Bullishbreakout
EUR/JPY Eyes 164.80 Amid Bullish MomentumThe EUR/JPY pair exhibits a strong bullish trend, with prospects of reaching the 164.80 level soon. Recent movements reflect a recovery fueled by the divergence between the Eurozone and Japan's monetary policies. The European Central Bank (ECB) maintains higher interest rates, while the Bank of Japan (BOJ) continues a cautious approach to normalization, leading to a weaker yen.
A break above 163 signals bullish momentum, possibly extending to 164.50-164.80 if supported by favorable eurozone data or dovish BOJ commentary. Caution is needed for potential resistance challenges.
Technical Factors:
- Key Resistance Levels: 163.00, 164.80
- Key Support Levels: 162.00, 161.50
The Monthly has a bullish pennant with an even higher targetThe same bullflag on the weekly chart that has a 99k breakout target morphs into a bullish pennant with an even longer flagpole on the monthly chart. If the bullish pennant were to confirm a breakout in the zone price action currently resides in, the breakout target for this monthly bullish pennant is around 115.9k! *not financial advice*
A close above the top red trendline would be very bullishShown here on the weekly chart is the weekly bullflag bitcoin has been consolidating in ever since correcting from the all time high we hit earlier this year.. For the first time since then, we now have part of a daily candle body above the top eligible top trendline of the flag and may very well close the current daily candle above that trendline for the first time which would be a very bullish development. It will be even more bullish if we can also manage to close a weekly candle above it as well but we still have another 6 days before anything like that can occur. For now a daily candle close above is still good progress which we have about 40 minutes left before the current daily candle closes (not shown here). If we were to break up from the red bullflag at this exact spot on the chart, there is some excellent bullish confluence here as you can see the measured move breakout target from here would be the exact same target as the much larger Purple bull flag we broke upwards from back in February. Both have a target around 99k. So this would indeed be a great spot for such a breakout to occur. We can also see the weekly 50 moving average(in orange) is holding very strong bounce support and should help to prevent the price action from recentering the flag/channel in the coming months as it climbs higher. *not financial advice*
SPY Advanced Analysis by Deno Trading: What’s Next for the S&P 5Let’s dive into the SPY analysis across multiple timeframes, looking for key insights on where the market could be headed. I’ll break it down step by step so it’s easier to follow along.
30-Minute Chart Overview:
Current Price Action: We’re sitting around $569, and what’s really interesting is that SPY has been consolidating after hitting a recent high of $570. The market is in a bit of a tug-of-war between bulls and bears, and we’re right at a pivotal level.
Key Resistance: The $570 - $574 zone is a major resistance level. Every time we’ve tested it recently, we’ve seen the market pull back, indicating strong selling pressure. This zone is critical, and we’ll need to break above it with volume to see any further upside.
Support: On the downside, the first level of support is around $565, followed by $561, which aligns with the 50-period moving average on the 30-minute chart. If the price breaks below this level, we could see further downside pressure.
4-Hour Chart Insights:
Moving Average Support: On the 4-hour chart, we’re seeing strong support at $561, where the 50-period moving average has been acting as a floor for recent price action. As long as SPY holds this level, the bulls still have a chance to regain control.
Potential Bullish Scenario: If the price holds $561 and pushes higher, a break above $574 could take us to new highs for the year, potentially testing levels above $580.
Bearish Case: If we fail to hold $561, I’d expect a move down towards $552, where the next level of support lies. This level has acted as both resistance and support in the past, making it an important area to watch.
Daily Chart Breakdown:
Longer-Term Uptrend: The daily chart shows that SPY is still in a broader uptrend, holding above the 200-day moving average, currently sitting around $552. This level has provided a solid base throughout the year, so as long as we remain above it, the long-term trend remains bullish.
Current Resistance: The $570 - $574 resistance zone is evident here as well. This level marks the highs from September, and breaking it would signal the market’s willingness to push towards $580 and beyond.
Weekly Chart for Perspective:
Larger Timeframe: The weekly chart tells a similar story. We’re hovering around $570, right at a major resistance level. The 50-week moving average, sitting around $512, is well below the current price, suggesting we still have a cushion before a significant breakdown would occur.
What to Watch: If we break $574 on the weekly chart, we could see a massive bullish continuation. However, failure to break this level could lead to a bigger pullback to $550 or even $530 in the weeks ahead.
Conclusion & What I’m Watching:
Bullish Breakout Scenario: If SPY breaks above $574 with strong volume, we could see a rally towards $580 or higher. This would confirm that buyers are back in control.
Bearish Rejection Scenario: On the flip side, failure to break this resistance could lead to a pullback towards $561 or even $552. If we break below those levels, the bearish case strengthens, and we could see further downside.
Final Thoughts:
Right now, we’re at a pivotal point. The next few trading sessions will determine whether we’re gearing up for a breakout or a more significant pullback. I’m watching the $570 - $574 level closely for signs of either bullish continuation or rejection.
Trading Opportunity: PC Jeweller Ltd. Bullish Breakout If you're looking to trade PC Jeweller Ltd., consider buying at ₹108.71. The stock has given a bullish breakout, indicating strong upward momentum. Set a stop-loss at ₹98.10 to protect against any downside if the price pulls back. Aim for a target of ₹150, where you can lock in profits. This setup offers a favorable risk-to-reward ratio, with potential profits around four times the possible loss. Given the bullish breakout, this could be an excellent opportunity if the uptrend continues.
Posted a chart of the XRP triangle fractalWe can see xrpusd is doing something very very similar for the past few years its been forming this massive triangle pattern that it did before the last time it had its massive breakout from a triangle that eventually led to its all time high. On the weekly chart we can see we are now very very close to the apex of this triangle and I have also superimposed a small screenshot of the triangle it broke up from. Back then as it does seem to be repeating itself here. If you zoom in you can see just before it broke up from the previous triangle it painted a big red wick to the downside to fake a lot. Of traders out of their positions before finally skyrocketing up and out of the triangle. This increases the odds that the fractal of that triangle we are in now might also have a big capitulation wick that dips below the current triangle first before the breakout upwards. If we are lucky enough to get a repeat of this fakeout tactic I know I will personally be buying such a dip. Speaking only for myself of course *not financial advice*
3 Bull Patterns on BTC about to trigger a bullish domino effectPriceaction is now for the second time solidly back above the bull flag we had been consolidating inside for the past few months ever since hitting the newest ath. It has also gone up to complete the left shoulder of an inverse head and shoulders pattern that is also overlapping the bull flag. We have yet to take price action above that neckline but by the prices current bullish behavior and how its not being rejected that heavily I would expect that we can at least send a wick above the. Teal neckline of the invh&s pattern wishing the next few daily candles if not the current one. Often times price action will go above the neckline of an invh&S pattern and then back below it multiple times before the real breakout gets triggered however in this situation, if price can maintain support above the top trendline of the green bullflag it will likely breakout of the inv h&s with way less back and forth above and below the neckline. The bullflag breakout will bring the momentum necessary to also trigger the invh&s breakout and as priceaction heads to both measured move price targets it will also surpass the purple line and flip it to support s well which is the rimline of a massive cup and handle pattern. This all culminates into one big bullish domino effect and that confluence helps greatly increase the probability of all of thee patterns confirming their breakouts. Not to mention another big invh&s pattern we confirmed the break out from many months ago had a target of 82k and we still haven’t quite reached that yet and in doing so, we also would trigger all 3 of these patterns so it may actually be the most appropriate 1st domino of this domino effect(will link that chart pattern idea below). However these 3 dominoes are clustered all very nicely together so it should lead to a pretty explosive move upwards. The inv h&S’s target is around 86k the bullflag’s target around 101k and the cup and handle target is 133k respectively. One last thing to mention though is that I am basing the bullflag’s price target of 101 k off of the size of the flag pole we see here on the daily(as well as the weekly) chart. Once you flip the timeframe to the monthly chart, you actually can see the pole of the bullflag on that time frame is much bigger and brings the bullflag target up all the way to 117k. *not financial advice*
Bitcoin - Half way to the $200.000 target!BITSTAMP:BTCUSD is consecutively retesting the previous all time high and breaking out soon.
You all know my life motto: Keep your long term vision. This is especially true when it comes to trading the major swings on Bitcoin. These very volatile short term moves will always give you a false perception of the underlying trend. And the underlying trend on Bitcoin is bullish, despite the recent back and forth at the previous all time high. I do expect a major bullish breakout soon.
Levels to watch: $67.000
Keep your long term vision,
Philip - BasicTrading
XRP hits target of green symmetrical triangle breakout.Target hit!nHopefully now that this target has been hit xrp will still hold support on all the MAs it rose above to hit this target including the weekly 20ma not shown here since this is the 1 day time frame. Nice to see price action send a wick above the top yellow trendline. Once it starts to close a few consecutive daily candles above the top yellow trendline and perhaps 1 to 2 consecutive weekly candles above it then it should really be go time. May take a second to flip it to support though after such a big pump. *not financial advice*
XRP hits target of green symmetrical triangle breakout.Target hit!nHopefully now that this target has been hit xrp will still hold support on all the MAs it rose above to hit this target including the weekly 20ma not shown here since this is the 1 day time frame. Nice to see price action send a wick above the top yellow trendline. Once it starts to close a few consecutive daily candles above the top yellow trendline and perhaps 1 to 2 consecutive weekly candles above it then it should really be go time. May take a second to flip it to support though after such a big pump. *not financial advice*