after breaking down below Support-Turned-Resistance and finding Support at the October 2023 Lows last month.
Overall indicators suggest we could be experiencing a Valid Breakout of this pattern due to:
1) Strong Breaker Bar with Close outside of Range
2) Based on the Range from High to Low of the Ascending Triangle, Price made a 26% move beyond the break
3) Bullish Volume following Break
4) RSI Above 50
The Confirmation of Valid Break will come if price is able to:
1) Close 3 - 5 Days outside of pattern
2) Price successfully is Supported by Previous Structure Broken
3) Bullish Volume Builds on Retest
When the Breakout is Validated, Buying opportunities could be delivered in the ( 1.2525 - 1.2485 ) Range on the retest with an immediate Target Profit at the December 2024 Resistance laying overhead at the ( 1.28 - 1.29 ) Range
Fundamentally, this month we saw BOE make a 25bps rate cut down to 4.50% with GBP having quite a positive increase in GDP (+.3%) which could be inflationary. USD showed a slight uptick in CPI (+.1% y/y) strengthening the stance on minimal Rate Cutes this year but a big miss in Retail Sales, Unemployment Claims and Non-Farm Employment!
GBP:
Tuesday - Claimont Count Change/ BOE Gov. Bailey Speaks
Wednesday - CPI
Thursday - Consumer Confidence
Friday - Retail Sales/ Flash Manufacturing PMI/ Flash Services PMI
USD:
Monday - Presidents Day (Bank Holiday)
Tuesday - Empire State Manufacturing Index
Wednesday - FOMC Meeting Minutes
Thursday - Unemployment Claims/ Philly Fed Manufacturing Index/ Crude Oil Inventories
Friday - Flash Manufacturing PMI/ Flash Services PMI/ Existing Home Sales
USOIL LONG FROM SUPPORT
Hello, Friends!
USOIL pair is in the downtrend because previous week’s candle is red, while the price is evidently falling on the 1D timeframe. And after the retest of the support line below I believe we will see a move up towards the target above at 78.25 because the pair oversold due to its proximity to the lower BB band and a bullish correction is likely.
✅LIKE AND COMMENT MY IDEAS✅
OM's Meteoric Rise: Time to Buy the Dip or Short the Top?OM has been on an astronomical journey, soaring from $0.0173 on 12 October 2023 to an all-time high of $6.485 on 7 February 2025 – a jaw-dropping +37,494% increase in just 484 days. Currently ranked 26 with a market cap of $5.5B, OM’s meteoric rise has everyone asking: Is OM topping out, or is there still more upside? Could a significant correction be on the horizon? Let’s dive into the technicals and explore our trade setups with high conviction, backed by a wealth of confluence.
Market Structure & Historical Context
Between mid-November 2024 and the end of January 2025, OM traded within a 70-day range, oscillating between $4.4 and $3.3. The Point of Control (POC) for this range is around $3.87, marking a critical level where price action has repeatedly converged. This trading range provides the backdrop for our analysis, highlighting both key support and potential resistance zones that may dictate OM's next move.
Key Support Zones & Confluence
A multitude of technical indicators converge around the $3.87 level, making it a crucial support area:
1.) Fibonacci Retracement Confluence:
Taking the Fibonacci retracement from the low at $3.173 (25 January 2025) to the recent high, the 0.786 retracement level lands at $3.8818—just a hair above our POC.
2.) Channel Median Line:
The median line drawn through the highs and lows of the 70-day trading range reinforces the significance of this area.
3.) Moving Averages:
The weekly 21 EMA/SMA currently sits between $3.63 and $3.31, and as they trend higher, we can expect them to approach $3.9 in the coming week, offering additional support.
4.) Trend Indicator (Beta):
On the 4-hour timeframe, my new upcoming Trend Indicator highlights bullish momentum edging around $3.75, further consolidating support.
5.) Fibonacci Extension:
The 1.271 Fibonacci extension from the previous low at $4.4 places a key level at $3.8329, adding yet another layer of confluence.
Collectively, these factors create a robust support zone, suggesting that any retracement towards this level might serve as an attractive entry point for long positions.
Resistance Levels & Trade Setups
Resistance Analysis
OM has repeatedly faced strong resistance near the $6 mark:
Rejection Patterns:
The chart reveals multiple rejections around $6, with a notable Swing Failure Pattern (SFP) at $6.295 that confirmed bearish pressure.
Short Trade Opportunity:
Previously, the rejection at $6.295 offered a low-risk short trade: risking about 3% for a potential gain of 17% to the Fibonacci retracement level of 0.618 (approximately $5.1965), which was nearly reached.
Potential Trade Setups
Short Trade Setup
With OM encountering strong resistance around $6 and historical rejections at key levels, a breakdown could spark further downward movement.
Entry & Stop Loss:
Entry: Initiate a short position if price fails to break decisively above $6.
Stop Loss: Set a 5% stop loss above the previous SFP.
Targets & Risk/Reward:
Targets: Consider targets at $4.7 (yielding approximately +22%) or $4.0 (around +34%).
Risk/Reward: This setup offers an impressive risk/reward ratio of 4:1 to 6:1.
Long Trade Setup
The multiple layers of support around $3.87 present an attractive opportunity for long entries should the price retrace, despite the overall bullish structure. Historically, OM has bounced off its 21 daily EMA/SMA, as marked by previous green box zones on the chart.
Entry Strategy & Laddering:
Entry: Look for long entries if price pulls back to the support zone.
Laddered Positions: Consider scaling in with positions between $4 and $3.75. This dollar-cost averaging (DCA) approach will help optimise your entry over the pullback.
Stop Loss & Target:
Stop Loss (SL): Set your stop loss below $3.58 to account for volatility while protecting against a breakdown.
Take Profit: Target the $4.5 level as your primary take profit.
Risk/Reward:
With laddered entries between $4 and $3.75, this setup provides an approximate risk/reward ratio of 2:1, though the exact ratio will depend on your specific DCA entry points.
Final Thoughts
Only execute shorts with clear confirmation from order flow analysis.
Conversely, a pullback towards the support zone presents an appealing long opportunity for those confident in OM’s enduring momentum.
As always, it’s essential to monitor price action closely and adjust your strategy as new data unfolds.
Okay. Wrapping up this analysis. Wishing you all profitable and successful trades! =)
bnbusdt"🌟 Welcome to Golden Candle! 🌟
We're a team of 📈 passionate traders 📉 who love sharing our 🔍 technical analysis insights 🔎 with the TradingView community. 🌎
Our goal is to provide 💡 valuable perspectives 💡 on market trends and patterns, but 🚫 please note that our analyses are not intended as buy or sell recommendations. 🚫
Instead, they reflect our own 💭 personal attitudes and thoughts. 💭
Follow along and 📚 learn 📚 from our analyses! 📊💡"
SPX/USDT: 100%+ PROFIT POTENTIAL SETUP!!🚀 Hey Traders! Ready to Ride the SPX Breakout? 👋
If you’re hyped for this setup, smash that 👍 and hit Follow for elite trade ideas that actually deliver! 💹🔥
🔥 SPX is looking strong and bullish! It’s breaking out from a falling wedge on the 4H timeframe and is currently retesting the breakout level—setting up for a potential explosive move! 🚀
📊 Trade Setup:
✅ Entry Range: CMP, add more up to $0.75
🎯 Targets:
Target 1: $1.02
Target 2: $1.26
Target 3: $1.50
Target 4: $1.78
🛑 Stop Loss: $0.68
⚡ Leverage: Spot or low leverage (Max 5x)
💬 What’s Your Take?
Are you bullish on SPX’s breakout potential? Share your analysis, predictions, or strategies in the comments! Let’s lock in those gains and ride this wave together! 💰🔥
Mirror, Mirror, on the Wall; Who’s the Fastest of Them All?Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst.
🪞 "Mirror, mirror on the chain, which L1 is fast and reigns?"
🔮 Solana: The fairest of them all! ⚡️🚀
📈After rejecting the upper bound of its channel, SOL has been in a correction phase and it is currently nearing the lower bound of the channel.
Moreover, the $175 - $190 zone is a strong support and structure.
🏹 Thus, the highlighted blue arrow zone is a strong area to look for buy setups as it is the intersection of support and lower green trendline acting as a non-horizontal support.
📚 As per my trading style:
As #SOL approaches the intersection zone, I will be looking for bullish reversal setups (like a double bottom pattern, trendline break , and so on...)
📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management.
Good luck!
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Rich
ADTRAN (ADTN) AnalysisCompany Overview:
ADTRAN NASDAQ:ADTN is a leader in broadband access, fiber optics, and 5G technologies, providing high-speed connectivity solutions for service providers. The company is positioned to benefit from expanding fiber deployments and emerging defense and government contract opportunities.
Key Catalysts:
Enhanced Short-Term Unit (ESTU) Module ⚙️
ADTRAN’s new ESTU timing module is a game-changer for securing high-margin contracts in defense, space, and metrology. This innovation taps into a $700 million U.S. military communication market.
5G and Fiber Expansion 📶
As telecom operators accelerate fiber and 5G deployments, ADTRAN’s OSC-52v3 timing solution targets a $1.2 billion Total Addressable Market (TAM) through 2027.
Defense Contract Favorability 🛡️
Department of Defense (DoD) supply chain audits that prioritize domestic suppliers could further boost ADTRAN’s growth potential in the U.S. defense sector.
Sector Tailwinds 🌬️
The ongoing expansion of broadband infrastructure, driven by federal and private investment in fiber and high-speed networks, provides long-term tailwinds for ADTRAN’s core business.
Investment Outlook:
Bullish Case: We remain bullish on ADTN above the $9.00-$9.50 range, supported by product innovation, expanding defense market opportunities, and strong fiber/5G sector growth.
Upside Potential: Our price target is $16.00-$17.00, reflecting confidence in ADTRAN’s ability to leverage sector tailwinds and capitalize on defense and fiber deployment opportunities.
📢 ADTRAN—Advancing Connectivity with Fiber, 5G, and Defense Innovation. #Broadband #FiberOptics #ADTN
S&P500 Breakout And Potential RetraceHey Traders, in today's trading session we are monitoring US500 for a buying opportunity around 6100 zone, US500 was trading in a downtrend and currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the retrace area at 6100 support and resistance area.
Trade safe, Joe.