BUND
Bunds; The Bearish ScenarioThe long term picture for Bund market is getting increasingly bearish. Yesterday, Sentix reported that institutional investors's inflation expectation is growing and now they expect much less monetary support from central banks. Their assessment of future of the EZ economy has also markedly improved. This doesn't bode well for Bund market and the technical picture confirms this.
I expect much lower prices going forward and this will pave the way for a decent rally in EURO.
Good luck,
Ali Sharifazadeh, CFTe
Bund 1 hWow thats more up than i thougt...Anyway they do nothing what i want...
Don 't forget in 2 days is rollover time for the future.
Only my opinion. 164,00 ist the point i thing and then up up till today guys.
This site ist fantastic for trader, because all say trade your own plan and no trouble about short/long..bla bla.. from many german sites. Thanks to all people here.
Also doch weitaus höher gelaufen als vermutet. Aber das ist tägliches am Markt.
In 2 Tagen ist Kontraktwechsel auf Dez.
Da sollte es nicht unter 164,00 gehen und dann wieder hoch bis 168,00
Aber tradet euren eigenen Plan! Das ist überall hier die Mission, deshalb finde ich dieses Forum so gut.
Es wird nicht genörgelt warum gehst du short/long...blabla...Super danke an alle hier auch wenn ich nicht viel beitragen kann.
THE BUND IS READY FOR A CRASH! HIGH PROBABILITY!RESISTANCE LEVELS:
168,25 - 168,75
SUPPORT LEVELS:
160,90 - 161,40
155,75
148,7 - 149,20
EXPLANATION:
The Central Bank is trying to keep Rates at record low to stimulate the economy. How hard they will try this will never never work, there is always and end. Also to this! The Trend will change at some point!
It seems that this will not take a very long time before it will crash and the Trend will change. The signals are verry clear!
We are looking on a Weekly chart, this gives some room to look in a larger/ longer term perspective. What we see here is that we are moving in a WIG this means that the range is narrowing and the Price will make a hugh move 10 - 12 percent when the Trendline is broken. It is supported by the Indicators that show NEGATIVE divergence .
THE KEY LEVEL TO WATCH IS; 166 . When this level breaks, then much lower prices can be expected. First move has some room to 149!
BundNow ist desicion time the next few days.
167,34-137,44 is neutral but i think it's more downchance caus rollover time is near!
Some spikes may be possible. watch out and trade your own plan guys.
Also die Entscheidung naht in den nächsten Tagen. Wobei nun die shortseite bevorzugt werden sollte.
Achtet auf den Rollover am 08.09.16
Auch Ausschläge bis 168,00 sind vorher noch drin. Also Achtung.
Downside Risk Potential For The EuroThere is downside risk for the euro as price action for EURUSD failed to close above 1.1342, essentially creating an asymmetric double top with the fizzled mid-February rally.
The pair looks to fade back to the 200-day EMA near 1.1108. The rally in the dollar following its steep declines last week could cause a more pronounced slide as long as the DXY remains supported (92.50 remains a key near-term support level).
Next, traders are saw bunds bid while the U.S. 10Y remained rather muted, causing spreads to become the widest since last December.
The U.S. 10Y has held a relatively strong negative correlation with the dollar index going back to last August. If the dollar remains supported, there will likely be dampened demand for U.S. paper outside of any significant headline risk that could spark demand.
If price action does not confirm a downtrend break above 1.1342, the euro will likely slide against the dollar and challenge the minor uptrend created in December.
S/R levels remain key targets for advancement and pullbacks.
Check my posts out at:
bullion.directory
www.investing.com
www.teachingcurrencytrading.com
oilpro.com