The reduction target is $70-73According to the Butterfly pattern, the Fibo perfectly converges the decline to the target of $ 70-73. The timing is not clear when we will get there, but according to the schedule of the decline of #HSI1, we should reach it by October 2023, there will be an excellent point for going to long to new heights.
Butterfly
PTM Platinum Asset Mgmt (ASX) Monthly 2Monthly chart has clear 5 wave move into longer term bullish fibonacci cluster level
This stock has taken a battering over the last few years and recently there is a monthly spinning top outside of the bollinger bands and a gap on the weekly at $1.05, so there is at least 25-30c to close this...
I'm looking at the longer term bullish bias, so wont be trading this as a short to medium term trade...
Full disclosure... I already have a position in this stock within the last month or so
Bearish Logscale Butterfly T2 with Bearish MACD & RSI DivergenceBitcoin appears to be set up at the 1.902 HOP for a Type 2 retest of the Logscale Bearish Butterfly that resulted in a major Type 1 reaction from the 1.618 Fibonacci Extension back in 2021, where it dropped from $69,000 to $15,500 over the course of several months before ultimately bottoming at the PCZ of a smaller Log Scale Bullish Butterfly which signaled the Type 2 run up to the 1.902 HOP of the Bearish Butterfly where it is now. As it tests this level the MACD and RSI are both Diverging Bearishly and the RSI especially seems weak as it now struggles to even crack above 70 level. This signals to me that the RSI has confirmed exhaustion after divergence at the HOP and that it is likely ready to start declining further.
Saying as though this is the type 2 test, I'd suspect that we'd make a lower low than our previous Type 1 reaction low at $15k, perhaps landing us around $12-10k; but if those levels don't hold It would be technically viable to assume BTC would go for the 0.886 retrace at around $4.6k
End of hibernation for the bears?AMEX:SPY is at a pivotal point and could potentially be at the top of the bullish cycle that began in October 2022. If this prediction proves accurate, I think we could see a maximum low of $510 for this year. There are a couple of caveats, including one that will be a clear indicator of whether or not this wave count is accurate, which I will explain later.
On the 1000R chart ($10), this uptrend was confirmed by Supertrend and volume activity. Volume drastically increased at the start of Wave (3) in March 2023 and did not taper off until the start of Wave (4) in July 2024. This was the strongest impulse in the trend, which is common for Wave 3. You can also see the ADX line of the DMI indicator (white line) was at its highest level during that period.
Assuming Wave (5) is already complete, we can observe that the volume in Wave (3) was considerably less than Wave (5).
Other observations supporting this wave count:
- Wave (4) retracing into the territory of Wave 4 of (3)
- Alternation in corrective patterns between Wave (2) and Wave (4); flat in (2) and straight down in (4)
- Wave (5) extending to nearly 1.618 of (1)
While the points I’ve made so far suggest that the market may be on the verge of a crash, the image gets more complicated when you take a closer look on the 250R chart ($2.50). I’ll start with what I’m counting as Wave 4 of (5). The price ended at ATH in Wave 3 and then corrected in an unmistakable five wave descending wedge pattern. This can only be a fourth wave of a larger impulse, so we can conclude with a fair amount of confidence that the wave that follows will be the last.
Here is where things get interesting. The price moved from $575 on January 13th to a slightly higher ATH of $609.24 on January 24th before being rejected again. This uptrend unfolded in a typical bullish pattern and left a notable gap at $584, which is the only gap still left unfilled. The trend change is confirmed on the moving averages. Notice the serious drop in volume that followed as well.
Despite the shift in volume, there are two issues I have with this wave count that are preventing me from calling this a confirmed correction:
1. Wave 5 of (5) was awfully short and only extended roughly $2 above the end of Wave 3 of (5). This does not break any rules, but it is unusual.
2. What I have labelled as Wave B of Wave (1) or (A) of the correction made a new ATH on Friday February 14th, which should invalidate this wave count since the end of Wave 5 of (5) should be the peak.
The second point is why some may think that we are about to resume the larger bull trend, however there is a possibility that they are mistaken based off the PA on the actual index SP:SPX and futures CME_MINI:ES1! . On the SP:SPX chart, we can see that the index did not break the ATH at $6128.18 set on January 25th, and instead rejected at $6,127.24.
CME_MINI:ES1! also failed to notch a new ATH on Friday and I have observed the price action create a nearly perfect bearish butterfly pattern. Also notice how the volume is significantly lower than in the uptrend that began on January 31st.
So the question remains: are we at a tipping point or will the bulls regain control? Right now it’s unclear, but I will keep my bearish sentiment until SP:SPX makes a new ATH, which will invalidate this theory. Since only the ETF that tracks it only made a slightly higher high on low volume, I’m skeptical of the PA on AMEX:SPY at the moment. This is why I entered puts on Friday.
If the trade plays out, I expect the price to quickly move to fill the gap at $584, which is still conveniently located at what I cam considering the 1.236 extension of Wave A, which is a common target extension in flat corrections. I will keep my puts open until this idea is invalidated, as the Wave C drop will likely be caused by a news event that could come at any time. Let me know if you guys are seeing the same thing or something different. Good luck to all!
Lululemon is Getting Sour. LULUThis is not a perfect harmonic, far from it. The AB bounce is quite high, although mostly in wick, and BCD is only 0.786 of XAB fibtime wise. Nonetheless, vWAP cross happened with the bearish engulfing and Ehlers UltraSmoother is resistant with down going gradient. Stoch/RSI and VZO flipped a while back and %PCT has been progressively dropping and will no doubt flip soon with that bearish candle.
Reversal on Mondelez Looking Favorable. MDLZA clear Elliott 5 wave impulse down is complete, along with classical divergences on the momentum indicator. Willing to bet that this is a reversal with MIDAS line cross and US/vWAP acting as resistance in synchronicity. Interestingly, there's a double harmonic that formed in the more long term aspect - a deep Bat and a butterfly within deep bat. VZO and Ehlers Stoch/RSI are divergent, so disregarding the readings in this instance.
Up,Up and Away for NVidia. NVDAThere is a constellation of indicator crosses that add meaning to go long on this one, at least in the short run. There is a confluent cross of VZO plus offset and Ehler's Stochastic RSI. Also BB %PCT is looking to cross soon. Adding to the above, both the vWAP and US are supporting upward momentum on price, exiting OBOS area on momentum indicator, but most importantly there is a cross off the green MIDAS line. In our experience any cross of a volume/volatility line is highly, highly significant, presumable because volumes are in essence predictive. More broadly, there is a completed deep butterfly harmonic and now what appear as A wave to be also completed.
Tick Tock, It's Melting Time!Oh, look at Gold Butterfly thinking it's all that! But guess what, Gold Butterfly?
Your golden days are numbered! You're about to start declining from your fancy Fibonacci level at 2812 bucks.
Yeah, that's right, time to say goodbye to the high life and start melting down those gold bars.
You thought you were so precious, but turns out you're just like everyone else - on the decline! Better start looking for a new gig, Gold Butterfly, because your time in the spotlight is fading faster than you can say "precious metal."
Tick tock, it's melting time!
SEYED.
Fiery Butterfly of Natural Gas Price in 2025. In the previous analysis, we predicted the natural gas price trends from 2022 to the end of 2024 using harmonic patterns, which turned out to be highly profitable .
Now, in this idea, we aim to forecast the price movement for 2025 Based on the harmonic patterns, it seems likely that gas prices will rise and reach the golden level of the Butterfly pattern before experiencing a significant drop.
Gold Today Outlook
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EURCAD BUTTERFLY PATTERNHarmonic Pattern Trading Strategy:
1. Combine patterns with 2-3 confirmations (e.g., MA, BB, RSI, Stoch) for increased accuracy.
2. Implement proper risk management.
3. Limit exposure to 3% of capital per trade.
4. Exercise caution: Not every Harmonic Pattern presents a good trading opportunity.
5. Conduct thorough diligence and analysis before trading.
Disciplined approach = Enhanced edge.
BUTTERFLY PATTERNHarmonic Pattern Trading Strategy:
1. Combine patterns with 2-3 confirmations (e.g., MA, BB, RSI, Stoch) for increased accuracy.
2. Implement proper risk management.
3. Limit exposure to 3% of capital per trade.
4. Exercise caution: Not every Harmonic Pattern presents a good trading opportunity.
5. Conduct thorough diligence and analysis before trading.
Disciplined approach = Enhanced edge.
BULLISH BUTTERFLYHarmonic Pattern Trading Strategy:
1. Combine patterns with 2-3 confirmations (e.g., MA, BB, RSI, Stoch) for increased accuracy.
2. Implement proper risk management.
3. Limit exposure to 3% of capital per trade.
4. Exercise caution: Not every Harmonic Pattern presents a good trading opportunity.
5. Conduct thorough diligence and analysis before trading.
Disciplined approach = Enhanced edge.
AMZN butterfly & $192.The stock trend of Amazon (AMZN) in 2024 showed significant upward movement, with the price reaching a peak of $230 and a low of $145 during the year, driven by strong market performance and investor confidence.
However, In 2025 based on technical analysis, the formation of a Butterfly harmonic pattern suggests a highly probable correction toward the $190 level .
This pattern, often appearing after an extended bullish trend, indicates a potential reversal. Given the current market dynamics, the likelihood of such a drop is considerable.
Investors should closely monitor key support levels and prepare for possible downside risks while making informed decisions.
SEYED.
SEI/USDT: Bullish Butterfly in Play – Will This Support Hold ?Yello, Paradisers! Are you keeping a close eye on #SEIUSDT? This pair has been quietly forming a Bullish Butterfly pattern, and we’re sitting right on the critical D leg support. But remember, it’s not all sunshine – there are some key resistance levels ahead, and the market isn’t always forgiving if you lose focus.
💎#SEIUSDT has completed the XABCD leg structure of the Butterfly pattern perfectly, and we’re now resting on the D leg, a crucial support zone. On higher timeframes, this level has held strong, suggesting a probable potential bullish bounce from here.
💎The Major Support Zone is around 0.3328.This level aligns with the X leg of the Bullish Butterfly pattern. It’s a critical price floor, and as long as SEIUSDT stays above it, bulls have a strong probability to regain control and push prices upward.
💎SEIUSDT is currently sitting on the D leg of the pattern, which is acting as a secondary support. This level has already shown strength on higher timeframes, giving bullish momentum a chance to sustain from here.
💎The first minor resistance zone is coming up soon. Watch for a candle close above this level to confirm bullish continuation.If SEIUSDT clears that, the next resistance is at 0.5934 to 0.6126, followed by a stronger zone between 0.7120 to 0.7364.These levels could offer significant opportunities for bulls, but they won’t be easy to break through without strong volume.
💎The pattern invalidates if the price closes below the X leg at 0.3328.If that happens, it’s a warning sign that the bullish structure has failed, and a deeper retracement could follow.
💎Stay disciplined, Paradisers. The Bullish Butterfly pattern is a promising setup, but patience is key. Watch how SEIUSDT behaves at the upcoming resistance zones, and wait for confirmations before making moves.
Trading isn’t about chasing every pump – it’s about positioning yourself where the probabilities are in your favor. Let’s trade smart and avoid getting caught on the wrong side of the market.Play it safe, Paradisers. The market rewards patience and discipline. Focus on the bigger picture, and you’ll stay ahead of 90% of traders out there.
MyCryptoParadise
iFeel the success🌴
NRT Daily ButterflyCloser look at higher timeframe chart
Price has already moved and on track to close gap on chart,
Ideally this will drop to below the prior low with indicator divergence which would be a good place to buy for the larger move higher
Profit margin on this position would be better than the MGPI position posted today as well
NRT NYSEOil and Gas Royalty trust
Multiple reasons to buy, but I will not be as my local broker does not enable purchases for this
Interesting chart with decent fundamentals
I do not know the rules around royalty trusts, or if you can trade these or purchase only and what the terms are on the lease agreements to extract oil and gas...