The #BTC Cyclical Turn Around Is Here!Bitcoin has dropped around 80% each bear market since conception, As we can see looking at the historical data I showed above. Each Bull cycle rhymes if you measure the days the bull/bear cycle ran for. Overall, I think we are on the edge of something special!
***nothing here is financial advice, always do your own research.
Bullrun
You NEVER read Bitcoin Cycles in This WayAll Things Follow Patterns: Deciphering Bitcoin Through Nature's Lens
Before delving deep, one must grasp a foundational truth: markets, with crypto being no exception, exhibit recurring patterns 🔄, much like nature's intricate tapestry. Witness these rhythms in seasonal shifts 🍁, the sun's majestic journey from dawn 🌅 to dusk 🌄, and even the emotional ebb and flow we undergo daily 😊😔.
While countless individuals navigate the market's turbulent waters, a single trait echoes through every investor: raw emotion 😨😃. Fear and greed are the primary market drivers 📈📉. Stark numbers present a sobering reality: 95% of cryptocurrency enthusiasts witness their assets evaporate, leaving a meager 5% standing tall 🏆. However, mastering the art of reading market sentiments and recognizing the tides of collective joy and despair can be your ticket to the elite circle 🥇
Unraveling the Cyclical Model 🔄
Now that you're familiar with the cyclical model 📊, it's of paramount importance to dive deep into its intricate details and fathom how this insight can be wielded in the crypto realm 🪙. Let's explore the cycle's various stages.
Below is a depiction of the cyclical model. You might be tempted to dismiss it as just another chart from a mundane tome on markets, trading, and investments 📚. But, hold that thought!
Pause and imprint this graph onto your mind 🧠. The reason? You'll be in for a surprise when you discover the striking resemblance this illustration holds with concrete scenarios we'll unveil later 🕵️♂️.
Accumulation Phase 📦
Smart Money 💼: In this period, the asset’s value seems stagnant and "unexciting" 🟦. Regular investors and traders, the retail crowd 🙍♂️🙍, tend to step back, paving the way for the "smart money" 💡💰 (major banks, hedge funds, big players) to seize assets at a bargain.
First Growth Phase 📈
Institutional Investors 🏢: Here, the asset starts its ascent 🌱, yet subtly, not enough to make headlines 📰. The "smart money" persists in purchasing, preparing the terrain for what's next.
Euphoria Phase 🎉
Public 🌍: Arguably the most electrifying cycle segment 🚀. As prices soar, retail participants flock 🐦. The media spotlight intensifies 🎥, newcomers enter buying en masse, further fueling the surge. And the "smart money"? They strategically exit, handing over to the novices.
Capitulation Phase 📉
Capitulation 🏳️: Then, the downturn sets in. As prices dip, after "smart money" has exited, euphoria turns to dread 😱. Late buyers, who hopped in during the highs, are now in a frenzy, offloading assets. Thus, enters the "capitulation phase."
The pattern? A perennial one, consistent across every market landscape 🔄. Grasping this cyclical nature aids in making informed moves – to buy, to sell, or just to hold and watch ⏳.
Bringing Theory to Life: Tangible Scenarios 📚➡️🌍
Shifting our focus to concrete instances, consider the subsequent graph, which chronicles Bitcoin's entire financial trajectory 📈. This illustration lets us trace its periodic patterns. Conventionally, such a phase stretches over four years: a bullish 📈 period enduring 2.5 years and its bearish 📉 counterpart occupying the next 1.5 years.
Keep in mind, these periods are merely indicative and can oscillate due to a myriad of elements 🌪️. Still, this template sheds light on prospective oscillations in Bitcoin's valuation.
Next, we're diving deep into each Bitcoin cycle 🔄. But first, rewind to the original cyclical model graph. Now, stack up real-world instances against the cyclical model chart 📊. Spot how the real-world examples mirror the cyclical graph?
The First Bitcoin Cycle 🌱
BTC was crafted on PCs purely for enthusiasts' thrills, sans regulators 👨💻. Between July '09 and June '11, BTC experienced its premier bullish wave 📈, soaring to $18.5 from mere $0.05, a staggering +64,000% leap!
The Second Bitcoin Cycle 📈
BTC touched its first peak 🏔️, ushering its maiden bearish phase 📉. After a steep 93% decline, the bullish vibe quickly resurfaced, and from Nov '11 to Nov '13, BTC rocketed 🚀 from $2 to $1,240 - a whopping +60,000%!
The Third Bitcoin Cycle 🐻
Another bear market came with a deep 86% cut - BTC plummeted from $1,240 to $167. From Jan '15 to Dec '17, bullish vibes raised the stake to $19,800 📈, a rise of 11,800%.
The Fourth Bitcoin Cycle ⏳
BTC faced another 84% trimming 📉. From Dec '18 to Nov '21, the bullish phase propelled BTC to a majestic $69,000 from a modest $3,123, charting a 2,108% ascent.
The Fifth Bitcoin Cycle 🚀
We stand here, as BTC price dances between $18k- FWB:25K 🩰, setting the stage for the Bitcoin cycle's nascent stages. A bullish tide is on the horizon 🌅, a moment crypto aficionados keenly anticipate.
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📊🔥 Inflation Unleashed: Oil and Potential Bitcoin Bull Run💰🚀In this video, I discuss the latest inflation reports 📊 and analyze their impact on the global economy 🌍.
I highlight the factors affecting inflation, starting with the rising price of oil ⛽ and its pressure on inflation 📈. Additionally, I provide insights into the price of Bitcoin 💰 and its bullish outlook 🚀 in light of rising inflation.
I also touch upon the performance of stock indices 📊 and the importance of focusing on Bitcoin 💎 in the current market.
Overall, this video aims to provide valuable analysis and predictions 🤔 regarding today's CPI report 📑 and Bitcoin.
Professor is LONG! 📈
One Love ❤️
Oil: Long since $71 🛢️: Oil Long - In the Blinken of an eye, Let's not BRICS it!
Bitcoin: Stay awake, this September could be a different one 🗓️: Can BTC wake up before September ends?
BTC 12-16 months monthly projectionThis graph represents the next bull run we're all waiting for. The price could lose 20-30% of its current value during this period of time. The bullish trend should take strength from the next halving expected to happen in April 2024, in which we will see a rally to new maximums. I expect the next ATH to be around 100-150k.
SMI MFI Indicator: A Game Changer 💰📊 SMI MFI Unwrapped: The SMI MFI (Smoothed Money Flow Index) is a technical indicator that blends the Money Flow Index (MFI) and the Stochastic Momentum Index (SMI). It provides a unique perspective on market sentiment and momentum.
🔄 Understanding Global Reversals: The SMI MFI indicator is particularly valuable for identifying major market turning points. It can signal when Bitcoin is transitioning from a bearish trend to a bullish one, or vice versa.
🌟 Key Features: What sets SMI MFI apart is its ability to smooth out noisy price data, making it more resilient to false signals. It offers a clearer picture of money flow and momentum.
🔍 How to Utilize It: Traders and investors can use the SMI MFI indicator as a tool to time their entries and exits strategically. When it shows significant divergence from Bitcoin's price movements, it may indicate a potential trend reversal.
🔮 Navigating Crypto Markets: Keep in mind that while the SMI MFI indicator can be a valuable addition to your trading toolbox, it's essential to conduct comprehensive research and risk management before making any trading decisions.
In conclusion, the introduction of the SMI MFI indicator adds a new dimension to the world of crypto trading. It has the potential to become a valuable tool for spotting global market reversals in the dynamic Bitcoin landscape.
Stay tuned, stay analytical, and remember – in the crypto world, being ahead of the curve can be a game-changer! 🌐💰
Altcoin Market Cap Potential through Wyckoff Analysis 📊🚀📉 Wyckoff Analysis Refresher: Wyckoff analysis is a method for understanding the phases of price movements in markets. It encompasses Accumulation (a period of smart money buying), Markup (bullish phase), Distribution (smart money selling), and Markdown (bearish phase).
📈 Applying Wyckoff to Altcoins: We can adapt Wyckoff analysis to the altcoin market. Accumulation represents the phase when astute investors accumulate altcoins at low prices. Markup follows, with prices surging as the broader market catches on.
📉 Distribution and Markdown: After a substantial rise, we may see distribution, where early investors start selling. Markdown is the subsequent bearish phase when prices drop.
🚀 Assessing Market Cap Potential: By analyzing altcoin price movements within these Wyckoff phases, we can gain insights into their market cap potential. If an altcoin is in the Accumulation phase, it may have untapped potential as smart money accumulates.
💡 Key Takeaway: Wyckoff analysis can guide your altcoin investment decisions. If you identify an altcoin in the Accumulation phase, it might be a promising long-term bet. But remember, thorough research is crucial.
🔮 The Future Unveiled: Keep in mind that markets are dynamic, and past patterns don't guarantee future results. Wyckoff analysis is a tool to aid your decision-making, not a crystal ball.
In conclusion, applying Wyckoff analysis to the altcoin market can provide a unique perspective on market cap potential. Recognizing which phase altcoins are in can help you make more informed investment choices.
Stay analytical, stay vigilant, and remember – understanding Wyckoff principles can empower you to navigate the altcoin landscape with a strategic edge! 🚀📈
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Analyzing Bitcoin's Popularity: The Potential for Corrections 📊🚀 Bitcoin's Soaring Interest: We've witnessed Bitcoin's meteoric rise to fame, drawing attention from investors, institutions, and the general public. Its surging popularity has been nothing short of remarkable.
📈 The Price-Interest Conundrum: Here's the intriguing part – when Bitcoin's popularity skyrockets and the mainstream media begins touting its merits, it often coincides with a phase of rapid price escalation.
📉 The Correction Potential: What history has shown is that these periods of intense interest and price surges can also be followed by corrections – temporary pullbacks in price. This is a natural part of Bitcoin's volatile journey.
💡 Insights for Investors: Understanding this relationship between popularity and corrections can be valuable. It's a reminder that even in the world of crypto, markets don't move in a straight line. Corrections offer opportunities for patient investors.
🔮 Predicting Corrections: While it's challenging to precisely predict when a correction will occur, heightened interest can be a signal to stay vigilant. It's a reminder to approach the market with a balanced strategy, combining optimism with caution.
In conclusion, the surging interest in Bitcoin is a testament to its growing significance in the financial world. However, it's essential to recognize that popularity doesn't guarantee a one-way ticket to perpetual gains. Corrections are a healthy part of Bitcoin's price discovery process.
BTCUSDT : THE PERFECT LUNGThey say "Buy the dips", right..
But which ones? How do you know if it's reached bottom? Etc, etc.
These are all legitimate questions and there aren't very many answers out there.
That's where I come in..
This is confirmation of what you may have been thinking.
So, yes, you can go ahead and enter that perfect long position on Bitcoin with confidence at the current price ~$26150.
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DM me for custom requests and target insights.
Wyckoff Reaccumulation: Bitcoin's Market Phases 📊🚀🔄 Unveiling the Stages: Reaccumulation encompasses distinct phases – from a markdown phase marked by price corrections, to a trading range phase characterized by consolidation. Each phase reveals the intricate maneuvers of institutional players.
🚀 The Climactic Transition: The culmination of this pattern lies in the breakout phase – a moment where Bitcoin's price experiences a surge. This juncture signifies the conclusion of the reaccumulation process, often ushering in a substantial upward trend.
📈 Insights for Strategic Navigation: Profoundly understanding Wyckoff Reaccumulation offers strategic advantages. It enables the anticipation of potential trends and the identification of opportune entry and exit points.
💡 For Discerning Traders: Wyckoff Reaccumulation transcends conventional pattern analysis; it is a comprehensive methodology that grants traders an enhanced comprehension of market cycles. It's akin to deciphering the intricate narrative of Bitcoin's evolution.
In summary, the essence of Wyckoff Reaccumulation within the context of Bitcoin's trajectory is this: beneath the seemingly complex realm of price fluctuations lie decipherable patterns that serve as navigational beacons for informed trading decisions. Proficiency in this methodology empowers you to navigate the crypto landscape with heightened foresight.
Ethereum Next Breakout: More Bear?!Hello dear community. Welcome in @Vestinda Ethereum long-term price analysis.
Drawing parallels between 2019 and 2023 in the crypto world is gaining traction for good reason – the charts bear striking resemblance, and market sentiment feels familiar.
Undoubtedly, the markets are entrenched in a broad and substantial accumulation phase. It's broad due to the substantial market volume, and it's substantial because traders and investors are poised to acquire assets at any level, banking on substantial gains in the forthcoming Bull Run.
As of today, Ethereum's price consolidation mirrors a Rising Wedge pattern, evident when scrutinized on the Weekly timeframe using the Log price scale. Much like 2019, we foresee the Wedge breaking to the downside, finding its nadir within a robust support range around the $1000-900 mark.
Further reinforcing the parallels between the two eras, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) underscores comparable price actions in 2019 and 2023. The RSI is trending beneath the downtrend line, suggesting the potential for yet another breakout after a bottoming out.
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BTC ---> 2 ScenariosI'm going to relate this post to my previous one. This idea gives actual technical price levels to watch out for. To sum up , the blue channel's current breakout implies a slow retest. It aligns with the inflation rate reading announcement on the 13th of September. Therefore:
I'm bullish until the date of the reading
I expect high altcoin volatility (price increases are more likely) due to the temporary stagnation of major cryptos
Red scenario seems more likely at the moment
Do comment your opinion!
Using Fear to Invest Long-Term 📊🐻 🔍 The Wall Street Cheat Sheet: Imagine having a cheat code for the stock market. Well, the Wall Street Cheat Sheet is like that – a graphical representation of market cycles that occur over time. It's a visual guide to help you navigate market sentiment.
📉 Market Fear: When markets are gripped by fear and uncertainty, it often leads to panic selling. This can push prices down to levels that might not accurately reflect the true value of an asset. This is where the smart investor sees opportunity.
🐻 The Best Buys: According to the Wall Street Cheat Sheet, the best time to make long-term purchases is during the "Desperation" and "Capitulation" phases – when fear is at its peak. These are the moments when bargains can be found, setting the stage for potential gains as sentiment stabilizes.
💡 The Contrarian Approach: The strategy behind the Wall Street Cheat Sheet is to adopt a contrarian mindset. While the crowd panics and sells, you're calmly assessing undervalued assets that have solid long-term potential.
🚀 The Long-Term Play: Why does this strategy work? Historically, markets have shown resilience and a tendency to recover after periods of fear. By buying during times of maximum pessimism, you position yourself to ride the waves of recovery.
So, what's the takeaway from the Wall Street Cheat Sheet strategy? 📊 It's about recognizing that market fear can create opportunities for patient and strategic investors. Long-term buys during moments of extreme pessimism can set the stage for potential future gains.
Stay curious, stay patient, and remember – while market fear might create ripples, it also lays the foundation for potential long-term rewards. 🚀📈
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Bitcoin's Quiet Before the Storm 🌊Ever noticed when the Bitcoin chart goes eerily quiet? It's like a still lake before a storm. But here's the scoop: this tranquility might not be innocent. In fact, it could be orchestrated by bigger players in the game.
Enter the whales – major market influencers. When they create low volatility by steadying prices, it can make others think nothing big is coming. People start selling, thinking the party's over. And that's when the whales strike.
By triggering a sudden price surge, they catch sellers off-guard and reap rewards. It's like pretending a movie's dull to empty the theater before revealing the epic climax.
Remember, appearances can deceive. Low volatility might mask a grand plan . Stay cautious, stay informed. Don't exit too soon and miss the show. In crypto's realm, the still waters can hide a tempest.
Stay sharp
Low Volatility Clue to Upcoming Growth 📉🚀🔍 The Quiet Before the Surge: Imagine the market as a serene pond, not a ripple in sight. That's low volatility, my friend! But here's the juicy part: it's like the market is catching its breath before leaping into action.
🚀 Springboard to Momentum: Low volatility? Think of it as the trampoline for a potential price leap. The calm is like the calm before a concert – the band's tuning up, and the audience is in for a treat. In the crypto world, that treat might just be a price rally.
💡The Precursor to Uptrend: When the market's rocking low volatility, it's like a hush before the storm – a storm of bullish action, that is. Keep your eyes peeled because this serene moment often precedes an upward price movement.
🚴♂️Traders' Playground: Traders love these tranquil spells. They're like pit stops during a race, a chance to strategize and gear up for what's next. A little breather, a lot of potential.
So, what's the low-volatility takeaway? 🌌 It's not just a downtime; it's a heads-up for traders and investors. The calm might just be the quiet you need to brace yourself for a burst of excitement.
Stay curious, watch the charts, and get ready for the market's next groove! 📊🎉
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40K is the level to claim for Bullrun confirmation - learn whyHi all, just take a look at previous bullruns and draw a line 40% from the bull run top. That is more or less the level that needs to be claimed before speaking of a bull run.
But, what you also see is a retracement at first touch of approx 30-60% in previous runs. This leads me to think that we can now easily see a run up to 40K and then seeing a retracement back to these levels of 29/30K before going claiming the 40K level and upwards into bullrun territorium.
So don't be fooled that going to 40K with an ETF approval is confirmation of a bull run.. it won't be! It will be perfect fuel to kill longs, and the big boys to go shopping at 30K before a real bull-run is starting.