NZDJPY Sell Idea Update!!!My idea here was to look for pullback and sells until both the key resistance zones hold.
The price action followed my analysis exactly as I expected it to here. The pullback that I was looking for happened, most importantly the price was holding below the key resistance zones. The price then moved lower as I expected it to and provided a nice move to the downside until it was blocked by a bullish divergence.
Original Idea
Bullish Divergence
Bullish DIV on SRMFirst some FA: kraken announced SOL and SRM will be listed on 17th of June so this should push the price up.
As you can see there's a clear bullish DIV (the div is on CCI as well) and there's a compression on BB indicating something is about to happen. Considering the recent maket dump combined with the bullish DIV I think this should go up.
At 4h timeframe VLPR (not shown) mark current price around the control like, in this case buys and sells are almost the same. It's a decision point, I think it'll go up, you can buy now and set a tight stop loss.
Bullish Bat on weekly. Follow-up to a previous short trade.Back in February I posted a Short Setup who's target was the PCZ of this Weekly Bullish Bat. 4 months later we have finally reached our weekly target and now with some of the profits made from the short it's time to flip long.
For context on the original trade setup check the related Ideas section.
Restaurant Brands Breakout Based on technical analysis, I see Restaurant Brands breaking through resistance which is the red cloud above the candles.
Heres why I believe this,
Double Buy signal on the Guth 3x confirm which is highly accurate
Growing bullish divergence as indicated by the MACD and D+ ( green shadow below candles representing growing bull strength )
Daily volume is low meaning the selling of should be nearing and end initiating a bull cycle as investors buy this low
Comment your thoughts below & like if you see this happening
How to analyse Divergences using RSI for BTCUSDThis tutorial on RSI Divergences is the second part of a RSI Masterclass series.
We have already discussed how to make use of the basic RSI indicator in our previous masterclass tutorial. We will understand the use of Divergence oscillators in short timeframes for BTCUSD.
A divergence happens when the price of an asset (BTC in this case) moves in the opposite direction to a momentum indicator or oscillator.
It is the opposite of a confirmation signal, which is when the indicator and price are moving in the same direction.
How to use Divergence in trading
A divergence is often seen as a sign that the current market action is losing its momentum and weakening, meaning it could soon change direction.
there is a significant chance of a price retracement
Bullish Divergence
A bullish divergence is the pattern that occurs when the price falls to lower lows, while the technical indicator reaches higher lows.
After a bullish divergence pattern, it is common to see a rapid price increase.
Bearish Divergence
A bearish divergence is the pattern that occurs when the price reaches higher highs, while the technical indicator makes lower highs.
There is a likelihood of a rapid decline in price following the divergence
Please note:
One of the most common problems with divergences is ‘false positives’, which is when the divergence occurs but there is no reversal.
The technique does not give a set price point at which to open or close a trade, just an indication of the strength or weakness of the underlying market sentiment.
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
If you find the analysis useful, please like and share our ideas with the community as well as follow to stay updated with new ideas!
- Mudrex
Tweezer Bottom Bullish Reversal at the 0.886 Retracement.The is literally the final ground the USD has to stand on: Hold the 0.886 and you're off to test much higher prices once again.
Tweezer Bottom with Bullish Divergence on both MACD and RSI at the .886 along the bottom of a Falling Wedge at the PCZ of a Bullish Shark.
Bullish Update for BEST Inc SetupA few weeks ago i posted a Bullish Crab setup for BEST INC and while the price did briefly dip below the PCZ, the price never got near our stoploss and is now well above our PCZ.
BEST will be releasing earnings within the coming weeks and i expect it to have major gains leading to and after earnings.
As of today i have discovered that not only did BEST have a bullish crab on the daily, it also has created this long term weekly and monthly channel that it's at the bottom of with lots of bullish divergence on the RSI.
For more context on the original Bullish Crab idea refer to the idea located on the related ideas tab below.
BTC Trend ReversalBTC is repeating a pattern from the middle of April. That pattern is a Bullish Divergence (which you can read about here )
Since the last time this pattern occurred, BTC remained in a small uptrend for about 16 days.
Is now the the reversal that is going to start the inevitable run to 100k for BTC? Who knows.
But it does look like BTC can at least bounce back up 17% into the high 50,000s and possibly to 60k.
Please comment, like, and follow for more!
Trade at your own risk
SRMUSDT hidden bullish divergenceSRMUSDT on the daily timeframe shows a rejection with a bullish engulfing candle pattern. The previous resistance area which is now a support area and is close to the long trend line from the month of December 2020. To further ensure the direction of the next price movement, it is seen that the price has formed a hidden bullish divergence using stochastic. Hopefully this analysis is useful for you.
Risk disclaimer on!
Using the Relative Strength Index (RSI)Using the Relative Strength Index
The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is a very popular and often used indicator that can be used effectively in many different ways. My personal favorite two are:
1. As a tool to indicate a reversal. This is the most popular way.
2. As a momentum indicator. This is what it was designed for.
Below we will discuss how to read the RSI, and how to set it properly depending on market conditions.
What the numbers mean
Before we discuss what to do with the information that the RSI gives us, we should learn what the numbers mean.
The RSI is a line graph that moves from 0 to 100. When the RSI is 70 or over, we consider our crypto to be overbought (people bidding up the price). Then when the RSI is 30 or below, we consider our crypto to be oversold (people bidding down the price).
Overbought means that the crypto might be overvalued.
Oversold is the reverse. The crypto might be undervalued.
The actual number is calculated using the average gain or loss over a set period of time. The default time period is 14 (minutes, hours, days, based on how the chart you are currently looking at is set).
You could also set your period length to a lower number, I use 10 sometimes, so that the RSI is more sensitive to recent moves. This is good to do in markets that are highly volatile (crypto for example).
The actual RSI number will increase as there are more and more positive closes within your time period, and will fall as there are more and more negative closes within your time period.
As with every trading indicator, the RSI should not be used as the sole reason for a trading decision. It helps paint a picture of the market of the particular crypto you’re looking at.
Nor are the default values always to be used. We’ve discussed time changes, but you could also change the upper and lower bands.
In a bull market you may want to change the upper band to reflect the general trend of the market (more on that later).
Trend Reversal
Now, let’s about how to actually use the RSI. The first way to use it is as a way to spot a possible trend reversal.
Put simply, the RSI can help us see if we have, in the last few candles, changed from an up-trend to a down-trend, or from a down-trend to an up-trend.
When the RSI is below 30 and crosses up, we consider this a bullish move.
When the RSI is above 70 and crosses down, we consider this a bearish move.
Just to reiterate: A bullish cross up is not an automatic buy, just as a bearish cross down is not an automatic sell. As you can see below.
But it is pretty accurate.
Nothing in TA is 100%, but the closer you get to 100% the better trader you will be.
One other thing to note based on the above picture is that there was no time that the RSI dipped below 30. In a crypto bull market (which we are currently in) it is more common to see cryptos that are overbought as opposed to oversold. You can compensate for this by changing the oversold line to 40.
Additionally, as the crypto moves up in price, you can see the RSI making consistent higher lows.
Divergence
One thing to look for when you are trying to spot trend reversals is what is called a Bullish Divergence.
This means that the price of your crypto is in a downtrend and making lower lows. At the same time, the RSI is oversold and is making higher lows.
When you spot this, it can be a very powerful indicator that the trend is reversing to the upside.
A bearish divergence is the same thing but in reverse. The price of the crypto is getting higher and higher while the RSI is overbought and making lower highs.
RSI as a momentum indicator
Another way to effectively use the RSI is by using it for its intended use as a momentum indicator.
As we talked about before, the RSI rises as we have more and more positive closes in our time window. It rises more (faster) when the price movements are more extreme to the upside. The reverse is true for the downside.
So, if we are oversold that means there is momentum to the upside, and if we are overbought that means there is momentum to the downside.
Generally, it is better to trade with the momentum than against it. Unless we spot the reversal signals that we discussed above; crossing back down, or crossing up.
It is also better to go long in bull-markets and short in bear markets when using the RSI in this way.
Let’s take a look at the chart below:
In a bull market the 50-60 range of the RSI acts as support and the RSI usually stays above 40.
I like to set my upper band to 60 in a bull market so I can trade with the bullish momentum and spot potential reversals in the 50-60 range.
As you can see it is necessary to use the RSI differently in different market conditions.
Final thoughts
As you can see there are different ways of successfully using the RSI. I hope I’ve made at least two of those ways clear in this beginner guide.
Please let me know if you have any questions and if you like it, please hit the thumbs up and be sure to follow for more!
Thanks for reading!
Tezos has a potential cup and handle brewingThis is a higher risk set up than what I normally but what is in the chart is in the chart. This would require not only for this chart pattern to perform but would also require BTC and ETH to behave over the next couple of days to week week as to not confound what is going on here.
The main chart has hidden bullish divergence on the 12 hour and the chart below has classic bullish divergence on the four hour. This suggest to me that Tezos should be moving to the neckline of the cup and handle when the falling wedge performs to the upside and from there we can see if there is enough momentum for price to break the neckline and potentially turn the previous resistance into support and have a nice impulse to the upside.
The chart below shows that the price action has found support on the 3x VSTOP and also the 20 day SMA so the chart formation has some technical support. A quick review of the 20 day SMA and VSTOP shows that when the price action breaks them as support that the decline is steep, once again meaning this to be a high risk trade and set up if traded without a good stop strategy . Thankfully the wedge gives us a chance for a couple of technical entries. I made mine a few hours ago betting on the wicking action at wedge support is a low. Break out traders could look for trades on the wedge or cup neckline or should price action retest the broadening ascending wedge support later on after a pull back.
Risk reward to retest ATH is pretty decent and with the bullish structure I am in the trade. Thanks to the VSTOP and falling wedge I should see this perform sooner as opposed to later.
s3.tradingview.com
Quickpost: DXY to channel up bullishlyThere is a lot of bullishness to Dxy that most are missing. First there is a lot of technical resistance to the downside based on the bollinger bands and there is little reason to think the bollinger bands will break due to the bullishness in the indicators with both hidden and traditional bullishness within the MACD and Histogram and the hidden bullishness within the RSI. The next move is likely to the top of the weekly bollinger band and a series of higher highs and higher lows.
If you want a more thorough write up please see my linked post on DXY and the dollar milkshake from about 6 weeks ago.