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Bulltrap

AAPL | Wave Analysis | potential bulltrap expanding triangleWave Analysis with price action and chart pattern trading >A potential bulltrap scenario with fake bb line breakout with d wave of expanding triangle in major wave III. > wave d - targeting at price rejection zone 1.0 - 1.272 fibonanci extension of wave a > wave e - tp1 small wave a of e correction pattern possible target 1 at 0.618 retracement of wave d @ ma50w zone > completed major wave IV correction, targeting wave e tp2 small c of e leg correction bearish scenario at 1.0- 1.272 of wave d @ ma200w to complete. > before moving into motive wave 5 @ 1.618 fibononci length of major wave I. 210 - 220 USD zone with an estimated +60 - 70% upside. Always trade with affordable risk and respect your stoploss! Good Luck
NASDAQ:AAPLShort
by dukeposh
Continued Bearish Idea for BitcoinBitcoin did breakout above the trend line for the rising channel. However a bearish cross to the MACD is incoming and the Stochastic is oversold as well. Bitcoin needs to break above the 30k level and hold in order to flip the script of this long term down trend. If bitcoin is rejected, I can see support at 25K, 21K and then down to 15K. Should we lose 15K, expect a retest down to 8-10K level. On a Bigger Macro level the Monthly MACD is still in a bearish trend.
COINBASE:BTCUSDShort
by eman19
TSLA $200's ResistanceTSLA opening above $198.5 should go up towards $204 gap fill possibly $206 retracement ... resistance @ $$199.5-200.5 then $204 (2 sigma weekly Move) If Fed is Dovish today with a 25bp hike this will help to push bullish narrative Fed with 25bps and Hawkish rhetoric can stop the bull run. Below $194, we could see Tesla go for Gap fill below and settle around $190 to finish the week This Feels like a Bull Trap set-up- just my opinion I bought back in @ 175 Since I plan on taking Profits for this week I will look into selling $200-$205 calls against my $175 price positions *** this is a profit taking options position, I would not sell calls if I did not own shares at that lower price.
NASDAQ:TSLA
by Black_Sheep1
AUDCHF: Bull TrapAfter an aggressive sell-off, price has started to lure in buyers. This can be seen on the daily time frame with the recent buy inducement candles. Buyers being lured in means liquidity below the established low. I believe will price will flow to this low with the help of the news today. I am really not sure where the sell with take place so for now it's simply an observation. If something aligns with me and my intuition later in the day, I will enter a sell position and update you.
Short
by AlkalineFX
10
TSLA G3 DUMP? Markets bounced strong today... but will Tsla join or be the one to take the hit so the other stocks can run? TSLA had a Rough Day I'll Keep this simple.. Here are my thoughts on Distribution Schematic: 114% Bull Run in 1 Month - Mainly Short-Squeeze Move We could see one more move up in a Wyckoff fashion - this will burn the $200 call options along with all the puts added in past 2 days, setting up a Bear Trap and generating more FOMO for Bull Trap 3 thus providing Liquidity for "Composite Man" to make the most $$$ -I also believe that a Markdown is needed for Institutional Buyers to get back into the stock @ lower pricing. Both Scenarios are viable, yet I'm leaning towards#1 .. but will be prepared to go with the trend. Long-Term Bull/ Short-Term Bear good Trading Today
NASDAQ:TSLAShort
by Black_Sheep1
2
Bull and Bear Traps!!!👨‍🏫Hello, dear traders🙋🏻; I am Pejman, and welcome to TradingView Tunes📺. As a lover of classic cartoons, I would like to explain Bull and Bear Trap using the Road Runner and Coyote cartoons😍. If you've never seen this cartoon👀, let me tell you, it's a masterpiece of trapping and pranking. But what does it have to do with financial markets🤷🏻❓ Believe it or not, there are some striking similarities between the traps Coyote🐺 sets for Road Runner🐦 and the traps that exist in financial markets💲. The market traps are known as bull🐮 and bear🐻 traps, and they can lead to significant losses if investors aren't careful.🙍🏻 For example, the Coyote paints🖌️ the road to drag the Road Runner to a suitable place and traps him with stones🪨 and TNT💣. Or he is trying to surprise the bird with TNT & cactus🌵, in another way.🤭 Large financial institutions and market makers, or whales🐋, try to deceive amateur traders in the financial markets. Like coyotes, they try to trap inexperienced people by creating fake buy🟢 and sell🔴 signals. To trade with these traps, you should know technical analysis to neutralize the coyote traps of the market like Road Runner.😉 In the financial markets, we have two types of fraudsters. Bulls are the ones who buy and cause prices to rise☝🏻, and on the contrary, bears are the ones who sell and make prices fall👇🏻. Simple enough, right😊❓ However, I explained more about bulls and bears in the market types post👀. You can refer to this post to better understand the rest of the article.👇🏻😉 Every hunter needs prey. For example, we said that the Coyote used to paint the roads. Exactly bulls, by pumping up the price and bears by a sharp drop in the price, fool the inexperienced people. Also, all these events are short-term. Like Road Runner, you have to pay close attention to the market⚠️. In this post, I will teach you how to turn threats into opportunities and profit from them.✅ The first step is to identify these traps. Our first trip today is the bull trap. ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Bull Trap: Let's start with the Bull Trap🏁. This is when the market looks like it's on the up-and-up⬆️, so you start throwing money around like a looney tune💸. But just like Coyote's contraptions, the market can suddenly backfire and leave you feeling like you just got hit with an anvil💥. It's enough to make you want to go "meep meep" all the way home☹️🏠. Be like Road Runner and stay alert, or you'll end up with a crate of dynamite💣 strapped to your back. That's a bull trap in a nutshell. A bull trap is when the market appears to increase, so investors jump in, hoping to make a profit. But then, the market suddenly drops, and those investors are left holding the bag👜. They thought they were getting ahead of the game but were just falling into a trap.🪤 You may be fooled by the chart and expect the price to pump up, but in reality, the price will start to fall or act like a reversal pattern.↩️ At this time, those who traded without stop loss🚫 will lose the most. It would help if you watched out for these traps in any type, whether up, down, or sideways (range market). The price must be below a resistance zone for a bull trap to form a reversal pattern. A bull trap can change an uptrend to a downtrend after creating classic reversal patterns such as double tops, heads & shoulders, diamonds, etc.😉 If you want to know the patterns and learn classic patterns with a quick review⏩, you can get help from the following post. Now that you know this trap, we can talk about ways to recognize and deal with this trap. How to recognize the Bull Trap🔎 Sir John Templeton says: The four most dangerous words in investing are: "This time it's different."🤔 We may have said these words and confused real traps with fake traps. But how can you prevent this mistake?🤷🏻 Do you remember that we talked about fake and valid breakouts in the Support and Resistance post?💭 You can also read the link below for a background on this topic. Let's go back to our topic. To ensure that the breakout is valid, we should look for two confirmation signs✅️: 1. Increase in Trading Volume 2. Bullish candlestick patterns Now let's go through each one in detail because the devil👹 is in the details 😂. Increase in Trading Volume For the breakout to be valid, the volume📶 of the broken candle must be significantly higher than the previous candles. But more is needed because coyotes are clever and intelligent. Even after the breakout, the trading volume for the other candles should remain high to ensure the failure is real. In a bull trap, the volume of the fake breakout candles either does not increase or only slightly. If you see that the trend has lost momentum after breaking out or has no strong momentum to continue or start the trend, this is precisely the trail of coyotes in the market. Along with market volume, considering candlesticks and their patterns can be equally helpful as they clearly show market movement. You can take a look at the following post to learn about these candlestick patterns and review them. For example, by seeing bullish candlestick patterns, you can understand that a breakout is not fake. Bullish Candlestick Patterns: If the breakout candle is a giant momentum candle, it's called a Marubozu , which is not difficult to find on the chart. This candle has a green and long body, and its wick is tiny compared to its body, or it does not have a wick at all. This candle is associated with a high trading volume, and it shows that TNT is not working in this upward trend, and real buyers are in the market. Also, the pattern of the 👩‍🚀👩‍🚀👨‍🚀 Three White Soldiers 👩‍🚀👨‍🚀👩‍🚀 is a reversal pattern that can be seen as a continuation pattern in the charts. Along with all these signs, you should always keep the market trend in mind. ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Bear Trap: Next up is the Bear Trap. This is when the market looks like it's going to crash💥 and burn🔥, so you start selling your assets like there's no tomorrow. But just like Coyote's rockets, the market can suddenly bounce back and leave you feeling like you just got flattened by an Acme anvil. Don't panic! Be like Road Runner and stay calm, or you'll fall off a cliff. Bear traps are similar to bull traps. Young and inexperienced bears🐻 are caught in these traps. When the young bears think the market is going down, these traps are activated, and the hunters place heavy buy orders. At this moment, this heavy order will cause the price to turn upward, and anyone who has a short position without a stop loss will lose their money💸. A trap is a trap, and it doesn't matter if it is a bear or a bull🐮. Here we use the duplicate confirmations we used in bull traps, like a steady increase in trading volume and continuation candlestick patterns. When a support zone is broken, hunters prepare to set traps. If the bearish momentum candle is not accompanied by increased trading volume, this can be a sign of a trap. The ⚫️⚫️⚫️ Three Black Crow ⚫️⚫️⚫️ candlestick pattern is usually a reversal pattern but sometimes acts as a continuation pattern. If a high trading volume accompanies this pattern, it can be a valid sign of a breakout. Now I will tell you how to use these traps (Bull&Bear) and get profit from them like a professional trader. ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- How to trade with a Bull Trap The bull traps start with an uptrend. As you can see the picture has a resistance zone, and the price may test a zone several times before passing it. When a fake breakout occurs, it may initially be accompanied by an increase in trading volume, but it is entirely temporary, and you will notice a decrease⤵️ in the intensity of the trend from the next candles. When the intensity of the trend decreases, market coyotes activate their traps. And they set sell orders, and the bloody🩸 candles appear on the chart. With a valid breakout of the last support, the price reaches our entry point station⛽️. You can place your stop loss a little higher than the top of the bull trap and place your stop loss🚫 above the breakout candlestick of the support zone, considering the higher Risk-Reward ratio. To find the take profit💰 point, consider the difference between the peak trap and the support zone as X, and Viola, now expects X amount to profit from your entry point. ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- How to trade with a Bear Trap Now it's time for the second trap. After occurring a valid support zone breakout and an increase in price, you must wait for the price to break through the last resistance zone after a sudden sharp move. When you can use the signs⚠️, you are sure that the coyotes have abandoned the process, that there is no trap🪤, and that real failure has happened; you can open your long positions. Now, this passed resistance zone has turned into support, and you can wait for the price to test this area several times for more confidence and then open your entry point. Like trading in bull traps, in bear traps, you can place your stop loss a little below the valley of the bear trap. Considering the higher Risk-Reward ratio, you can also put it below the breakout candle of the resistance zone. The take-profit point is the same as the bull trap, but vice versa. Consider X from the lowest price in the bear trap and the resistance zone. Now, as much as X, we can expect that the upward trend will continue and precious dollars will rain on our heads. Now that you have learned about the bull trap🪤 in an uptrend and the bear trap in a downtrend↘️, you should remember that the market is not always up🔺️ and down🔻, and the road runner should also expect traps on the range roads. You should be aware of bull/bear traps in the range market. ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Range Market When the price gets stuck between the support and resistance zones, the range market is created, and the coyotes also look for inexperienced road runners in this market. This is a sad story for new traders who rush into positions when they see the resistance or support zone break. Price fluctuations in range markets are minor; trading in a range market is much more complex than in bull and bear markets. So I suggest you spend more time on your trading strategies and test them several times. ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Conclusion: Even in life, some coyotes seek to trick you by creating fake situations. But you have to be careful and smart like Road Runner. Sir John Templeton believes that: "Bull markets are born on pessimism, grown on skepticism, mature on optimism, and die on euphoria." And also, David Dreman says: "Bear markets are like avalanches: they start slowly and accelerate gradually before gaining momentum and becoming a force of nature🏞." In the financial markets, bulls and bears are constantly fighting each other, but the real winners are always those who use various tools and indicators to avoid risk and find safe spots for trading and profit. Once you practice and familiarize your eyes with all kinds of trends and traps, you will become a road runner in the market. So, if you want to be like the clever road runner and avoid falling into the bull and bear traps in the financial markets, stay alert, stay informed, and be prepared to adapt your investment💰 strategy when necessary. In future posts, we will take new steps in technical analysis and travel to the world of classic patterns. So follow the future posts and share your opinions and ideas in the comments. Your comments🎓 are precious to me. Also, if you have friends👬👭 who are into classic cartoons🎆 and trading, send them this post.
Education
by pejman_zwin
10
TSLA Kangaroo Market 3/1VIP Day for TSLA *DUMP & PUMP or PUMP & DUMP... Manipulation is Strong at these levels This Consolidation will end soon leading to continuation break-out or distribution Bullish Target $221.5 + Close above $224 will show Buyer Commitment Bearish Target: Close below $197 *POC My Patterns & Targets are on Chart Detailed Insight from: 2/28 TESLA is currently one of if not the Strongest Stock and is helping to hold up the Markets. I believe that the Rally is close to wrapping up at this stage of the "Mark-UP" *Wyckoff Distribution" I can see "Pump & Dump" -Final UTAD and Possible Continuation through Wednesday with Distribution. ****TSLA is BULLISH - do not mistake my bearish insights as a short confirmation *Daily Chart is very Bullish (The best moves keep going in the same direction) I Technical/Trend/Patterns: 200 Daily MA & 0.382 Fib are psychological zones that Bulls will want to ensure TSLA gets too .. -^Bullish double bottom pattern places TSLA move to $220-$224 area -^Potential Island Reversal to the bullish side BEARISH: -Bearish Rising Wedge on Daily- if pattern completes, measured move will go to fill gap @ $147.61 (MACRO-2-3 weeks) --Bearish Divergences are formed on lower time frames (4hr-1hr) -Daily Bearish Divergences are looking to follow suit if a new High is made (speculation) -OBV & Momentum indicators are diverging to the negative (OBV is High but Momentum is low -contrary) -Price has been moving down but A/D Line continues rising *I analyze this as Higher Distribution _____________________________ -***TIME FRAME: Analyzing consolidation patterns and impulse moves (Mark-UP) - I am seeing Consolidation on average of 25-27 days and Impulse Moves lasting 14 days *Tesla is going to hit 27 days of consolidation on Wednesday I can foresee the Markdown Phase Beginning for 2 weeks and moving into consolidation until before next earnings in April before the Next Mark-UP This aligns up with Seasonal Market Trends ( Bullish in Jan - Decline mid Feb to mid March) - Options Current Options info: *$200 Call Option Wall -Contrarian view is that with High Call Options @ $200 price will close below that by end of week (Market Makers do not want to pay-out) Max-Pain is currently at 197.5 -Bullish view: amount of options could create a "Gamma Squeeze" -Squeezing Tesla to test or surpass Highs in the short-term, ***Short-term pump & Dump Weekly Expected Move: $215 High $197 Low Positives: -Investor Day is Hyping up the bullish trend as everyone is preparing for Elon to showcase "GEN 3" platform -a new commodity vehicle for $25-30k before mark-up. This has retail piling into TSLA stock with an enormous $200 call Option wall again.. -Berlin Higher production levels --QQQ Potential Island Reversal to the bullish side - Help to continue Rally Analysis: Short-Term Neutral/ Bearish (Long-Term Bullish ) My bias is Bearish with a possible pump & dump scenario in play ... $200 Daily MA & 0.382 Fib are psychological zones that Bulls will want to ensure TSLA gets to .. If Tuesday shows strong Commitment and closes at the highs.. We could see Bullish continuation to $234. Tomorrow is VERY CRITICAL - Monthly close above $200 shows strong buyer commitment - if there is a sell-off and we see a close below $197, I feel confident that Tsla will retrace to $145 area to fill gap ( 0.618 retracement ) Tsla Closing strong tomorrow will lead me to believe that consolidation may continue through next week until we get March Payroll Data (this puts my target price to $232-$234 before we see "Mark-Down" *watch how TSLA reacts to Weekly Expected high at $215 area -I am staying away from Options except for "Day-Of" -Day Trading has been exceptional - waiting 15min after market open has proved beneficial
NASDAQ:TSLA
by Black_Sheep1
7
TESLA BUY the Rumor Sell the FactTESLA is currently one of if not the Strongest Stock and is helping to hold up the Markets. Strong Move today on Lower Volume. I believe that the Rally is close to wrapping up at this stage of the "Mark-UP" *Wyckoff Distribution" I can see Possible Bullish Continuation through Wednesday. Technicals/Indicators/Patterns: $200 Daily MA & 0.382 Fib are psychological zones that Bulls will want to ensure TSLA gets too .. -^Bullish double bottom pattern places TSLA move to $220 area -^Potential Island Reversal to the bullish side BEARISH: -Bearish Rising Wedge on Daily- if pattern completes, measured move will go to fill gap @ $147.61 --Bearish Divergences are formed on lower time frames (4hr-1hr) -Daily Bearish Divergences are looking to follow suit -OBV & Momentum indicators are diverging to the negative (OBV is High but Momentum is contrary) -Price has been moving down but A/D Line continues rising *I analyze this as Higher Distribution _____________________________ -***TIME FRAME: Analyzing consolidation patterns and impulse moves (Mark-UP) - I am seeing Consolidation on average of 25-27 days and Impulse Moves lasting 14 days *Tesla is going to hit 27 days of consolidation on Wednesday I can foresee the Markdown Phase Beginning for 2 weeks and moving into consolidation until before next earnings in April before the Next Mark-UP This aligns up with Seasonal Market Trends (Bullish in Jan - Decline mid Feb to mid March) - Options Current Options info: *$200 Call Option Wall -Contrarian view is that with High Call Options @ $200 price will close below that by end of week (Market Makers do not want to pay-out) Max-Pain is currently at 197.5 -Bullish view: amount of options could create a "Gamma Squeeze" -Squeezing Tesla to test or surpass Highs in the short-term, ***Short-term pump & Dump Weekly Expected Move: $215 High $197 Low Positives: -Investor Day is Hyping up the bullish trend as everyone is preparing for Elon to showcase "GEN 3" platform -a new commodity vehicle for $25-30k before mark-up. This has retail piling into TSLA stock with an enormous $200 call Option wall again.. -Berlin Higher production levels --QQQ Potential Island Reversal to the bullish side - Help to continue Rally Analysis: Short-Term Neutral/Bearish (Long-Term Bullish) My bias is Bearish with a possible pump & dump scenario in play ... $200 Daily MA & 0.382 Fib are psychological zones that Bulls will want to ensure TSLA gets to .. If Tuesday shows strong Commitment and closes at the highs.. We could see Bullish continuation to $234. Tomorrow is VERY CRITICAL - Monthly close above $200 shows strong buyer commitment - if there is a sell-off and we see a close below $197, I feel confident that Tsla will retrace to $145 area to fill gap (0.618 retracement) Tsla Closing strong tomorrow will lead me to believe that consolidation may continue through next week until we get March Payroll Data (this puts my target price to $232-$234 before we see "Mark-Down" *watch how TSLA reacts to Weekly Expected high at $215 area -I am staying away from Options except for "Day-Of" -Day Trading has been exceptional - waiting 15min after market open has proved beneficial
NASDAQ:TSLA
by Black_Sheep1
2
Bitcoin Bull Trap??? Bitcoin blasted thru all bunch of major resistance then sells off like crazy.... Bull Trap!!? Bitcoin needs to hold the yellow trend line, at least. Not surprised to see Bitcoin doing this here. Upon all seriousness the markets are still uncertain due to the Macro economic environment. I think the reason for the BTC upside is the fact that a lot of Shorts got liquidated (Short Squeeze) plus there are some positive stuff happening in Crypto in other countries. All this Celsius, BlokFi, FTX, Voyager, 3 Arrows Capital and probably a bunch I missed, has already been priced in IMO. This is a very interesting time in the world with one of the biggest shift in monetary policy we will ever see in our life times. Any who, hope you are positioned well as we head into uncharted territory as the World is changing faster and faster by the days passing. Good Luck Out There!
by BuddaCo_LifeStyle
2
BTC ready for is a TrapHello Birdies, EPIC SHORT ALIGNING!!! A exciting week this was. But stay cautious this is a bull trap in progress. As you all know we trade what we see RIGHT! So here is what we are seeing on our weekly chart. The falling wedge going to work as a bull trap. There is a huge trendline which was broke down and converted into resistance The trendline starts in Jan 2021 Converted to resistance in Jun 2022 Retested as resistance in Aug 2022 Its going to test it again somewhere in Feb 2023 Work as a trap and boom Don't beat the line after snake is gone. Trade what you see
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDShort
by BlackBirdTrading
10
**Possible BITCOIN bull trap scenario**BITCOIN TA - BULL TRAP?? For this current run, I am anticipating a 5 wave move to $23,000, stemming from the previous run C wave bottom ( shown in the yellow ). However, BITCOIN did not sell off all the way to the previous DEMAND ZONE of $20,600. And alternative scenario to watch for is if the current run is stemming from : 1. the bottom of the ( A ) WAVE, 2. peaking at $23,000 for the end of the ( B ) WAVE, and ... 3. coming back down along the red ( C ) WAVE, bottoming in the DEMAND ZONE of $20,600. **not financial advice** just something I noticed. Leave a LIKE . Leave a COMMENT and tell me what you think.
by Asra84
2
BTC dump is coming? Hi dear community, I hope you are fine. I will be short. I will update my ideas about current situation on BTC chart. I'm looking at 2W BTC log chart by Heikin Ashi candles. I'm comparing 2022 bear market with 2015 coz they are very identical by many factors which I told in my previous analyses. So as you see after making double bottom with strong bullish div BTC pumped from 15.5K to 24.3K as I had mentioned in my previous analyses. There is huge resistance at 24.5-25K zone/200weekly EMA, range high, diagonal and horizontal resistances, monthly diagonal bearish trendline test etc. Approaching to key resistance bullish candles became smaller/check 3D or W chart/, buying volume was diminishing, the momentum was losing creating multi bear divergences on multi timeframes, as a result of the mentioned the price rejected at 24.3K & dropped to 21.6K filling created imbalance, and FVG zones bellow 22.3K. As you see after bottom, BTC created 3-4 big green Heikin Ashi candles marked in pink box and dumped to the main market structure making HL, at the moment you can notice the same green candles in a pink zone with RSI identical move as it did in 2015)). To be honest , we need this healthy correction putting HL in current structure. There is weekly FVG zone at 17.2-20.4K zone as well. In coming days and weeks, I expect BTC to dump to the mentioned zone and fill at least 50% of FVG which is 18.7K. More likely 18.5-19K zone will hold not only as a FVG zone but also strong horizontal support and we'll see strong reaction and bounce from that region which will lead the price to new highs)). If you like my ideas don't forget to like and follow me for further updates. I will appreciate any kind of support. Also check my other analyses.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDShort
by ergal91
BTC Ranging and my plan of actions (long and short ready) Keeping this chart and idea pretty simple as those are always the best plans in my opinion. I have been observing the current BTC range which I have shown by purple lines. I am personally not interested in trading within this range, although there are plenty of trades to take, I am choosing to opt out and let this range run its course especially with a lot of major news releases upcoming. My strategy is simply to wait for buyer or seller strength to overcome the other, meaning a strong candle close outside of the range. When that range is broken (long or short) it will be important to have some altcoins prepared to trade so they should be prepared beforehand. I'll show an example of what I am watching for altcoin trades using this example of YFII-USDT: This is a chart with a strong and obvious resistance overhead. My strategy here is if BTC breaks it's range higher, then I will go through my flagged charts such as YFII and see if they have also just broken that resistance and use that to time the trades. It's important to have setups prepared for longs and shorts so that we are prepared for BTC to break the range either way. The only additional note I will make for the BTC range, is that it will be critical to pay attention to the breaks of any support and resistance I have drawn. Particularly regarding liquidity traps, essentially false breakouts. So if BTC makes a break outside of the range and then comes back into the range after a clear breakout it will be crucial to be able to flip your trading bias and recognize this as a fakeout.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by Obscure_Trading
BTC Super Guppy's super prediction)) 24-25K then 28-30K or 19KDear community and my lovely followers, this analysis covers my previous one analysis about Gaussian channel and 1-7 step price action in 2015 and 2021-2022 bear markets. So if you read this one, don't miss the previous one as well. They are highly correlated. Pay attention that the same 1-7 price action movement happened bellow weekly super Guppy indicator. In 2015 when Price reached to upper red channel of Supper Guppy(#6) it dumped making double bottom(#7), now Price is approaching to the same red upper band of Supper Guppy which is about 24.5-25K(#6), which is also mid point of 5D gaussian channel(#6) + monthly diagonal resistance, range high+ 200 & 50 weekly EMA. A lot of confluences at the mentioned point . So it is less likely price will break the mentioned level at first attempt, So I expect 2015 scenario to be repeated and dumping to 18.5-19K making #7 movement and Higher Low. If you like my analyses, don't forget to like, share, comment and follow please. I need your support. I appreciate any single follow.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by ergal91
2
1D BTC chart and volume volatilityThis is how I see it. Two months ago when FTX crash happened, it created a hole in daily S/R levels, as we can see on VRVP on the right, which was easily used to rise the price again, but no significant increase in volume between big moves. The brightness of the candles on my chart is showing volume per candle. Last three days, we got new highs without volume. Judging by the BTC dominance, those highs were created by bleeding from the alts. So... We had the last local bottom on Jan 1st, and it was at the -45 RSI level. Since yesterday we have printed local top at 100 RSI level and reversal of the trend on my indicator. And a hole in VRVP remains. All that tells me a big correction is needed to get another big leg up. If not, a new low.
Short
by RockinHood
4