Butterfly
ES daily 02/17: Bulls at last standFor bulls, good news is the possibility of 0.50% rate increase in March has significantly reduced last few days. And the bad news are all from Ukraine issue, which I think is a total nonsense, but obviously most market participants take it very seriously. Every a bit of even slightly possible Russian aggression will instantly drop the market. But assuming it cools down in the coming days, then there are lots of fuel to pump the market to 4640~4680 and even 4700+ next week.
From wave structure, we already have double top around 4585, and then double top at 4480~4485 range, a sustained break below Monday low of 4354 would be extremely bearish to me. Although we still have theoretical support of 4300, imo, if we lose 4350, we will see Jan low range retested, so bulls are now at their last stand. With today's low, it finished a butterfly pattern, so maybe we will go directly from here, but whether there will be more bad news overnight/tomorrow to break it, only God knows. For now, I still have my primary route as going up to 4640~4680 next, but I will always keep hedge on, as market already proved how volatile it can be, especially when market is basically controlled by Ukraine news...
USDJPY-Weekly Market Analysis-Feb22,Wk3If you had not read my post at the bottom, most likely you had missed the Bearish Butterfly Pattern that already gave 69pips of profit on the first target and just visually a bit shy away from its second target that has the potential to bring another 114pips of profit.
It is important that in trading, we never, ever, ever chase the trade. However, we could wait for the market to retest back to the consolidation zone in hope of forming a Bearish Bat Pattern or a Bearish Gartley Pattern for us to hop right into the trade or to have an add on of our trade.
There are three things that a trader needs to have. First He or She has to be able to read the trend, secondly, the ability to plan the trade execution and lastly to have the patience to wait for the setup to complete.
USDJPY - Bearish ButterflyHere we have a Bearish Butterfly Pattern on the 4-hourly chart. On the higher timeframe, we have a Bearish Deep Gartley Pattern at X that is just a few pips away from completion.
I've shorted the USDJPY because of these two combinations. Furthermore, I have an RSI Divergence on the current timeframe.
The second target has a more than 2:1 ratio.
Let's see how this trade roll out.
AUDCAD - Bearish ButterflyA Bearish Butterfly has formed on the AUDCAD chart, if you are an aggressive trader, you may consider engaging it.
Butterfly Pattern is 1 of the most misunderstood level. Many traders are confused about its completion level and have been guessing the stop-loss level.
If you are one of those people, don't trade the Butterfly Pattern until you got the right mentor.
XOM Shorting Opportunity?Hello Everyone. I wanted to give you guys and girls a heads up on XOM. I'll Like to share what I'm seeing. Lets start with the euphoric sentiment around the energy sector. As you may know there's a lot of bulls right now calling for oil to keep going up and along with it, energy stocks. When I hear euphoric chatter around a sector or a particular stock, I like to do the opposite of what people are saying. In other words when there are too many bulls, red flags and bells should be going off in your head. With that being said. Here are my thoughts on XOM: 1) The sentiment is too bullish, 2) A lot of good news coming out lately i.e stock buy back announcement recently, which gets the bulls more euphoric and 3) The technicals are pointing to a significant reversal very soon. I illustrated above 2 factors that gives me high confidence of being right. 1) The near completion of wave 5 of the 1st leg imo. Yes I believe XOM will go MUCH higher long term but 1st a major pull back and with this pull back many of the bullish sentiment will be CRUSHED and that will be an opportunity to go long XOM again. And the final factor is a bearish Butterfly harmonic pattern which it happens to align with the final wave 5 of leg of 1. With that being said, Please keep in mind I'm only sharing what I'm doing, I'm not a financial advisor and I'm not telling you what to do. Good luck everyone!
BTCUSD BEARISH BUTTERFLY Short Opportunity Targets
BITTREX:BTCUSD
There is a potential short opportunity for BTCUSD, we can see that there is a `Bearish Butterfly` forming.
The first target of 35.5 K is inline with 0.618 level of the larger leg up. Breaking that will start a further downfall towards previous lows or even lower.
The bearish butterfly marks the test of the upper trendline for the descending broadening wedge.
If BTCUSD reverses from around 31k it would have another go at the falling trendline before retesting the lower trendline and perhaps break it this time. However even after that it is likely for BTCUSD to retest the upper trend line and form an elongated accumulation area along 38 to 32k before going on its next run.