LMACD suggesting tops around April 2025.According to LMACD histogram , we might see a similar bull market duration ~800 days(green histogram bars). LMACD found tops ~100 days before histogram shift to red bars. This might give us an estimate date of peaks around April 2025? Aligning this with the LGC results in a price target of 150k.
Bullmarkets
ADA Next TargetsThe context tells us that the bull market is just beginning, with a clear bullish coin this week: ADA, breaking resistance at 0.36. Now, the price has encountered rejection at 0.45. We need to find buying opportunities at 0.41 to continue; otherwise, we might see the price testing 0.36, close to the 0.618 Fibonacci level.
Great area to LONG & SHORT!We have found temporary support above the range POC. and weekly level. I'm expecting the local lows into POC to be swept then bounce back into VAH/Daily/GP, then VAL for a bounce to range highs. VAL can also get tested first.
#Chainlink
Calculate Your Risk/Reward so you don't lose more than 1% of your account per trade.
Every day the charts provide new information. You have to adjust or get REKT.
Love it or hate it, hit that thumbs up and share your thoughts below!
This is not financial advice. This is for educational purposes only.
Dow Jones - There Is A Lot More Upside!Dow Jones ( TVC:DJI ) is just starting the next bullish impulse:
Click chart above to see the detailed analysis👆🏻
The Dow Jones is anything but bearish and over the past couple of months, value stocks in general have actually been outperforming growth stocks significantly. I do expect all time highs on basically all major indices and the Dow Jones might even head for the $50.000 mark next.
Levels to watch: $50.000, $35.000
Keep your long term vision,
Philip (BasicTrading)
Riding the Bull MarketBTC price in bull market with Guppy EMAS applied :
Fast emas (light blue waves) move above the Slow emas(green waves). If by any chance the price dips bellow the blue emas into the green emas that would mean a great entry to scoop before the continuation. Currently green emas sit around $46600, bellow that level make sure to start betting big on BTC.
$TIA Breakout: Ready for a Bullish Rally!LSE:TIA USDT: Long Position 🚀
TIA is breaking out from a falling wedge pattern, which is a bullish reversal setup. The price has recently breached the upper trendline resistance, signalling a potential strong upward move. If the breakout holds, there is significant upside potential as marked in the chart.
Entry Point: Current Market Price (CMP) around $5.20
Additional Positions: Consider adding more if the price retests the trendline support near $4.80–$5.00.
🎯 Targets:
$6.20
$7.80
$8.50
$9.80
$12.5(Final Target)
⛔️ Stop Loss (SL): $4.60 to manage downside risk.
⚖️ Leverage: Use leverage cautiously, between 3x and 5x depending on your risk tolerance.
#Crypto
Bitcoin Cycles: Predicted Highs and Lows for 2025-2026
In this post, we will explore the Bitcoin market cycle in an effort to predict when the next cycle's top and bottom might occur, along with their potential price levels.
Our analysis will cover several key concepts, including the Four-Year Cycle Theory, peak-to-peak and bottom-to-bottom analysis, cycle timing (peak-to-bottom), and the idea of diminishing returns, to support our forecast. Lets go!
The Four-Year Cycle Theory:
The Four-Year Cycle Theory in Bitcoin refers to a recurring market cycle that aligns with the Bitcoin halving event, which occurs approximately every four years. It suggests that Bitcoin's price moves in predictable cycles, driven largely by the dynamics of supply and demand, with the halving event acting as a significant catalyst.
The theory suggests that each four-year cycle consists of four distinct phases:
a. Accumulation (Bear Market Bottom)
b. Uptrend (Bull Market Start)
c. Parabolic Rise (Bull Market Peak)
d. Correction (Bear Market Crash)
The halving significantly reduces the rate at which new Bitcoin is mined, which leads to a supply reduction. As supply decreases while demand stays the same or increases (due to growing adoption, media attention, etc.), the price often rises after the halving leading to phase c. the Parabolic Rise.
With the basics of the Four-Year Cycle Theory covered, we can now analyze the intervals between cycle peaks and bottoms.
Cycle interval analysis:
A cycle analysis aims to identify recurring patterns by analyzing the time and price movements between key events, such as market tops (peaks) and bottoms, in the case of Bitcoin the halving event may also be considered. By examining these cyclical behaviors it is attempted to predict future tops and bottoms.
The simplest and easiest-to-understand patterns are:
1. Top-to-Top
The time difference between consecutive market tops
2. Top-to-Bottom
The time difference between a market top to the next market bottom.
3. Bottom-to-Top
The time difference between a market bottom to the next market top.
4. Bottom-to-Bottom
The time difference between consecutive market bottoms.
There are however also more advanced patterns such as:
5. All-Time-High Break to Top
The time difference between a break of the last cycle top to the next market top.
6. Halving event to top
The time difference between the halving event to the next market top.
It can be observed that market cycle patterns in the 2nd cycle are shorter compared to those in the 3rd and 4th cycles. This is likely due to a lack of market maturation or the fact that it occurs before the first halving.
What stands out is the similarity between the 3rd and 4th cycle patterns. By averaging these cycles, we can predict the 5th cycle. Even more striking is that several of these predictions closely match the subsequent cycle top AND bottom.
The predicted upcoming market cycle top is predicted as follows:
Based on the Top-to-Top pattern, the market top is forecasted for November 3, 2025.
According to the Bottom-to-Bottom pattern, the top is expected on October 13, 2025.
The Halving Event-to-Top pattern suggests a market peak on October 6, 2025.
Additionally, the ATH-Break-to-Top pattern indicates that the Parabolic Rise of the current cycle will begin on December 9, 2024.
The predicted upcoming market cycle bottom is predicted as follows:
Based on the Bottom-to-Bottom pattern, the market bottom is forecasted for October 19th 2026.
According to the Top-to-Bottom pattern, the market bottom is forecasted for October 26th 2026.
Here is a graphical overview of our prediction timelines:
Price prediction using diminishing Returns:
In the context of Bitcoin and market cycles, diminishing returns refers to the phenomenon where, as Bitcoin’s market matures and more capital or resources are invested, the incremental gains or price increases from additional investments become smaller over time.
In essence this means the following:
Bull Market Peaks: As a market cycle reaches its peak, diminishing returns become evident. The price increases become smaller and less dramatic each cycle compared to earlier in the cycle.
Bear Market Corrections: Following the peak, the market often enters a correction phase where prices decline significantly. The decline also becomes smaller and less dramatic compared to earlier cycles.
In essence, this results in less dramatic bull cycles but also less severe declines during bear markets:
Here is a table overview with the values:
The effects of diminishing returns are clearly observable, with one exception: the Cycle Top to the next Cycle Bottom in Cycle 3, which saw a 6x loss. However, if we take the effects of diminishing returns into consideration, we can make the following conclusions:
The next Cycle Top will likely not exceed the Cycle 4 Top-to-Top multiplier of 3.4x, meaning it is unlikely to exceed a price of 224K.
The next Cycle Top will likely not exceed the Cycle 4 Bot-to-Top multiplier of 20.5x, meaning it is even more unlikely to exceed a price of 333K.
After considering the effects of diminishing returns, we believe a Top-to-Top multiplier in the range of 2 to 2.6 is realistic. Therefore, we predict a cycle top price of $131,000 to $170,000.
Regarding the next bear market Bottom:
The next Cycle Bottom will likely be below the Cycle 4 Bot-to-Bot multiplier of 5.1x, meaning it will likely be below 83K.
We believe a Bot-to-Bot multiplier in the range of 3 to 4 is realistic. Therefore, we predict a cycle bottom price of $49,000 to $65,000.
Final Conclusion:
Predicted Cycle Top: The upcoming market cycle top is forecasted to occur in October or November 2025. Based on our analysis, we predict a price range of $131,000 to $170,000.
Predicted Cycle Bottom:
The upcoming market cycle bottom is forecasted to occur in October or November 2026. Based on our analysis, we predict a price range of $49,000 to $65,000.
These predictions incorporate the effects of diminishing returns and historical cycle patterns.
BTC - Explanation of Potential 35,000 / 10,000 Drop & SummaryIn this video I detail out why I believe we will see a significant crash on Bitcoin, dig into the mechanics of how a drop to $10,000 is possible, talk about the US Dollar and macro ideas for Bitcoin, and summarize my trading ideas and why I am anticipating its a good trading opportunity.
Any questions or comments, please feel free to ask or leave your own input.
This is never about ego or being right over anyone else - we are in this together and all have the same goals.
It looks like we are ready to go long! 🚀 #Bitcoin Monthly Chart Update 🚀
After breaking out from its previous all-time high, #BTC is now retesting that key level.
The current monthly candle looks solid, showing signs of strength! 📊
This could be the beginning of a major move upward, in my opinion. 💡
What are your thoughts on this setup? Drop your views below! 👇
#Crypto
Long term bullmarket scenarioThis idea is a long-term bull market scenario. This idea could start on the day of the FED interest rate decision. The rate decision could lead price action into a bear trap by making traders think we are making a lower low. Well, we do, but this should be considered a bear trap as we have been moving sideways since March and a big event like the FED rate decision could lead to a trend change. Considering the fact that we are making lower lows, it seems like we are constantly liquidating the long positions and the market makers are keeping the short positions alive to sell on a late uptrend.
BTC will probably try to pick up liquidity from both sidesThe chart may be a bit unclear, but I will try to explain what it means: when we first determine the fibonacci after the impulse with $74k, we can see the support exactly at fibonacci 1.21. That gives us the right to look at this as an ABC correction.
Below are the FVG of the bit zones :
The monthly that has been tested several times plus the monthly candle did not close inside it which is very positive
In the last correction towards 53k weekly fvg showed strong support
Gap: Which is formed after this impulse shows that fibonacci 0.61 coincides together with that..
For now, everything is fine.. we are in the middle of the range, 60k and lower to watch for a potential long.
Below 58k and the closing of larger time frames, the saint structure changes
Aptos 2$ soonOn my chart you can see the price of venture capital investors - 0.7$, which is located in optimal trade entry (OTE), behind that I see the liquidities, and after that two targets will be grabbed, I would buy more Aptos. If we reach that target, I will stick to my analysis, however, this is not the main criterion I will be focusing on.
A cyclical historyWe have all heard that the economy works in cycles, and so does the market. But what does this truly mean? Has anyone actually been able to show you where you can see these cycles occur? Well, here is a great graph that will show you how. By looking at the 6-month time frame, the percentages of stocks above the 20 daily MA, you are achieving 2 things.
Seeing price action at the timeframe used to declare technical recessions
Seeing the percentage of stocks in a short term uptrend or downtrend as the complement is also true
Here it's quite easy to see how an important world event unfolded with a clear, repeatable pattern. When the percentage oscillates heavily, it allows for many technical resets, causing a healthy uptrend when the percentage returns to above 50% by the end of the semester. Another patter is that after a period of over-performance, a period of under-performance is followed and vice versa.
When looking at world events, just remember at the end of the day we are all a number in a larger scheme. And the laws of statistics will end up controlling our outcomes, as there must be balance in all binomial systems. Even when biases can be present in distributions, the more we generalize and zoom out, the more we can see the statistical convergences in human behavior. At the end of the day, our lives are influenced by fractals, some of which we are not even aware exist.
$ETH TO 15K BY DEC?The 3.618 on the fib from the 2018 ATH put's us on 2021 cycle ATH of ~$4.9k. The 3.618 on the fib from the cycle ATH of 2021 put's us on this cycle ATH of ~$15k possibly by December this year. This 3.618 on the fib also intersects with the cycle tops trendline from 2018. I don't think it's a coincidence. This would also mark a completion of our major 5th wave that is about to begin. Let me know what you think in the comments. Thank you.
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Data centers are critical infrastructure for modern digital services, including those provided by companies like Chegg. Here are some key benefits:
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Bitcoin (734,000$)Baby shark, doo doo doo doo doo doo
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Baby shark!
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It's the end!
The quickening of #BTC RSI & price extremes!I don't make the rules.
:)
We are just surfing the waves of emotions,
of the crowds.
Here we have Monthly line chart with the RSI
It clearly shows a quickening of the trend and how the 4 year cycle is likely to fail this time around.
It is too well know as a theory and will be front ran.
(in my opinion)
We should get a RSI peak at this rate, around May (could be June ofc)
and second lower peak around November (or DEC )
As always good luck in your speculations
#Crypto's are highly speculative instruments as we all know
During these tops you will be told many stories
you must have the wherewith-all to ignore the noise.