COIN - Turning Around (shake out complete)Saw COIN looking toppy and it played out perfectly- the crypto rally isn’t over yet though and COIN is one of the better proxy plays for capturing the bullish price action we’re in crypto. Short off the top layer off nicely but the RSI is indicating that crypto nor COIN upside is done. The bullish divergence seen in the RSI should provide some decent upside at least in the short term.
Bullish Divergence
TSLA - Solid Bullish Divergence TSLA has been a solid short but I have a hard time believing that this stock is down for the count. Apparently I am not the only person who is thinking this way because in spite of the downside price action, the RSI (Relative Strength Index) is indicating that sentiment is overall bullish still and price should reflect it in the short term. I don’t know if I feel super bullish with the macro outlook but as far as expecting a decent bounce out of TSLA in the short term- probability points to more likely than not- upside price action in the short term.
LUMN: Bullish Gartley Visible on the 3-Month ChartShares of Lumen Technologies are currently sitting at the HOP Level of a Massive Bullish Gartley that is visible on higher timeframes such as the Monthly and Quarterly Charts. It is also showing Bullish Divergence on the MACD and RSI and looks to be ready to make a move towards $6.00 in the short term, but the situation could evolve into a bigger long term move towards $25.00 and $50.00
VLCN: Bullish Gartley with Bullish Divergence at a Double BottomVolcon is potentially forming a Double Bottom with Bullish Divergence and is doing so at the potential HOP Level of a Bullish Gartley on the Hourly with Bullish RSI BAMM Confirmation. If this Gartley plays out we would expect a move towards $3.00 this move towards $3.00 could then lead to a Double Bottom breakout which would take the price up to around $7.00
SMX: Attempting Trend Reversal with Triple Bullish DivergenceSMX (Security Matters) has been in a severe downtrend for quite a while now, but it should be noted that the float on this stock is quite low and that it would be quite easy for this stock to be pushed up significantly higher if any sort of demand were to appear. At the moment, we have Triple Bullish Divergence on the MACD and developing RSI Bullish Divergence as it attempts to break free from a down trending trend line. I think it could possibly reach $8.00-$22.00 if this turns out to be a bottom as that will align with the 50% and 61.8% retraces, though I'd be looking for this move to happen sooner rather than later. I won't be spending too much money on the entry of this trade, but I will be getting a couple of thousand shares at the most.
AMN: Bullish Divergence at the 0.786 RetraceAMN after the Bearish breakdown of the 3 Falling Peaks seems to be trying to form a bottom around the 0.786 Retrace with Bullish Divergence on the MACD and RSI. I am uncertain if it will result in the stock making a significantly higher high, but I do think it could at least come back up to test the resistance that sits at around the $70 area esepcially if the IWM and Small Cap Indexes continue to rally.
CDOGEUSDT: Bullish Consolidation at 61.8% Retrace and SupportAfter what has been a fast and aggressive 32% Decline, CDOGE has formed a Double Bottom with MACD and RSI Bullish Divergence at the 61.8% Retrace which happens to align with Support and now has climbed back above the 21SMA. With all this in mind I think we will come back up to Square Up and undo that big bearish candle and i addition to that I think we could be setting up for an AB=CD BAMM which would take us up to the 1.618 Fibonacci Extension.
TLT: Double Bottom at the 0.382 Retrace with Bullish DivergenceSome weeks ago TLT was trading within a Falling Wedge and Double Bottoming at the 0.382 with Bullish Divergence on the Hourly Timeframe and from there rallied to hit its 0.618 Profit Target. Since then, it has come back down just below the level it started at but in doing so has yet again formed Bullish Divergence near the 0.382, this time on higher timeframes. If the TLT were to start bottoming here, it would potentially be the start of an even bigger double bottom than the last one and could result in TLT testing even higher upside retraces such as the 0.886-1.13 which would take it to around $100
Descending Wedge & Bullish Divergence on March SoybeansFundamental Outlook:
There’s no beating around the bush - the fundamental outlook for soybeans is bearish. Global ending stocks are now at all time highs per the last WASDE report, and export demand for U.S. soybeans has slowed considerably - currently down around 19% year-over-year. As South American harvest progresses, the outlook of the Brazilian soybean crop has also improved.
Talking Technicals:
Despite the bearish fundamental outlook - the descending wedge, bullish divergence on 14-day RSI, and declining volume profile presents a bullish setup. Managed money funds remain aggressively short - holding a net-short position greater than 150,000 contracts across futures and options on soybeans. An upside breakout could result in short-covering, ultimately propelling prices higher in the near-term. Descending wedge patterns typically see sharp, upside breakouts which would be akin to the price action observed in a short-covering rally.
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SPY: Bullish Deep Gartley with Bullish DivergenceThe RSI on the SPY has Double Bottomed while confirming a Bullish Divergence as the SPY was testing the PCZ of a Bullish Deep Gartley, in addition to the RSI Divergence, the MACD has also confirmed Bullish Divergence and it would seem that the SPY may make its way up to the 100% - 161.8% retraces in the coming sessions.
AUDNZD: Bullish Divergence Sparks Reversal Potential📈 Overview:
AUDNZD, previously bearish, now displays bullish divergence with the formation of the first higher low and higher high on the 1-hour timeframe. Market sentiment at 94% long adds strength to the reversal signal.
📊 Technical Analysis:
Bullish divergence, coupled with higher lows and higher highs, indicates a potential trend reversal.
📉 Market Sentiment:
With 94% long sentiment, there is strong support for the anticipated bullish reversal.
📉 Trade Strategy:
Consider long positions, aligning with the bullish signals, and anticipate further upward movement.
🛑 Risk Management:
Mitigate risks with effective stop-loss orders to protect capital.
📈 Conclusion:
AUDNZD offers a concise opportunity for a bullish trend reversal, supported by bullish divergence and strong market sentiment. Monitor for confirmation and adjust positions accordingly.
AUDUSD: Bullish Divergence Signals Long Opportunity📉 Overview:
AUDUSD, post-downtrend, exhibits a bullish divergence, hinting at a potential reversal. With a strong 90% long market sentiment, the analysis suggests a long trade upon the break of the last lower high (LH).
📈 Technical Analysis:
Bullish divergence after the downtrend provides a promising signal for a potential upward move.
📊 Market Sentiment:
With 90% long sentiment, there is substantial support for the expected bullish reversal.
📉 Trade Strategy:
Consider entering after the break of the last LH, aligning with the bullish divergence and overall market sentiment.
🛑 Risk Management:
Implement risk management measures, including setting stop-loss orders, to mitigate potential losses.
📈 Conclusion:
AUDUSD offers a favorable long trade opportunity, supported by a bullish divergence and strong market sentiment. Monitor for the break of the last LH and adapt positions accordingly.
NZDJPY: Bullish Divergence and Fib Retracement Signal Potential📈 Overview:
NZDJPY, amid a bullish trend, shows a bullish divergence near its higher low. The current retracement from the 0.618 Fibonacci level suggests potential upside.
📊 Technical Analysis:
Bullish divergence and retracement from 0.618 indicate a favorable risk-reward ratio for potential long positions.
📉 Trade Strategy:
Traders may consider long positions, with entry near the current retracement level, anticipating an upward move.
🛑 Risk Management:
Mitigate risks with stop-loss orders to protect capital in case of unexpected price movements.
📈 Conclusion:
NZDJPY offers a concise opportunity for further upside, supported by bullish signals. Monitor for confirmation and adjust positions accordingly.
He Thinks Hes Jimmy Buffet Or SomethingI'm calling it on this swing. Reversal is near. Strong Bullish Divergence? Fundamentals are some what questionable with NZD itself however the good ole swiss franc should be weakening this year. We Have some upcoming economic events next week for NZD.
Balance of Trade
Import
Export
After, we should see some retail data and such be released for the swiss. Could see a turn around in febuary.
EURUSD: Bullish Gartley at an 800-EMA Trading in a Falling WedgeEURUSD is trading within a Falling Wedge with MACD Bullish Divergence at the 800-period EMA. All of this aligns with the PCZ of a Bullish Deep Gartley that has developed on the 1-Hour timeframe. If this support zone holds I think EURUSD will attempt a Bullish breakout that will target the 50-61.8% retraces above which may align with short term upside I'm expecting in the TLT.
What is Volume Divergence? - Divergence in the US Markets?Whenever we see a divergence, this means they are going through a process of moving apart or deviating from what we are seeing.
In this case the US markets, even though it appears to be trending higher, but its activities and especially its transacted volume are telling us otherwise. And what are their implications?
My name is Kon How, my work in this channel, as always, is to study behavioral science in finance, discover correlations between different markets, and uncover potential opportunities.
In conclusion:
Please note the divergence we are observing here; it does not indicate that the market is going to decline anytime soon.
What this means is that the bullish trend we are currently witnessing may be losing some momentum.
Therefore, it's important not to become too complacent and assume that the bull market will continue charging indefinitely. During times like these, it's always good to take calculated risks with our investments. Continue to buy on dips with cautiousness.
Micro E-mini S&P Futures and Options:
Minimum fluctuation: 0.25 index points = $1.25
Code: MES
Disclaimer:
• What presented here is not a recommendation, please consult your licensed broker.
• Our mission is to create lateral thinking skills for every investor and trader, knowing when to take a calculated risk with market uncertainty and a bolder risk when opportunity arises.
CME Real-time Market Data help identify trading set-ups in real-time and express my market views. If you have futures in your trading portfolio, you can check out on CME Group data plans available that suit your trading needs www.tradingview.com
Bitcoin Bear Market Bull flagsHi Investors/traders
Today I'm looking at the 2 week chart of BTC on a line chart. We are comparing the bear markets with a bull flag out look. Although they are NOT technical bull flags they bare some similarities with the support and resistance areas along with false breakouts. We will go over false break outs and they usually mean and result in.
There are only two indicators in this chart although one is turned off for the purpose of clarity and keeping the chart clean. The one not visible is the (Bitcoin Fibonacci Log Regression) and the (CM_Ult_MacD_MTF) it is basically the MACD with different colors, a line that marks the zero and dots to mark crosses.
As we can clearly see the 2 week MacD has had an upward cross which has historically marked the bottom was in and momentum is slowly being gained on the upside. This should tell you the fight to battle resistance zones has already begun.
False breakouts whether they are on the upside or downside act the same way. As we can see in 2018 Bitcoin was in a down ward trading channel (Bull Flag) and broke out of it on the downside, it then recovered back into the channel, which is a bullish move as we can see the result was a fairly substantial run afterwards.
Last year Bitcoin did the same thing but opposite. It broke out of the channel but to the upside this time, then falling back into the channel again proving to be a false breakout. This is a very bearish move, But when does is it end? Well, no one knows, probably not the answer you're looking for. Clues for the answer to this question In my experience are in the indicators. One powerful indicator is the MACD, especially on the 2 week. The RSI as well is a very powerful indicator although not in this chart is showing a bullish divergence. Also a third indicator that is very powerful is the Stochastic RSI, which itself is also showing momentum is on the rise as well. Does this mean BTC will flip bullish any moment? No. Does it mean we will not go lower? No. There is no 100% guarantee, only risk management. Historically what we can see here is that it has been a very good time to buy and a reversal would come in the next few weeks or months.
I have two possible targets on this chart, why? First off no knows the actual future of anything. The only thing we can do is use educated guesses. By looking at at history, and using indicators, we can try to plot how the future could happen. After that we just follow a and see where it goes. So, the possible targets.... If you believe in manipulation of outcomes, (covid) being one and the addition of (leverage trading) and (Derivatives). I see people arguing that it affected the price of BTC, the crypto market and caused anomalies. Anomalies always happen, like we said earlier there is no certainty. However, one action begets and equal opposite reaction. so, it there is any truth to these things they will eventually correct one way or another. The only thing we can go by are the facts, the facts are BTC had a bull run, it then pulled back, then it had a false breakout, that then lead to the collapsed, and now is showing that momentum is flipping to upwards again. You could say this is all just junk information, but by comparing it to the stock to flow we can see there is something to it. I have stock to flow comparison charts as well.
Another thing to be aware of is that BTC as of the FTX debacle, is now untethered from the stock market. What does that mean? I don't know. For how long or permanent? I don't know.
Yes, Bitcoins moves throughout it's history have been mirrored to stocks.
I want to add that a break and close below 13.7k is not a good thing and it's not a buy in my opinion. I think a close under 13.7k will eventually lead to a bigger collapse to at least 3k and would take years and years to recover. I do have this scenario in the chart as well, however I don't expect it at this point in time. I'm not saying that the price can't go below and quickly recover, I'm saying if it does go below and does not quickly recover, than there are most likely bigger problems in the market.
Time will answer these questions from above. I think within 6 months a lot of these questions will be answered. So sit tight and let's see.
Thank you for looking
leave questions or comments below
WeAreSat0shi
Marathon Oil Corporation: Bullish Bat with Bullish DivergenceMRO on the intraday is showing signs of Bullish Divergence on both the MACD and RSI at the potential HOP level of a Bullish Bat. If this plays out I think it could make a move up towards $25
DBA: Bullish Abandoned Baby on Agriculture Futures ETFThe DBA Agriculture Fund is an ETF that has futures exposure to various different commodities including: Wheat, Corn, Sugar, Live Cattle, Lean Hogs, Cotton, Soybeans, Coffee, and others. As of right now the fund has recently pulled back due to a Bearish Test of the Bearish Bat PCZ but during this time it has formed what looks to be a Cup with Handle and has confirmed a Bullish Abandoned Baby off the 200-Day SMA with Bullish Divergence on both the MACD and RSI. With all these factors being considered along with the recent dramatic increase in charter rates across the containership and dry bulk segments, I think it is very likely that we will see the pricing of these commodities rise once more and likely break significantly above any of the bearish zones.
BP: Holding Support Above The Previous All-Time-HighsBP appears to be Double Bottoming above the previous All-Time-High-Resistance and is Bullishly Diverging on the RSI and MACD. If this level hold, BP has room to go all the way up to around $50 which would also align with the 1.618 Fibonacci Extension. I personally think that out of all the big Oil Companies like XOM and CVX, BP presents the better value and would be the most profitable to play via midterm calls.