XAUUSD │GOLD BULLS OR BEARS WHO WILL WIN? We continued to see that bull strength throughout the week. If the daily timeframe trend stays true, we will see price break the all-time high eventually but it is not resistance free rallying. We just tapped into a supply zone that caused a meltdown of 5%. Therefore, this psychological level will probably see some fighting between bulls and bears before it is broken. However, keep in the back of your mind that the four-hour timeframe is still bullish, just because we tapping into that strong zone doesn’t necessarily mean sell off, we will look to trade the pullback but will not assume a reversal until a break of four hour strong lows.
The 15 minute timeframe is still bullish I have yet to see a change of character but the candles printing are indicative of a pullback so we will monitor to see if prices indicates whether it wants to reverse or if it is just correcting before the next leg up.
The 5-minute timeframe is also still bullish but is printing lower highs while maintaining the high low, which is also indicative of a correction. I will need to see a break of structure lows to consider trading the pullback.
Final Thoughts
The big boys are net short on GOLD according to the COT data but a combined non-reportable, non-commercial and commercial are leaning towards bulls. However, as I always say, the trend is your friend and until I see my long-term timeframe structure violated I am assuming the market is just pulling back to continue bullish.
COT REPORT
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Bullsandbears
Nasdaq -> What's Happening Here?Hello Traders and Investors ,
my name is Philip and today I will provide a free and educational multi-timeframe technical analysis of the Nasdaq 💪
Looking at the macro view on the monthly timframe you can see that at the moment the Nasdaq is retesting massive resistance of the 10+ years rising channel formation so I do expect a monthly push lower.
Just two weeks ago the Nasdaq perfectly retested the 0.382 fibonacci retracement level and created a quite strong rejection towards the upside.
Looking at the daily timeframe you can see that Nas100 is currently retesting the neckline of the double top of July of 2023 and if Nas100 actually breaks above this structure zone, I do expect new highs going into 2024.
Keep in mind: Don't get caught up in short term moves and always look at the long term picture; building wealth is a marathon and not a quick sprint📈
Thank you for watching and I will see you tomorrow!
My previous analysis of this asset:
Stock Market AnimalsThe stock market animals roam the financial landscape, representing optimism or pessimism. These animal metaphors capture the sentiment and beliefs behind the market participants who often try to outsmart each other through their edge in the market.
Here is a list of 7 most popular animal metaphors in the stock market. Maybe it can help some traders to look at themselves in the mirror.
🐮Bulls🐮
Its true that at some point everybody would have been a bull in the stock market but here we are talking about the hardcore bulls who are quintessential symbol of rising market. They never go short on the market and make money from the escalating prices of the stocks. This is because they are always overtly positive about the economy and the companies in which they invest. Undoubtedly, bulls are responsible for the buying pressure in the market.
🐻Bears🐻
Needless to say, bears are exactly the opposite of bulls. They never go long and make money from falling stock prices. Their pessimistic and cautionary view about the markets glue them to their short positions. Thus, bears keep on creating selling pressure in the markets.
🐕Wolf🐕
Wolves are neither bulls nor bears but at the same time they are the both. Wolves are shrewd animals who always seek profit making opportunities on both sides of the market. Due to their aggressive trading they quickly adapt to the changing market conditions. They are able to take advantage of momentum, volatility and short-term price discrepancies. They tend to quietly wait for opportunities rather than hopping on to them.
🐢Turtle🐢
Turtles by their very nature believe in slow money-making ideology. They are the most patient ones among all the other categories. Generally, they marry their investments with a longer-term perspective. They take stock splits, bonuses and pocket dividends to make money. Turtles are steady buyers as well as steady sellers.
🐰Rabbit🐰
Rabbits are the most popular trading creatures. They are Intraday hoppers who trade in both the directions. They may be bullish at 10am and bearish at 10:05am. They believe in small but quick money-making ideology. Characterized as least patient among all the other types of market participants, they are just the opposite of turtles. Generally, they are pushed by the market sentiment to take a large number of trades during the day. However, they square off all profit/loss making positions before market close. They don’t restraint themselves from using a whole lot of indicators and strategies to make buy and sell decisions. Unfortunately, most rabbits lose money in the market.
🐔Chicken🐔
They are risk-averse creatures who believe in preserving their capital. Market volatility and momentum are not their cup of tea. They invariably take small risk and make smaller money. A small price fluctuation, on either side, may throw them out of the trade.
🦈Shark🦈
Sharks are the market manipulators. With their exceptional potential to drive or hold the prices to certain levels, they look for opportunities to trap weak traders on the wrong side of the market and exploit their fear or greed. Trading pools, large traders and prop firms etc. fall into this category. What makes them different from the rest of the market participants is their access to more accurate market data and mammoth sized Gigabucks at their disposal.
I would not ask anybody's (predictable) type but would say that there is always room for improvement.
It just needs :
⚡Realization on your part to recognize yourself.
⚡Commitment to follow the discipline needed to transform yourself.
Anyways, which one do you like to become. Write in the comment section below.
Thanks for reading.
Do like for more educational stuff in future.
Disclaimer: These metaphors are not created by me but views are personal.
If bitcoin already bottomed……I saw lots of post about bitcoin is bottomed this is possible. About bitcoin is bottom in a Mid 15K , even nearly about 16K.
The bad will be 12-10K if bottom in because of the FTX crisis collapse and bankruptcy… the ugly will be bottom about $5,000; only if other biggest crypto companies declare bankruptcy.
But now still looking forward of a retrace from where it’s at now up to 20-28K then one more leg down massive drop because the recession fears still on the move. bitcoin had already formed a support in 16K if it’s bottomed in then the bulls are back; but if the correction and 1 more massive drop need to be made then 12-10K around that zone is the bottom.
Here are my related ideas are we still going to see bitcoin down 12-10K or are we bottomed in.
I am going long but let’s all watch any bearish reversals happens; if the bears aren’t coming before 30K or 35K then the bulls are back.
GBPCHF SELL, then BUY!!GBPCHF seems to have formed a beautiful Gartley pattern on a 4 hour chart ! the pattern will soon be fulfilled as it reaches the 127.2 Fibonacci level of XA. after which i expect a pullback in the upward direction . For now , i expect a sell till 1.2177 followed by a bullish move to 1.2413 .
EURUSD SELL!EURUSD has been trading inside the given parallel channel for some days now . Yesterday the pair managed to break through the channel and has now even gone back and retested the lower resistance of the Channel . On the daily Chart , EURUSD has shown a strong bearish bias and now seems to be ready to continue its descent ! my final Target for the pair over the course of few days is 1.0740 !!
ETHEREUM AT CRUCIAL LEVELWelcome back,
ETH has converged into a crucial zone between the 60 Day (white) and 500 Day (orange) Simple Moving Averages. We have not seen a close below the 500 MA since April 21, 2020, and this may represent a reversal area for the downtrend beginning back in November of 2021. We tested this metric with a false break wick just days ago on 03/07/2022, and we are currently retesting support. If support fails, we may see some incredible buying opportunities. The white lines represent high volume nodes where support may be found. IF support fails, you will want to have the levels at the bottom of the page written down. $1700 is a notable low if we go into a bad recession, however that seems quite unlikely.
Although we are certainly experiencing uncertain times amongst war, supply bottlenecks, inflation, and interest rate hike scares, there may still be hope. NATO is largely united against Putin's delusional desires to reform the former Soviet Union, likely because if Russia finds success in Ukraine, the surrounding former soviet countries may be soon to follow. The Russian economy is suffocating, and the longer the war effort is maintained, the more devastating it will be for Russia. One may worry about China's position, however the CCP is 'China first' before anything else. With economic growth slowing and monetary policy still accommodating, there may be bigger problems at hand if China's growth continues to dwindle.
When he speaks on March 16, Jerome Powell may not want to be the one who possibly forces a global recession with the world economy is in its current fragile state, and the war forces the FED to proceed with extreme caution. With markets previously attempting to price in a 50 point base rate hike with extreme volatility, anything over a 25 point rate hike will likely be received very negatively by the markets. This would be great for the bears. For the bulls however, a clean upwards break of this 60MA-500MA zone will likely signal the next bull market is in. The 180 day (blue) MA may act as resistance on the way up, and will also be an important level to transcend.
Summary
You will need to follow the news on the war, we are in extremely headline sensitive times. On March 16, Jerome Powell will hopefully clarify the FED's plan to tackle inflation. Ideally for the Bulls, he will provide clarity, and much needed confidence which the markets have desperately lacked since the end of 2021 (the period when the FED's original plan 'transitory' estimated inflation would revert back towards normalcy.)
Headline war news may catalyze the markets in either direction.
Resistance Levels:
$3,235
$4,028
$4,375
$4,868
Support Levels:
$2,455
$2,322
$2,133
$1,975
$1,830
$1,700
$1,300
Disclaimer:
I am neither licensed nor certified to provide financial advice, and this is posted for entertainment purposes only. I am not responsible for any losses or damages, you are responsible for doing your own research and making your own decisions. Good luck and thanks for reading!
XAUUSDA very cluttered chart but it paints the necessary picture, we've seen that flash crash on Gold this past Monday and a lot of traders feared buying because they believed price will trade higher, but we had so many confluences to go. Now we see price retracing towards the Relative Equal Lows it failed to break for almost an entire month. It is pivotal to watch how price reacts to this level if we break 1800$, we'll see bulls showing their strength by breaking confluent resistance area. We have the descending channel around the 1800$, we have the important fib levels that are key reversal areas (OTE) as well as those REL (relative equal lows). There's a key level there (look left, previous higher low) and we have the average closing price hanging around there.
The 1800$ area is a pivotal one, all the confluence in the world to go short at this area, we have DXY reaching a support zone as well. Trade with caution, have wide enough stop loss to not get hunted but also keep in mind risk management if you do decide to sell.
Take care, do me a favor and hit the follow button, comment your analysis I'll give each and everyone a like and feel free to correct any errors you may see in my analysis. I am open to constructive criticism.
Kind Regards
APFX.
BTC/USDT Battle of Bulls & BearsMassive battle going on between bulls and bears at the moment. BTC forming another falling flag pattern. It's very uncertain which direction it will break. The last 8 hours has been very bullish yet BTC struggling for a breakout. If it breaks upwards we could see 41k again. If it breaks downwards we could see 37k and then 34k. In both scenarios wait for the confirmation after the breakout (there were several fake breakouts - watch out)
INTELLIGENT INVESTOR STRATEGIE XAGUUSDI say it short
as a day trader u should be ready for 2 scenarios 1 if price go up 1 if price go down
we calculate both sides after market make candles for each sides and we recognize which of our scenarios go right then we buy or sell
in my opinion 70% it`s go down and 30% go up
but as I say we should always for the right time and place to react
have a good week
P.S : I don`t mean I`m inteligent it`s the name of the strategy 😂
Long Position: Litecoin in the good bought zone!!!In this analysis, we see in H4 that Litecoin show a bulls resistance above of $46 USD. So, I put a buy order limit at $46.80 USD, my SL at $44.30 USD and my own target profit will be the $51 USD.
In Daily timeframe, Litecoin is in this bullish channel, but the expectative is so bearish as Bitcoin do. So, more later I will going to make an overview on Litecoin on Daily and weekly timeframe to be prepared which is the next movement on Litecoin huge!!!
Good luck on this position!!!
Message:
I choose the broker called Phemex and I yet stuyding this crypto-broker because I want to accumulate more altcoins for my crypto-portfolio that soon will be reveled here to show what cryptocurrency I'm intereresting to accumulate. At the moment, I use Prime XBT that I can to trade Bitcoin, Ethereum and Litecoi nas my favortive crypto. But more later, I will going to trade Dash, Cardano, Ripple, Chainlink, Tezos and more cryptos to earn in the next bull rally!!! And also, to become a crypto-trader!!!
Neutral On Bitcoin, here's why... Neutral is boring. But it is also patient. Over-trading kills traders accounts faster than any other trading mistake. As it stands right now, looking at the Weekly chart on bitcoin and the pressure downwards is substantial. Looking here at the 1 day chart and we seem to be bottoming out from the previous week slide, supported by very thick cloud.
Which can only mean we're waiting.
IF price begins to break above recent downward trendlines, then we may see a continued rally and recover from the weekly downwards momentum. At some point that Weekly momentum would evidently have turned upwards... and then its moon time.
IF price turns lower and the current 1 day bottoming pattern fails, we then enter the 1 day cloud, and drop out of the bottom of the weekly cloud, then yes our previous target seems plausible... a whopping 25% drop in the price of bitcoin.
As of right now, our foot is off the peddle, as the team at SparksterSignals watch patiently for what the market decides next.
What direction do you favour and why?
Complete structure of BTCUSDAfter BTCUSD reached the selling climax(SC@3850$) it moved upward which is the automatic rally(AR) of the market which happens all the time after selling pressure. Now, this wave is about to make a secondary test(ST) to balance supply and demand. After ST we can see uprise to break the AR level. Then it will be ready to fall to break the bottom in corrective formation after that we will see uprise to test AR level.
Hit the like button if you find it helpful and informative and follow to catch every wave correctly.
GBPJPY : ANYWHICH WAY BUT UP OR DOWN !!!GBPJPY is having a real problem deciding which way next. GBP has been gathering strength with contracts increasing to the upside in recent weeks and the JPY is gathering attraction due to uncertainty again.
Keep an eye on this area and let it play out before jumping !!
BTCUSD : BEST TIME FOR BUYBTCtoUSD
it seems BTC has a resistance (the blue line) in 8450 USD and i believe that BTC can cross the resistance because of the RSI
so if BTC can cross the resistance , it trap in the triangle and then it has the potential to get high again
BUT if BTC fails to cross the resistance the price will slake
so in short trade the best time for buy is when BTC cross the resistance
GOOD LUCK : )
Gold1. Green Support Box may push it up
2. Oscillator Oversold Area
3. Channel: Uptrend
4. Fibonacci prz support
Wait for the confirmation to jump in, (Candlestick, Volume, Breakout, whatever you prefer :)
I'll be happy to read your opinion and ideas, Remember, we are speculators, not investors ;)
Have a profitable day
BTC - BULLS vs BEAR show-downI would like to share my long term analysis with you.
I don't usually do the long term analysis for one simple reason. I do not like to analyse in a long-term perspective. Sure, in case we are not talking about investment or exceptional situations..
Nobody knows what exactly can happen in a week, month..
There are many factors which can affect the market situation. These factors can come out of nowhere and bury all the analyses..
There could be some people behind the exchanges or government who has the power to influence price development, wipe out your SL and so on..
It is not even a true sense and purpose of TA. But what really matters is your trade methodology.
The market is constantly changing in time and we have to change with its and just recognize the trade opportunity.
If you can see this opportunity then it’s time to delve a bit deeper into the chart.
But if you do not see this opportunity then it’s time to quickly move on to a different chart or wait, while the genesis of trade will come to you and you get your trade setup.
The best trades what I have ever done before were trades according to relevant conditions at that time. In short, you have to catch the right momentum.
Keep in mind that successful trading requires a methodology and the discipline to follow this methodology.
Have a good day.
THE CLIMB TO BLUE BEANZWas good everyone this is my first chart idea that I'm publishing I have been low key making too much bread on the sidelines lately and I wanted to enlighten you kids on how I make these blue beanz with a 100% win rate. So as you can see here we have four zones and each one have enough spacing to make huge gains with good ass swings so when it passes the zone you know what to do its in your hands I legit have a 100% win rate NEVER LOST A TRADE once yet. Ill be making more charts in the future to help out I'm just getting started its go time.
DISCLAIMER AS ADVISED
Trading foreign exchange on margin carries a high level of risk, and may not be suitable for all investors. Past performance is not indicative of future results. The high degree of leverage can work against you as well as for you. Before deciding to invest in foreign exchange you should carefully consider your investment objectives, level of experience, and risk appetite. The possibility exists that you could sustain a loss of some or all of your initial investment and therefore you should not invest money that you cannot afford to lose. You should be aware of all the risks associated with foreign exchange trading, and seek advice from an independent financial advisor if you have any doubts.
Road Map for EurJpy Daily Been viewing the EurJpy for about a week. have yet decided if it is a buy on retracement as suggested by some. But as always, Revelation Trading believes in trusting your own eyes and doing your own analysis.
So here we present our own road map on how we might trade the Eurjpy in accordance to our simple methodology.
Hope it helps:)
Reflection: The public...demands certainties; it must be told definitely.... that this is true and that is false! But there are no certainties. - H.L. Mencken
Trade Ideas Educator: USDJPY D1 Head & Shoulders BottomSpotted a long opportunity for trend continuation trader(based off D1 Trader)
Lots of signal showing up at this pair in both Bull & Bear direction on both D1 & H4 chart. Chances are a choppy market for this pair for a week or 2, let's see who wins the battle.
Just managed your Reward:Risk well and wait for the signal candle to engage the trade or manage the trade, you will do fine.
What can we learn from the bitcoin bulls? What's up everyone, YoungShkreli here
If you'll compare this chart to the shorts chart you'll notice that people are longing more and shorting less. This tells me that there is going to be fuel for a move to the downside (liquidated longs) and that my followers and I might just be early to a massive fall.
I'm a bit surprised that more people aren't shorting given the price action. I can't imagine why the bulls would be feeling confident. If you know me, you'll know that I am contrarian in the markets and so I love to take bets against the majority when I think they are wrong. You will always be safest doing that.
That's it guys. Short, sweet and to the point. Make sure to follow me if you aren't already and give my work a like if it helps you.
Good luck everyone,
-YoungShkreli