DOT - A Risky Opportunity for HoldingBINANCE:DOTUSDT (1W CHART) Technical Analysis Update
DOT is currently trading at $5.9 and the price is in a consolidation state. As we expect a bull market in crypto, it's likely that the price will bounce back from this consolidation zone. This is a good opportunity to buy some and hold in the spot market.
Entry level: $ 5.9
Stop Loss Level: $ 4.7
TakeProfit 1: $ 8.811
TakeProfit 2: $ 10.667
TakeProfit 3: $ 16.852
TakeProfit 4: $ 23.526
Max Leverage: 2x / Sport
Position Size: 0.5% of capital
Remember to set your stop loss.
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GreenCrypto
Bullrun
ETHEREUM ETF With the Ethereum ETF decision just days away, ETH has made a massive breakout play in an effort to front run a positive ETF outcome, the approval of VanEck and ArkInvest/ 21Shares ETH ETFs on the 23rd & 24th May respectively.
In terms of price action and charting this is how I see it. Now that price has broken out from the downtrend and hit the Bearish OB as shown, I think many were caught of guard and expected any sort of volatility to come on the day of the decisions. Instead it seems many have decided to front run the decision and go long which opens up more challenges. I think ETH had priced in a rejection of the ETF at ~£3K , with how the SEC has viewed ETH and it's stance on insisting it's a security, Coinbase estimated a 30-40% chance of an approval last weekend. Now that price has risen almost as if we already have news of approval I think that should the ETF be denied we could fall straight back down to $3K area with support areas shown as targets on the chart. This would print a Bart Simpson style pattern and many Longs will be devastated.
On the other hand, Bloomberg have said that the chances of approval has gone from 25% to 75% and the chart shows this new level of optimism. If the ETF is approved I could see ETH using this current level as a base to target new local highs and close the gap on BTC dominance.
Bitcoin Bull Run Starts Now! - $500K Target?The Bitcoin bull run has officially started. Here is a fractal showing the last bull run and in my opinion, it lines up very well when coupled with Fibonacci retracement. This is macro timeframe, so these moves could take as long as 2026 to finish coming to fruition. Enjoy.
$BTC is about to do a 12% to 27% correction (high probability)Check the chart. We are still in this descending wedge channel, and to go higher, we need to break through the top resistance.
We may succeed and reach 100k, and the bull run could finish next week. Or we may continue to consolidate. This idea focuses on the second possibility.
- Moon boys are all chanting 81k, 100k again. That is a sign that the market is ripe to wreck them.
- Whales have accumulated a lot of CRYPTOCAP:BTC at the bottom and all the way up from the last correction. They will take profit at some point now that many buyers have stepped in, ready to be wrecked.
- The market sentiment is at 75, which is euphoria. A perfect time to wreck the herd.
About the chart:
- The MACD is overheated on 4h and 1D timeframes. A reset lower is unavoidable.
- The RSI is overheated too after this huge pump from 55k to 70k.
The similar conjunction of both MACD and RSI being extremely overbought has resulted in corrections in the past. The question is not if there will be a correction but when.
Ideally, it should happen when we get rejected by the top resistance at the last cycle ATH or a little higher. There are a lot of shorts to be liquidated at this level, so it might push CRYPTOCAP:BTC higher technically.
The correction can be moderate. In that case, it will be a return to the middle of the channel where there is a support line. That would be the green scenario with a -12% correction.
The worst scenario would be to bounce on the middle of the channel by the support and be rejected a second time at the resistance, forming a double top. This would result in a harsher correction to the bottom of the wedge with a 27% drop.
Remember that all of this is scripted. Whales have enough CRYPTOCAP:BTC and enough liquidity to manipulate the value of CRYPTOCAP:BTC as they wish, especially the big exchanges. So the German selling or Mt. Gox stories are just distractions; the exchanges are doing what they want to make money.
The fact that no one would sell their CRYPTOCAP:BTC at this stage of the market is irrelevant. They will sell to get your money because you will sell in panic. Then they will buy again lower and push the price up like they did before. That is how they are making billions.
DYOR always.
BTCUSDT - Weekly The Bitcoin weekly chart exhibits a pattern of three significant upswings, each nearing a 90% increase, followed by roughly 20% corrections after the first and second legs.
As we approach the halving event, a pullback of at least 20% seems plausible, suggesting a potential target around $58K.
Given this historical pattern and the cyclic nature of Bitcoin's price action, such a retracement would not be out of the ordinary.
IS $DOGE ABOUT TO DO THE UNTHINKABLE?Last bull run CRYPTOCAP:DOGE did a 280x from the start of the 5 wave move to the upside to its ATH of $0.73. This move took about 182 days. At its previous ATH, the MC did a 44x from the 2018 peak of GETTEX:2BN to ~$88bn. Based on this upward sloping trendline, CRYPTOCAP:DOGE is primed to hit $7.5, and if history repeats itself, this should happen by end of this year. This would also bring CRYPTOCAP:DOGE MC to almost $1.1trillion, which is about a 12.5x from previous ATH, which is not even up to 1/3 of what it did last bull run. This looks crazy but it's just what the chart shows.
Can CRV make 10x move?BINANCE:CRVUSDT kept making lower lows but doesn't mean it is not gonna go down more. In my opinion BINANCE:CRVUSDT trading in bullflag pattern which is a sign of reversal and checked bottom line 3 times which we can consider as triple bottom. 0.48-0.52 area is crucial which can decide either go up or make another low, but most importantly BINANCE:CRVUSDT must break upper trend line in order to make 10x move. Also MACD making huge Divergence in 1W TF and great amount of Volume coming in lately. I will be taking profits at those green lines.
Is the bull market over? Ultimate Bitcoin (BTC) analysisHello, Skyrexians!
Last month was bloody for the crypto market. BINANCE:BTCUSDT dumped from $70k to $63k, altcoins have completely dead and broke the belief for the altseason. We suppose that now nobody wants to hear anything about altseason and crypto. Most of traders has -50-60% portfolio loss and even cryptocurrency trading platforms which are using the automated trading bot faced with the huge losses. Will this dump continue or now is the reversal point and the forbidden word "altseason" can be said again in the nearest future? Let's try to understand!
Bitcoin weekly time frame analysis
First of all let's take a look at the 1W BTC time frame using our cryptocurrency trading strategy. This timeframe is good to describe current bull run with the Elliott waves. The first we shall do is to find the highest high on the Awesome oscillator. This top corresponds to the recent top at $73k. Therefore, there is a high probability that now price is printing the wave 4.
We have the minimal requirement to finish this wave is the cross of the zero line by Awesome oscillator. We need to see much more candles for this crossover. It means that wave 4 will be finished at least in September. The good news that target price has been already reached or almost reached, that's why we don't expect the significant drop from here. 0.38-0.5 Fibonacci retracement from wave 3 is enough to finish this correction. It means that max drop is possible to $49k. When the reversal bar will be printed there correction is gonna be over.
After that the major wave 5 is expected which can reach 85-107k depends on if it's gonna be extended or not. We will have more precise target when this wave be in progress. Then the bull run is gonna be finished and the next bear market can potentially be huge, but now it's too early to talk about it.
BTC Bitcoin 2024/2025 Bull Run updated Chart timeline Because of the accumulation and the retesting of the .618 Fibonacci line, we have transitioned to following a similar path up to the 2017 Bull Run, which now pushes out some of the price points about a month or so later. Let's see how things play out..............
Amazon opportunity to buy SUI | +300% Target#SUI/USDT #Analysis
Description
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+ Price has reached the bottom and the support held strong
+ Price is now bouncing back from the support zone and this is a good time to accumulate
+ i'm expecting easy profit target of 300%
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VectorAlgo Trade Details
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Entry Price: 0.8534
Stop Loss: 0.4472
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Target 1: 1.0546
Target 2: 1.5460
Target 3: 2.3261
Target 4: 3.9707
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Timeframe: 1W
Capital Risk: 1-2% of trading amount
Leverage: 5-10x
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Enhance, Trade, Grow
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Feel free to share your thoughts and insights.
Don't forget to like and follow us for more trading ideas and discussions.
Best Regards,
VectorAlgo
15/07/24 Weekly outlookLast weeks high: $61,431.5
Last weeks low: $54,288.74
Midpoint: $57,860.12
Last week BTC had a strong rally from the beginning of the week by printing the low in the first hour, and then closing at the weekly high at the very last hours on Sunday, a +13% climb over the 7 days.
The Consumer Price Index (CPI) results came in very positive with a better than forecast result.
CPI (YoY):
FORECAST: 3.1%
ACTUAL: 3.0%
The Producer Price Index (PPI) results came in higher than forecast.
PPI (MoM):
FORECAST: 0.1%
ACTUAL:0.2%
Despite a positive CPI and negative PPI the chart reacted in an opposite direction to how we would expect. Eventually after Friday's PPI results the MIDPOINT of the range got flipped and has been rallying ever since.
Usually a weekend pump is not something to be trusted alone, the lower volume can often paint a false picture and because of this the Monday close is very important. Should Mondays close be above the last weeks high I think this could be a catalyst for flipping the Bearish trend back to Bullish.
Another indicator of a trend change is the 4H 200 EMA which has now been broken and awaits confirmation of acceptance above, again this leads into the Mondays close being key.
Close above $61,500 = BULLISH
Bounce and reclaim of both 1D & 4H 200EMAs, set up nicely for HTF continuation of Bullrun.
Close below $61,500 = BEARISH
A swing fail of last weeks high could also imply a rejection off 4H 200EMA and continuation of the chop/ LTF downtrend.
BITCOIN LINE IN THE SAND BTC has lost the 1D 200 EMA for the first time this year which is a major TA trend Indicator.
On the daily timeframe we can see a clean breakthrough below on the first touch since October of last year, which initially is surprising as this level is seen as key support for keeping a bullmarket going. Now that BTC has fallen under the moving average we've seen attempts at breaking back above for the last 3 days in a row, and with FED chair Powell set to testify today and tomorrow along with CPI &PPI on Thursday and Friday respectively. It's quite a FED heavy week with can bring volatility to the market.
The ETH ETF is rumoured to begin trading next Monday (15th July) which could be the catalyst to get both BTC & ETH back above their 1D 200 EMA's. For now the general worry is that the selling pressure caused by the German Government and Mt. Gox is what is dragging price down. However, yesterday recorded a net inflow of $295m for the Bitcoin spot ETFs, the most in 21 days which suggest there are buyers looking to absorb those Bitcoins that are being offloaded.
I am still a little confused as to why the German Government have decided to market sell through an exchange instead of any OTC transactions, perhaps it's a play to shake out weak hands and make retail panic?
The FA is always complicated but I still believe that the bearish factors are more short term when compared to all the bullish more long term factors. Short term market selling vs long term supply shock caused by the halving, institutional investors and ETFs buying, US election and rate cuts.
CPI & PPI can be volatile news events for the market, I think it could be one of these events that could be a catalyst to reclaim the 1D 200 EMA, we've seen a full reset of the RSI since the rally of earlier this year. Historically these are all good long term entry criteria.
XAU/USD Longs from 2,380 back up (ATH Soon)My gold bias for this week is bullish. After observing a reaction off the 22-hour supply zone, I expect a further drop to complete a retracement to a nearby demand zone, likely the 16-hour or smaller zones below it.
Given my bullish outlook, I will be looking for buy opportunities. Once price reaches my demand level, I will wait for lower time frame confirmation to take it back up, potentially to the old all-time highs (ATH) or even higher.
Confluences for GOLD Buys are as follows:
- Price has broken structure to the upside and left a 16-hour demand zone.
- Price is near the old ATHs, which is a major liquidity point.
- The overall and current trend for gold is very bullish.
- The DXY is looking bearish, supporting the gold buy ideas.
P.S. If the price continues to rise without a retracement, I will wait for further price action to determine if I can sell down to a demand zone.
BITCOIN VS ALTCOINS Since the beginning of 2023 BITCOIN has been on a relentless upward trajectory. As the highest market cap cryptocurrency it often sets the tone for the entire market. When Bitcoin goes up it tends to drag the rest of the market up with it and the same when Bitcoin falls is the general rule of thumb.
This post is to showcase the difference between Bitcoins market cap (TOTAL) Vs the Altcoin market cap which excludes Bitcoin and Ethereum (TOTAL3) . As the market leader Bitcoin is often the first mover and that can be seen in the chart on the left, we have at first glass a mirror image on the TOTAL3 chart on the right but with a few key differences:
- When Bitcoin fell from its ATH in November, price found it's bottom at the previous cycles ATH as seen by the blue horizontal ray. Whereas the altcoin market continued to drop below its previous ATH by another 19.67% . It's an important difference because it shows that altcoins are worse off in a bear market when compared to Bitcoin, and they start from further back once the Bullrun arrives.
- We can see that both charts are very similar, the next biggest difference is clearly the progression made in this Bullrun so far. Bitcoin has already moved past its "right shoulder" of the head and shoulders price pattern, TOTAL3 however is still some ways off that mark, the chart shows altcoins have a 38% gap between current level and the top of that "right shoulder" .
The reason for the gap in the race can be explained the same way each cycle because they're exactly the same patterns each cycle. Bitcoin is the first mover as it is the biggest by market cap, the same cycle of capital injection happens each and every time:
BITCOIN ----> LARGE CAPS ----> MID CAPS ----> SMALL CAPS
Profits get rotated into the next more risky investment over and over until the blow off top and retail are left holding their positions all the way down. This will most likely still be the case this cycle however there is a new player on the field...
BTC ETF's...
This is new and exclusive to this cycle and I believe this will partly change the dynamic of the cycle when compared to years gone by. With over $10 BILLION DOLLARS of net inflows into BTC the institutional buyers are now here in a much bigger way than ever before, how will this disrupt the money flow? It could prevent profits from rotating somewhat into the large caps, but not completely. Naturally the ETF providers will have a large stake in the holding of BITCOIN and are going to be less inclined to sell when the cycle looks to near its end as they are still providing the service to their customers. Having less sellside pressure will help BTC hold its value.
The altcoins may get the negative side of this as less profits in theory will rotate into smaller cap coins and result in a smaller 'Altseason" . This is the cost of institutional adoption. There is always the possibility of altcoin ETF's but that is another discussion. For now I can see altcoins playing catch up later this year and going into 2025.
ADA Bull Run Insights: Historical Patterns and Future ProjectionIn this detailed analysis of Cardano (ADAUSD), we examine the current support level at $0.333, which is proving to be a significant point for potential gains. Should this support hold, ADA could see a substantial increase. However, if it breaks, the next strong support is around $0.24, where a bounce is highly anticipated due to upcoming positive events and the nearing approval of Ethereum ETFs. These events could trigger a rally in altcoins, likely to be observed in Q4 2024. Historically, bull runs have been characterized by high volatility and substantial price rises, which we expect to see again.
For the upcoming bull run, Cardano's target is projected to be at least $7, based on historical performance and calculations. If ADA flips the $7 resistance by February 2025, we could see a maximum target of $9.11. Cardano, listed during the September 2017 alt season, yielded a 7322% return and an impressive 15556% return during the 2021 bull run. For 2025, we are anticipating a return of approximately 3750%. ADA is currently forming an uptrend with its maximum resistance projected at $9.11. Historically, bull markets have seen unexpected price pumps, and we can expect similar volatility this time. It is crucial to monitor S&R zones to keep trades active and plan to exit long positions around March or August 2025.
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Analyzing NMR Bullish Symmetrical Pattern: Breakout ForecastThe NMRUSD pair holds strong support at $11.80, presenting significant potential for a bullish move. If this support level holds, we can expect a notable gain. However, if this support breaks, the next strong support is at $10.66, where a bounce is anticipated due to the proximity of a bull run and the nearing approval of the ETH ETF. We can expect market bullishness in Q4 2024, accompanied by high volatility and substantial rises typical of bull runs.
Anticipated Bull Run Targets:
Based on historical data and calculations, NMRUSD's minimum target during the bull run is projected at $360. If it can flip the $360 resistance by February 2025, we might see a maximum target of $1000. NMRUSD, listed in 2017, has formed a symmetrical triangle pattern expected to break out during the 2025 bull run. Historically, prices have shown unexpected pumps during bull markets, and similar volatility is expected this time.
Strategic Long Position Management:
Considering the resistance zones and the potential pattern breakout, it is crucial to maintain active trades while monitoring these levels. Plan to exit long positions around March or November 2025, as the bull run is likely to end during this period.
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08/07/24 Weekly outlookLast weeks high: $63,884.22
Last weeks low: $53,536.87
Midpoint: 58,710.54
A continuation of BTC selling off has lead to a loss of nearly $10,000 from Bitcoins price from high to low. This sell off is mostly propelled by large selling pressure caused by the German Government selling, however they still have $2.2B of BTC to sell and Mt.Gox begin repayments of stolen funds from 2014 causing increased selling pressure.
From a TA standpoint BTC is still LTF bearish, but the interesting part is the HTF's as BTC is retesting the 1D 200EMA as resistance since breaking below it last week. In a Bullrun you really don't want to see too much time spent under the 1D 200EMA, it should really act as strong support and a place to add to LONG positions.
This week I would like to see the Bullish OB+ @ $52,000 tagged before making a judgment on where BTC is going next. It's a strong support area that will attract price too it, TA says this is a good area to go LONG but this is definitely not a blind bid environment. It also happens to be a 30% drop from ATH which has been a common Bullrun correction in the past.
This week my focus is on the ETH ETF updates, the S-1 forms rumoured to be due tomorrow, then it's down tot the SEC to turn them around. ETH is around $3000 with sentiment at yearly lows, definitely an opportunity there.
Also the BTC1D 200EMA is a point of contention and an important S/R level.
01/07/24 Weekly outlookLast weeks high: $63,700.01
Last weeks low: $58,451.16
Midpoint: $61,075.58
Q2 ENDS - Q3 BEGINS
After a rough quarter of sideways chop, ranging between ~$56K-73K it's safe to say that the last 3 months has been a tough one for the crypto markets. Despite the frustration with price it's important to realise the positive elements of the last quarter. The ETH ETF approval, THE HALVING, consolidation at the '21 ATH level are all bullish for the industry as a whole.
As the weekly, monthly and quarterly all close, July 1st almost feels like a new chapter, one that needs to begin strong. Last week we saw BTC dip to the 1D 200EMA for the first time this calendar year. This is not uncommon in a Bullrun, a bounce off that moving average while it is trending up is often a good R:R entry level for a HTF position. This lines up well with how last week played out and until price breaks below the moving average and changes its trend direction, I do not believe we have reason to panic.
As the first few trading hours of the new quarter have completed we can see that there is a clear S/R level at the 0.75 range line that was flipped, I would like to see a positive reaction off any retest of that level. As I stated before starting a new quarter positively can have a positive impact. Staying above $62,400 is important in the short term, $65,000 is resistance and an important S/R zone.
In the altcoin market tomorrow is an exciting day as the ETH ETF goes live , we've seen what an ETF can do with BTC and potentially the same thing can happen with ETH, the difference in my opinion is that institutions and larger investors were all expecting the BTC ETF to be approved when it did. However, I do not believe that those same players expected ETH ETF's to be approved as soon as they did. It is no secret that the SEC has been arguing that Ethereum is a security and therefor comes under the SEC's regulatory power which was always a point of contention and made ETF approval unlikely. Now that the probe has been dropped by the SEC and they have relinquished power over the cryptocurrency, the ETF is set to go live and I believe the big players just weren't prepared for this to happen so quickly hence the delay in price movement comparable to BTC. We shall see if this delayed response continues as trading goes live but I have no doubt that over the long term this is a net positive for ETH and the altcoin market.
In the broader alt space we can see clear signs of seller exhaustion . BTC dropped 10% last week and most alts didn't react anywhere near as negatively as this move usually does. That to me is a clear sign that sellers are all sold out and that buyers are happy to DCA in at these levels to balance price.
This week I am keeping an eye on those altcoins that outperformed BTC last week on their BTC pairs with good fundamentals as these alts will perform the best on the next rally. ETHEREUM ETF trading is the main talking point of the week and I will be monitoring that closely.
GOOD LUCK FOR Q3
$BOME | Here is another 10-20x meme coinIf you remember CRYPTOCAP:PEPE , we made 20x profit from it📈
Here is another 10-20x meme coin. Check out ECONOMICS:BOME if you're ready to take a small risk. It can give us multiple x return!
Like Pepe and Shib, it also listed on binance with a billion dollar market cap and we saw a big selling pressure after listing!
After a big dump there will be a few weeks of accumulation. Then we may see the expansion move 📈
Meme token is very high risky so go with small investment!
ECONOMICS:BOME DCA Level : 0.0060 - 0.0040 - 0.0025
Target : 5x 10x 15x 20x
#Dyorrr
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Crypto Bull Run (2024-25) | ARE YOU PANIC SELLING NOW?Is your coin 50%, 70% down?
Are you crying?
Are you panic selling now?
Remember the last bull run (2020-21)?
Whatever is happening in the market now, it happens during every bull run! So these are normal in the crypto market. Let me share an example of the last bull run 👇
During the last bull run (2020-21), #ETH price dumped around -70%, just before the start of bull run!
In just 30 days, #ETH dumped from $300 to $80 😹
At that time, 90% retails holder sold everything out of fear! They were thinking, Eth price will be ZERO! No bull run will come. Market Scam, Crypto Scam blah blah
After that the rest is history🚀🚀
ETH printed a bottom at $80. Then a big up rally started! Price pumped around +5560%.
$80 to $5000, ETH did +55x in 2020-21 bull run😎
Many will make the same mistake in this bull run (2024-25). Many coins are 70% down from your buying price! Think about those who sold eth at $80 in fear🙈
Even if not +55x pump like #ETH, every good projects will do minimum 10-20x from here Inshahallah