EURGBP Ready for longer term longsThis pair have been moving down for a long time but within the down trend there are up swings and this is what we've been waiting for. Looks like there's finally a fundamental move to hopefully initiate the next upward leg.
If you're conservative then wait and buy on any pullbacks, or if not enter long now and hold.
Buyandhold
EURAUD Long term longs, get in now or wait for pullbacksSimple technical analysis here, price has been wallowing around these lows for a while and it's the bottom of the higher time frame channel, great opportunity to start buying here with great risk reward.
Buy now and hold or wait for pullbacks if you're more conservative. Not sure on targets, would hope for a 50% pullback at least or possibly higher but that's a long hold.
XRPUSD - SMART-MONEY BUYS AND HOLDS - HERE IS WHY! ____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
Hello. Today i want to share with you an important and interesting observation which i made with XRPUSD. We are looking on the weekly-time frime. As the
cryptocurrency market consolidates and BTCUSD provides some possible bullish break-out signals, Ripple is an important coin to look at.
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As you can see on my chart, there is an pattern which exactly repeats.There is a reason why XRP is the third biggest cryptocurrency after bitcoin and ether-
eum. It has an longer history in the cryptocurrency market backing from a time where the mass of crpytocurrencys existing today wasnt there. As XRPUSD
provided two growth phases in which it gained 5544 % in the first and astonishing 94870 % in the second, the same pattern is repeating right now.
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After the first growth phase XRPUSD had an corrective phase where smart investors took profit and XRP dropped down, you can see the take-profit phase
marked with the red box in my chart. Then it took a long accumulation phase where smart money accumulated before public money to launch the
rocket to moon. This provided the second growth phase which you can see in my chart. The pattern provided the last months is nearly the same,
the take-profit phase with an ABC-correction an the accumulation.
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XRPUSD is an good coin with lots of support from banks and goverments which implementing and integrating the coin, also it held the market-cap and price
stady above the 0.24 support, it bounced several times in this price level as smart-money is accumulating, exactly the same pattern repeating seen before.
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Thanks for watching! May all luck and happiness come to you! For more market insight feel free to support!
The information provided is for educational purposes only and should not be used to take action in markets.
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Triangles and volume Don't Lie - Bitcoin ProjectionThis is my Bitcoin projection until May 2025 (1 year after the Halving), where it should find the top of the movement traced from the beginning.
This projection is a study that contemplates targets based on triangle patterns that mirror from 2 tops and the last bottom. Time will tell if the pattern will repeat itself, but I understand that the statistical chance is in favor of the longs that will keep the Bitcoins in their wallets. In addition, the Fibonacci projections and High Support Volume corroborate the patterns of the triangles drawn. Success for those who act wisely!
NOTE: This is just a study and I don't intend to tell you what to do and how to do it. Make your decisions, because the consequences are yours.
Does 10 Minutes Per Month Beat Buy and Hold?So far, I’ve been testing day trading strategies.
Which you’d have to watch for hours per day for trading signals.
Or automate.
And after all that dang work, not one of them beat buy and hold. Ouch.
Recently, I found a strategy claiming to beat buy and hold, without any of that hassle.
They say you can run it manually and in only 10 minutes per month.
Too good to be true? Let’s find out…
Our Test
The rules are so simple, you might chuckle…
Ignore all S&P 500 price action for the whole month, until the close on the last day.
If that closing price is above the 200-day moving average, go long (or stay long if you’re already in a trade).
If it’s below the 200-day moving average, sell (or don’t get in if you’re on the sidelines).
With that in mind, let’s look at our setup a little more closely…
The Trading Truth Test Setup
Since this is a monthly strategy, I used much more data than in previous tests…
Market: the S&P 500 index (using SPY to trade it, assuming SPY existed decades ago and is exactly 1/10th the S&P 500 Index price)
Timeframe: September, 1941 to April, 2023
Bar interval: 1 day (for the moving average, even though we’re only making trading decisions at the end of each month)
Moving averages: 200-day exponential moving average
Starting Equity: $ 25,000
Max % of Equity Per Trade: 100% (just like we would with buy and hold, we’re fully investing our capital)
Commissions, fees and taxes. To keep things super simple, we’re assuming these are all zero.
The Test Results
The test ended up 152.4x to $ 3.81 million a 59% win rate. Pretty amazing, though that’s over several decades.
The maximum losing streak was $ 46,384.74, or 18.4% (from $ 252,545.60).
That said, the buy-and-hold return was up 403.0x, trouncing our test.
Especially given the tax advantages from long-term capital gains.
Note: I did this analysis in a spreadsheet, with exported TradingView data. If you see any errors, please let me know.
What Test Tweaks We Could Make
One tweak is looking at the slope of the 200-day moving average.
If it’s not pointing up enough, I wouldn’t want to go long.
We could also use some other indicators to see when a pullback is likely, for example, Bollinger Bands or Keltner channels.
What would you test? And what else would you like to see tested?
Comment below!
Historical buy opportunity in DisneyThe algorithm is showing Disney in a very important historical support zone.
In the chart you can see the historical channel and how the price is approaching the support line. Furthermore the 80$ is a key support that if it's lost could move the price to 43$ easily because there is no other serious support or historical volume.
So, by buying slightly over 80$ or even 90$ you can use a very tight stop loss and unlock a potential of 60% to the first take profits or even 120% if the prices goes back to maximum price.
Right now and leaving in the first take profits, you can risk 1$ to earn at least 6$ which is a crazy risk reward ratio for any trader.
BTC bottom range based RSI indicator, 24-period based on highsINDEX:BTCUSD
RSI is a trend indicator...
Based on the RSI period 24 based on the high of each candle, being oversold at 30 and overbought at 90, we have incredible results in anticipating bull runs, and always buying in the bottom range, As well as taking the operation to optimal sales values
In 2017, the sale indication was at the exact top, in 2020/2021, on the other hand, the sale was well anticipated, but still very profitable, but the repurchase came at much better values than the sale is soon a success.
DOUBLE YOUR MONEY PART 2NSE:APOLLO broke out from its base in weekly time frame after strong downtrend. Increasing volumes on the bullish side.
WAIT FOR CLOSING TOMORROW TO GET PROPER CANDLE CONFIRMATION ON WEEKLY TIMEFRAME.
Buy 30% position at C.M.P next week and rest after retrace on daily timeframe. Holding time is 1 year+.
Buy more at dips and breakouts as the uptrend continues.
Targets- 300/400/500+
Stop loss below 100 (position size accordingly now and then add more quantity after uptrend is established)
HAPPY TRADING!
Enagas: Top pick for a dividend strategyWith a yearly dividend yield of 6.6%, it is at the current moment one of the bests in the Spanish stock exchange. Moreover, from the technical analysis perspective, we have a strong support level on the daily chart (19.47 from last candle) and on the weekly chart (17.71). We have in our HT 200 portfolio for the long term and so far we have +10.70% + dividends. 2022 looks a year for value investing and dividend investors, as they are become more risk averse in comparison to 2020 and the increasing inflation, so we believe companies such as Enagas, with a reliable net income in all quarters, offer a safe heaven for these type of investors.
HT: The end of the downtrend for HOOD?Robinhood has been struggling since its IPO. At Human Traders we've been analyzing live on Youtube that there will be a reversal anytime soon, then we're monitoring the stock closely. Best entry? After a big correction in the market (see S&P 500 chart). Now it's not a bad moment to buy the stock, but we prefer to wait for a confirmation of the trend reversal. The same applies for other stocks such as: Victoria's Secret, Oatly, Bumble, Deliveroo...
$NUE - Bull Pennant Atop a Volume Shelf$NUE has a super awesome setup going into the new year.
We've got a textbook bull pennant forming atop a volume shelf, meaning there likely isn't much downside left in this name.
Even after the guidance cuts, $NUE is still set to report an amazing quarter, meaning we've got both strong fundamentals and technicals supporting this name.
Long $NUE.
ETHEREUM Long Term Channel shows lots of upsideNo matter how much analysis you do, there's always value in zooming out and being confident in your geometry. Should the channel remain and the lower trendline hold, we should be on our way to another big jump in the ETH valuation. HODL strong my friends, but don't be greedy! Always do your own due diligence and research.
SQ to Be at 360 within a few weeksAs BTCUSD run up along with the recent undertaking of the afterpay and good earning the analysis all sing buy buy and overweight. Big dogs like Cathie Wood did happen to sell some of her big shares in the stock but she still has it on her portfolio for the long term spike up to the 340 perhaps.
Why I mention bitcoin as well square also dabbles in it as well so let the bulls sing more...I hope cuz my 365 Long call option would expire worthless if it doesn't do it. the stock is well overweight right now. The Daily Williams would signal that it is soon time to sell again. There may be a dip tuesday but if not get in now and ride up because macd and bollerband has extended upwards which may indicate further continuation into 300s
WMS finally broke... but can it hold?I last discussed this July 1st, 2021. I mentioned how I thought this would come back and retest the $114 area.
Since then it's given multiple buying opportunities around $114 and now it has finally broken out.
Question now is, can it hold?
WMS has broken out of the resistance zone of $117.90 with relatively more volume but I still think it's not enough.
Trade idea:
* WMS may come back to retest the $117.90 area and consolidate there for a bit before moving higher.
* Look for buying opportunities around the $117.90 area.
Notes:
* In general WMS has been performing really well and is in a general up trend.
* With a payout ratio of 13.70% WMS makes sure it has more than enough capital for further growth and increase its dividends over time.
This is a GREAT long term buy and hold for your portfolio!
The Death of Buy-and-Hold reduxAs a follow-up to my previous article, “The Death of Buy-and-Hold” , Bitcoin in these last four months has demonstrated quite vividly to us the error of that outdated methodology, that Buy-and-Hold is truly dead and technical trading is superior to what is called “investing” today.
In the two month period from February, 2021 through April, Bitcoin enjoyed a meteoric rise, gaining 100% in value during that 60 day period. However, as they say, “The bigger they are, the harder they fall…“ And fall it did… Bitcoin gave back every penny in the following two months crashing back to its February levels.
The most profitable, reliable, and consistent trading systems available to the average investor, as I demonstrated in previous articles , are those systems based on "supply and demand" methodologies. We can’t fight the hedge funds. We can’t fight China. We can’t fight the “whales” of the crypto market.
… But we can follow their footprints as traders .
I backtested Bitcoin based on my own proprietary supply and demand methodology, but I would assume that any supply and demand system would achieve similar results because we are all chasing the same protagonist (or antagonist, depending on how you look at them).
The results: From January 1, 2021 through June 22, buying and and holding Bitcoin would’ve net a zero return for the investor! Following a supply and demand methodology, however, the casual trader who might work on the 4 hour charts, checking in on their account once or twice per day, I identified 11 trading opportunities which resulted in a net profit of 42 percent .
Why would the investor make zero and the trader make 42%? Buy-and-hold only works in one direction… When the product gains value. Supply and demand trading lets you profit rain or shine, by the day or by the hour, in good times and bad.
I bring this up, not ultimately as an "I told you so" but as an encouragement: Yes, indeed, it is possible to pull a reliable, steady income from the markets, from the cryptos , from the indexes , from the commodities , rain or shine, week after week, once you learn to "see the money flow" and follow the trail as a trader .
One does not have to have their livelihoods be subject to the whims of the economy, of policies imposed by public officials, of Tweets from CEOs, from natural disasters, from supply chain disruptions, the whims of totalitarian nations, nor an employer, employees, or customers.
Most importantly, Supply and Demand trading protects us from the large financial institutions who regularly engage in Market Manipulation , whose tactics include fear and greed news cycles, whose analysts and "experts" foment 'sentiment' among their viewing audience, whose priority is to broadcast information that will financially benefit themselves, and not their viewers.
Trade well!
Diversified High Risk/Reward Portfolio for Buy and Holders.Only think about it once!
**Disclaimer: I am entertaining the laziest side of my nature with this. Which is actually getting less lazy, which I think is a plus.**
The idea is 10 stocks, and you put 10% of your stock portfolio into each of them.
I have diversified by sector. But, at the end of the day I was trading what I saw on the screen rather than forcing myself into a sector which resulted in some over/under represented sectors. Not to mention the number 10 is entirely from thin air. I promise you I possess the ability to count to 11. Conversely, I also possess the ability to stop at 9. Fascinating.
I am selecting entirely based off of what comes up on a technical scanner. Obviously I am a part of the process so there is some bias involved. My goal was to take stocks that are trading at or around 25% of their previous all time highs. The idea being you have a lot to gain on a strong recovery.
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The list:
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ACB - pharma
EOLS - pharma
CNK - consumer discretionary
SPCE - aerospace
SKLZ - entertainment
HIMS - healthcare/beauty
MRO - energy/oil
OVV - energy/oil
EPC - personal care
EGAN - software
I wanted to include more financials, but a lot of those stocks were too strong to fit the criteria. Citigroup (C) was the closest I could find, but it's been down for a decade so I scratched it.
This is not financial advice, but if you do it let me know how it goes.
$DASH$DASH seems to be reversing at this support, looks amazing for long term buy & hold kind of trade, great RR entry here.