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Bullish Bat

100,000$ per coin - BTC heading to 4th HalvingBITSTAMP:BTCUSD BINANCE:BTCUSD CME:BTC1! COINBASE:BTCUSD What’s Bitcoin? Bitcoin is a decentralized digital currency that operates on a network of computers, eliminating the need for intermediaries or central authorities. It was introduced in 2009 by an anonymous individual or group known as Satoshi Nakamoto, who outlined the concept in a white paper describing a peer-to-peer electronic cash system. Since then, Bitcoin has emerged as the leading and most valuable cryptocurrency globally, with a market capitalization exceeding $580 billion as of October 2023. A notable characteristic of Bitcoin is its limited supply of 21 million coins, a threshold estimated to be reached around the year 2140. The creation of new bitcoins is regulated through a process called mining, which involves solving complex mathematical problems using specialized hardware and software. Miners compete to discover valid solutions that meet a specific difficulty level, adjusted approximately every two weeks to maintain an average block time of 10 minutes. The miner who successfully finds a valid solution for each block is rewarded with freshly minted bitcoins and transaction fees. As of October 2023, the Bitcoin network has witnessed the mining of 813,378 blocks, with a current reward of 6.25 bitcoins per block. Key Insights on Bitcoin's Price: Recently, the mining of the 19.5 millionth bitcoin increased the circulating supply to 93% of the total. Additionally, a logarithmic regression analysis known as the rainbow chart illustrates the historical path of Bitcoin's price movement. This cyclic behaviour can be attributed to several factors: Bitcoin tends to exhibit an overall bullish trend due to its limited supply and the halving of coins entering circulation approximately every four years. Historically, the Bitcoin halving has been a significant catalyst for price movements as it influences the supply-demand balance. The halving reduces the rate of new bitcoins being introduced into circulation while demand typically remains steady or grows over time. This creates a supply shock that often drives the price upward, particularly before and after the halving event. Each halving period encompasses the mining of 210,000 blocks and exhibits distinct phases. The bullish phase spans from the first block to the 70,000th block, followed by a bearish phase from the 70,001st block to the 140,000th block, and finally a sideways phase from the 140,001st block to the 210,000th block. As previously mentioned, the halving diminishes the inflation rate of bitcoin and preserves its scarcity. Bitcoin holds great influence over the entire cryptocurrency market due to its dominant market capitalization. This dominance follows a cyclical pattern, with the market share falling below 40% during bearish phases (after mining more than 140,000 blocks) and rising to around 70% during bullish phases. During each era (between two halving periods), Bitcoin experiences an average drawdown of 80%. Current Analysis: We are currently in the third halving era, which commenced on May 11th, 2020, specifically within the equilibrium phase. The intersection of the mining of the 210,000th block and the lows of the logarithmic regression suggests a value of $30,000 USD per bitcoin. The next Bitcoin halving is expected to take place in April 2024, at block number 840,000. This event will reduce the block reward from 6.25 bitcoins to 3.125 bitcoins, consequently lowering the annual inflation rate from approximately 1.8% to 0.9%. As a halving typically ushers in a bullish phase, it is predicted that the price of bitcoin will surpass $100,000.00 during this era. Technical Analysis Using the MVRV Indicator: One of the tools that can help investors and traders assess the value and potential of bitcoin is the MVRV ratio, which stands for market value to realized value. The MVRV ratio compares the current market capitalization of bitcoin (the total value of all coins at their current price) with its realized capitalization (the total value of all coins at their last moved price). The MVRV ratio can indicate whether bitcoin is overvalued or undervalued relative to its historical average cost basis. The MVRV ratio can also be used to identify periods of extreme market sentiment, such as euphoria or panic. When the MVRV ratio is very high (above 4), it means that bitcoin is trading far above its realized value, implying that most holders are sitting on large unrealized profits and may be tempted to sell. This can signal a market top or a bubble territory. When the MVRV ratio is very low (below 1), it means that bitcoin is trading far below its realized value, implying that most holders are sitting on large unrealized losses and may be reluctant to sell. This can signal a market bottom or a buying opportunity. As of October 2023, the MVRV ratio of bitcoin is about 2.110, which is slightly above its long-term average of 2. This suggests that bitcoin is fairly valued and not in a danger zone. The MVRV ratio has been trending up since November 9th 2022, when it reached a low of 0.75, indicating a recovery in the market sentiment and the lowest price of the 3rd Halving era. As we are far from the overbought level of 4, this suggests that there is still room for further growth in the price of bitcoin. (These illustrations are just for educational purposes and are not financial advices). Sources: 1. trustwallet.com 2. ieeexplore.ieee.org 3. nber.org 4. buybitcoinworldwide.com 5. bitinfocharts.com 6. nerdwallet.com 7. investopedia.com 8. buybitcoinworldwide.com 9. kitco.com 10. coinwarz.com 11. datawallet.com 12. blockchain.com 13. lookintobitcoin.com 14. bing.com 15. bitcoinmagazine.com 16. stopsaving.com 17. decentrader.com 18. trustwallet.com 19. bitinfocharts.com 20. nber.org 21. buybitcoinworldwide.com 22. cryptonews.com 23. finbold.com 24. inferse.com 25. buybitcoinworldwide.com 26. blockchain.com
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by Theperfectionist
3
EURJPY Bullish Bat pattern: Forecasting an Upside moveHello traders, A number of harmonic patterns are surfacing today. Here is my analysis of a clear bullish Bat pattern spotted on the EURJPY Pair. The Bullish Bat pattern is a harmonic pattern used in technical analysis to predict potential reversal zones. The EURJPY pair has formed this pattern with the following parameters: X = 168.022 A = 170.293 B = 168.940 C = 169.976 D = 168.302 Here's the breakdown of the Fibonacci relationships for this pattern: AB Leg: Retraces 38.2% to 50% of the XA leg. Point B at 168.940 confirms this. BC Leg: Retraces 38.2% to 88.6% of the AB leg. Point C at 169.976 confirms this. CD Leg: Extends 161.8% to 261.8% of the BC leg or retraces 88.6% of the XA leg. Point D at 168.302 confirms this and is close to the 88.6% retracement of the XA leg. In summary, the points X, A, B, C, and D fit within the Fibonacci retracement and extension levels for a Bullish Bat pattern on EURJPY. This indicates a high probability of a bullish reversal at point D (168.302), which also qualifies as a good support zone for price. In addition, my Elliott Wave analysis suggests the pair has completed the corrective wave ABC to the downside. I'm anticipating an impulsive move to the upside towards 169.70 and 170.31. Let's watch out for confirming price action. Cheers and happy trading.
Long
by Samuel124
USD/CHF Bullish Setup: Harmonic Pattern & RSI Divergence AlignedThe USD/CHF pair is currently exhibiting a Bullish Bat Harmonic Pattern on the daily chart, which is aligned with a key support area. This setup suggests potential bullish momentum in the coming sessions, supported by multiple technical indicators. Harmonic Pattern Analysis: The Bullish Bat Harmonic Pattern is identified, signaling a potential reversal from the current downtrend. The pattern aligns perfectly with a significant support zone, increasing the probability of a bullish reversal. This convergence of harmonic patterns and key support areas often leads to a high-probability trade setup. Key Support and Rejection: The price has shown a strong rejection at the key support level of 0.85115, further solidifying the bullish outlook. The rejection at this level suggests that buyers are stepping in, preventing the price from falling further. This support level has historically acted as a pivotal zone for USD/CHF, adding credibility to the current bullish scenario. Bullish RSI Divergence: Adding further confluence to our bullish sentiment is the Bullish RSI Divergence observed on the daily timeframe. As price made lower lows, the RSI indicator formed higher lows, indicating a potential reversal in the trend. This divergence reinforces the likelihood of an upward movement in the USD/CHF pair. Trade Setup: Entry: 0.85115 Stop Loss: 0.83985 Take Profit Levels: TP-1: 0.86245 TP-2: 0.87375 TP-3: 0.88505 Conclusion: The confluence of the Bullish Bat Harmonic Pattern, key support level, and Bullish RSI Divergence provides a compelling case for entering a long position on USD/CHF. The outlined trade setup offers a favorable risk-to-reward ratio, with clear levels to manage the trade effectively. Traders should monitor price action around the entry point to confirm the bullish momentum before executing the trade. Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Trading in the forex market involves significant risk, and it is essential to conduct your own analysis before making any trading decisions.
Long
by trading_jupiter
Bullish Bat Breakout: EURNZD Trade IdeaHello traders, I hope you're all doing well. Below is my analysis of the EURNZD pair and a detailed plan on how I intend to capitalize on this trading opportunity. 1. Pattern : Bullish Bat on EURNZD. 2. Completion : The pattern reaches completion at point D, which is approximately at 1.81178 on the chart. 3. PRZ Zone : The potential reversal zone for considering long positions, in anticipation of a bullish reversal, spans about 100 pips, ranging from 1.8185 to 1.80758. 4. Target Levels : Post-reversal, the targeted levels are T1 at 1.83131, T2 at 1.84192, T3 at 1.84952, and the extended target T4 at 1.86495. 5. Entry : I am looking to confirm a breakout above the 1.81849 price region upward, with solid market support for going long before entering the trade. 6. Invalidation : Should there be a break and a close below 1.80758, this would invalidate the pattern and the associated trade idea. This idea is potentially a 4RR trade idea if it goes as planned. I will appreciate your thoughts on this idea. Note: This is not a financial advice. Cheers and happy trading!
Long
by Samuel124
USDJPY Analysis: Opportunities for Shorting EnthusiastsUSDJPY is still pretty bullish, but for those looking to short, here's what I'm watching: Daily Chart: - Signal : Retest of the broken trendline - Entry : Wait for MCC 1-Hourly Chart : - Bearish Deep Gartley Pattern at 157.33 - Conservative Entry : Wait for MCC, preferably a retest on the PRZ (Potential Reversal Zone) with RSI Divergence What's your trade plan for USDJPY? Comment down below and share your thoughts! Happy trading!
Short
by RaynLim
Understanding Bearish and Bullish Bat Harmonic Patterns Understanding Bearish and Bullish Bat Harmonic Patterns: A Professional Guide for Traders In the dynamic world of trading, identifying potential reversal points is crucial for making informed decisions. Two powerful tools that professional traders often rely on are the Bearish and Bullish Bat Harmonic Patterns. These patterns, grounded in Fibonacci ratios, offer insights into market behavior and help in predicting price movements. This article delves into the intricacies of these patterns, providing a comprehensive guide for traders. __________________The Bearish Bat Harmonic Pattern_________________________ The Bearish Bat Harmonic Pattern is a reversal pattern that indicates a potential decline in price after an upward correction. Here's how to identify and interpret this pattern: X-A Leg: The initial move where the price falls from point X to point A. A-B Leg: The price then retraces upwards from point A to point B, typically reaching 38.2% to 50% of the X-A leg. B-C Leg: The price falls again from point B to point C, retracing 38.2% to 88.6% of the A-B leg. C-D Leg: The final leg sees the price rise from point C to point D. Point D is the critical point, expected at the 88.6% retracement level of the X-A leg and coinciding with the 161.8% extension of the B-C leg. Key Fibonacci Ratios: A-B: 38.2% to 50% retracement of X-A B-C: 38.2% to 88.6% retracement of A-B C-D: 88.6% retracement of X-A and 161.8% extension of B-C Trading Strategy: Traders should look for selling opportunities around point D, anticipating a downward move following the completion of the pattern. Entry, Stop-Loss (SL), and Take-Profit (TP) Criteria: Entry: Enter a short position at or near point D. Stop-Loss (SL): Place the stop-loss slightly above point X to account for any potential false breakouts. Take-Profit (TP): Set the first TP at the 61.8% retracement of the C-D leg and the second TP at the 100% retracement of the C-D leg. _________________________The Bullish Bat Harmonic Pattern_____________________ Conversely, the Bullish Bat Harmonic Pattern signals a potential rise in price after a downward correction. Here are the steps to identify and utilize this pattern: X-A Leg: The initial move where the price rises from point X to point A. A-B Leg: The price then retraces downwards from point A to point B, typically reaching 38.2% to 50% of the X-A leg. B-C Leg: The price rises again from point B to point C, retracing 38.2% to 88.6% of the A-B leg. C-D Leg: The final leg sees the price fall from point C to point D. Point D is the critical point, expected at the 88.6% retracement level of the X-A leg and coinciding with the 161.8% extension of the B-C leg. Key Fibonacci Ratios: A-B: 38.2% to 50% retracement of X-A B-C: 38.2% to 88.6% retracement of A-B C-D: 88.6% retracement of X-A and 161.8% extension of B-C Trading Strategy: Traders should look for buying opportunities around point D, anticipating an upward move following the completion of the pattern. Entry, Stop-Loss (SL), and Take-Profit (TP) Criteria: Entry: Enter a long position at or near point D. Stop-Loss (SL): Place the stop-loss slightly below point X to account for any potential false breakouts. Take-Profit (TP): Set the first TP at the 61.8% retracement of the C-D leg and the second TP at the 100% retracement of the C-D leg. ______________________Practical Application and Tips_______________________ To effectively utilize these patterns, traders should: Use Confirmation Indicators: Always combine harmonic patterns with other technical indicators, such as RSI or MACD, to confirm potential reversal points. Practice Patience: Wait for the pattern to fully develop and reach point D before taking action. Risk Management: Implement strict risk management strategies, including stop-loss orders, to protect against potential false signals. Conclusion: The Bearish and Bullish Bat Harmonic Patterns are powerful tools in a trader's arsenal, providing a structured approach to identifying potential market reversals. By understanding and applying these patterns, traders can enhance their decision-making process and improve their trading performance. Remember, like all technical analysis tools, these patterns are most effective when used in conjunction with other indicators and sound risk management practices. Happy trading!
BINANCE:ADAUSDEducation
by trading_jupiter
9
AUDCHF: BULLISH BAT SPOTTEDHello Traders, Trust trading has been great for you all. Here is my brief analysis of the AUDCHF pair. The AUDCHF pair shows a bullish bat pattern, indicating a potential upward reversal. This pattern was spotted in February and has been responsible for the upward rally noticed on the pair since the first week of February. There appears to be more room to the upside on the pair. Key points : X: 0.53416, A: 0.72599, B: 0.64114, C: 0.69243, D: 0.56181. My Expectation : Price to rise from 0.59072 to around 0.68 in the coming weeks/months. Invalidation : If price exceed the 0.54662 to the downside, this idea becomes invalidated. Traders should watch price action closely and put in proper risk management. Cheers and happy trading!
Long
by Samuel124
Wheat Holding at the PCZ of a Bullish Bat Aligning with SupportWheat 2 years after topping out at the PCZ of a Bearish Shark that initiated a downtrend in 2022, has now come back to the top side of the range wheat traded in between the years of 2016 and 2020 before ultimately confirming the bottom at the PCZ of a Bullish Deep Gartley in 2019 and breaking free to the upside of the trading range in late 2020. Now that wheat has found its way back down here at this previous resistance zone, we can see that it has formed a Bullish Bat structure on the way down which aligns with the old resistance and that it is currently attempting to be supported by the 200-period moving average on the 2-week timeframe. We can likely assume that as the Baltic Dry Index continues higher, wheat will regain it's 2021 highs along with many other agricultural goods and that this will have an inflationary effect overall. In the related ideas section I will leave a setup for BDRY which is the ETF that tracks the Baltic Dry Index and I will also leave the DBA which is an ETF that holds the futures contracts for various different agricultural goods such as corn, wheat, sugar, and more related items. I will also leave setups for two Dry Bulk and Containership Charterers. Lastly I will provide my harmonic Inflation Rate projections.
CBOT:ZW1!Long
by RizeSenpai
1
Buying Opportunity on NZDUSDThis week, I'm eyeing a potential buying opportunity on NZDUSD, and here's my trade plan: 1. Bullish 5-0 Pattern on Weekly Chart: The NZDUSD is currently in the zone of the Bullish 5-0 Pattern on the Weekly Chart, signaling a potential buying opportunity. 2. 4-hourly Chart Setup: The 4-hourly chart presents a candlestick confirmation at the Potential Reversal Zone (PRZ), indicating a possible entry point for long positions. 3. Confirmation with 3-Bar Reversal: Despite the candlestick confirmation at the PRZ, I remain cautious and will wait for further confirmation. I'm looking for a 3-bar reversal pattern, where the next candle closes above 0.6089 and retests the level at 0.6083 before considering a buying opportunity. By waiting for the 3-bar reversal pattern, I aim to ensure a stronger confirmation of the bullish momentum before entering the trade. What are your thoughts on NZDUSD? Feel free to share your trade plans and insights below! Wishing everyone profitable trading ahead!
Long
by RaynLim
Harmonic on Harmony x2 - Bullish Bat Long $ONELSE:ONE has completed a bullish bat and sprung above the prior resistance, which is a historical key level, it is now testing that resistance as support. It is possible that we go back down to the pcz of the harmonic to complete a type two return, hence why the stoploss is below that pcz. Having said that we are in an actionable area now so we plan to monitor it closely, potentially adding to our position should we retrace to the pcz. Daily is also showing potential bullish divergence.
Long
by SynergyTradingSetups
1
Natural Gas Futures Bullishly Diverging at a Bullish Bat PCZNatural Gas Futures aggressively gapped down into support during the first hour of this week's trading and looks to be ready to form some MACD Bullish Divergence leading into the rest of the week. I think there is a good chance that Natural Gas at least undoes this decline and rises back up to $2.5 this week, but overall if this ends up being a major bottom I'd expect it to pump well into the mid to upper 3 dollar range.
NYMEX:NG1!Long
by RizeSenpai
1
Decoding Hidden Opportunities for a 1,000USD Profit!At first glance, GBPAUD might not catch every trader's eye due to the consolidation observed on the daily chart. However, upon closer inspection, there's more than meets the eye! A Bullish Bat Pattern unveils itself on the 4-hourly chart. And for those keen on joining the bullish trend, the 1-hourly chart showcases a potential Head and Shoulders pattern that might exhibit a 3-bar reversal around 1.9058. What's your trading strategy for GBPAUD? Or are there other trades catching your attention? Share your trade plans or thoughts in the comments below! Let's exchange insights on potential trading opportunities. 💬📈
Long
by RaynLim
Dive into GBPUSD Trading InsightsGBPUSD currently exhibits a Weaker Bullish Trend on the weekly chart, introducing interesting dynamics. On the 1-hourly chart, a bearish shark pattern emerges, presenting a counter-trend trading setup. Simultaneously, the 4-hourly chart showcases a bullish bat pattern within the buy zone. My preference in this scenario is clear—I favor the bullish bat pattern on the 4-hourly chart. Now, I'm curious about your preference. What's your take on these setups? Feel free to share your insights below!
Long
by RaynLim