USD/JPY(20250414)Today's AnalysisMarket news:
Fed Collins: It is currently expected that the Fed will need to keep interest rates unchanged for a longer period of time. If necessary, the Fed is "absolutely" ready to help stabilize the market; Kashkari: No serious chaos has been seen yet, and the Fed should intervene cautiously only in truly urgent situations; Musallem: The Fed should be wary of continued inflation driven by tariffs.
Technical analysis:
Today's buying and selling boundaries:
143.41
Support and resistance levels:
146.00
145.03
144.40
142.41
141.79
140.82
Trading strategy:
If the price breaks through 144.40, consider buying, the first target price is 145.03
If the price breaks through 143.41, consider selling, the first target price is 142.41
Buy
USD/JPY SENDS CLEAR BULLISH SIGNALS|LONG
USD/JPY SIGNAL
Trade Direction: long
Entry Level: 143.111
Target Level: 151.918
Stop Loss: 137.243
RISK PROFILE
Risk level: medium
Suggested risk: 1%
Timeframe: 1D
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GBPUSD today should buy or sell?GBP/USD continues to build on its bullish momentum, reclaiming the 1.3100 level on Monday morning. The ongoing weakness of the U.S. dollar suggests that the path of least resistance for this pair remains to the upside.
The key monthly employment report is set to be released on Tuesday, followed by the latest consumer inflation data on Wednesday. In addition, investors this week will also face the release of U.S. monthly Retail Sales figures and pay close attention to a speech by Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell — a speech that could play a crucial role in shaping the USD’s price dynamics. These events are expected to provide meaningful catalysts for the GBP/USD pair in the latter part of the week.
Gold Gathers Strength Amid Global UncertaintyRight now, gold is benefiting from a convergence of highly favorable conditions for a strong bullish trend. Growing concerns about a global trade war have triggered widespread risk-off sentiment, driving capital flows into safe-haven assets like gold. As a result, the precious metal has maintained an impressive upward momentum throughout the past week and is currently stabilizing around $3,235.
From my personal view, the U.S. dollar is showing clear signs of weakness — and that only adds fuel to gold’s rally. The $3,300 mark looks like the next logical milestone, with $3,500 as a longer-term target if the current trend holds. Recent corrections in gold have been shallow and brief, which reflects persistent buying pressure and no signs of a distribution phase at the top.
This week, we should pay close attention to major monetary policy events, including meetings from the Bank of Canada, the ECB, and a speech by Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell. These events could bring increased volatility to the market. However, if central banks hold or cut rates as expected, it will provide even stronger psychological and technical support for gold.
Personally, I remain optimistic about the bullish outlook on XAUUSD — how about you?
Bullrun is Still Here, $120,000 - $130,000 Soon?The price drop over the last 2 months from $109,000 to $74,000 has made many people think the bull run is over or that the cycle has ended.
But if we look closer, this move appears to be just a correction. The price structure is still forming higher lows and higher highs — a clear sign of a bullish trend.
Will it form another higher low between $77,090 and $73,808?
This is the real question, because it will determine whether the bullish trend is still intact.
If you notice, during the drop from $109,000 to $74,000, the stochastic indicator didn't make a lower low. That suggests the decline wasn't supported by momentum — a positive sign, as it shows buyers still have strength to push the price higher.
From a price action perspective, $88,624 is a key confirmation level. If the price breaks above it, there's a high chance we’ll see a new higher high, surpassing $109,000 and targeting the $120,000–$130,000 range.
eos buy midterm"🌟 Welcome to Golden Candle! 🌟
We're a team of 📈 passionate traders 📉 who love sharing our 🔍 technical analysis insights 🔎 with the TradingView community. 🌎
Our goal is to provide 💡 valuable perspectives 💡 on market trends and patterns, but 🚫 please note that our analyses are not intended as buy or sell recommendations. 🚫
Instead, they reflect our own 💭 personal attitudes and thoughts. 💭
Follow along and 📚 learn 📚 from our analyses! 📊💡"
USOIL BULLISH BIAS RIGHT NOW| LONG
USOIL SIGNAL
Trade Direction: long
Entry Level: 61.45
Target Level: 73.89
Stop Loss: 53.11
RISK PROFILE
Risk level: medium
Suggested risk: 1%
Timeframe: 1D
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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EUR/USD Long📍 Entry (Buy Limit):
1.1085
This is just above the 1.1000 psychological level but below previous minor structure at 1.1100.
Captures a shallow retest without risking being front-run by liquidity sweeps.
🛑 Stop Loss (SL):
1.0910
Below consolidation zone and wicks around 1.10
Provides enough space beneath the major breakout level while staying tight for R:R
🎯 Take Profit Targets:
TP1: 1.1500 (Previous weekly resistance, already tested but not broken)
TP2: 1.2000 (Next clean monthly structure level)
TP3 (macro): 1.2400 (Upper range of long-term channel, highly reactive zone)
⚖️ Risk/Reward:
Risk: ~175 pips
Reward:
• TP1: ~415 pips
• TP2: ~915 pips
• TP3: ~1,315 pips
R:R = 2.4 to 1, 5.2 to 1, 7.5 to 1
atom buy midterm"🌟 Welcome to Golden Candle! 🌟
We're a team of 📈 passionate traders 📉 who love sharing our 🔍 technical analysis insights 🔎 with the TradingView community. 🌎
Our goal is to provide 💡 valuable perspectives 💡 on market trends and patterns, but 🚫 please note that our analyses are not intended as buy or sell recommendations. 🚫
Instead, they reflect our own 💭 personal attitudes and thoughts. 💭
Follow along and 📚 learn 📚 from our analyses! 📊💡"
ETHUSD Will Go Higher! Buy!
Please, check our technical outlook for ETHUSD.
Time Frame: 9h
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The market is approaching a key horizontal level 1,565.07.
Considering the today's price action, probabilities will be high to see a movement to 1,821.41.
P.S
We determine oversold/overbought condition with RSI indicator.
When it drops below 30 - the market is considered to be oversold.
When it bounces above 70 - the market is considered to be overbought.
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AUDJPY Will Move Higher! Long!
Take a look at our analysis for AUDJPY.
Time Frame: 1D
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The market is on a crucial zone of demand 90.356.
The oversold market condition in a combination with key structure gives us a relatively strong bullish signal with goal 94.801 level.
P.S
Please, note that an oversold/overbought condition can last for a long time, and therefore being oversold/overbought doesn't mean a price rally will come soon, or at all.
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AUD/CHF BULLS WILL DOMINATE THE MARKET|LONG
Hello, Friends!
AUD/CHF is trending up which is obvious from the green colour of the previous weekly candle. However, the price has locally plunged into the oversold territory. Which can be told from its proximity to the BB lower band. Which presents a great trend following opportunity for a long trade from the support line below towards the supply level of 0.542.
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AUD/CAD BUYERS WILL DOMINATE THE MARKET|LONG
Hello, Friends!
AUD/CAD pair is in the uptrend because previous week’s candle is green, while the price is obviously falling on the 1H timeframe. And after the retest of the support line below I believe we will see a move up towards the target above at 0.870 because the pair is oversold due to its proximity to the lower BB band and a bullish correction is likely.
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NAS100 Is Bullish! Buy!
Please, check our technical outlook for NAS100.
Time Frame: 1D
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The price is testing a key support 18,440.0.
Current market trend & oversold RSI makes me think that buyers will push the price. I will anticipate a bullish movement at least to 21,081.9 level.
P.S
The term oversold refers to a condition where an asset has traded lower in price and has the potential for a price bounce.
Overbought refers to market scenarios where the instrument is traded considerably higher than its fair value. Overvaluation is caused by market sentiments when there is positive news.
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NZDUSD Is Going Up! Long!
Take a look at our analysis for NZDUSD.
Time Frame: 15m
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The market is testing a major horizontal structure 0.581.
Taking into consideration the structure & trend analysis, I believe that the market will reach 0.585 level soon.
P.S
Overbought describes a period of time where there has been a significant and consistent upward move in price over a period of time without much pullback.
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GOLD Will Go Higher From Support! Buy!
Here is our detailed technical review for GOLD.
Time Frame: 15m
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The market is approaching a significant support area 3,113.45.
The underlined horizontal cluster clearly indicates a highly probable bullish movement with target 3,137.18 level.
P.S
The term oversold refers to a condition where an asset has traded lower in price and has the potential for a price bounce.
Overbought refers to market scenarios where the instrument is traded considerably higher than its fair value. Overvaluation is caused by market sentiments when there is positive news.
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CAD/CHF BULLS ARE GAINING STRENGTH|LONG
CAD/CHF SIGNAL
Trade Direction: long
Entry Level: 0.586
Target Level: 0.607
Stop Loss: 0.572
RISK PROFILE
Risk level: medium
Suggested risk: 1%
Timeframe: 1D
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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AUD/USD Breakdown: Bears in ControlThe AUD/USD pair has officially broken below its medium-term ascending channel on the daily chart, signaling a strong shift in momentum. After failing to hold above the resistance zone at 0.6311 – 0.6386, the pair reversed sharply and is now trading around 0.6213.
🔍 Key technical highlights:
A confirmed breakout beneath the channel support, accompanied by strong bearish candles, suggests growing seller dominance.
Both the EMA 34 and EMA 89 are now positioned well above the current price, reinforcing a medium-term bearish trend.
A potential short-term pullback to the 0.6240 – 0.6266 area may occur before further downside continuation.
📉 Next downside target: If bearish momentum persists and price fails to reclaim the broken support, the pair is likely to slide toward the marked support at 0.59142.
💬 With the USD gaining strength amid hawkish Fed expectations and the AUD facing domestic economic headwinds, selling the rallies remains the favored strategy in the current environment.
DXY Breakdown: Bearish Momentum Builds Amid Weak U.S. DataThe U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) is maintaining a clear bearish trajectory, with price action on the H4 chart showing a consistent pattern of lower highs and lower lows inside a descending channel. The technical structure points to continued selling pressure, and recent fundamental developments only reinforce this view.
📰 Key drivers behind the decline:
The latest U.S. CPI data came in weaker than expected, signaling easing inflationary pressure and fueling expectations that the Federal Reserve may cut interest rates sooner than anticipated.
A slight uptick in jobless claims has raised concerns that the U.S. labor market may be losing momentum.
Simultaneously, global players like China and Japan are shifting toward more stable monetary policy, prompting capital flows away from the dollar.
📉 From a technical perspective, DXY has broken below the key 100.817 support zone and is now trading around 99.7. Each attempt at a bullish pullback has been short-lived, with sellers regaining control quickly. The green arrows on the chart indicate potential reaction zones, but the descending channel structure remains firmly intact.
Outlook: If the index fails to reclaim the 100.8 – 101.3 resistance area, there’s a high probability of further downside toward the 98.5 – 98.0 support region.
In short, DXY is under pressure both technically and fundamentally, which explains the current bullish momentum in EUR/USD, GBP/USD, and especially gold (XAU/USD).
CAD_CHF RISKY LONG|
✅CAD_CHF has retested a key support level of 0.5892
And as the pair is already making a bullish rebound
A move up to retest the supply level above at 0.5949 is likely
LONG🚀
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Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
ProShares Short VIX Short-Term Futures ETFInvestment Thesis
ProShares Short VIX Short-Term Futures ETF (SVXY) is a fund that allows you to bet on a decline in volatility with a 0.5x ratio. That is, with a 10% decrease or increase in volatility, this fund will respond with a 5% movement in the opposite direction.
Volatility has significantly increased amid uncertainty due to mutual tariffs between the U.S. and the rest of the world. This presents good opportunities for opening long positions in SVXY.
The risk/reward ratio looks attractive, given that current VIX quotes are near the levels reached during the correction amid the pandemic in 2020. It is also worth noting that the share of S&P 500 components above the 50-day moving average is at local lows, which historically happens rarely and may signal a local potential for market recovery, and thus, a decline in the level of "fear" in the market.
In the base case scenario, we expect that countries will be able to reach agreements regarding the imposed tariffs, which will smooth out the overall impact on the U.S. economy and lead to a reduction in market uncertainty.
Target price – $46.8
Recommendation – Buy
Upside potential – 28%
We recommend setting a stop-loss at the level of $29.9.
DXY Will Move Higher! Long!
Take a look at our analysis for DXY.
Time Frame: 2h
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The market is testing a major horizontal structure 102.170.
Taking into consideration the structure & trend analysis, I believe that the market will reach 102.904 level soon.
P.S
The term oversold refers to a condition where an asset has traded lower in price and has the potential for a price bounce.
Overbought refers to market scenarios where the instrument is traded considerably higher than its fair value. Overvaluation is caused by market sentiments when there is positive news.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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