12/15/2024 Weekly ProjectionDisclaimer:
I trade ICT and use ICT terminology in my analysis.
Nothing in the market is certain; this is what I would like to see price action playout this week.
This is not financial advice.
I see price making a draw on the previous week's buy-side liquidity. (Mon-Tue)
From there, the price will sell off, making a draw for the weekly/daily fair value gaps executing an institutional order flow entry drill. (Tue-Wed)
The price will spool higher from there, drawing toward early week highs.
Buysideliquidity
Ethereum time to shine-Swing trading LONGEthereum: Your Time to Shine
BINANCE:ETHUSDT
Ethereum, it’s your moment. You’re in a prime setup for traders, where psychology is playing a crucial role. As Bitcoin consolidates sideways, Ethereum is retesting a key zone, preparing for what could be its true breakout.
This is your time to shine.
Remember, this is not financial advice. Always use a responsible risk management strategy. My trade is targeting the ATH zone, where I plan to take profits and wait for a similar setup to reposition myself strategically
FXS- BULLISH MOMENTUMClear Path for Long Positions Until January 20th
We have a green light to focus on long setups leading up to January 20th, but emotional Discipline is critical—avoid letting euphoria or emotional demons dictate your decisions.
BINANCE:FXSUSDT is a standout candidate for a strong rally based on my criteria:
Monthly and Weekly Structure supported by FVG (Fair Value Gaps).
PMH and PML (Previous Monthly High/Low) being disrespected.
PWH and PWL (Previous Weekly High/Low) being disrespected.
PDH and PDL (Previous Daily High/Low) being disrespected.
4H Swing Highs and Lows also being disrespected.
At this moment, I see no valid reasons to adopt a bearish stance. The primary risk lies in potential liquidity spikes. To mitigate this, a solid Stop Loss is essential to safeguard your position and allow for re-entry if price action justifies it.
Risk-to-Reward Ratio: 9.53
Stay focused and protect your trades.
Let's get higher this week POLKADOTPolkadot: Rising from the Ashes
BINANCE:DOTUSDT
Polkadot appears to be breaking free from its prolonged downturn. Comparing to Cardano, its about time to reach the fibonacci 1.62 and the buyside liquidity. The charts suggest strong bullish potential, but it’s crucial to stay grounded—corrections are part of the game. In my view, a significant pullback may happen when geopolitical events, such as TRUMP's potential return to the White House, create waves across the markets.
For now, the focus should be on crypto over the coming weeks. Avoid over-leveraging or taking excessive risks. Remember, the market will always present opportunities—it's often your mind that gets in the way. Discipline is key: master your fears by following your trading plan without compromise.
Success isn’t about how much you make in one trade; it’s about consistently executing a solid plan. Over time, this approach allows you to grow your capital as if you’re your own bank. Stay committed, keep learning, and protect your mental clarity by managing risk wisely.
I currently have an active trade on Polkadot and am holding steady.
Let’s see how this plays out!
NIFTY (PO3) A++ Bearish Setup Power of 3 Strategy (PO3) also know as AMD Strategy
This strategy has three primary phases
1. Accumulation
2. Manipulation
3. Distribution (Range Expansion)
Key elements
1. HTF PD Array
2. Daily Open
3. Fibonacci Price Projection Tool
4. Standard Deviation ( -2 to -2.5 )
Process
1. Accumulation is where big players accumulate large quantity of shares forming a range bound price consolidation.
2. Manipulation is where big players move price against their intended direction towards nearby HTF PD Array with a standard Deviation of -2 to -2.5 to sweep the liquidity to for order pairing.
3. Distribution is the real momentum where retail traders enter along with big players and ride the trend with range expansion.
NIFTY (PO3) A++ Bearish Setup Power of 3 Strategy (PO3) also know as AMD Strategy
This strategy has three primary phases
1. Accumulation
2. Manipulation
3. Distribution (Range Expansion)
Key elements
1. HTF PD Array
2. Daily Open
3. Fibonacci Price Projection Tool
4. Standard Deviation ( -2 to -2.5 )
Process
1. Accumulation is where big players accumulate large quantity of shares forming a range bound price consolidation.
2. Manipulation is where big players move price against their intended direction towards nearby HTF PD Array with a standard Deviation of -2 to -2.5 to sweep the liquidity to for order pairing.
3. Distribution is the real momentum where retail traders enter along with big players and ride the trend with range expansion.
LINKUSD- Scalping-Day trading- NO SWINGI'll be closing it by day’s end. I prefer not to hold any positions with U.S. elections on the horizon. This feels like the calm before another storm.
Setup details:
Risk-Reward Ratio: 3R
Risk Capital: 3%
Take Profit: Partial profits at the first target; once hit, I'll move the stop-loss to breakeven (BE).
WTI Long High riskOil Trade Setup
FPMARKETS:WTI
I've decided to go long just before the news release, as I noticed the liquidity sweep had already occurred. However, I'm cautious about this trade, as the bullish probabilities are mixed, and there are stronger bearish arguments.
Trade Management:
Stop Loss: Placed just below the liquidity sweep, as breaking this level would suggest further downside.
Take Profit: Partial exits planned. First target at $72.38, with the remaining at the next level of buy-side liquidity.
Risk/Reward: 4.85
Risk: 1%
BTCUSD: The Rally Is Just Beginning, Probability Confirms6M: BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
3M: BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
1M: BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
2W: BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
1W: BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
3D: BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
1D: BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
If you have any questions, need further clarification, or would like to share your own insights, feel free to leave a comment below!
The information provided is for educational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Trading involves risk, and you may lose some or all of your investment. Always conduct your own research and consult a licensed financial advisor before making any trading decisions.
58.55% Probability of USOIL Bullish Continuation This Week!Based on a mechanical top-down structural analysis from higher to lower timeframes, there's a strong probability (58.55%) of a bullish continuation in USOIL this week.
This analysis, combined with hourly timeframe probabilities , suggests a favorable outlook for price movement.
Follow me with the detailed top-down analyses linked below to see the key factors contributing to this bullish projection on FX:USOIL
12M:
6M:
3M:
1M:
2W:
1H:
2H - Entry:
Take a look at these analyses to see the details behind this trade idea.
If you have any questions or want to discuss further, feel free to ask.
Let's make this a great trading week!
Gold Spot USD | Bearish TrendDay Trend : Bearish
15m : Currently Bullish Trend( Supply Zone Mitigation )
after reaching supply zone in 15m, it will likely to sweep entire buyside liquidity, then move towards bearish.
in this process, it can make multiple liquidity sweeps towards bullish trend until it reached to entire buy side liquidity sweep point, then it will grab entire liquidity in buyside and then will make a move towards bearish.
TSLA: Short-term Probability Analysis | 57.35% Reversal!Short-term analysis of NASDAQ:TSLA indicates that the price is most likely to head to trade above +$200 in the coming days/weeks.
Breaking down the reason behind the current setup and why we should be expecting new mid-term highs:
Feel free to share your thoughts or any feedback you have on the analysis.
Also, if you're interested in analyzing the probabilities directly on your charts make sure to check out the Free Public Indicator that I've published recently!
DAILY MARKET WATCH: USDCAD Is Bulllish!This pair is moving toward the LRLR (Low Resistance Liquidity Run).
I mentioned this move in my Weekly Forex Forecast, and price is now reaching for the old highs.
I am mindful that tomorrow's economic news, Core PCE, will likely turn the market volatile, and
potentially turn the bias. We'll see.
Best to wait until after the news announcement for new entries.
ETHUSD: Bouncing back to ATH | 66.67% Probability!COINBASE:ETHUSD has been getting a lot of attention in the crypto world lately.
It recently went through a big drop in price (-25%) , but now it's showing signs that it might be bouncing back and heading bullish again.
Here's what you need to know:
ETH's price dropped a lot over the past 2-3 months, and it's been consolidating since then. According to my Free Probability Indicator , there's a good chance that ETH's price could hit a new high. Around 66% chance on the 3D chart and 62% on the daily chart which is a pretty high number!
This drop in price could actually be a good thing because it's created a big opportunity to buy ETH at a lower price. Right now, it's about 38% cheaper than its highest price ever.
If you're thinking about trading ETH, here's what you should consider:
Entry:
Wait for clear signs that the price is going up again, like breaking through certain price levels or seeing strong positive movements on the daily chart.
Once you're confident the trend is changing, you could think about buying ETH.
I'm currently looking at 4H Equilibrium to get position
Exit:
To protect yourself from losses, you might want to set a "trailing stop-loss." This means if the price starts dropping again after you buy, your sell order will automatically trigger to limit secure your running profits.
Risk Management:
Make sure you're not risking more money than you can afford to lose.
Only invest what you're comfortable with, and consider how much you're willing to lose if things don't go as planned.
This isn't any financial advice. It's just some insights to help you make informed decisions.
Always do your own research before investing in anything.
Notcoin is Bullish or Bearish ?The chart is for the cryptocurrency pair BINANCE:NOTUSDT NOT/USDT from Binance , analyzed on a daily timeframe. Here is a breakdown of the analysis presented:
1. **Current Price**: The current price is approximately 0.015983 USDT.
2. **Price Zones**:
- **Fair Value Gaps (FVG)**: Two Fair Value Gaps are highlighted on the chart, indicating areas where price movement was rapid and may return to fill these gaps.
- The first FVG is around the 0.017000 USDT level.
- The second FVG is around the 0.013500 USDT level.
3. **Order Blocks (OB)**: These are areas of high buying or selling interest, often leading to price reversals.
- Two OB+ (Order Block) areas are noted, correlating with the FVGs.
4. **Liquidity Zones**:
- **Buyside Liquidity**: This is marked at a higher level, indicating an area where there may be a significant amount of buy orders. The specific levels are marked at 0.029300 USDT and 0.037000 USDT.
5. **Price Projections**:
- **Bullish Scenario**: If the price moves upward, it could aim for the buyside liquidity zones at 0.029300 USDT and then 0.037000 USDT.
- **Bearish Scenario**: If the price declines, it might target the lower OB and FVG areas around 0.013500 USDT.
6. **Volume Analysis**: The volume bars at the bottom indicate trading activity, with a notable increase during the recent price rise.
7. **50% Shadow**: A level marked as "50% Shadow" which might be an important retracement or equilibrium level.
### Interpretation:
- **Bullish Indicators**: If the price can sustain above the current FVG and OB areas, it may attempt to reach the higher liquidity zones. This bullish scenario is illustrated by the green and black arrows projecting upward movements.
- **Bearish Indicators**: A failure to maintain the current levels could result in the price dropping to fill the lower FVG, supported by the red arrows projecting downward movements.
### Conclusion:
This chart suggests a critical juncture where the price may either move up towards the higher liquidity zones if it can maintain above the current FVG and OB levels or potentially drop to fill the lower FVG if it fails to hold these levels. Monitoring the price action around these key zones and the volume dynamics can provide further insights into the likely direction.
SOLUSD: Snapping Back to $210 | 70.70% Probability!BINANCE:SOLUSD has been drawing a lot of attention in the crypto space in the past few days due to its integration with NASDAQ:PYPL
Let's have a technical analysis breakdown:
BINANCE:SOLUSD According to my Free Probability Indicator , There's a 70.00% chance it could climb back over $210 and beyond, which is pretty much encouraging!
If you're thinking about trading LINK, here's what you should consider:
Entry:
Wait for clear signs that the price is going up again.
Once you're confident the trend is changing, consider buying LINK.
I'm currently looking at the 8H Equilibrium to get positioned.
Exit:
To protect yourself from drawdowns, consider setting a "trailing stop-loss." This will automatically trigger a sell order if the price starts dropping again after you buy, securing your running profits.
Risk Management:
Ensure you're not risking more money than you can afford to lose.
Only invest what you're comfortable with and consider how much you're willing to lose if things don't go as planned.
This isn't financial advice, just some insights to help you make informed decisions. Always do your own research before investing in anything.
LINKUSD: Rallying Back to $20 | 72.73% Confidence!COINBASE:LINKUSD has been drawing a lot of attention in the crypto space in the past few days. It experienced a significant drop in price (-47%), but now it's starting to show signs of a potential rebound and might be heading bullish again.
Here's the breakdown:
COINBASE:LINKUSD price took a major hit over the past 2-3 months and has been consolidating since. According to my Free Probability Indicator , There's a 72.73% chance it could climb back over $20, which is pretty much encouraging!
This price drop might actually be beneficial as it presents a great opportunity to buy LINK at a lower price.
If you're thinking about trading LINK, here's what you should consider:
Entry:
Wait for clear signs that the price is going up again, like huge up-move candle showing strong positive movements on the daily chart.
Once you're confident the trend is changing, consider buying LINK.
I'm currently looking at the 4H Equilibrium to get positioned.
Exit:
To protect yourself from drawdowns, consider setting a "trailing stop-loss." This will automatically trigger a sell order if the price starts dropping again after you buy, securing your running profits.
Risk Management:
Ensure you're not risking more money than you can afford to lose.
Only invest what you're comfortable with and consider how much you're willing to lose if things don't go as planned.
This isn't financial advice, just some insights to help you make informed decisions. Always do your own research before investing in anything.
BTCUSD: The Game of Probabilities | New ATH? 65.28% Chance!Medium-term analysis of COINBASE:BTCUSD indicates that the price is poised to surge towards new all-time highs, with a probability of 65.28%!
Let's get into the underlying reasons for this:
1. The current status on the "1D" timeframe is "Active," indicating that the price has already reached and touched the 50% equilibrium level on the current timeframe.
2. Since the price has reached the equilibrium level of the daily timeframe, our focus now shifts to determining which liquidity side presents higher probabilities compared to the other.
3. In this scenario, the 1D/BSL (Buyside liquidity) indicates a 65.28% probability of the price reaching the 73835.57 level again.
More details:
Feel free to share your thoughts or any feedback you have on the analysis.
Also, if you're interested in analyzing the probabilities directly on your charts make sure to check out the Free Public Indicator that I've published recently!
My View On AUD/USD Long PositionI am looking forward to long Aussie dollar from the current price zone. My close target will be the recent high at #0.66676 and my long-term target is the buy-side liquidity at #0.68702. The buy is that the price has broken structure to the upside and is currently retracing inside the discount level.
Disclaimer: I am not a financial adviser. This analysis is only for information purposes. You're responsible for whatever losses you incur.