10Y YIELD CRATERING SOON? EXTREME FEAR EXPECTED IN 1Q OF 2022Hello traders & investors!
As we look into the beginning of 2022 and use 10Y as our guide - expect enormous amount of fear coming to the markets/news channels/politician speeches..
I am expecting 40-50% correction on this 10 Year treasury. Cash will flow into bonds and DXY should strengthen at the same time too :)
That being said, I expect this to unfold in first half of 2022. Multi-year and decade long views does not change - rates will climb much faster & higher.
We have nice place to enter the markets in the times of extreme fear.
Levels to watch: 1.52% & 0.90%
Take care! This is not a financial advice.
Buythedip
Bitcoin found a DipBitcoin BITFINEX:BTCUSD price has been hesitating at the December Liquidation Low for several days. This morning price dipped on an attempt to break the range but found support at the prior September 2021 level.
I just received a Spike Alert on the 1 hour timeframe that would define the risk of a long trade for those inclined to buy the dip. The target would be at least a 50% Retracement of the recent down move. The next likely Resistance would be 46000 which was the bottom of the last Hesitation Range.
My thesis remains bearish over the long term but this Spike Alert fits the rules for a Good Trade for those looking for "a dip."
BTC Bullish Idea.Hey guys, here is what I am looking out for from BTC over the next 30 days.
This idea is based off the Wyckoff accumulation pattern. It's a classic retail shakeout tactic where institutional investors fill or their cheap BTC orders while we sell low and buy back high.
BTC dominance is starting to trend higher so Alts will likely get wrecked over the next 30 days.
Time to accumulate BTC for the long term.
Not financial advice, do your own research. Its a very high risk and volatile period.
More updates soon.
Bitcoin: buy high, sell low!Don't like number going down? Invert chart and look at number going up! Now you can buy high and sell low without worries! As you can see we have a beautiful double bottom, a breakout of resistance since March 2020 lows and a beautiful set up for candles going up further if we break the 50 EMA on the weekly! I have never been this bullish!
IMPORTANT: this post is for the many permabulls and should not be regarded as financial advice, always trade based on your own risk and research.
Tesla: Approaching a gap fill, buying opportunity!Tesla - Intraday - We look to Buy at 911.00 (stop at 850.00)
The medium term bias remains bullish. We have a Gap open at 911 from 22/10/2021 to 25/10/2021. We have a 50% Fibonacci pullback level of 895.24 from 546.98 to 1243.49. Bespoke support is located at 910. Preferred trade is to buy on dips.
Our profit targets will be 1243.00 and 1300.00
Resistance: 1056 / 1201 / 1243
Support: 911 / 895 / 843
Disclaimer – Saxo Bank Group. Please be reminded – you alone are responsible for your trading – both gains and losses. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. The technical analysis, like any and all indicators, strategies, columns, articles and other features accessible on/though this site (including those from Signal Centre) are for informational purposes only and should not be construed as investment advice by you. Such technical analysis are believed to be obtained from sources believed to be reliable, but not warrant their respective completeness or accuracy, or warrant any results from the use of the information. Your use of the technical analysis, as would also your use of any and all mentioned indicators, strategies, columns, articles and all other features, is entirely at your own risk and it is your sole responsibility to evaluate the accuracy, completeness and usefulness (including suitability) of the information. You should assess the risk of any trade with your financial adviser and make your own independent decision(s) regarding any tradable products which may be the subject matter of the technical analysis or any of the said indicators, strategies, columns, articles and all other features.
Please also be reminded that if despite the above, any of the said technical analysis (or any of the said indicators, strategies, columns, articles and other features accessible on/through this site) is found to be advisory or a recommendation; and not merely informational in nature, the same is in any event provided with the intention of being for general circulation and availability only. As such it is not intended to and does not form part of any offer or recommendation directed at you specifically, or have any regard to the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of yourself or any other specific person. Before committing to a trade or investment therefore, please seek advice from a financial or other professional adviser regarding the suitability of the product for you and (where available) read the relevant product offer/description documents, including the risk disclosures. If you do not wish to seek such financial advice, please still exercise your mind and consider carefully whether the product is suitable for you because you alone remain responsible for your trading – both gains and losses.
Bitcoin Buy The Dip ZonesThe two green boxes highlight my personal buying zones to accumulate Bitcoin for the long term. This is not a trading idea.
Still in a bullish trendWhen we see a moving average with an upward trend with higher highs and higher lows, the bull trend is confirmed.
Every test of the moving average should be seen as a potential buying opportunity, especially when adding from a long-term perspective.
We also see a test of September highs as support at the same level.
Risk-reward-ratio is over 3 when targeting current all-time highs.
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For people wondering about the Santa Claus Rally:
The trading days are 5 days of 2021 and the first 2 trading days of 2022.
Facebook : Ongoing & upcoming trade(s)If you found a stock that you are so convinced that is so financially sound, currently undervalued, has a strong MOAT and very unlikely to be bankrupt in the near future then one of the fun but risky but very high rewarding strategy is to buy it's share price decline or I like to call it "correction"
Why 7% correction? I found that the average minimum correction that Facebook stock have and followed by a rally after rounding it up is 7%. A correction more than that does happen and it results in a rally after a correction. Yes this is very risky and you can say very dangerous. Do your due dilligence, establish if the stock you are evaluating fits the criteria that I mentioned above.. and stick to it until fundamentally doesn't make any sense
Buying the dip/fall ofcourse is not my only trading strategy. I do have a trend following/momentum based strategy. A TSI crossover gives a warning that a buy is soon to happen.. a break of the filter line and/or price structure, will prompt me to buy the shares. Currently I am in a +ve and no exit signal have been triggered yet
Price structure have formed (when a rally stops and followed by a bearish candle) and that is time for me to measure 7%, 10% and so on where I put limit orders.
Time to load up on Netflix $570-580Set your limit buy to $570-580 folks. Time to load up on Netflix soon for some bounce play. Netflix took a double top bearish drawdown and it’s a falling knife, with the 20 day crossing the 50 it’s still bearish and could drop more, but there is support soon. RSI 34. Today we could see my buy zone with the fed interest rates. Buy the dip!
Like and follow for more, comment let’s discuss
TOPUP Buying The Dip Strategy //This is just a TOPUP Buying The Dip Strategy that you can incoporate with your existing DCA type investments
What I like about trading Commodity based ETF (i.e Oil and Gold), every falling price will always means its just a correction. Meaning, after a dip it will again rally. Unlike stocks, it's difficult perhaps borderline impossible for commodity price to fall below zero (in this case for oil, it did but not for long) hence ETF that tracks the price of Oil will never go below zero.
Everytime this ETF make 50% correction, you buy the ETF shares. That's the strategy. Now I do not recommend to use a buy and hold strategy here. You need to decide how you want to take profit as soon as you buy the shares. Percentage based? Momentum based? trailing stop? fundamentally based? All up to you
The whole point of this post is to show every correction/falling price, its an opportunity to buy. This is a monthly chart and such opportunity only occured 3 times in the last 20+ years.. hence why I call this just a TOPUP strategy.
This can work with other commodity based ETF and you even can use this for SP 500 but waiting for 50% correction would be very rare but perhaps shorter corrections like 6-8%
Wyckoff Accumulation Bitcoin 4HAccording to Wyckoff, the market can be understood and anticipated through detailed analysis of supply and demand, which can be ascertained from studying price action, volume and time.
PS—preliminary support, where substantial buying begins to provide pronounced support after a prolonged down-move. Volume increases and price spread widens, signaling that the down-move may be approaching its end.
SC—selling climax, the point at which widening spread and selling pressure usually climaxes and heavy or panicky selling by the public is being absorbed by larger professional interests at or near a bottom. Often price will close well off the low in a SC, reflecting the buying by these large interests.
AR—automatic rally, which occurs because intense selling pressure has greatly diminished. A wave of buying easily pushes prices up; this is further fueled by short covering. The high of this rally will help define the upper boundary of an accumulation TR.
ST—secondary test, in which price revisits the area of the SC to test the supply/demand balance at these levels. If a bottom is to be confirmed, volume and price spread should be significantly diminished as the market approaches support in the area of the SC. It is common to have multiple STs after a SC.
Test—Large operators always test the market for supply throughout a TR (e.g., STs and springs) and at key points during a price advance. If considerable supply emerges on a test, the market is often not ready to be marked up. A spring is often followed by one or more tests; a successful test (indicating that further price increases will follow) typically makes a higher low on lesser volume.
SOS—sign of strength, a price advance on increasing spread and relatively higher volume. Often a SOS takes place after a spring, validating the analyst’s interpretation of that prior action.
LPS—last point of support, the low point of a reaction or pullback after a SOS. Backing up to an LPS means a pullback to support that was formerly resistance, on diminished spread and volume. On some charts, there may be more than one LPS, despite the ostensibly singular precision of this term.
BU—“back-up”. This term is short-hand for a colorful metaphor coined by Robert Evans, one of the leading teachers of the Wyckoff method from the 1930s to the 1960s. Evans analogized the SOS to a “jump across the creek” of price resistance, and the “back up to the creek” represented both short-term profit-taking and a test for additional supply around the area of resistance. A back-up is a common structural element preceding a more substantial price mark-up, and can take on a variety of forms, including a simple pullback or a new TR at a higher level.
$NKE - Intricate Weekly Trading PlanHey all! Just gonna get right into it.
Dips at 166.62 should be bought. Dips at 164.75 should REALLY be bought. Very high chance we bounce at both of those levels and capture a clean 6.5% move intraweek.
A break of 173.35 will likely lead us to 175, and then ATHs. I'm less confident in trading this break simply due to the formation of lower highs. I'm afraid the break will get stopped in its tracks.
A loss of 164.75 will be violent, so have your stops set. If we lose 164.75 look to swap to puts FAST. Not too sure where the bottom will be on this one.
GLHF everyone!
GPN Weekly Options PlayDescription
This is essentially a "buy the dip" index play intending to ride a retracement as GPN tags and bounces off of a major support level @ 119.
Sort-of Hedge for heavy short account.
Using a call debit spread to bring the price down and reduce risk.
Call Debit Spread
Levels on Chart
SL < 119
PT : 135
*Stops based off underlying stock price, not mark to market loss
The Trade
BUY
12/17 125C
SELL
12/17 135C
R/R & Breakevens vary on fill.
Manage Risk
Only invest what you are willing to lose
$XDB GOOD ENTRY?!$XDB has dropped below the second are, if we close below this I wouldn’t be surprised to see a further drop to $0.36.
That seems really unlikely but that is where the next support lays if we close below the current area.
I’m hoping we don’t see that, XDB is having a quick recovery in this moment.
Me personally I have added some here as I believe it will make it back into the key area ( $0.5) it was in before dropping below.
To Buy The Dip or Not To Buy The Dip - Place Your Bets!So here's your stock market correction update:
S&P 500 -5%
Nasdaq-100 -7%
Russell 2000 -13%
Pick your bottoms carefully.
I generally think that a -10% correction is a great drawdown point to start entering. But, at the same time, some individual stocks have been totally crushed from Zoom to Palantir and Peloton and more. These big, pandemic, names have been cratering 30%, 40% and 50%. Just look around the market and you will see that it is a stock picker's bear market!
The three charts above showing the indexes that I am most interested in:
S&P 500
Nasdaq-100
Russell 2000
I don't show the Dow because it is just 30 companies. There are over 5,000 stocks in the market today and even more cryptocurrencies. I really don't want to compare just 30 companies no matter how large they are. I am not interested.
All that matters now to me is where the bottom will be found.
Small caps are -13% and they tend to be my favorite playing field. So I am looking deeply into that world.
But also the Nasdaq-100 is down 7% from its highs. Let's just I've set an alert for the Nasdaq-100 and the moment it hits -10%. I think that will be an interesting choice.
Thanks for reading!
BTC on sale? Buy opportunity o just OMICRON still pushing down? Today I woke up to find out that BTC was going down again. Since late November, we haven't seen a clear bullish trend. A lot of factors are related to this from my point of view. OMICRON, Black Friday, J. Powell... etc.
It makes me wonder, WHAT IS GOING ON? maybe it is just another chance to buy the deep.
It keeps fighting hard around the 50% FIB and the price is touching the 128 MA wish is a historically strong support level. Let's see what's going to happen.
I believe the bullish trend is still there, only we saw a few uncanny weeks with some bearish fundamentals, but our levels of support are still there, firm as always!
Apple $AAPL Buy the dip!Apple is still bullish on a swing. Today’s drop put it at a prime RSI entry 63, with high trend and momentum. But of course SPY is bearish so there’s some risk of it coming down to $156 if spy drops to the 100 day. There’s no better chart than this for buying the dip. $AAPL let’s get it
If you like this remember to follow and hit the like, thanks!