Howden Joinery - Throw the kitchen sink at it?Technical
Howden Joinery looks interesting on a technical basis. The shares shot higher to new highs following a bullish update to the market. We have since seen the share price unwind to some sensible levels as the overall market continues in this condolidaiton phase. The shares have reached a confluence of Fibonacci support levels, which I have highlighted on the chart. We have seen buying interest emerge and a gap higher in price to break out of a consolidation wedge. The overall trend remains bullish and a move to new highs is expected.
Fundamentals
The UK’s leading manufacturer and supplier of fitted kitchens, appliances and joinery products has been paying dividend yields of around 2.5%. Howden ended the reporting period with net cash of £217.1m, which makes its forward P/E multiples of around 14-15 look attractive.
Stop: 505p
Target: 600p
Buyandhold
Ocado - Looking ripe for buying.Technical
Ocado has had a dramatic rise in price over the past 18 months. The breakout level at 1163p has been retested and has so far been well supported. The shares have been in a consolidation phase for the past few weeks, but some signs are emerging that could put an end to the sideways price action. A move back to and above the previous highs is expected from here.
Fundamentals
The company continues to make strides into technology, which offers potential medium-term growth.
Numis reiterated thier 'Buy' rating on the 10th May 2019 with a price target of 1700p
Ocado has announced a string of deals and recently tied up a joint venture with Marks and Spencer.
Stop 1105p
Target 1500p
$MACK Merrimack Pharmaceuticals Inc Heading HigherShareholders of $MACK are getting a $20 million special dividend.
The special dividend is payable on September 5, 2019 to stockholders of record as of the close of business on August 28, 2019. The ex-dividend date for the special dividend will be September 6, 2019, the first trading day following the payment date. Stockholders of record on the record date who sell their shares prior to the ex-dividend date will not receive the special dividend. Based on the current number of shares outstanding, the special dividend will be approximately $1.50 per common share; this amount may vary based on the number of outstanding shares as of the record date.
"The authorization of a special dividend higher than the range that we had initially estimated is an important step in implementing the strategic plan that we announced on May 30, 2019 and reflects our success in restructuring the Company and the recent closing of the sale of certain programs to 14ner Oncology, Inc.," said Gary Crocker, Chairman of Merrimack's Board of Directors. "Our remaining cash balance is anticipated to support operations into 2027, when we estimate the longest-term potential Ipsen milestone may be achieved."
About Merrimack
Merrimack Pharmaceuticals, Inc. is a biopharmaceutical company based in Cambridge, Massachusetts that is entitled to receive up to $455.0 million in contingent milestone payments related to its sale of ONIVYDE® to Ipsen S.A. in April 2017 and up to $54.5 million in contingent milestone payments related to its sale of anti-HER3 programs to 14ner Oncology, Inc. in July 2019. The Company is seeking potential acquirers for its remaining preclinical and clinical assets.
Why is the $20 million special dividend significant?
Because $MACK has a market cap of just $80 million.
$MACK looks to be a buy and hold.
As always, use protective stops and trade with caution.
Good luck to all!
ETH - update ideas
“Ethereum needs only 10 dollars to reach 285 dollars and justify our forecast made a few days ago. Even a record transaction volume of 1 million per day can prevent the lead altcoin from falling below $ 300.
On the 4-hour chart, Ethereum monitors BTC price movements, showing a decline since June 26. However, one should not expect a drop to $ 250, since the RSI model is moving into the oversold zone. MACD is declining, indicating an early decline to 270 dollars.
AUDUSD 1,000 PIP POTENTIAL. LONG TERM BULLISH (Heaps of Upside) AUDUSD WEEKLY
minus a brief stint in the midst of the financial crisis, AUDUSD hasn't seen price maintained below .6900 for over 15 YEARS!!
As a long-term value play I can't think of a better opportunity at the current moment,
Heaps of upside.
1,000 Pip Trade in the making!
BUY & HOLD - ENG, KNC, WTCOur BUY & HOLD picks for next Alts season:
ENGBTC
KNCBTC
WTCBTC
These alts have been flat and technical structures suggest major up-tick in price. Green horizontals on the charts are our targeted sell levels.
Alef.vn still a little over-valuedMy Fair Value Theory;
My theory is that the blue channel is the "fair price channel" what the company should be worth, according to the market and price action. Anything outside of the channel is fair price plus speculation. The green line represents the average fair value as per how the market views the company at any given time.
Note: The 55 Day Dochain channel is in confluence with my channel theory.
(See Turtle Trend Traders Research - available pretty much everywhere - do a google search)
My Opinion: for what its worth.
Based on my channel theory, Alef is still a little over-valued. It should settle in by year-end. The Bears are not done yet leveling the playing field.
I am watching the 1.88/1.66 zone for a support bounce or two.
KEYS - buy and holdSector: Industrials
Sub-Sector: Industrial Machinery & Equipment
Keysight Technologies, Inc. is a measurement company engaged in providing electronic design and test solutions to communications and electronics industries. 5G test solutions as one example, automated driving another testing solution, IoT and high-speed data centers another. Keysight generated revenues of $3.2B in fiscal year 2017. In April 2017, Keysight acquired Ixia, a leader in network test, visibility, and security. More information is available at keysight.com.
Liked the MACD on this one and rare to see here, as everyone is looking for short or mid-term trades. 12.3B company with 5.8B assets and 1.7B profits on 3.2B in 2017, so 12.3B means sales growth. No dividend.
RGEN - LEAPS & BOUNDs RGEN: Repligen Corporation is a bioprocessing company. The Company is focused on the development, manufacture and commercialization of products used to improve the interconnected phases of the biological drug manufacturing process. The Company's portfolio includes protein products, chromatography products, and filtration products.
RGEN as a mid-cap is new watch and being saved for own watch list and entry steep right now. 2.4B Mkt Cap and similiar EV. BETA 0.71 so great buy and forget stock. Debt low to cash flow.
Ownership: 80 Institution, 3 Management and insider trend has been sell. Look at chart and ask why?
Q2 Earnings in early Aug. were good, but first time below mkt expectations in awhile....so watching. Q3 E in early Nov-18.
Buylongselllong format courtesy of @MarxBabu. Format changed to add 1w MA and add resistance line for optimal entry. Comments & feedback appreciated especially if you understand the technology by Repligen.
ETHUSD / D1 : After months of patience, I'm triggering buy&holdOnce again the warnings here are the same :
Buy & Hold is not possible to do with leverage.
Buy & Hold is an investment psychology and nothing close to speculative entries.
You must be ready to invest into something that may go to 0..
You'll never exit this trade until it goes to that 0 value... Or to your target !
Buy & Hold can't be done with a substantial amount of you capital. Just a tiny spared amount.
If you do follow me here with any difference to those rules, don't come cry to me if this turns out to fail.
More importantly... I'm triggering ONLY on ETH, not on BTC.. this one still requires patience to me.
Hope this idea will inspire some of you !
Don't forget to hit the like/follow button if you feel like this post deserves it ;)
That's the best way to support me and help pushing this content to other users.
All my scenarios and portfolio managements are explained in a daily basis on my Youtube channel.
You'll find a link to get there in my profile signature here : @PRO_Indicators
The English videos are posted upon the "Market Forecast (ENG)" Playlist.
Kindly,
Phil
COST Bull FlagNoticed a flag appearing on COSTCO and entered position on bounce and break.
target at around 133-134 are but no current limit. Used more of an entry for long term EPS generally growing and PE is also getting higher but at a much lower pace.
Stop is low due to the nature of getting into the position. If it were to go that low from entry then I expect the market has changed for the position and sentiment would turn more bearish.
Keeping on position for time being to find any blatant exit signals.
Bitcoin — Sharks vs. Whales: WHO GONNA WIN?! Buy and Sell SignalHello dear friends, investors and traders!
Bitcoin moving to B area in 8600-8400 levels
Rebuy partially under 8600 down to 7800 levels , hold to 10-11k price levels.
@maaq23 winner of the contest in telegram! WELL DONE! You will receive your BTC today!
XPloRR MA-Trailing-Stop Strategy Bitcoin(BTCUSD) beats Buy&HoldLong term MA-Trailing-Stop strategy with Adjustable Signal Strength to beat Buy&Hold strategy
None of the strategies that I tested can beat the long term Buy&Hold strategy. That's the reason why I wrote this strategy (link see below).
Purpose: beat Buy&Hold strategy with around 10 trades over a period of 10 years (average of 1 trade/year). 100% capitalize sold trade into new trade.
My buy strategy is triggered by the fast buy EMA (blue) crossing over the slow buy SMA curve (orange) and the fast buy EMA has a certain up strength.
My sell strategy is triggered by either one of these conditions:
the EMA(6) of the close value is crossing under the trailing stop value (green) or
the fast sell EMA (navy) is crossing under the slow sell SMA curve (red) and the fast sell EMA has a certain down strength.
The trailing stop value (green) is set to a multiple of the ATR(15) value.
ATR(15) is the SMA(15) value of the difference between the high and low values.
The script shows a lot of graphical information:
One green area represents one trade
The close value is shown in light-green. When the close value is lower then the buy value, the close value is shown in light-red. This way it is possible to evaluate the virtual losses during the trade.
the trailing stop value is shown in dark-green. When the sell value at the end of the trade is lower then the buy value, the last color of the trade will be red (best viewed when zoomed)
the EMA and SMA values for both buy and sell signals are shown as a line
the buy and sell(close) signals are labeled in blue
How to use this strategy?
Every stock has it's own "DNA", so first thing to do is tune the right parameters to get the best strategy values voor EMA , SMA, Strength for both buy and sell and the Trailing Stop (#ATR).
Look in the strategy tester overview to optimize the values Percent Profitable and Net Profit (using the strategy settings icon, you can increase/decrease the parameters)
Then keep using these parameters for future buy/sell signals only for that particular stock.
Do the same for other stocks.
Important : optimizing these parameters is no guarantee for future winning trades!
Here are the parameters:
Fast EMA Buy: buy trigger when Fast EMA Buy crosses over the Slow SMA Buy value (use values between 10-20)
Slow SMA Buy: buy trigger when Fast EMA Buy crosses over the Slow SMA Buy value (use values between 30-100)
Minimum Buy Strength: minimum upward trend value of the Fast SMA Buy value (directional coefficient)(use values between 0-120)
Fast EMA Sell: sell trigger when Fast EMA Sell crosses under the Slow SMA Sell value (use values between 10-20)
Slow SMA Sell: sell trigger when Fast EMA Sell crosses under the Slow SMA Sell value (use values between 30-100)
Minimum Sell Strength: minimum downward trend value of the Fast SMA Sell value (directional coefficient)(use values between 0-120)
Trailing Stop (#ATR): the trailing stop value as a multiple of the ATR(15) value (use values between 2-20)
Example for Bitcoin(BITFINEX:BTCUSD) (Start capital: 1000, Order=100% of equity, Period 1/1/2005 to now) compared to the Buy&Hold Strategy(=do nothing):
Fast EMA Buy=2
Slow SMA Buy=18
Minimum Buy Strength=36
Fast EMA Sell=8
Slow SMA Sell=22
Minimum Sell Strength=52
Trailing Stop (#ATR)=3
Result: 3.47 times better than Buy&Hold strategy
NetProfit: 20770%
#Trades: 25
%Profitable: 60%
Buy&HoldProfit: 5977%
XPloRR MA-Trailing-Stop Strategy on KBC(KBC) beats Buy&HoldLong term MA-Trailing-Stop strategy with Adjustable Signal Strength to beat Buy&Hold strategy
None of the strategies that I tested can beat the long term Buy&Hold strategy. That's the reason why I wrote this strategy (link see below).
Purpose: beat Buy&Hold strategy with around 10 trades over a period of 10 years (average of 1 trade/year). 100% capitalize sold trade into new trade.
My buy strategy is triggered by the fast buy EMA (blue) crossing over the slow buy SMA curve (orange) and the fast buy EMA has a certain up strength.
My sell strategy is triggered by either one of these conditions:
the EMA(6) of the close value is crossing under the trailing stop value (green) or
the fast sell EMA (navy) is crossing under the slow sell SMA curve (red) and the fast sell EMA has a certain down strength.
The trailing stop value (green) is set to a multiple of the ATR(15) value.
ATR(15) is the SMA(15) value of the difference between the high and low values.
The script shows a lot of graphical information:
One green area represents one trade
The close value is shown in light-green. When the close value is lower then the buy value, the close value is shown in light-red. This way it is possible to evaluate the virtual losses during the trade.
the trailing stop value is shown in dark-green. When the sell value at the end of the trade is lower then the buy value, the last color of the trade will be red (best viewed when zoomed)
the EMA and SMA values for both buy and sell signals are shown as a line
the buy and sell(close) signals are labeled in blue
How to use this strategy?
Every stock has it's own "DNA", so first thing to do is tune the right parameters to get the best strategy values voor EMA , SMA, Strength for both buy and sell and the Trailing Stop (#ATR).
Look in the strategy tester overview to optimize the values Percent Profitable and Net Profit (using the strategy settings icon, you can increase/decrease the parameters)
Then keep using these parameters for future buy/sell signals only for that particular stock.
Do the same for other stocks.
Important : optimizing these parameters is no guarantee for future winning trades!
Here are the parameters:
Fast EMA Buy: buy trigger when Fast EMA Buy crosses over the Slow SMA Buy value (use values between 10-20)
Slow SMA Buy: buy trigger when Fast EMA Buy crosses over the Slow SMA Buy value (use values between 30-100)
Minimum Buy Strength: minimum upward trend value of the Fast SMA Buy value (directional coefficient)(use values between 0-120)
Fast EMA Sell: sell trigger when Fast EMA Sell crosses under the Slow SMA Sell value (use values between 10-20)
Slow SMA Sell: sell trigger when Fast EMA Sell crosses under the Slow SMA Sell value (use values between 30-100)
Minimum Sell Strength: minimum downward trend value of the Fast SMA Sell value (directional coefficient)(use values between 0-120)
Trailing Stop (#ATR): the trailing stop value as a multiple of the ATR(15) value (use values between 2-20)
Example for KBC(KBC) (Start capital: 1000, Order=100% of equity, Period 1/1/2005 to now) compared to the Buy&Hold Strategy(=do nothing):
Fast EMA Buy=12
Slow SMA Buy=55
Minimum Buy Strength=56
Fast EMA Sell=12
Slow SMA Sell=55
Minimum Sell Strength=95
Trailing Stop (#ATR)=3
Result: 22.7 times better than Buy&Hold strategy
NetProfit: 590%
#Trades: 19
%Profitable: 63%
Buy&HoldProfit: 26%
XPloRR MA-Trailing-Stop Strategy on AB-Inbev(ABI) beats Buy&HoldLong term MA-Trailing-Stop strategy with Adjustable Signal Strength to beat Buy&Hold strategy
None of the strategies that I tested can beat the long term Buy&Hold strategy. That's the reason why I wrote this strategy (link see below).
Purpose: beat Buy&Hold strategy with around 10 trades over a period of 10 years (average of 1 trade/year). 100% capitalize sold trade into new trade.
My buy strategy is triggered by the fast buy EMA (blue) crossing over the slow buy SMA curve (orange) and the fast buy EMA has a certain up strength.
My sell strategy is triggered by either one of these conditions:
the EMA(6) of the close value is crossing under the trailing stop value (green) or
the fast sell EMA (navy) is crossing under the slow sell SMA curve (red) and the fast sell EMA has a certain down strength.
The trailing stop value (green) is set to a multiple of the ATR(15) value.
ATR(15) is the SMA(15) value of the difference between the high and low values.
The script shows a lot of graphical information:
One green area represents one trade
The close value is shown in light-green. When the close value is lower then the buy value, the close value is shown in light-red. This way it is possible to evaluate the virtual losses during the trade.
the trailing stop value is shown in dark-green. When the sell value at the end of the trade is lower then the buy value, the last color of the trade will be red (best viewed when zoomed)
the EMA and SMA values for both buy and sell signals are shown as a line
the buy and sell(close) signals are labeled in blue
How to use this strategy?
Every stock has it's own "DNA", so first thing to do is tune the right parameters to get the best strategy values voor EMA , SMA, Strength for both buy and sell and the Trailing Stop (#ATR).
Look in the strategy tester overview to optimize the values Percent Profitable and Net Profit (using the strategy settings icon, you can increase/decrease the parameters)
Then keep using these parameters for future buy/sell signals only for that particular stock.
Do the same for other stocks.
Important : optimizing these parameters is no guarantee for future winning trades!
Here are the parameters:
Fast EMA Buy: buy trigger when Fast EMA Buy crosses over the Slow SMA Buy value (use values between 10-20)
Slow SMA Buy: buy trigger when Fast EMA Buy crosses over the Slow SMA Buy value (use values between 30-100)
Minimum Buy Strength: minimum upward trend value of the Fast SMA Buy value (directional coefficient)(use values between 0-120)
Fast EMA Sell: sell trigger when Fast EMA Sell crosses under the Slow SMA Sell value (use values between 10-20)
Slow SMA Sell: sell trigger when Fast EMA Sell crosses under the Slow SMA Sell value (use values between 30-100)
Minimum Sell Strength: minimum downward trend value of the Fast SMA Sell value (directional coefficient)(use values between 0-120)
Trailing Stop (#ATR): the trailing stop value as a multiple of the ATR(15) value (use values between 2-20)
Example for AB-Inbev (ABI) (Start capital: 1000, Order=100% of equity, Period 1/1/2005 to now) compared to the Buy&Hold Strategy(=do nothing):
Fast EMA Buy=9
Slow SMA Buy=30
Minimum Buy Strength=40
Fast EMA Sell=16
Slow SMA Sell=63
Minimum Sell Strength=40
Trailing Stop (#ATR)=8
Result: 2.27 times better than Buy&Hold strategy
NetProfit: 1002%
#Trades: 11
%Profitable: 63%
Buy&HoldProfit: 440%
XPloRR MA-Trailing-Stop Strategy Galapagos(GLPG) beats Buy&HoldLong term MA-Trailing-Stop strategy with Adjustable Signal Strength to beat Buy&Hold strategy
None of the strategies that I tested can beat the long term Buy&Hold strategy. That's the reason why I wrote this strategy (link see below).
Purpose: beat Buy&Hold strategy with around 10 trades over a period of 10 years (average of 1 trade/year). 100% capitalize sold trade into new trade.
My buy strategy is triggered by the fast buy EMA (blue) crossing over the slow buy SMA curve (orange) and the fast buy EMA has a certain up strength.
My sell strategy is triggered by either one of these conditions:
the EMA(6) of the close value is crossing under the trailing stop value (green) or
the fast sell EMA (navy) is crossing under the slow sell SMA curve (red) and the fast sell EMA has a certain down strength.
The trailing stop value (green) is set to a multiple of the ATR(15) value.
ATR(15) is the SMA(15) value of the difference between the high and low values.
The script shows a lot of graphical information:
One green area represents one trade
The close value is shown in light-green. When the close value is lower then the buy value, the close value is shown in light-red. This way it is possible to evaluate the virtual losses during the trade.
the trailing stop value is shown in dark-green. When the sell value at the end of the trade is lower then the buy value, the last color of the trade will be red (best viewed when zoomed)
the EMA and SMA values for both buy and sell signals are shown as a line
the buy and sell(close) signals are labeled in blue
How to use this strategy?
Every stock has it's own "DNA", so first thing to do is tune the right parameters to get the best strategy values voor EMA , SMA, Strength for both buy and sell and the Trailing Stop (#ATR).
Look in the strategy tester overview to optimize the values Percent Profitable and Net Profit (using the strategy settings icon, you can increase/decrease the parameters)
Then keep using these parameters for future buy/sell signals only for that particular stock.
Do the same for other stocks.
Important : optimizing these parameters is no guarantee for future winning trades!
Here are the parameters:
Fast EMA Buy: buy trigger when Fast EMA Buy crosses over the Slow SMA Buy value (use values between 10-20)
Slow SMA Buy: buy trigger when Fast EMA Buy crosses over the Slow SMA Buy value (use values between 30-100)
Minimum Buy Strength: minimum upward trend value of the Fast SMA Buy value (directional coefficient)(use values between 0-120)
Fast EMA Sell: sell trigger when Fast EMA Sell crosses under the Slow SMA Sell value (use values between 10-20)
Slow SMA Sell: sell trigger when Fast EMA Sell crosses under the Slow SMA Sell value (use values between 30-100)
Minimum Sell Strength: minimum downward trend value of the Fast SMA Sell value (directional coefficient)(use values between 0-120)
Trailing Stop (#ATR): the trailing stop value as a multiple of the ATR(15) value (use values between 2-20)
Example for Galapagos (GLPG) (Start capital: 1000, Order=100% of equity, Period 1/1/2005 to now) compared to the Buy&Hold Strategy(=do nothing):
Fast EMA Buy=12
Slow SMA Buy=39
Minimum Buy Strength=40
Fast EMA Sell=12
Slow SMA Sell=45
Minimum Sell Strength=95
Trailing Stop (#ATR)=3
Result: 3.15 times better than Buy&Hold strategy
NetProfit: 2370%
#Trades: 21
%Profitable: 71%
Buy&HoldProfit: 752%
XPloRR MA-Trailing-Stop Strategy on Apple(AAPL) beats Buy&HoldLong term MA-Trailing-Stop strategy with Adjustable Signal Strength to beat Buy&Hold strategy
None of the strategies that I tested can beat the long term Buy&Hold strategy. That's the reason why I wrote this strategy (link see below).
Purpose: beat Buy&Hold strategy with around 10 trades over a period of 10 years (average of 1 trade/year). 100% capitalize sold trade into new trade.
My buy strategy is triggered by the fast buy EMA (blue) crossing over the slow buy SMA curve (orange) and the fast buy EMA has a certain up strength.
My sell strategy is triggered by either one of these conditions:
the EMA(6) of the close value is crossing under the trailing stop value (green) or
the fast sell EMA (navy) is crossing under the slow sell SMA curve (red) and the fast sell EMA has a certain down strength.
The trailing stop value (green) is set to a multiple of the ATR(15) value.
ATR(15) is the SMA(15) value of the difference between the high and low values.
The script shows a lot of graphical information:
One green area represents one trade
The close value is shown in light-green. When the close value is lower then the buy value, the close value is shown in light-red. This way it is possible to evaluate the virtual losses during the trade.
the trailing stop value is shown in dark-green. When the sell value at the end of the trade is lower then the buy value, the last color of the trade will be red (best viewed when zoomed)
the EMA and SMA values for both buy and sell signals are shown as a line
the buy and sell(close) signals are labeled in blue
How to use this strategy?
Every stock has it's own "DNA", so first thing to do is tune the right parameters to get the best strategy values voor EMA , SMA, Strength for both buy and sell and the Trailing Stop (#ATR).
Look in the strategy tester overview to optimize the values Percent Profitable and Net Profit (using the strategy settings icon, you can increase/decrease the parameters)
Then keep using these parameters for future buy/sell signals only for that particular stock.
Do the same for other stocks.
Important : optimizing these parameters is no guarantee for future winning trades!
Here are the parameters:
Fast EMA Buy: buy trigger when Fast EMA Buy crosses over the Slow SMA Buy value (use values between 10-20)
Slow SMA Buy: buy trigger when Fast EMA Buy crosses over the Slow SMA Buy value (use values between 30-100)
Minimum Buy Strength: minimum upward trend value of the Fast SMA Buy value (directional coefficient)(use values between 0-120)
Fast EMA Sell: sell trigger when Fast EMA Sell crosses under the Slow SMA Sell value (use values between 10-20)
Slow SMA Sell: sell trigger when Fast EMA Sell crosses under the Slow SMA Sell value (use values between 30-100)
Minimum Sell Strength: minimum downward trend value of the Fast SMA Sell value (directional coefficient)(use values between 0-120)
Trailing Stop (#ATR): the trailing stop value as a multiple of the ATR(15) value (use values between 2-20)
Example for Apple (AAPL) (Start capital: 1000, Order=100% of equity, Period 1/1/2005 to now) compared to the Buy&Hold Strategy(=do nothing):
Fast EMA Buy=12
Slow SMA Buy=45
Minimum Buy Strength=40
Fast EMA Sell=19
Slow SMA Sell=45
Minimum Sell Strength=106
Trailing Stop (#ATR)=8
Result: 2.3 times better than Buy&Hold strategy
NetProfit: 6900%
#Trades: 7
%Profitable: 71%
Buy&HoldProfit: 2938%
XPloRR MA-Trailing-Stop Strategy on Barco(BAR) beats Buy&HoldLong term MA-Trailing-Stop strategy with Adjustable Signal Strength to beat Buy&Hold strategy
None of the strategies that I tested can beat the long term Buy&Hold strategy. That's the reason why I wrote this strategy (link see below).
Purpose: beat Buy&Hold strategy with around 10 trades over a period of 10 years (average of 1 trade/year). 100% capitalize sold trade into new trade.
My buy strategy is triggered by the fast buy EMA (blue) crossing over the slow buy SMA curve (orange) and the fast buy EMA has a certain up strength.
My sell strategy is triggered by either one of these conditions:
the EMA(6) of the close value is crossing under the trailing stop value (green) or
the fast sell EMA (navy) is crossing under the slow sell SMA curve (red) and the fast sell EMA has a certain down strength.
The trailing stop value (green) is set to a multiple of the ATR(15) value.
ATR(15) is the SMA(15) value of the difference between the high and low values.
The script shows a lot of graphical information:
One green area represents one trade
The close value is shown in light-green. When the close value is lower then the buy value, the close value is shown in light-red. This way it is possible to evaluate the virtual losses during the trade.
the trailing stop value is shown in dark-green. When the sell value at the end of the trade is lower then the buy value, the last color of the trade will be red (best viewed when zoomed)
the EMA and SMA values for both buy and sell signals are shown as a line
the buy and sell(close) signals are labeled in blue
How to use this strategy?
Every stock has it's own "DNA", so first thing to do is tune the right parameters to get the best strategy values voor EMA , SMA, Strength for both buy and sell and the Trailing Stop (#ATR).
Look in the strategy tester overview to optimize the values Percent Profitable and Net Profit (using the strategy settings icon, you can increase/decrease the parameters)
Then keep using these parameters for future buy/sell signals only for that particular stock.
Do the same for other stocks.
Important : optimizing these parameters is no guarantee for future winning trades!
Here are the parameters:
Fast EMA Buy: buy trigger when Fast EMA Buy crosses over the Slow SMA Buy value (use values between 10-20)
Slow SMA Buy: buy trigger when Fast EMA Buy crosses over the Slow SMA Buy value (use values between 30-100)
Minimum Buy Strength: minimum upward trend value of the Fast SMA Buy value (directional coefficient)(use values between 0-120)
Fast EMA Sell: sell trigger when Fast EMA Sell crosses under the Slow SMA Sell value (use values between 10-20)
Slow SMA Sell: sell trigger when Fast EMA Sell crosses under the Slow SMA Sell value (use values between 30-100)
Minimum Sell Strength: minimum downward trend value of the Fast SMA Sell value (directional coefficient)(use values between 0-120)
Trailing Stop (#ATR): the trailing stop value as a multiple of the ATR(15) value (use values between 2-20)
Example for Barco (BAR) (Start capital: 1000, Order=100% of equity, Period 1/1/2005 to now) compared to the Buy&Hold Strategy(=do nothing):
Fast EMA Buy=16
Slow SMA Buy=80
Minimum Buy Strength=44
Fast EMA Sell=12
Slow SMA Sell=45
Minimum Sell Strength=82
Trailing Stop (#ATR)=9
Result: 7 times better than Buy&Hold strategy
NetProfit: 386%
#Trades: 7
%Profitable: 71%
Buy&HoldProfit: 55%
Seeking enter point in altcoin market? DOGE's answer!It is all about timing in altcoin trading, to maximize our profits, we have to 1) find the right coin; 2) find the right time. To me, the latter is even harder because the market has provided us plenty of opportunities, it is not easy, but not that hard to find a promising altcoin, however, timing is very difficult to determine as we might suffer longer loss or loss of opportunity cost if picking up the wrong timing. More importantly, in a market with so much fluctuation, nothing is more easily lost than PATIENCE. So, even if we find the right coin, we might still sell too early to secure expected profits.
It is absolutely very difficult, nearly impossible, to predict the price peak of a uptrend of a coin, however, it is possible to find a better, if not best, timing to start our long position to ambush the future uptrend. A better timing could offer us: 1) shorter time waiting; 2) lower threshold level of patience; 3) smaller opportunity cost.
In the long run (daily chart for altcoin is already very macro-scope), you have to take volume very seriously. Sudden increment in volume should always be flagged because it is a very important forecast indicator. By using OBV and OBV/PRICE, we could follow the impulse and buy when it happens.
However, even if a huge winner like DOGE, the waiting is no less devastating and it is no so easy to take all the profit because early selling is quite possible. So I recommend multi confirmation, even if the OBV sometimes shows great potential, consolidation never ends unless it is broken with volume, which also provides room for OBV to rise significantly.
Investors may well sometime frightened by a sudden impulse in price and choose not to chase, but we must analyze whether the breakthrough is solid. In the example of DOGE, you still have the chance to open your position at 30 satoshi in 4 days. Never buy in with panic, re-check the OBV, be really greedy when it wakes up to avoid buying too early.
CHK Buy and HoldThis is clearly a downtrend happening for CHK stock, according to technical analysis. If you look at the fundamental analysis side, Zacks Rank says #3 meaning hold. This makes sense because although technical analysis does not effectively work in the stock market, we can still apply the fundamental teachings of technical analysis in the stock market. From the chart, we can see that CHK stock keeps declining; there has to be a reason for its decline: shareholders are losing faith in the company, the company is performing worse, or whatever the case may be. So it is clear that the company's stock is declining, but we have to remember a fundamental principle: these companies are run by employees. If the company's stock keeps declining, the company isn't performing well, meaning that the company's future doesn't appear too bright. And what does that mean? LAYOFFS! So what am I saying? Is CHK going to go up or down? I'm saying that the stock CAN and will decline, but only to a certain point. If the company's stock keeps spiraling down, then of course the big bosses will interfere and make changes to the company to help prevent the company from performing as bad as it used to. So what does this mean? It means THE STOCK WILL EVENTUALLY GO UP. So all you need to do is buy and hold. Here's the exact strategy: buy and hold, and for every 10% decline in the stock price, buy the SAME AMOUNT OF SHARES EACH TIME, and hold until the stock price jumps up past your overall breakeven point. CAUTION: DO NOT ATTEMPT THIS WITH HIGHER PRICED STOCKS THAN $10 AS THOSE STOCKS HAVE THE CAPACITY TO DROP MORE THAN LOWER PRICED STOCKS AND ALSO, THEY MAY NEVER RETURN BACK TO THE BREAKEVEN POINT. I found this strategy trading in a demo app and I've turned $25,000 into $16 million in over a week! Of course there are limitations, so PLEASE TRADE CAREFULLY and do your own research. I am still working out the kinks of this strategy and how to maneuver around the live market. That's all I have to offer for now. Let me know how it goes, Peace!
Safe long term trading the S&PThis entry is the first of my #safelongtermtrade series aimed to help beginner traders to put their first entry in the market and hopefully make some gains. Contrary to the popular belief, the best way to increase your Return on Investment is to make less trades over larger time frames .
In this investment, whatever quantity you invest in S&P today will very likely double by mid-2018 . A regression r(0.975) starting at 2009 suggest that the price will continue to rise steadily. Please note that past performance of this instrument is not an indicator of future results however the S&P has always been an outperformer and it is difficult not make some profit in the longer term.
---
"If you aren’t willing to own a stock for ten years, don’t even think about owning it for ten minutes" - Warren Buffet