C3.AI is a great buy opportunity for the rest of the year.C3.ai (AI) has been trading within a Channel Down pattern for more than 1 year (since the August 01 2023 High) and yesterday it almost hit its bottom (Lower Lows trend-line). The 1D RSI breached below the 30.00 oversold barrier, and within this 1 year, it has always been a buy signal.
However we can't rule out an extended consolidation or even a slightly Lower Low within those levels until the price recovers fully, but on the long-term and particularly until the end of the year, C3.ai presents a strong buy opportunity on the current level.
The previous two Bullish Legs topped on the 0.785 Fibonacci retracement level, so our Target is 28.50 (marginally below it).
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C3ai
Why C3.ai ($AI) Stock Is Struggling Despite Earnings Beat C3.ai (NYSE: NYSE:AI ) is facing a challenging day on the stock market after reporting its fiscal first-quarter earnings, even though it exceeded top- and bottom-line estimates. The company’s stock has plunged over 14% in Thursday’s session, reflecting investor concerns despite a strong earnings report.
Overview
C3.ai reported revenue of $87.2 million for the quarter ending July 31, representing a 20.5% increase year-over-year. This growth was driven by a 20% rise in subscription revenue, which reached $73.5 million. The company also narrowed its net loss per share to 5 cents, improving from 9 cents in the previous year. Both figures beat Wall Street’s expectations, which had forecasted revenue of $86.9 million and a net loss of 13 cents per share.
Despite these positive results, the company’s subscription revenue fell short of the anticipated $79.2 million, contributing to the stock's decline. CEO Thomas Siebel highlighted a “solid start” to the fiscal year, with C3.ai seeing continued demand for its enterprise AI solutions. However, the lower-than-expected subscription revenue overshadowed the overall positive earnings report.
Looking ahead, C3.ai provided a revenue forecast for Q2 of fiscal 2025 between $88.6 million and $93.6 million, aligning with analyst expectations. The full-year revenue guidance remains unchanged at $370 million to $395 million. However, the company also projected a larger-than-expected loss for the current quarter, further unsettling investors.
Technical Outlook
Technically, C3.ai’s stock is showing signs of strain. The shares, which had gained nearly 30% earlier this year, are now down roughly 30% since December 31. The latest price action indicates that the stock may be forming a bearish flag pattern, following a long uptrend. This pattern suggests that the current downtrend could extend further if bearish sentiment persists.
The stock’s recent drop has pushed it to its lowest levels in months, and several Wall Street analysts have revised their price targets downward. The consensus recommendation is now a "Hold," reflecting the mixed sentiment surrounding C3.ai’s performance and outlook.
Conclusion
C3.ai’s earnings report presented a mixed bag of results. While the company beat earnings estimates and continued to show growth in revenue, the underwhelming subscription revenue and higher-than-expected losses for the upcoming quarter have weighed heavily on its stock. As the company transitions to a consumption model, historically a challenging phase, investors remain cautious. The technical indicators also suggest that the stock may face further declines if the bearish trend continues. For now, investors are advised to stay alert to both fundamental updates and technical signals as C3.ai (NYSE: NYSE:AI ) navigates this turbulent period.
C3.AI This Golden Cross is preparing something big.It's been almost 3 months since we last looked into C3.ai (AI) where (May 10, see chart below) we called for a but that easily hit its 29.00 Target:
The price rose even higher but now finds itself considerably lower (as with the rest of the market) within the long-term Channel Down. Last month though, the stock formed its first 1D Golden Cross since February 23 2023, which may be an early indication of a bullish break-out.
That early 2023 (Jan - Apr) fractal shows that after the post-1D Golden Cross peak, the correction that was completed on the 0.5 Fibonacci retracement level gave way to a strong rebound towards the 1.5 Fib extension. As a result, our medium-term Target on this is $42.00.
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C3ai unveils generative AI for government organizationsC3ai Inc. (NYSE: AI), a prominent developer of artificial intelligence tools, announced the launch of a generative AI application specifically tailored for government organizations on Monday. This move targets a significant growth area within the AI sector, where there is substantial interest from government entities actively investing in AI-driven tools.
The newly launched application is designed to serve federal and state governments, providing capabilities to process extensive data related to health, education, and employment programs. It offers functionalities such as answering inquiries about financial aid and managing other types of queries from millions of users, potentially transforming the efficiency and accessibility of government services.
Technical analysis of C3ai Inc. (NYSE: AI)
Let's evaluate the potential trading opportunities based on the current technical setup of C3ai's stock:
Timeframe : Daily (D1)
Current trend : The stock is currently in an uptrend
Resistance level : 30.80 USD
Support level : 29.50 USD
Potential downtrend target : Should the stock enter a downtrend, the downside target could be set at 26.00 USD
Short-term target : If the uptrend persists and the stock breaches the resistance at 30.80 USD, a short-term target could be 38.00 USD
Medium-term target : With sustained upward momentum, the stock price might rise to 48.00 USD
Investors should closely monitor C3ai's performance, especially considering the strategic expansion into the government sector with its new generative AI application. This development could significantly enhance the company's growth prospects and impact its stock performance.
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C3.ai ($AI) Shares Jumped 19.44% on Strong Q4 ResultsC3.ai ( NYSE:AI ), an AI software company, is expected to see revenue growth of around 23% in fiscal year 2025, with plans to continue investing in development to establish market leadership and build a profitable enterprise software company. The company is focusing on addressing a potentially $1 trillion addressable software market, which is considered the largest market opportunity in software history.
The company's strong Q4 results and optimistic outlook highlight its position in the rapidly evolving enterprise AI market. As businesses recognize the potential of AI to transform operations, C3.ai's focus on applications and its approach to addressing challenges associated with GenAI could significantly shape the industry's future.
However, the company must navigate an increasingly competitive landscape and demonstrate the tangible benefits of its offerings to maintain its growth trajectory. The coming quarters will be crucial in determining whether C3.ai ( NYSE:AI ) can capitalize on the opportunities presented by the expanding AI market and establish itself as a long-term leader.
Technical Outlook
C3.ai ( NYSE:AI ) stock is up 19.44% trading with a Relative Strength Index (RSI) of 68.27 which is slightly overbought prior the earnings Beat. The stock is trading a little bit higher above the 200-day Moving Average (MA).
🍌🍌 SUPERMICRO — AI INFRASTRUCTURE STOCKS GO BANANA Supermicro is an American company, a major manufacturer of motherboards, cases, power supplies, cooling systems, SAS controllers, Ethernet and InfiniBand. The company specializes in the production of x86-server platforms and various components for servers, workstations and data storage systems. The headquarters is located in San Jose, USA. Founded in 1993.
Supermicro, Inc., a provider of end-to-end IT solutions for cloud computing, artificial intelligence/machine learning, storage, and 5G/Edge communications, continues to expand its data center portfolio with NVIDIA end-to-end rack cabinet solutions HGX H100 equipped with liquid cooling systems.
Supermicro's advanced liquid cooling technologies help reduce time-to-commissioning, improve performance levels, and reduce data center operating costs while dramatically reducing energy efficiency.
It is estimated that when using Supermicro liquid cooling systems (compared to air-cooled data centers), data centers save up to 40% in terms of power costs. In addition, direct cooling costs can be reduced by up to 86% compared to existing data centers.
"Supermicro continues to lead the industry by meeting the ever-growing needs for AI systems and modern data centers around the world," said Charles Liang, President and CEO of Supermicro.
AI-optimized racks powered by Supermicro's latest product lines, including server product lines from AMD, can be quickly created from standard engineering templates and easily customized to meet unique user requirements.
The ultra-modern GPU liquid cooling server includes dual processors from NASDAQ:INTC or NASDAQ:AMD and four or eight interconnected NVIDIA ( NASDAQ:NVDA ) HGX H100 Tensor Core GPUs.
The use of liquid cooling systems can reduce the energy consumption of data centers by up to 40%, which in turn leads to lower operating costs.
In addition, both systems significantly outperform previous generation NVIDIA HGX GPU-powered solutions, delivering up to 30x performance gains and improved efficiency of today's Transformers with faster connections between GPUs and networks and storage built with PCIe 5.0 standard.
The technical picture illustrates the possibility of continued explosive growth in Supermicro shares, which are up more than 160 percent since the beginning of the year.
C3.AI bottomed and is going for the 1D MA50 test.C3.ai (AI) is trading within a Channel Down pattern since the August 01 2023 High and just 3 weeks ago made the 2nd Lower Low at the bottom of the pattern. If it breaks above the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line), we will have a confirmed bullish continuation for the new Bullish Leg, similar to the November 02 2023 break-out.
Until then, we expect one last short-term dip for a better buy entry, with which we will target 29.00 (just below the 0.5 Fibonacci retracement level). On the medium-term, we expect a new Lower High to be made, at least on the 0.618 Fib.
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C3.ai: Channel Down bottom buy.C3.ai (AI) is bearish on the 1D technical outlook (RSI = 36.727, MACD = -1.800, ADX = 49.528) but has staged a solid recovery at the bottom of the 1 year Channel Down. This sequence is very much like the October 2023 bottom, which targeted the 0.786 Fib as a LH. Having completed a MACD Bullish Cross, we go long aiming at the top of the Channel Down (TP = 32.50).
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Retail investors' AI bet C3.ai's Shares Climb on Strong ResultsC3.ai. ( NYSE:AI ) With its shares soaring about 18% in premarket trading following robust third-quarter results and an optimistic full-year forecast, the Redwood City-based firm is proving to be a compelling contender in the AI market.
Since the dawn of 2022, C3.ai ( NYSE:AI ) has seen its shares surge an impressive 165%, solidifying its position as a frontrunner in the AI software domain. However, despite this significant growth, it pales in comparison to the meteoric rise of industry titan Nvidia, which has witnessed a staggering 431% increase in market value over the same period.
What sets C3.ai ( NYSE:AI ) apart is its strategic focus on catering to the burgeoning demand for AI solutions across various sectors, notably the federal market. Bolstered by a 23% surge in subscription revenue, the company's strong performance in the latest quarter underscores its ability to deliver results that surpass analyst expectations. Moreover, with subscription revenue accounting for approximately 90% of its total revenue, C3.ai ( NYSE:AI ) demonstrates a resilient revenue model that appeals to investors seeking stability amidst market volatility.
Analysts, however, maintain a cautious stance, with the average rating for C3.ai ( NYSE:AI ) listed as "hold." Despite this, several brokerages have raised their price targets for the company, reflecting growing confidence in its long-term prospects. D.A. Davidson, for instance, raised its target price to $30, citing the company's notable success in securing multi-year subscription agreements and its expanding presence in the federal sector.
Looking ahead, C3.ai ( NYSE:AI ) remains optimistic about its future trajectory, narrowing its 2024 revenue forecast to $306-$310 million. While this forecast surpasses analysts' estimates, it underscores the company's proactive approach to managing expectations and delivering sustainable growth.
In a strategic move to strengthen its leadership team, C3.ai ( NYSE:AI ) announced the appointment of Hitesh Lath as its new Chief Financial Officer, effective March 1. With Lath's extensive experience in financial management, coupled with the continued presence of Juho Parkkinen as Vice President of Finance, the company is poised to navigate future challenges and capitalize on emerging opportunities.
AI made a Bullish Break-out and is targeting $60.C3.ai (AI) broke on Monday above the 8-month Lower Highs trend-line that dictated the former Bearish Leg of the 1.5 year Channel Up pattern. That is a major technical bullish break-out for the long-term as at the same time the 1D MACD completed a full Bullish Cross.
The last time we had such a series of technical events was on the January 13 2023 bullish break-out where the stock closed again a 1D candle above the Lower Highs. The price rallied +205% from the bottom. The next rally that formed the June 16 2023 Higher High on the Channel Up was on a +190% rally. Assuming a -15% decrease on every Bullish Leg, we expect the current rally to peak a +175% from the bottom. As a result we are placing our target just under the 1.382 Fibonacci extension (standard Higher High target) at $60.00.
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📈💡 C3.ai (AI) Gains Traction in AI Software Space 🚀C3.ai, a prominent AI software company, is making waves with an 81% surge in customer engagement. The company's strategic move includes the introduction of "C3 Generative AI: Enterprise Marketplace Edition" in collaboration with Amazon. This initiative aims to leverage untapped organizational data, aligning with the evolving demands of the market. Here are the key details:
Business Highlights:
Customer Engagement Surge: C3.ai has experienced an impressive 81% surge in customer engagement, indicating increased interest and adoption of its AI solutions.
Strategic Collaboration: The collaboration with Amazon for the development of "C3 Generative AI: Enterprise Marketplace Edition" underscores C3.ai's commitment to innovation in the AI space.
Investor Sentiment and Outlook:
Investor sentiment is positive, driven by the notable increase in customer engagement and the strategic collaboration with Amazon.
The bullish outlook establishes a support range at $25.00-$26.00, indicating a potential level of support where buyers may step in.
Upside targets are set at $47.00-$48.00, reflecting optimistic expectations for the stock's performance.
A Dive into $AI Its Soaring Performance and Government PartnersShares of C3.ai surged after the AI-focused software-as-a-service (SaaS) company was name-checked by Oppenheimer on its list of stocks to own in 2024.
C3.ai ( NYSE:AI ) has been one of 2023's top-performing artificial intelligence (AI) stocks. It's up around 180% this year, but is down about 30% from its high set in June. With 2024 shaping up to be another strong year for AI-related companies.
The Government is Becoming a Large C3.ai Customer
C3.ai specializes in plug-and-play AI solutions for enterprise-level customers. With products ranging from energy management, demand forecasting, and anti-money laundering, C3.ai has solutions spanning multiple industries.
However, one of C3.ai's most lucrative clients in recent quarters has been the federal government. In its fiscal 2024 second quarter, which ended Oct. 31, 49% of bookings came from its federal, defense, and aerospace segment. In Q1, that share was 67%. Clearly, C3.ai's relationship with the U.S. government is a vital part of its business, making this a key metric to watch.
It also reflects the company's diversification away from the oil and natural gas industry, which accounted for 34% of bookings in its fiscal 2023. (That year, federal, aerospace, and defense was 29%.) This is good, as oil and natural gas industry spending has dried up for C3.ai.
In its fiscal Q1, only 1.5% of its bookings came from that space, and it reported no explicit bookings from it in Q2, though the results possibly landed in the "others" category, which comprised 0.1% of bookings.
Technical Analysis
C3.ai is in a rising trend channel in the medium long term. This shows that investors over time have bought the stock at higher prices and indicates good development for the company.
The stock has broken a resistance level in the short term and given a positive signal for the short-term trading range.
AI about to break upwards aggressively.AI (C3.ai) has made a Higher High yesterday, the highest level it's been since August 15. Having put both the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) and the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line) behind, this rebound is taking place after a perfect bottom on the long-term Channel Up.
The first Bullish Leg of this pattern peaked on the 1.382 Fibonacci extension before a 1D MA200 pull-back. As a result, we are taking this early buy signal to target $60.00.
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AI C3.ai Options Ahead of EarningsIf you haven`t bought AI before the previous earnings:
Then analyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of AI C3.ai prior to the earnings report this week,
I would consider purchasing the 30usd strike price calls with
an expiration date of 2023-12-29,
for a premium of approximately $3.25.
If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them.
Looking forward to read your opinion about it.
C3.AI Stock Soars After OpenAI Dilemma The technology industry was thrown into turmoil over the weekend after OpenAI fired CEO Sam Altman and staff threatened to quit. At the end of the day, Altman announced he would be joining Microsoft and most of OpenAI's staff has threatened to quit.
One of the beneficiaries today is C3.ai (AI 1.11%), which has seen its stock rise as much as 8.2%. Shares are up 7.3% as of 12:40 p.m. ET.
C3.ai Captures the AI imagination
The stock performance of C3.ai has been driven more by artificial intelligence hype than anything else this year. The revenue is up just 3% in the past year and the company is losing money, but that hasn't mattered because the stock is up 58.3%.
Price Momentum
AI is trading in the middle of its 52-week range and above its 200-day simple moving average.
What does this mean?
Investors are still evaluating the share price, but the stock still appears to have some upward momentum. This is a positive sign for the stock's future value.
AI Holding the 1D MA200. Most optimal buy entry.C3.AI (AI) has been trading within a Channel Up pattern since the December 28 2022 market bottom. The previous Higher Low was priced while it was testing (and holding) the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line). This is the exact situation we have now, with the stoch trading at the bottom (Higher Lows trend-line) of the pattern, holding the 1D MA200 as Support. At the same time, the 4H RSI is showcasing a Bullish Divergence, being on Higher Lows while the price is on Lower Lows.
As a result, this is the most optimal buy entry, and as long as the price trades within the Channel Up, we will target $72.00 (+180% rise).
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AI C3ai Options Ahead of EarningsIf you haven`t bought AI here:
Then analyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of AI C3ai prior to the earnings report this week,
I would consider purchasing the 30usd strike price Calls with
an expiration date of 2024-1-19,
for a premium of approximately $6.55.
If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them.
Looking forward to read your opinion about it.
Complex pullback in C3.AI stock!On Monday, the bulls returned to the C3.ai stock following the signing of a new contract with a significant branch of the American military.
This development sent the share price of the AI specialist rocketing more than 8% higher so far this week, outperforming the week’s 1% increase in the S&P 500 index.
You can now spot a spring pattern after what Lance Beggs would describe as a complex double-swing pullback .
A daily close above $32 should be the beginning of a new rally to $48.