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Bulltrap

I'm not impressed by price action! - Still bearish market!* So some of you know how extremely bearish I was so far. And my last market analysis got rekt by the Chinese news manipulation (Not an excuse, yes I was wrong, and it's ok to be wrong, I'm a probabilities man and big speculator, and yet I I misinterpreted the impact badly, we all learn from mistakes).. Remember this chart that I posted a few weeks ago? - well so far the down yellow trend holds strong - also the e21 weekly holds strong! - also OBV still weak as usually * next week we might be able to confirm this manipulation by volume action, - and especially if they let the daily e50 and e200 to death cross, it will take a few good days before we know which way we really tend to go (We need to confirm volume)... - Meanwhile, I'm not impressed not by OBV nor by volume action on bigger time frames (Especially not the daily one) * Yes, that means I am still bearish. yes I started yet again to ladder more to my short positions. * PS: Are we forming hanging man one weekly ;) xd. * PS2: Remember, China news are number 1 in manipulating the market, 1 day they say go all in, the other day they say fuck Crypto, don't forget from past experience how it was when almost every week China news turned from extremely bullish to extremely bearish and vise versa non stop, all this while we were in-fact in a BEARISH market which continued to drop more and more, this is the exact same pattern guys, I still think we are in Bearish market, we must retest the 5500+/- levels (5000-6200 as minimum).
BITMEX:BTCUSD.PShort
by Hedgehog_king
1
The baggy dead stock bounce strategy: Another exampleI know nothing of this company. But either way, looks like a nice example of buying something beaten up down 99% after it starts rallying. When it goes down usually it goes down pretty fast (crypto won't be an exception btw), important not to overstay your welcome. I do not use this strategy at all. Adding an example, learning a bit more every few month or so... learn with me. If it goes to zero it is fine since this strategy aims for several hundred percent returns often. No need to go all in... Here we can see that we have a V shape reversal at the bottom, a ~50% retrace, then a C wave very extended. The ABC retraced ~50% ~55%. In the case of cryptocurrencies... They retraced 55%, from being down 92%, but this does not look like we are "at the bottom", they are still way up from where they started. Bitcoin retraced 78.6%. I am not sure the strategy is the same... Will see how this progresses. If BTC gets to a few dollars, it can go up thousands of percents... But who will get filled? Oh companies on the verge of bankrupcy can recover... You will never believe what company did this... (if you do not already know)... APPLE. In 1997 they were about to go bust and Microsoft threw 150 million in and saved them. Now Apple is pretty big (in a bubble thought). 99% or more companies just disappear cannot even find them on trading view whick makes it hard to analyse this strategy here. Kodak went bankrupt in 2012 and re-emerged in 2013: The "new" Kodak fell by more than 90% lmao. Not sure how much the previous one fell. In 96 the price was above 90$ and at the end it was circling around 5. They had a nice back to normal. The new company price does not pick up the old one. The probably issued less shares to make it look like they bounced back. If I look at the daily chart: That is just too fast. I also noticed something else. That I am keeping for myself. Sry. Rekt. Looking at more examples will help. Maybe a good new strategy in the future here? The point of having multiple strategy is more a safeguard if the ones being used stop working rather than to make more money or to diversify. One question remains: Where do all these poop chasing baggies come from? And why do they keep appearing?
NASDAQ:MNKDEducation
by MrRenev
BULLS SQUEEZE ON EMPTY NEWS... GREAT VALUE AREA FOR SELL!!Selling all rallies on pound until further notice... Top of the Range with bulls trapping all early (myself included) bears! However we were prepared and all unknowing and late bears its our time to TRAP!! Sold at 1.2550 SL above 1.2620 TP1 1.24 and then I will see if we have a bounce there Will be tracking the official entry with confirmation of the change of trend . WIll update later Happy Hunting Happy Trapping!! BooBii
Short
by rickyboobii
POUND SHORT LOADING TIME.... THE FALL OF THE POUND... MAYBE?!If you have been following we have been tracking the pair since the 1.2290 area ... We are now at KEY resistance and HUGE resistance evidenced by the Daily chart below With Brexit looming, Pound is in a heavy bear market so staying a bull is extremely dangerous territory! The current range is from 1.1950 -1.252. We are in strong resistance territories and the only bulls here are late retail and greedy bulls. On the H4 Chart -macd is set for another favorable bear cross -stoch is coming down from overbough and showing divergence which is really good which means the bulls pushing price up are not as strong as the recent bull swing evidenced by the low stoch high -At any point we should see bulls run for cover as market movers should have switch sides and are heavily loading short -I have a key reference point at 1.2320 which is confluence of the moving averages on the daily and the origin of the last breakout candle of the recent bull rally I am already short 1.2515 with stops above 1.2570. I will enter more shorts on the break of the trendline taking TP1 profit at the crucial 1.2320 area and letting everything else run. A decisive break and retrace to this area and I will add more shorts looking to the daily crucial support around 1.2120 for TP2 . Last chance bulls will come here and depending on fundamentals it could break down if we get a proper test next week. At that point depending on price actiion I will take another trade and see if we can break the LOWS ON THE POUND!!! I don't always know what Im doing but when I do.. I'm pretty amazing! Happy Hunting Happy Trapping BooBii Make sure to like... comment ... and subscribe Any questions feel free to ask... For what I don't know... I just don't know... But what I do know I'll gladly share...
Short
by rickyboobii
Roles of confluence zonesIt has been a very interesting move from bitcoin, after a drop to touched the $10095 region, the price was immediately moves back to claim again the support around $10300 region to produce a long shadow on daily candle. This action could be a good representation of the bulls making their best effort to defend the $10000 region as a huge psychological support. And looking at the chart that I've shared, the green dotted line is the resistance trend line if I want to exclude the bull trap region on previous action (body to body connecting method). And the second thing is the white region, those 2 white regions are the confluence zone between the fibonacci retracement and the fibonacci extention which I believe will act as a huge resistance for swingers. The first resistance zone is around the $10750 - $10800 region which is moving align with the green dotted line as resistance trend line. The second resistance zone is the confluence zone between golden ratio and the 1.1 fib extention. My bias here is remain the same as before with a push to the down side for the big picture. but, I see a possible push to the first resistance zone with a bull trap region producing until the 2nd resistance zone if the $10300 region can defend the current price from further drop.
BITFINEX:BTCUSDEducation
by julio24albert
Bull Trap : Characteristics when the price is close to the APEXHello there my fellas, welcome back to my Sunday update about bitcoin! Well well, it has been a very interesting play for bitcoin for now. The condition is this, The price is moving very close to the upper line of the huge descending triangle (green line) and of course if we look at lower time frame, it looks like the price is going to break this resistance trend line. I am thinking of it more like a possible bull trap moves if it breaks the green resistance trend line on lower time frame and I believe it will only produces a long wick to the upside. Yes, maybe it is a very random statement for most of you because we have seen a strong volume and strong dynamic support that has defended the price really good. But, let's think like we are the whales who want to open a short entry because we see a huge descending triangle in play and the price in higher time frame view is losing a lot of strength! As a whales, I will definitely try to 'kill' the shorter in lower period of trading window. Why? because I want to get a short entry at higher rate so my risk to reward ratio will be better. The second reason is because the price is moving very close to the APEX of huge descending triangle, I am very sure there will be a lot of faking out moves to represent the war between the bulls and the bears! I believe the price will touch again the $10500 region as it is the golden pocket region or we can considering the area between the $10650 - $10700 as the last region for the long wick to the upside because it locates right at the 78.6 fib level and the previous swing high. Thank you and the daily view will be shared on update section.
BITFINEX:BTCUSDEducation
by julio24albert
2
THE FALL OF THE POUND... ARE YOU ON THE RIGHT SIDE? THIS IS A CONTINUATION OF THE SETUPS STARTED THIS WEEK..... CAN'T TYPE LONG AS MARKETS ARE MOVING.... WHATS TO KNOW.... -BULLS WHO HELD TOO LONG ARE TRAPPED WITH THAT BIG CURRENT WICK ON THE 4HR - IM LOOKING FOR A CLOSE BELOW THE CRITICAL AREA... (MIGHT USE THE HOURLY FOR ENTRY BECAUSE OF THE SPEED OF MARKET) - BUT ANY TRADES FROM HERE DOWN WITH STOPS ABOUT THE HIGHS AIMING AT THE LOWS 1.19 COULD BE MORE ILL KEEP UPDATING ... GOOD CONFIRMATIONS -STOCH DIVERGENCE AND COMING OFF THE TOP - MACD CROSS OBSTACLES -21 EMA (RED) WHERE BULLS MAY TRY AND JUMP BACK IN.... I HOPE THEY DO PROVIDE ANOTHER ENTRY AND RETRACE -WILD NEWS IF YOU ARE STILL A BULL.... THANK YOU FOR YOUR HELP WE COULDN'T HAVE TRAPPED WITHOUT YOU.... HAPPY HUNTIN' HAPPY TRAPPIN' BOOBII
Short
by rickyboobii
400-600 PIP WHALE ON POUND... DON"T BE ON THE WRONG SIDE!!!How's it hunting, trappers!! Did you know we are in a range on the pound? Its from 1.1950- 1.2560 Did you know the UK is in chambles and utter turmoil? Well if you haven't. I'm here to help. Not save the UK but set you up for a monster trade!! Note: Even though the pound is technically LONG overall the POUND IS OVERALL SHORT fundamentally!! Here's why it is tricky... Check out the stoch and the macd.... BEARISH right!! Wrong.... We just made a HH (higher high) at 1.2350 area. Therefore, you don't sell into an uptrend. You look to buy. What Im watching for is a bounce off the 21ema or price to test the critical point at 1.2215 area that invalidates the uptrend and lets you know its safe to sell. Until then price can wick down that low and close up way higher trapping you early and weak bears... shane shame shame... The cluster at the short term top looks bearish with all the wicks but its simply telling me that price is going to retrace only to come back again and test the highs. As long as that happens we should get an extension to the 1.2460 area which also happens to be the 1.27 fib .... At that point Ladies and Gentleman, I recommend you assess you risk levels put your stop above the 1.2560 level and look for any short. And when I mean any short.... ALL OF THEM IF YOU CAN :) unless there's a wild news event pound will go from here to the bottom of the range and potentially even LOWER!! Dont worry I won't abandon you like the businesses are doing to the UK! Ill be giving updates and watching the whale.... **I set the strategy to long but it is really LONG TO SHORT...** Im reluctant to take longs with the climate we are in but i will take a safe trade with good risk:reward if the conditions are good!! as always happy huntin' happy trappin' boobii
Long
by rickyboobii
10
Xrp to test monthly supply before going lower?Hello everybody. We're about to enter September. Fresh start of the month could possibly take us to 0.30-0.31$ region before dropping hard again. Might catch a lot of bulls before going lower. My bias stays the same - we should see 0.16-0.20$ by 2019 November/December. Bitcoin is not looking good either, shaking out hodlers and putting them into deeper depression is now the grand plan. This is not financial advice, just an idea. Stay tuned. BITSTAMP:XRPUSD
BITSTAMP:XRPUSDLong
by Patrikas10
Megaphone Pattern - Backtesting Downside BreakWill it prove to be a false downside breakout? If it proves to break to upside that would mean there is significant upside left in this market. I think this is unlikely, higher probability of continuing the break to the downside and right now we are just backtesting. REMEMBER: THE GOAL OF THE MARKET IS TO FOOL AS MANY TRADERS AS POSSIBLE (MAKE EVERYONE THINK WE ARE GOING UP, WHEN WE ARE GOING DOWN) (MAKE EVERYONE THINK WE ARE GOING DOWN WHEN WE ARE GOING UP)
OANDA:SPX500USDEducation
by rjchilia123
SHORT Bull trap? or still a symetrical triangle?So far my FA and SA havn't changed since my last analysis of the market. But also the same goes for my TA... - We are still in a symmetrical triangle - It feels to me like a bull trap, sure we managed to break above ma200, but it was so weak with such a low volume , I don't think we can hold it, especially since we are at the edge of the cloud, and just stuck there... we might be able to push it due to Tether printing money or a whale buyer, but we won't break the the symetrical triangle, we will test 10k again eventually. - We formed a pennant triangle as well, it holds a bit above the ma200, and also holds at the edge of the cloud, any break down or up would be a strong one but still withing the symmetrical triangle limits. I will go with a short, since I do think that buying power matters and the most important key componenet in every wave, sure we did highs, sure we broke up, but to me it looks like yet another bull trap, even if we break the pennant triangle up, it will just confirm an even stronger push down right after wards (Still withing the limits of the symmetrical triangle). #Short#currentprice10730 short range to enter: 10950-10600 sl: 10980 TPs: 10260, 10160, 10060, 9895, 9640, 9137, 8600, 8300, and leave 10% to run for any lower price. PS: If you were in longs so far, I would suggest to cover at-least 50% profits, as this is never a bad idea to do so...
BITMEX:BTCUSD.PShort
by Hedgehog_king
Bull trap? or still a symetrical triangle?So far my FA and SA havn't changed since my last analysis of the market. But also the same goes for my TA... - We are still in a symmetrical triangle - It feels to me like a bull trap, sure we managed to break above ma200, but it was so weak with such a low volume, I don't think we can hold it, especially since we are at the edge of the cloud, and just stuck there... we might be able to push it due to Tether printing money or a whale buyer, but we won't break the the symetrical triangle, we will test 10k again eventually. - We formed a pennant triangle as well, it holds a bit above the ma200, and also holds at the edge of the cloud, any break down or up would be a strong one but still withing the symmetrical triangle limits. I will go with a short, since I do think that buying power matters and the most important key componenet in every wave, sure we did highs, sure we broke up, but to me it looks like yet another bull trap, even if we break the pennant triangle up, it will just confirm an even stronger push down right after wards (Still withing the limits of the symmetrical triangle). #Short#currentprice10730 short range to enter: 10950-10600 sl: 10980 TPs: 10260, 10160, 10060, 9895, 9640, 9137, 8600, 8300, and leave 10% to run for any lower price. PS: If you were in longs so far, I would suggest to cover at-least 50% profits, as this is never a bad idea to do so...
BITMEX:BTCUSD.PShort
by Hedgehog_king
Careful Zone::Caution Ahead:: .5 Fibonacci has been a reversal zone out of these bear flags. We've had 3 bear flags as you scan see making a symmetrical or downward triangle. First one was a reversal to upside. Second one to downside as bearish trend continued. Third one? May not go to 11.5k like people want. Don't miss the trend line below that that also is acting as resistance. 4 Hour MacD shows an area of commonly topping out. Our long term uptrend we had as support? Now it's being tested as resistance. (red lines) Oh and BTW we're kinda sitting in a rising wedge . Bull Trap?
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by pacman7331
MAJOR SHIFT IN MARKET IS NOW CONFIRMED IN FRACTAL . THE PEAK AT 3015 TO 3041 NOW APPEARS TO BE THE LONG TERM TOP BASED ON DETAILED FIB RELATIONSHIPS FROM 1982 AND 2009 . I WILL NOW HAVE A VERY BULLISH SHORT TERM VIEW BASED ON 9 BUY SIGNALS .BUT I AM ONLY LOOKING FOR A WAVE C UP TO 2949 TO 2963 .The QQQ COULD SEE THE RALLY TO PEAK AT TWO TARGETS 1ST ..786 191 OR IN FACT MAKE A RETEST OF THE OLD HIGH BEFORE WAVE C TAKES PLACE .THE RALLY SHOULD PEAK INTO NEXT FRIDAY IN WAVE 24 THREE PEAKS DOOMED HOUSE POSTED BACK JULY 23 .BEST OF TRADES FOR WHAT IS COMING IS NOT GOING TO BE GOOD
SP:SPX
by wavetimer
1
Weekly bitcoin very bearish shooting star/doji close is a trap?What if the composite operator/whale(s) set out to enable massive liquidity by shaking out all the weak hands through an algo that created a weekly closing incredibly bearish doji (gravestone/shooting star)? If so, then they should enable the shorts to pile on towards $9700 or so and the squeeze the heck out of them up and through $20k. I'm buying the dips down towards $10k again and keeping a short open in parallel from above. This basically redefines the classic bear trap if true and pans out.
BNC:BLXLong
by DropDead_Fed
2