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BTC analysis 2Hi everyone! I'm MSNP, hope to have good year. let's see what happening on BINANCE:BTCUSDT BTC. we had a measured move based on first leg or BO and another measured move based on channel that we broke to upside. now on MM target we have a 32 day's Trading range... so, what we expect of next move? 1. we can rest a little more here and go for higher levels(48k,49k). 20 to 30 % possibility (if get there we have double top potential ) 2. we can go for a 2-wave pullback and see 40k once more that, this can be good (no rush and no pressure on any side) 3. we can have a bull BO and immediately back to TR and then we see a Deep correction. (70% possibility) have green portfolio. MSNP
by imMsnP
AlgoAlpha's Crypto Bull ThesisIntroduction In the ever-evolving world of cryptocurrency investments, one often hears conflicting narratives about market efficiency and the potential for massive gains. This article delves into the Crypto Bull Thesis, offering insights, and high-conviction crypto assets that may flourish in the next bull cycle. Directional Bias 1. Limited Growth Stock to Flow At the heart of our Crypto Bull Thesis lies the concept of the Limited Growth Stock to Flow (LGS2F). This model highlights Bitcoin's unique value proposition: its limited supply. The scarcer an asset, the more valuable it becomes, and Bitcoin's halving events every four years reinforce this scarcity. This limited growth S2F model underpins our base case, making Bitcoin a store of value unlike any other. 2. Bitcoin Four-Year Cycle The Bitcoin four-year cycle is a well-documented phenomenon. It's akin to clockwork: approximately 2-3 years of bullish trends, characterized by remarkable price appreciation, followed by a year-long correction phase (red). This cyclical pattern has held true throughout Bitcoin's history and forms the foundation of our bullish outlook. 3. There is still room for more pump Evaluating Bitcoin's long-term market conditions is paramount. We assess whether Bitcoin is overbought or oversold by analyzing indicators such as the Limited Growth Stock to Flow (LGS2F) or the BTC Supply in Profits and Losses (BTCSPL). These insights guide our perspective on market sentiment. Based on these indicators, we are clearly not at the top of the bull run yet. 5. ETF The eagerly anticipated approval of a Bitcoin Exchange-Traded Fund (ETF) has been already approved, now institutions are eyeing other assets such as $INDEX:ETHUSD. Such an approval would open the floodgates for institutional investors, propelling crypto into mainstream finance. This potential catalyst holds significant weight in our thesis. 6. Global Liquidity Cycle Global liquidity conditions are never static. Monitoring changes in monetary and fiscal policies across the globe is essential. These shifts impact asset classes, including cryptocurrencies, and play a pivotal role in our assessment of market dynamics. Alt Picks: 1. Highest Correlation to Bitcoin The crypto market dances to Bitcoin's tune. Bitcoin, as the pioneer and bellwether of the crypto space, sets the tone for the entire market. When Bitcoin soars, the majority of altcoins follow suit, and when it corrects, they often do too. Therefore the best assets are those that are the most correlated to bitcoin and have the highest volatility. (credit: @VanHe1sing) 2. Highest Beta with High Correlation Risk-tolerant investors may seek high-beta cryptocurrencies that closely track Bitcoin's price fluctuations. As the market is highly correlated to INDEX:BTCUSD , these assets are essentially leveraged bets on Bitcoin without the risk of liquidation as you do not need leverage. Bear in mind that this requires a strong stomach for volatility. 3. Percentage Distance from All-Time High (ATH) Investors often hunt for gems that have yet to reach their previous all-time highs. We carefully examine how far an altcoin is from its ATH, as this metric can indicate growth potential and an opportunity to enter the market at an advantageous position. Below are some examples⤵️ Emerging Narrative Plays: 1. Solana Memes The Solana ecosystem is vibrant, and emerging meme culture adds a unique dimension. Projects like Degen Ape Academy and SolPunks capture the community's imagination, making Solana a narrative play to watch. Some other Solana memes are: BINANCE:BONKUSDT and MEXC:WIFUSDT 2. AI (Artificial Intelligence) The convergence of AI and blockchain technology holds immense promise. Projects harnessing AI for data security and transparency within blockchain networks are at the forefront of this narrative play, exploring the limitless possibilities at this intersection. Some of these tokens are: BINANCE:RNDRUSDT , KUCOIN:AKTUSDT , MEXC:TAOUSDT 3. Domains Blockchain-based domain management and trading platforms are gaining traction. As online presence continues to expand, cryptocurrencies related to domains present an intriguing narrative play with real-world applications. One such to coin to look at is: BINANCE:ENSUSDT 4. US Presidential Elections US presidential elections are happening this year. This could potentially lead to rallies of tokens such as MEXC:TRUMP2024USDT . Understanding this political narrative is essential for any crypto investor. In conclusion, our Crypto Bull Thesis combines the limited growth Stock to Flow model, the Bitcoin four-year cycle, market correlations, and global liquidity conditions to guide investment decisions. Alt picks based on correlation, beta, and ATH distance provide diversification options. Additionally, emerging narratives like Solana Memes, AI, Domains, and the US presidential elections offer opportunities for forward-thinking investors to navigate the ever-evolving crypto landscape. As always, we provide this info for educational purposes, it is important to Do Your Own Research.
INDEX:BTCUSD
by AlgoAlpha
The "EXPERTS" are wrong! The bull run is upon us!This chart is to show anyone still on the fence about buying bitcoin, weather the bottom is in and if bitcoin is about to enter a bull market. Lets take a look at this 2 week chart of bitcoin with three indicators. 1 CM ULTIMATE MA 2 PI CYCLE BOTTOM (only the short MA to keep it clean) 3 TRADERS DYNAMIC INDICATOR (TDI) All three of these indicators are screaming that not only the bottom is for 6 months now but that the bull run is right around the corner. We can also see that price action would battle here with these areas until they broke above and confirmed the bull run, we are not there yet, but bitcoin is in the amidst of this battle as we speak. So, once these lines are conquered the bull should be official. It will not go below until the bull run is over. the one exception for this is covid in 2020, but it fairly quickly recovered from. Lets look at the facts. The thick green line that turns red in bear trends is the cm ultimate and the thinner green is pi cycle. Three previous times in history the pi line has crossed down below the cm ultimate which marked the eventual bottom. The cross up is what is important here as every other time in history marked the bottom well behind it and was approaching the inevitable next bull phase. {Highlighted with ovals} Now the TDI The TDI is actually showing confluence which only strengthens our analysis. The TDI also showed bullish divergence for many weeks before the latest breakout mark with yellow lines. Also the TDI shows strength and momentum build up as we compare it to the previous market cycles. The red line first makes a bottom and then crosses the green line. then it crosses the median yellow line and the green line then follows it. When both the red and green lines crossed the median yellow line in previous history, the bull run followed very shortly after. {highlighted with bigger ovals} So, according to these indicators the bull market is coming very soon. We can have another big correction here soon, but the as long as the criteria is met the rocket ship will leave orbit. Thank you WeAreSat0shi Stay blessed!
BNC:BLXLong
by WeAreSat0shi
10
Rumors of Bitcoins demise have been greatly exaggerated. Bitcoin is now out of a bear market and is in it's initial phase of the bull market. That's not what the news is saying. The news says the worst is yet to come, I don't agree. Let's have a look. First, the green and red zone is Gaussian Channel. It turns red in bear markets and green in bull markets. Once it turns green it stays green for the entire bull market. Well sir, it's not green, it's still red. Yes this is a lagging indicator, by the time it turns green bitcoin will be preparing to enter the next phase of the bull market. Down below we have the crypto fear and greed indicator. I have drawn a yellow line where the support for this indicator should most likely stay the entire bull run. The corrections should go to the NEUTRAL area of 47. It is possible for it go lower like 46 45 in fear but It should recover quickly. A substantial break of this zone would likely mean the bull market is over. How do we know all this stuff? How can we verify it? WE would look left on the chart. History may not repeat exactly, but it does rhyme. This is my analysis of the bear market transitioning into a bull market. From last September I was calling for the Bull market to start in March of 2023. Look a the break out candle. Mid March, NAILED IT!! We can see when prices fell in November that the fear and greed was actually rising creating a bullish divergence. I don't expect prices to fall below into this yellow shaded section again. That doesn't mean it can't, if it does, it will not last long in my opinion. It will get bought up very quick. Please feel free add comments or ask questions down below. Thanks for looking WeAreSar0shi
BNC:BLXLong
by WeAreSat0shi
12
The bear trap is set. The 2023 bear trap AS we can see on January 20th Bitcoin broke the down trend it has been in for over one year now. Recently the resistance was tested and was made in to support as Bitcoin took a strong bounce off of it. WE can clearly see this in the chart with the highlighted oval. Above that we have the bear trap zone and the fomo zone A break and hold of the 25.4k level leads to the setting of the bear trap. This bear trap zone goes all the way to 32k above that is the fomo zone and it goes to 47k and possibly even higher. These ar eth e levels to look for in the coming weeks. Another thing of note to look for is that Bitcoin could retest the break out zone at a later date {shown with the blue arrow} and as long as it holds it could then lead to the bear trap. What to look for The RSI will be a dead give away on what move comes first as I have drawn the down trend that it is in at the moment. If this should break above the down trend then it will do with the price and confirm the move. Thanks for looking Hit the like and subscribe for hot off the press charts. WeAreSatoshi Stay blessed in 2023.
BNC:BLXLong
by WeAreSat0shi
3
AUDUSD Near Its 6-Month HighHi Traders! AUDUSD is having a strong finish to end the year and is targeting the 6-month high at 0.68948. Here are the details: After the double top at 0.68948 six months ago, AUDUSD was in a bear market for two months and then went into a range zone for three months. Last month, the market finally broke the 0.65175 range zone resistance and has been in a bull market ever since. We have a bullish view on this pair also in our long-term idea, as on the 1W chart, there has been a triangle breakout above the resistance trendline. The strategy here is to buy the market dips to target the six-month high at 0.68948. Preferred Direction: Buy Target Level: 0.68948 Technical Indicators: 20 EMA Please make sure to click on the like/boost button 🚀 as your support greatly helps. Trade safely and responsibly. BluetonaFX
Long
by BluetonaFX
"Ethereum Price Analysis: Breakout, Daily Trends, and HistoricaIn the weekly time frame, Ethereum broke out of this horizontal resistance, resembling the pattern observed in the last bull run. Following this breakout, a retest similar to the previous bull run is anticipated. In the daily time frame: - Ethereum faced rejection at the $2400 level. - The $1800 to $2000 range is identified as a support level, also representing the 0.382 level of Fibonacci retracement. - In my opinion, the optimal entry point for Ethereum is within the $1750-$2000 range. Regarding Ethereum's historical data: - In the first cycle, after the all-time low (ATL), CRYPTOCAP:ETH took 777 days to surpass its previous all-time high (ATH). - If history repeats itself, a new ATH could potentially be reached around 700 days from today, possibly by July 2024. - The last bull run lasted around 1071 days. - This time, it is expected to last between 1071 to 1064 days of a bull market. Based on fractal analysis and chart data, it is anticipated that Ethereum will reach its next bull market peak in May to June 2025.
BITSTAMP:ETHUSDLong
by CRYPTOMOJO_TA
SPY Bull Run Eyes $492 Post-FOMC: Key Indicators & Gaps AnalyzedSPY's Bullish Surge: Decoding Market Indicators and Gaps The SPY is riding a bullish wave, scaling new heights with remarkable momentum. On my chart, three proprietary indicators are at play, offering unique insights into the market's pulse. Particularly noteworthy is the indicator that measures cycle direction strength across time frames. Currently, it signals substantial bullish force from the higher period cycles – a force that remains unyielded. Post-FOMC statements have set the upper resistance for SPY around $492, and that's my line in the sand for considering any short positions. We're not there yet, and the strength indicators suggest the climb isn't over. Thursday's trading painted a complex picture: an impulse wave downwards, which acts as a correction to the previous day's upward surge, left a notable gap at 472.30. The odds are in favor of this gap being filled before the market rings in the new day. Yet, from the vantage point of the shorter cycle, the target gap stands higher at 462.88. When it comes to trading these gaps, the rule of thumb is clear: the market must tread in the gap's direction for it to be closed. As traders, we watch these patterns closely, for they often spell the difference between an ordinary trade and a strategic win. Stay tuned, follow for updates, and trade with the confidence of informed insights.
AMEX:SPYLong
by Saver0
"Heading: Altcoins on Track for $5 Trillion Surge by 2025"Anticipating a Massive Altcoin Season: Exploring Potential Growth in Market Cap Introduction: The cryptocurrency market is abuzz with predictions of an impending altcoin season that could lead to a staggering $5 trillion Altcoin MarketCap by 2025. This forecast is grounded in historical data, fractal analysis, and chart patterns, suggesting a pattern reminiscent of previous market cycles. Historical Context: Examining the historical data reveals intriguing patterns: After the all-time low (ATL), it took 762 days for the Total Market Cap to surpass its previous all-time high (ATH). If history repeats itself, a new ATH could be reached approximately 761 days from today, potentially around December 2024. The last bull run lasted about 1066 days, and the current one is expected to span between 1071 to 1064 days. Fractal Analysis: The fractal analysis unveils a compelling narrative: In 2014–2015, the market experienced 610 days of consolidation. 2016-2017 witnessed a parabolic rise in Altcoin MarketCap, hitting Extension 3.168 at around $400 billion. 2018-2019 saw another 609 days of consolidation before a breakout. Currently, in 2022-2023, the market has undergone 548 days of consolidation, hinting at an imminent breakout. Future Projections: Building upon the historical context and fractal analysis, the projection for 2024-2025 unfolds: Anticipating that Altcoin MarketCap will experience a surge, reaching Extension 3.168, estimated at $5 trillion. The expected timeframe for this extraordinary surge is set for the period of September to October 2025. Conclusion: Considering the historical patterns, fractal analysis, and projected timelines, the narrative paints a bullish outlook for altcoins in the long term. The predicted Altcoin MarketCap of $5 trillion by 2025 suggests significant potential for growth and underscores the importance of keeping a keen eye on market dynamics in the coming years. As the cryptocurrency landscape evolves, investors may find compelling opportunities in the altcoin space, marking the potential for a substantial shift in market dynamics.
CRYPTOCAP:TOTALLong
by CRYPTOMOJO_TA
The Digital Economy Ushers in A Long Term Bull Market CycleI received my CMT charter long ago, when chartered market technician candidates could write a thesis that had potential to change the body of knowledge of Technical Analysis. It did and it continues to serve me and my students well. It was called "Cycle Evolution Theory" and my specialty is in the long-term cycles of emerging displacement technologies that change society, the economy and the stock market. So this is an especially exciting time in the history of the stock market to be teaching trading and investing, during a major shift I have been preparing my students for over the last few years. The stock market is rallying to new highs as a NEW Bull Market is underway. There will be minor retracements from time to time, but the long-term uptrend has begun. The Bull Market Cycles of the past have lasted about 13 years. Cycle experts believe this Bull Market will last longer because there are over 20 new technologies moving into the Market Acceptance Phase all around the same time. It’s not just Artificial Intelligence. Several new technologies are changing the economy of the US to a DIGITAL Economy, the first in the history of all the various economic types. A Digital Economy derives its primary growth and expansion not from manufacturing, not from consumer buying of products and services, but from the STOCK MARKET. In this new economy, the middle class may get left behind if they don’t learn how to use trading and investments to maintain and build wealth. See the attached NASDAQ:IXIC NASDAQ Composite Chart that shows the long-term bull market cycles of this index using the DPO indicator on a monthly scale. The Cycles show: the topping and Peak of the 2009–2020 Bull Market. a second extreme Peak in 2021 after the speculative run up out of the shortest bear market in history due to the Covid-19 Pandemic. the intermediate term correction in 2022. and now a new Trough is completed for the beginning of the next Bull Market. The Bull Market of the late 1980s to the year 2000 was extremely steep for the NASDAQ, as it had the 6 new technology industry stocks of that time as components. The Bull Market of 2003–2008 was not a new technology market period but a Real Estate Market boom, so the NASDAQ had minimal gains. The Bull Market of 2009–2020 was created by the new technology of the Cloud, Platform as a Service (PaaS), Software as a Service (SaaS), the Internet of Everything (IoE), sensors, semiconductors, electronics, and more. This next Bull Market has 20+ new technologies. When there are new technologies coming to market, there are the best opportunities for trading and investing in the stock market. PLUS, there is always a silver lining to a global pandemic cycle, and that is the empirical historical fact that after every major pandemic, there is a growth era of new technologies, new social reforms, and new approaches to problems that lead to widespread economic prosperity. A pandemic is very similar to a World War in its impact on social norms, health, government, the distribution of wealth, education, and individual identity. Most of the 140 industries in the US financial markets will be impacted by a huge number of displacement technologies. These are far more extensive and disruptive than in the new technology era of the 1980s–1990s. Learning about these new technologies will help you trade or invest in stocks with knowledge and confidence in the next long-term Bull Market. How many of the 20+ new technologies coming to market can YOU name? The stocks of companies who are working on or using these new technologies and that are poised for dominance in the next bull market cycle will have Dark Pool accumulation patterns concentrated at the trough of the next upward cycle. So I've referenced some of the posts where I've featured these patterns below. Trade Wisely,
NASDAQ:IXIC
by MarthaStokesCMT-TechniTrader
2
TOTAL 1 Will Crypto Christmas come early?I was thinking to wait till tomorrow till I post this analysis so more people could see it but oh well, let us do it today cause you never know what happens. I think this is one of the most important charts when following crypto markets. (cause it shows crypto markets money inflows and outflows). Bitcoin has broken out already from this years highs week ago (I'll add picture down), BUT Total 1 marketcap hasn't made higher highs yet. If and when this breaks I believe we will see surge on BTC and possibly on alts that will wake up the bull narrative again. (News etc) Target is 1.49 Trillion so that would be 250 Billion inflows to crypto markets, that's 20% rise! Better to be prepared than get caught with pants down Two active trades going on DYDX and GOLD -PalenTrade
CRYPTOCAP:TOTALLong
by PalenTrade
4
"Breaking Resistance: #TSUKA Signals Bullish Momentum! 🚀🚀 #TSUKA Update 📈 In the daily timeframe, #TSUKA has broken a 298D resistance and is currently in the retest phase. The price is anticipated to sustain its upward trend, aiming for previous highs. Currently trading in the Buy Zone, a bullish momentum is on the horizon. 🔍 Entry: Plan to buy in this retest 🎯 Targets: TP1: 0.0637 TP2: 0.082 TP3: ATH 🛑 SL: Close below upper support on a daily candle. Remember to DYOR! 🚀 #Crypto #TradingAlert
Long
by CRYPTOMOJO_TA
1
Key points to follow in BullMarketIt was a key moment for altcoins in the past bullmarket, namely when BTC.D reached a strong resistance level at 73% to be exact, this happened on January 02, 2021, from that moment TOTAL 2 started to grow aggressively and the reign to decrease aggressively, until May 12, 2021, when we approached the peak of the bull market for Altcoins and BTC.D reached an important support level, namely 40%, whi c h was also in May 2018 support. What we have to learn from here, is that we have to follow important resistance levels for BTC.D to trigger big increases on Altcoins, and take our profits when BTC.D reaches important supports. www.tradingview.com We identified the important support levels for BTC.D that could record the end of a growth cycle for ALT's in the next bull market and these are: 49% and 40%. In my opinion, I think partial profits should be taken at these levels. www.tradingview.com And as a strong resistance level that could trigger a big growth on altcoins could be the 60% level for BTC.D. You have to take into account that a click has the following stages, BTC increases, then ETH, then the altcoins with large capitalization then those with small capitalization.
CRYPTOCAP:BTC.DLong
by coin_score
GRTUSDT - Riding the AI Narrative 🚀GRTUSDT - Riding the AI Narrative 🚀 Overview: GRTUSDT is positioned for a bullish surge, fueled by the current narrative around artificial intelligence (AI). The intersection of blockchain and AI technologies presents a compelling case for GRT's potential. Fundamental Analysis: AI Integration: The increasing synergy between blockchain and AI is becoming a significant narrative in the tech and crypto space. GRT's Role: As a decentralized protocol for the development of AI applications on the blockchain, GRT is poised to attract capital from institutions and investors keen on the AI narrative. Technical Analysis: Supportive Chart Patterns: The technical landscape supports the narrative, with patterns indicating a potential uptrend. Volume Uptick: Expect a surge in trading volume as the narrative gains momentum. Price Target: Given the strong narrative and potential capital influx, our price target for GRTUSDT is set at 0.50 cents, representing a potential increase of around 350%. Risk Management: Stop-Loss: Strategically place a stop-loss to manage risk, considering recent support levels. Diversification: Diversify your portfolio to spread risk, especially when investing based on thematic narratives. Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes and should not be considered financial advice. Conduct thorough research and employ risk management strategies in your trading decisions. Conclusion: GRTUSDT stands at the intersection of blockchain and the AI narrative, offering substantial growth potential. Stay informed, monitor market developments, and trade responsibly.
Long
by ND_Capital
May '22 Inv H&S NL Broke but Alts are Nearing Resistance!Traders, For the first time in a year and a half, alts have broken above major resistance. This resistance happens to be the neckline for our long-trending inverse head and shoulders. This is hugely bullish! But before you max out your home equity line of credit, know that we are nearing what looks like it could become a local top. The channel which alts have utilized for almost a whole month to propel them to a breakout is about to hit significant resistance. Once we bump our head here (resistance), I think we'll retest our neckline and then relaunch to our final target. In addition to being in highly overbought territory on the daily RSI there are more looming threats of a future gov't shutdown. This time I think it happens. Stocks will sharply pull back. Crypto will follow. And everybody will once again have their second chance to buy the fear and re-enter another crypto bull run before it happens. Stewdamus
CRYPTOCAP:TOTAL2
by stewdamus
BTC: READY FOR ANOTHER LEG TO UPSIDE ($40K-$42k)!!Hello everyone, if you like the idea, do not forget to support it with a like and follow. Welcome to this quick BTC update. BTC looks good here. Forming upsloping flag-like structure and currently, retesting the flag. After this successful retest, we might see another leg to the upside which is targeted to the $40k- FWB:42K level. Invalidation:- 4hr close below FWB:36K What do you think about this? Share your thoughts in the comment section. If you like this idea then do support it with like and follow. Thank You!
Long
by CoreCrypto1
3