US30 OLHC (BUYS) YEARLY STRUCTURE (NOVEMBER 2022)US30 OLHC (BUYS)
YEARLY STRUCTURE
(NOVEMBER 2022)
YEARLY STRUCTURE ( MONTHLY TIMEFRAME )
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Three Important keys to look out for.
1. Market Structure (OLHC)
2. Bullish Divergence
3. TDI Cross ( Bullish Cross)
Market structure for US30 for this current year 2022 in the monthly timeframe is OLHC (Buy Setup).
There's also a strong Bullish Divergence from 02 November 2020 to current yearly low.
TDI cross has also confirmed the presence of Buyers in markets. Find Buy entries in lower timeframe and hold runners till monthly open 35078 as Take Profit.
Trade with Caution. Wait for valid entries.
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P A T I E N C E + D I S C I P L I N E
Bullish Divergence
3 Non Correlated Reasons BTCUSD Has BottomedBTCUSD on a weekly chart showing 3 reasons why it could have bottomed out.
1. Heavy volume capitulation often indicating bottom is near.
2. RSI Bullish Divergence
3. BTC declining while Stablecoin dominance is also declining. (see notes below)
The stablecoin dominance below shown as (USDC.D+USDT.D) generally moves in
opposite direction to BTCUSD. When stablecoins are flowing into BTC, dominance
naturally declines and vice-verca.
So notice stablecoin dominance has formed a lower high, while BTCUSD has made
a lower low. So this is an anomaly that doesn't normally occur, so expecting a reversal.
Weekly candle will close on the 21 Novemenber 2022. If it closes Bullish and Dominance
candle closes bearish, setup is confirmed.
What do you guys reckon?
Resistance Levels Where AMD Could Fail in a Bear RallyPrimary Chart: Bollinger Bands (Yellow Shaded Volatility Channel) with Fibonacci Levels, Downward TL and VWAPs
1. As discussed earlier this month, AMD remains in a severe downtrend at the primary degree of trend. This means that the path of least resistance on higher time frames remains lower unless and until AMD can do a substantial amount of price work and recover into the mid $80s (the area of the downward trendline shown on the Primary Chart) and preferably the $100.60 level (the .50 retracement of the 2020-2022 rally).
Supplementary Chart A: AMD's Linear Regression Channel Reflects Severe Downtrend
2. In every trend, however, corrective retracements and mean reversions will occur. In a downtrend, market participants commonly attempt to pick bottoms especially in former market leaders and darlings—and when this bottom-picking is combined with heavy short positioning that requires covering when major downside moves exhaust, ferocious bear rallies ensue. On October 11, 2022, SquishTrade prepared the following chart showing some of the powerful bear rallies that have occurred since November 30, 2022 (all-time high date):
Supplementary Chart B: Percentage Gains for Bear Rallies in AMD Since All-Time High
3. The VWAP anchored to the all-time high on November 30, 2022, shown on the Primary Chart, reveals that the downtrend at the primary degree of trend remains in effect. The lower highs and lower lows on daily and weekly charts support this conclusion, and the downward trendline—also shown on the Primary Chart in orange—has not been broken. Price remains significantly below both the orange downward TL and the all-time-high VWAP, showing the profound weakness in this former market leader.
4. Price has even fallen beneath the April 2018 anchored VWAP (shown in red on the Primary Chart above) having a price value of $61.95 on October 20, 2022. AMD's rapid decline since August 4, 2022 peaks appears to have stalled just after breaking below this VWAP. This 4.5 year VWAP provides strong near-term resistance at $61.95. This level of interest should be monitored during any bear rally and on any subsequent decline. Price may rally and whipsaw above it during a mean reversion only to fail and slice back below it.
5. Price has fallen beneath the .786 and .618 retracements of the entire rally from the Covid 2020 lows. These levels are at $64.08 and $85.54 respectively. This is significant because it reflects the strength of this downtrend. Any bear rally will meet strong resistance when rising back to these levels. Before considering these levels as resistance however, price must first break above the April 2018 VWAP (about $61-$62), and the 21-day EMA at about $63.31 as of October 20, 2022. Until the 21-day EMA and the April 2018 VWAP are reclaimed ($61-$63 approximately, the higher retracement levels remain irrelevant.
6. Some evidence of downside exhaustion appears on AMD's charts. These suggest that a short-covering and FOMO-driven rally may occur in the coming weeks between now and year end. SquishTrade hinted at this possibility recently with the following chart, showing how AMD was approaching the bottom of its downtrend channel:
Supplementary Chart C: October 11, 2022, Post Showing Higher Risk For Shorts Near Downtrend-Channel Support
7. On AMD's daily chart, RSI now shows a positive divergence despite price making lower lows. This is further evidence that shorts should be cautious and wary of a bear rally or, at a minimum, choppy action over the next few weeks.
Supplementary Chart D: RSI Positive Divergence on Daily Chart
8. The Bollinger Bands also suggest that the downward price move from August 4, 2022, swing highs may be nearing exhaustion. Note how the bands (set at two standard deviations) are contracting now, which suggests either chop or mean reversion in the coming days or weeks. The %B indicator in the subgraph also shows weakening downside price action. As price made lower lows over the past two months, the %B indicator made higher lows. This reflects that price moves were less powerful even though they made lower lows on the main price chart—when price cannot pierce the bands as deeply with each subsequent low, and when price eventually cannot even tag the band with a new low in October 2022, this shows price may be ready to consolidate or mean revert.
Supplementary Chart E: Bollinger Bands Signaling Exhaustion and Temporary Pause in Downtrend
9. For anyone trying to catch the bear rallies, watch out for false breakouts above resistance as discussed in the following linked post, showing a false breakout this month above a shorter-term trendline. When the primary trend is down, countertrend moves can be challenging and tricky, so tight stops make sense.
Supplementary Chart F: False Breakout above Resistance—Example from October 6, 2022
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Author's Comment: Thank you for reviewing this post and considering its charts and analysis. The author welcomes comments, discussion and debate (respectfully presented) in the comment section. Shared charts are especially helpful to support any opposing or alternative view. This article is intended to present an unbiased, technical view of the security or tradable risk asset discussed.
Please note further that this technical-analysis viewpoint is short-term in nature. This is not a trade recommendation but a technical-analysis overview and commentary with levels to watch for the near term. This technical-analysis viewpoint could change at a moment's notice should price move beyond a level of invalidation. Further, proper risk-management techniques are vital to trading success. And countertrend or mean-reversion trading, e.g., trading a rally in a bear market, is lower probability and is tricky and challenging even for the most experienced traders.
DISCLAIMER: This post contains commentary published solely for educational and informational purposes. This post's content (and any content available through links in this post) and its views do not constitute financial advice or an investment or trading recommendation, and they do not account for readers' personal financial circumstances, or their investing or trading objectives, time frame, and risk tolerance. Readers should perform their own due diligence, and consult a qualified financial adviser or other investment / financial professional before entering any trade, investment or other transaction.
DYDX is bouncingDYDX is decentralized exchange's crypto, a promising one.
It was in a descending channel and touched the ATL in mid June. After making a 170% recovery, it continued to go down to be close to the previous ATL.
In my opinion, now it is a good opportunity to buy DYDX for both mid term (a few months) and long term investment. For the longterm hold, I'll post another analysis to explain my point.
For mid-term, we see some bullish signs
Inverted hammer (with relatively low volume)
Bullish divergence
Prices at strong support (ATL area)
We will need more volume the next days to confirm a strong reversal.
🟢The Start of Big SOL✅️■As you know, The FTT stuff and whole Fake news about Solana made whole Market Red and sol wasn't exception.
●Now recording To Eliot waves, FIBONACCI Numbers and Multiple positive divergences in Day and Week Time frames Price should've Start to rise.
☆As you can see in The chart, Supports, RSI and OS oscillator all sending #Buy signals!
Low bond of Bollinger Band at 22$ more and less, so when we turn back to 22$ Area,we Just back in The bond!
▪︎tp1: 22.3$
▪︎tp2: 37.6$
We are good To go Even Higher soon as FUD sentiments Ends ;)
Good Luck 🙌
BTTUSD: Rising Three Methods Visible on the DailyWe have a Rising 3 Methods Visible on the Daily after having moved away from the lows in the presence of Bullish Divergence; The Rising 3 that we've formed at the current level suggests that the BTT will continue to shift away from the lows and atleast make a Common Retrace.
Litecoin: Attempting to Break Free From a Multi-Year-DowntrendA few years ago Litecoin was trading at this very level and at the time the idea was that it would eventually make a higher low and give us a Bullish Bat-Action-Magnet-Move which would result in LTC confirming a harmonic W structure and revisiting the 88.6% Retrace Above to Finalize a Bearish Bat Pattern; After many months we finally set in the higher low we were looking for and began to go for the 88.6% Retrace to complete the pattern, once hit we began what would now soon be a Multi-Year-Decline.
However now we seem to be showing Signs of Seller Exhaustion in the form of Double MACD Bullish Divergence and an Oversold RSI and now it is testing the Downtrending Line to see if there's enough supply there to keep it down or if the sellers truly are too exhausted to continue this downtrend much longer. If the trendline breaks Bullishly which i do think it likely will my First target will be to take us back to the level this downtrend first bagan (the initial zone of reversal) which i labeled "The Danger Zone" back before the intital Bearish Reversal happened but if things get truly insane I think it could see as high as the 1.618 Fibonacci Extension at $700-$2200 depending on rather or not you're looking at it from a Linear Scale or Log Scale basis.
Along with that LTC since around Nevember of last year has been showing Bullish Variables against it's BTC Pairs, The Total Cryptomarket Cap, and Oher Individual Alts such as BCH and ETH. It would be alot to go into the full details of all of those variables here in this post, but i have posted these variables live as price action has progressed over the years so if you want to see the details of these variables, I'v listed them below in the Related Ideas Section.
ETHWUSD: Bullish Shark at .236 and Support Confluence AreaETHW sits at a Support Zone and above the .0.236 from High to Low at the PCZ of a Bullish Shark. It is bottoming out for the second time while showing extreme amounts of Bullish Divergence on the second Bottom. If this plays out i think it can atleast rise up to the .886 from here.
BitDAO: Double Bottom Bullish Dragon at the 3.618 Fib ExtensionWe have some RSI Bullish Divergence and a Double Bottom at the 3.618 Fibonacci Extension and are currently Breaking out of a Bullish Dragon Trendline and will later be looking to Challenge the Validation Line of a Bump and Run Reversal Bottom.
Bullish Shark on SunrunI think based off how things went with Oil prices rising that we will likely invest more into clean energy rather that's the right answer or not it seems like it will be the next logical step to prevent a similar situation in the future.
Right now we are at the PCZ of a Bullish Shark with Bullish Divergence on the weekly and i will be accumulating shares within this zone.
AMD Nears Multi-Month Support, Higher Risk for ShortsPrimary Chart: AMD's YTD Parallel Channel and Short-Term 2.5 Month Parallel Channel
This post will provide only a brief update to the more detailed technical discussions of AMD from last week. The more detailed technical analysis is contained in a pair of AMD posts linked on the Primary Chart above.
1. Nothing has changed with regard to AMD's larger downtrend structure. As discussed in last week's analyses, AMD remains in a severe downtrend that has shown no evidence of structural change.
2. Last week's discussions identified a false breakout above the shorter-term down trendline, made especially clear by a Pinocchio bar with a long shadow protruding above this trendline. This foreshadowed the large decline that ensued the next day, with the stock gapping down significantly. Since the Pinocchio bar was identified, the stock has plummeted another -15.0% to -17.1%. Isn't it interesting that when stocks are in a trend in either direction, they can go higher / lower than expected? Stocks that seem very low in a downtrend seem to find their way ever lower.
3. An extremely sharp bear bounce could occur at any time . Just look at the prior rallies in the chart below this paragraph. Many of these bear rallies rise nearly vertically from the lower line of the channel (called the return line). This is typical of bear rallies. They tend to be some of the strongest rallies that happen in markets, and this bear market has been a fascinating learning experience (even if painful for longer-term investors) as these rallies and declines unfold.
Supplementary Chart: Measurement of Prior Bear Rallies and Bounces YTD
4. Just because bear rallies can happen doesn't mean that every time the lower channel is tagged that a sharp rally will ensue. But a bullish divergence has formed on daily RSI , meaning that as price made new lows, RSI made higher lows. But a bullish divergence can be erased by price falling rapidly to a new low and pulling RSI with it below its prior RSI low. So it's better to wait for confirmation from price.
5. The lower edge of the parallel channel on Primary Chart shows where price could reach in October 2022. This level ranges from about $55 to $51 over the course of this month. The critical question for AMD is whether (i) price will accelerate its downtrend even further by breaking below this line or (ii) whether AMD will reverse there for a sharp bounce back into the channel. One other alternative is that AMD could whipsaw below the line for a few trading days in an extreme exhaustion move, then snap back above the line, signaling an intermediate term rally.
Having identified the key levels that may affect the price action, SquishTrade will not attempt to make bold predictions of either (a) a break below the trendline, or (b) a key reversal that leads to a sharp trip back to the top of the channel. Much will depend on the FOMC minutes and CPI this week and their affect on the interest-rate environment. Given the environment (a severe downtrend) and the levels shown, traders and investors can make their best call with tight stops in place that measure and limit risk—risk is inherent in every trade or investment which is why stops are important for everyone except Warren Buffett—or even better, they can wait patiently for a trend-based setup at resistance.
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Author's Comments:
(1) Thank you for reviewing this post and considering its charts and analysis. The author welcomes comments, discussion and debate in the comment section. Shared charts are especially helpful to support any opposing or alternative view.
(2) This technical-analysis view does not constitute a trade recommendation or trade setup. Instead, it attempts to offer technical commentary that describes and analyzes price levels, trends, price action, or the broader technical environment as of the publication date. Technical-analysis commentary does not equate to trade setups or recommendations. Within a given price environment, traders bear responsibility for their own trading strategy, risk tolerance, and time frame, and for any due diligence associated with such trades.
(3) This technical-analysis viewpoint could change at a moment's notice, e.g., when price violates a key level of invalidation for a particular view. Further, proper risk-management techniques are vital to trading success.
(4) To the extent countertrend price moves are discussed, consider that countertrend or mean-reversion trading, e.g., trading a rally in a bear market, remains higher risk and lower probability even for the most experienced traders and investors.
DISCLAIMER: This post contains commentary published solely for educational and informational purposes. This post's content (and any content available through links in this post) and its views do not constitute financial advice or an investment or trading recommendation, and they do not account for readers' personal financial circumstances, or their investing or trading objectives, time frame, and risk tolerance. Readers should perform their own due diligence, and consult a qualified / licensed financial adviser or other financial or investment professional before entering any trade, investment or other transaction.
KOKUSDT: Bullish Bat with 3 Bullish TargetsWe have a small amount of Bullish Divergence here after Breaking Out of Falling Wedge at the PCZ of a Bullish Bat on the 4 Hour Timeframe. I will take profit at each of the levels depending on how price looks upon hitting each target though i may just hold it all until target 2. I feel a bit more confident about taking this trade due to the action we currently have on the TOTAL 3 Marketcap which seems to suggest that Lowcap Altcoins will be seeing nice markups. The TOTAL 3 Marketcap Price setup can be seen in the Related Ideas Tab below.
Bullish Divergence And Bullish Pennant RecognisedOn 4H TF, it's clearly seen that $XRP printed bullish divergence in a bullish pennant from Oct'13th - Oct21st. Furthermore, 50% fibonacci level maintained as support which indicate that $XRP is still bullish. So if a breakout from its pennant followed by retest to upper pennant trendline, I'll expect to see $XRP rally continuation to 161% fibonacci level.
GOOGL with Bullish Divergence on Daily Chart!Bullish divergence on the daily chart!
A bullish divergence is a high probability setup. The RSI & OBV indicators made higher lows.
In my opinion, Google will make a decent move over the next few days or within a few weeks.
It is my prediction that, Google will make a decent move over the next few days, or within a few weeks.
Peace, Love & Abundance,
MrALtrades00