Twitter: Musk buy-out is put on hold!!Twitter
Short Term - We look to Buy at 42.80 (stop at 38.55)
We have a Gap open from 41.00 to 44.00. We look for a temporary move lower. Support is located at 41.00 and should stem dips to this area. Further upside is expected although we prefer to buy into dips close to the 41.00 level. This stock has recently been in the news headlines for a buyout by Elon Musk.
Our profit targets will be 54.96 and 60.00
Resistance: 46.00 / 48.00 / 50.00
Support: 44.00 / 42.00 / 40.00
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Buyout
$TWTR$TWTR Apollo Global Management is willing to finance a Twitter buyout, sources say
Bloomberg reported Sunday that Oracle (ORCL) co-founder Larry Ellison and private-equity firm Thoma Bravo could join with Musk and raise up to $50 billion. That’s quite a war chest.
The $50 billion figure implies a much higher price for Twitter stock, about $72 a share. If the $50 billion is for all of Twitter, including, Musk’s existing stake, the implied price is about $65 a share.
AVRO 1330% upside potential according to this analyst!!!AVROBIO is a clinical-stage gene therapy company to treat rare diseases following a single dose worldwide.
AVRO just released positive data on their Phase 1/2 trial testing the safety and efficacy of AVR-RD-04.
73.42% of the shares are controlled by institutional investors, which gives me a lot of trust in the company.
JPMorgan Chase and BlackRock Inc. have the largest stakes in the company with an average around $9 per share.
On 1/5/2022 Barclays brokerage Boosted the Price Target of AVRO from $6.00 to $22.00.
The stock is now at all time low: $1.65.
the MARKET CAP is only 71.978Mil
I think it can be an easy buyout at this point.
What are we waiting for?
PTON Peloton potential takeover by Amazon ??Amazon has reached out Peloton about a potential deal.
The Financial Times said Nike is also considering a bid.
Peloton's market value is around $8.1 billion, down from its high last year of $50bn.
Looking at the chart, PTON touched 3 times the buy area of 23usd and just bounced from that support.
My price target is 37usd.
Looking forward to read your opinion about it.
Wish has been sold & they lived happily ever afterMy latest conviction is that wish has been sold maybe before it even did an IPO.
Here's the game plan
1. VC's that have been to WISH (close to 10 years) needed to do an IPO so they would cash out their position and return the money to the funds, since there is a policy to close the fund 10 years after inception. (pitchbook.com) wish fund series (app.dealroom.co)
2. Because they had a very big position they had to find someone to buy their stake ASAP so they did the reddit/short mania thing that we witnessed on June. Peter Thiel's fund was the one that sold everything and if i am not mistaken 100m shares.
3. Then retail jumped in and they burned everyone's options to the ground month after month, at the same time time institutionals start loading more and more. I will wait for the latest report to see how much they have accumulated so far, if they have added a significant amount of shares i will triple down my position no matter the price.
4. Insiders selling mostly due to tax reasons, the few that are aware there is a buyout thoeretically should not sell any more in 2022 besides for tax purposes
5. If there is a buyout from a big company they would probably want their guys to start running the company well before the deal will be announced, that's why all C-level executives & board members have been resigned
6. Now the tricky thing is when it will be announced... i suspect 2-4Qs from now, if you can recall last year the company said that the results of the new strategy will be visible only after Q2 of 2022. Guess what? this is when the company will show signs of a turnaround and the next 2Qs till the end of the year will be outstanding. Therefore the company will have proved in a way that things are working ( so for the buyer to justify their purchase to their shareholders)
7. Price? if we take for granted that wish will be doing around $2b next year and at the same time shows signs of a turnaround i would expect
a) low range 4-6 x sales = $12.43-$18.65
b) medium range 6-8 x sales = $18.65 - $24.87
c) high range 8-10 x sales = $24.85 - $31.09 (close to ATH and where Jackie makes all the $$$$$$)
8. Retail i suspect has an average of $8-10 like myself.. retail is the big looser here
a)options expire out of the money week after week
b)a lot of forced liquidations due to margin calls (spacs, retail ipos are all down)
c) scared themselves and sold with a >50% loss
d) the "bagholders" left the ones that gave up and waiting for the "miracle" will probably sell around their average price or even lower especially in the case there is a 100% rally in a matter of a week. I suspect the price in the next 6 months will be in a $4-6 range and after the summer to be around $8-10 and this is where all retail will be gone.
e)the 5-10% of the retail traders will probably HODL till the end.
* A fairy tale by GPAP90
**The above scenario is imaginary
*** Do your own research, this is not a financial advice!
Look First/ Then Leap
The bull case for wish I do not want to get into details about fundamentals etc we all saw wish quarterly results but with some much retail in this stock i was expecting a huge decline, the fact that retail investors all over the web are so pissed about wish and start panicking and exiting their positions is a + for me as i hold a long position.
Now there are some interesting things i want to point out.
There was a Wish pump on reddit based on the story that there is a 50% short float, which led to a 100% increase in price in 2days!!! at the same time Peter Thiel's founders fund start liquidating their positions together with galileo and temasek holdings which all were VC's that were with wish from the beginning. (www.nasdaq.com)
Now why did these guys sold?
1. They already had a good return on investment since they were wish first investors
2. With so much publicity on wish stock and the pump to $15 they had they chance to sell so many shares instantly (insane demand from retail)
3. ***I am not sure about this one but a general rule of thumb on VC's is that they sell roughly 75% of their shares when a company does IPO. (makes sense because they need liquidity to look for other Startups)
Now let's look at wish itself and where it could go from here.
1. We have rsi divergence on daily chart
2. Macd is higher than the previous drop
3. DMI is also in divergence
4. The company is worth right now $3.9b with $1.5b cash and $2.5-$3b in sales
5.They are losing users which is a very bad sign long term but even if they decide to close the business they could easily sell it for 2-3x sales meaning a market cap close to $8-10b
6. If they were to go bankrupt as many people say why did they hire new C level people , why did they spend so much money on logisticis and why did they get a banking license in Europe ?
7. I hear a lot the phrase "wish sells crap" well what most people that play the markets do not understand that wish customers are the majority of the population out there, what they do not understand is the fact that people are looking to buy cheap things from china because they do not have money to afford buying from amazon,etsy,shop etc... There are no wish buyers that trade stocks, this is the one thing you all have to understand! Wish buyers are people who used to buy on traditional brick & mortar, on illegal sales on the streets , on chinese stores etc.. These people have started to explore the web with Covid and still do not have much presence online as customers of amazon and others.
8. Wish #1 competitive advantage is that even people who never bought from it have heard about it. If they manage to improve delivery times and merchants quality they are about to address the largest % of the population out there.
9. Even if they do not manage to do that , even if they drop to $2b in sales , even if they are about to get out of business i cannot imagine that there is no one big player out there that is willing to buy them for a mediocre multiple of sales.
10. IF they execute right i believe this is easily a $100b+ company in the next 3-5years stop whining and either sell and admit you were wrong or hold tight and wait.
$FANG - Diamondback Energy - Bull Flag & SEC Filings3/4/21
$FANG - Diamondback Energy - 9.16% Gainer
Catalysts:
Fundamentals (see details below 1,2):
-Company buyout
-Note buybacks
-Land and asset purchase
-Sector strong relative to market
Technicals (see chart):
-Bullish set up
-Great momentum over recent months.
Fundamentals con't.:
-8K's filing stated that they company would be buying out QEP, another energy and natural gas company as well as buying back senior notes due from both companies.
-Another 8K/A stated that the company "entered into a definitive purchase and sale agreement with Guidon Operating LLC to acquire approximately 32,500 net acres in the Northern Midland Basin and certain related oil and gas assets for $375 million in cash and 10.63 million shares of the Company’s common stock
-I'm going to be taking a look at some of the top daily gainers (may throw in some losers occasionally) of the day on their daily charts and posting them here throughout March. This is not advice. Just analyzing price action and patterns.
-I will try to vary the catalysts (analyst upgrades, earnings, clinical trial results, etc.) for the stock moving (if any) and the sector that the stocks are in.
-You'll notice I try to keep my charts as simple as possible. Black background and no grid. I will be focusing solely on price action, patterns, and support and resistance levels.
No moving averages, MACD, volume profiles, Bollinger bands, etc.
Please feel free to comment or leave suggestions. I am always looking to improve. Thanks.
MVIS: Still No Pump Fatigue For TradersYouTubers, WallStreetBets Reddit, an article on the Nasdaq website, fake news sites, and recycled press releases all contributed to MicroVision's rise in January and February. Can it be sustained or will it continue to fall due to retail traders' pump fatigue?
(Opinion only. I'm not a chartist. Not trading advice. I hold no position in stock mentioned.)
Inva BuyoutInva has activist Alex Denner in control of the board(5/5) and management which has been cut down to 2 people, includes CEO who is also Sarissa Executive. GSK has 30% ownership and probably will be likely buyer, they must have been waiting on Asthma indication approval which came earlier this month.
HEMO - in move to wave 3Massive winner today Hemogenyx (HEMO) moved 55% in 1.5h before market close on the news drop of working closely and in agreement with Eli Lilly. The correction has been clearly completed and there were already signs of this impulse up with the sub wave 1 and then sub wave 2 correction days ago. The larger Wave 2 is complete already and we are in the most bullish phase now.
Targets are marked for the wave 3 upside, of course it can extend well further than the conservative targets of 1:1 and x1.618 extension only.
Hemo is working closely so far with 2 giant Pharma companies. Their research is truly significant and has a massive potential in their future value.
The mcap is well undervalued on this future potential and on the recent news.
RUN BuyoutIt has just been announced that Sunrun (RUN) will be buying out another competitor solar company, Vivint Solar (VSLR) in a multi-billion dollar deal. RUN has been trading in a rising channel since the mid-March lows, and news of the acquisition may cause an upward breakout of the channel. In addition, the daily volume on RUN has been on a nice incline, and we may see a continuation of that throughout the week.
BHP Breaking downThis is an intuitive hit that just popped into my head today. I don't know the stock, but options are really good. Symmetry support at $51.17
My pendulum reading suggests it's going to breakdown from these lows it's been trying to hold. It's possible they are going to purchase another company or something, and the news creates the drop. Idk.
I'm looking fro $45 in the next month, and maybe down to $41.50
TMUS =T-Mobile US Inc buy S -SprintGovernment has finally given the OK for the merger of TMUS & S
If NY attorney general does not like this merger
they should have stopped VZ =verizon from buying all those other baby bells !!
Baby Bells are what they broke off from AT&T in the late 70's !
the good news helped this stock clear a resistance/support line !
amazing how the timing happens at times
$PLAY Is A $60 Stock In A Buyout$PLAY is breaking out on the news that investor KKR has taken an activist stake in the company. This is great news for shareholders and why we think higher prices are in store.
KKR (NYSE:KKR) reports holding a 6.3% stake in Dave & Buster's Entertainment (NASDAQ:PLAY).
KKR says it has held talks with D&B management about strategy and is considering further talks with shareholders about transactions and board changes.
Shares of PLAY are up 12.58% to $47.37 vs. the 52-week trading range of $37.20 to $59.60.
Worth noting is that 21.45% of the float is short, so expect short-covering to continue.
If KKR does take $PLAY private, look for a price north of $60. $PLAY has 20% revenue per share growth (maybe more), 20% earnings per share growth, and a real p/e of about 6.
As always, trade with caution and use protective stops.
Good luck to all!
FIT FINALLY DID IT & RUMOR ACTUALLY PLAYED OUTFIT stock has been one they've followed since August. It's been a tough one to stomach because of the intermittent breakouts followed by long periods of sideways or consolidation trends. The rumors were initially exciting but then concerning because we didn't really know. But happy to see they actually played out.
QUOTE:
Fitbit stock has been one of the most popular penny stocks on Robinhood since we began including it as a monthly feature.
Fitbit (FIT): Most Popular Penny Stocks On Robinhood
The Top 10 Penny Stocks On Robinhood To Watch For August
Top 10 Penny Stocks On Robinhood To Watch For September
Top 10 Penny Stocks On Robinhood To Watch For October 2019
It has also been covered in countless articles over the last few months as well. Even up until yesterday we were still asking if Fitbit is a penny stock to buy or sell . Regardless, the big news today focuses on the monster deal that Google inked with the active technology company.
ABOUT FITBIT
Fitbit Inc is a provider of health and fitness devices. The company's platform combines connected health and fitness devices with software and services. Its platform includes a family of wearable devices which include health and fitness trackers and smartwatches, enable the users to view data about their daily activity, exercise and sleep in real-time. The company software and services which include an online dashboard and mobile app, provide users with data analytics, motivational and social tools, and virtual coaching through customized fitness plans and interactive workouts.
QUOTE SOURCE: Penny Stocks To Watch: Fitbit (FIT); Readers Win Big
$CLSI R/M Candidate Shell Has Been Sold and Is Off the MarketBased on research it has been discovered that the old CEO of Clancy sold all his remaining shares and took the company private handing the $CLSI shell over to a broker who had 100% control, the broker has confirmed the shell has been sold and is currently off the market. Which means a check has been cut and one of the two $50 Mil rev companies mentioned in previous DD or possibly another large company will be reverse merging into it. The first filing that will reveal this will be an 8-K which is anticipated to drop within the next 2 weeks.
I believe the price will gradually go up into the 8-K drop and the day of will substantially go up, my own personal estimate is about 500% from now until the day after the 8-K drop, 300% of that will most likely be the day of the 8-K drop.
After that there will be other filings and PR's to look forward to as the company merges in and it is revealed the true value $CLSI will hold in the long run.
$DCGD was the last company to undergo this process and advanced about 50,000% from start to the all time high recently.
$CLSI 2 Psbly 3 Candidates for R/M Filings to Hit Anyday PT $1$CLSI DD Compilation So Far
Company handling the selling of the shell was found out to be Green Rush which is owned by High times Magazine, the person indicated there were two possible bidders for the company both of which do $50,000,000 in revenues, but wouldn't say who they were. Very astute shareholders DD'ed and came up with two Colorado CBD companies Mile High Labs and Ecogen. So far this is as far as we've DD'ed, will continue to DD and update as the process continues.
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TUP Becoming Buyout Candidate...?After an abysmal earnings report and subsequent drop of over 25% today, shares of TUP are becoming a potential takeover target.
Who might buy? It could make sense for several companies: P&G (PG) could expand its portfolio of product offerings, as could Colgate-Palmolive (CL), but it could also make sense for Amazon (AMZN), as their endeavor in to fresh foods could benefit.
Five years ago, shares of TUP were nearly $100, but today at just about $28, they're down over 70%, which for shareholders, is catastrophic.
Clearly TUP management isn't cutting it, so there's going to have to be a shakeup there, or more preferably, an outright sell of the company to more capable enterprises like those I've listed. It wouldn't be hard to get funding by any of those aforementioned giants.
I'm not suggesting jumping in today, but give it time to settle and look to pick up some shares for a long-term view or if you're like me, some long-dated calls to minimize capital outlays.
$BIOAQ News Drops Stock with A great chance for a Major Bounce $BIOAQ's stock dropped more than 90% today presenting people who had not gotten in the play yet a chance to play a major swing trade for the potential of 200% or more ROI.
Here's why: Many people are suspecting Rick the current CEO to have gone rogue and put out a false PR today given that the company has been in the process of finding bidders to buy it. The PR put out today only has contact info for Rick and all PRs before had contact info for $BIOAQ also the PR stated the company is still in the process of finding buyers to save it giving a two week timeframe from now. Which means in the next two weeks (If the PR is even real and from the company directors and not just something the CEO put out himself without the other directors permission) buyers should be flocking back in taking it up to at least .045 or even .05 with an anticipated high of maybe even .06 if the FOMO is good enough. That being said the news as bad as it was wasn't the worse possible news the company could have gotten, it basically says there is a chance of saving it still, so the drop today was a major overreaction as is expected down here in the OTC.
This morning's Press Release:
BioAmber Provides Update on Sales Process
Jul 30, 2018
MONTREAL, July 30, 2018 /CNW Telbec/ - BioAmber Inc. (OTCPK: BIOAQ) announces that the current stage of the Sales and Investor Solicitation Process (SISP) has concluded without an acceptable offer having been received from a Qualified Bidder as of the due date of July 27, 2018. The company will now seek to obtain court approval to pursue liquidation as well as alternative offers in order to realize the greatest value on behalf of its creditors.
Moving forward, subject to the approval of the court and with support from its monitor or receiver appointed by the court, the company intends to:
•solicit liquidators to bid on the acquisition and disposal of the company's assets, including the Sarnia plant;
•continue to actively engage with Qualified Bidders and other interested parties to determine if, and under what terms, a transaction that would result in the continuation of the company's operations is still possible.
We estimate this process will be conducted over an approximate two-week period with a target conclusion date of August 14. The company will engage with Maynbridge Capital, its interim lender, and all other secured lenders to determine the best going-forward strategy.
"We are clearly disappointed that the Qualified Bidders did not place an acceptable offer for Bioamber," stated Richard Eno, CEO. "We will continue to be actively engaged with potential investors to seek an acceptable transaction and avoid the liquidation of the company's assets. Most importantly, I'd like to thank our dedicated and highly capable employees for their outstanding service to the company."
Potential investors can contact Richard Eno in order to express interest in acquiring the assets or investing in the business.
Note that there can be no guarantee that the company will be successful in securing further financing or achieving its restructuring objectives. Failure by the company to achieve its financing and restructuring goals will likely result in the company and its subsidiaries being liquidated. Liquidation will almost certainly result in no residual value for non-secured creditors and equity investors.
Is TDOC a takeover target of AMZN?For all fundamental reasons the success of Teladoc is noble but you can see from this accumulation/distribution chart that someone is heavily accumulating the stock. There are multitude of reasons this could be happening. One super exciting and others very typical of trading in growth companies.
So let's start with my far flung idea. Amazon is pushing aggressively to get into the healthcare space. There was talks of Amazon buying a large insurance provider such as Aetna. A much more reasonable acquisition, and one that would be the perfect fit to stair-step them into the space is Teladoc. Teladoc conducts medical exams entirely online and over the phone. They boast almost 20 million customer accounts around the world and have an opportunity in the U.S. alone to do at least 75 times their current volume of consultations. What better place for people to find that than the Wal-mart of the online world. Amazon. For that matter if Wal-mart took notice they would also be a suitor.
Catalyst 2: Short interest. For a long time short traders were rooting for Teladoc to fail because they were spending heavy to acquire competitors and pushing growth over all else. Well those bets have not paid off at all. As a matter of fake with an estimated 38% of the float short we could see a short squeeze for the record books playing out before our eyes.
Catalyst 3: The future prospects for TDOC without it being sold. Even with no buyer TDOC has grown over 100% this year with their own internal marketing push and the acquisition of their second biggest competitor. They are insurmountably the leader of the pack in tele-medicine. They are the uber of doctors if you will. They are in the critical mass stage. Twenty million customers turns into 50 million real fast when people start to tell their friends how their doctors 'visit' fell from $160 to $40. There is no doubting it is a disruption of the mega status quo and several of those companies have gone on to be worth 60-100 billion dollars. That is a 30x-50x from today's 3.8 billion dollar value.
*** These opinions are my own and not meant to be financial advice. I am currently long TDOC calls.