BTC inexperience getting rolled - 2 ways use stairs to TPBottom's In
don't get rolled down the stairs learning to walk. Many people high on bull market gains want to imagine that anything under 100k is a deal in todays market. It may or may not be but commiting yourself to a position without confluence and TA or a news event is a great way to lose your footing and take a fall.
Wait for a bounce on the higher timeframes since we have been trending downwards for over a week and havnt been able to set any new market structure. Smart money bearish FVG Gaps were rejected and price is headed down on the weekly.
We are looking at a LONG at around 85 to 83 off the the 1D 200 EMA, It will need to stand as support with confirmation from indicators and Volume. It will bounce and retest quickly smart money is already in place to accumulate in this area.
PREVIOUS IDEA
Bullmarketsupport
Bullmarket Support Band flips BullishThe Bullmarket Support Band has historically acted as a support level for Bitcoin prices during bull markets.
It is a simple long TF indicator and price tends to retrace towards it. For example, during the 2017 bull run, Bitcoin had several 30-40% corrections to the support band.
WHY THIS MATTERS:
The band just "flipped bull" on the monthly timeframe after a long bear trend since February 2022.
On the weekly we had a perfect touch off the support band with a nice reaction to the upside.
Most importantly we had our first monthly close above the Support band since April 2022.
Last time this occured was October 2019 7 months prior to the May 2020 halvening and imo 1 year before the real bullmarket started in October 2020.
Now we are 8 months away from the predicted April 2024 Halvening.
After October 2019 the support band was pretty much respected with minor dips, other than the Black Swan of the Covid Crash.
History rhymes, you cannot trade solely of this indicator but it certainly tingles my BULL NUTS.
As for the Price I think the big boys wanna see more fomo longs and for that we will need to reach 33-35K and imo 40k is not out of the question.
Once that is achieved a Black Swan could be looming, who knows what. At this point we all know its a game, just make sure to know the rules and play along.
NOTE: The band is created by plotting the 20-week simple moving average (SMA) and the 21-week exponential moving average (EMA) on a weekly chart.
Bitcoins Needs To Close AboveBitcoins weekly candle will be coming to a close in less than 24 hours. There does seem to be a decrease in volume in the last couple weeks. Also there is a clear divergence with MACD and Price. If Bitcoin does not hold this support level I will be looking to take some profits. Keep a close eye on that level.
Ethereum Closely Holding Resistance at Bull Market Support Band Ethereum is interacting well with the Bull Market Support Band indicator where it bounced from the 21W EMA on May 23rd, fell below the support band in mid-June and is now holding resistance at the 20W SMA level for over a week. Once ETH/USD breaks through the support band and holds it as support, we may see bullish action again.