GBPUSD Daily Projection 27/09/22GBPUSD
GBPUSD tried to fight back its downtrend today but the price was rejected at 1.08693 while closing the gap that occurred at the beginning of the last week in September. The cable is currently forming a doji in the range 1.06417 - 1.07258 which if this becomes a higher low, there is a possibility that GBPUSd will temporarily maneuver at least to resistance 1.10793 as well as correction to the MA20.
Possible to take
SELL STOP 1.06127 SL 1.07724 TP 1.04144
R3 1.12016
R2 1.10793
R1 1.08693
PV 1.07258
S1 1.06417
S2 1.05237
S3 1.03984
Cable
$GBP - How low can we go?$GBP - How low can we go?
Tacking back to yrs of data, perhaps we go ahead to George Soros area of chart and going back to 84-87 areas of price action. Interesting times, I think 1.10 could be achievable as we are in recession, fundamentally very weak outlook for gbp and you got dollar king rising further as hikes remain on the table till end of yr for US.
Interesting times, for longer term this brings great opportunities of investing.
TJ
GBPUSD Today's Projection 26/09/22GBPUSD
GBPUSD fell more than 5% last week with the downtrend getting stronger. At the beginning of this week, Cable probably will make price correction which has not been done yet after breaking 4 supports at the end of last week, before continuing its downtrend and landing at support 1.07258.
Possible to take
SELL LIMIT 1.11884 SL 1.13880 TP 1.07363
R3 1.12520
R2 1.12016
R1 1.10793
PV 1.08693
S1 1.07258
S2 1.06417
S3 1.05237
GBPUSD MID TERM HUGE SELL OPPORTUNITYUse appropriate risk management. Last few posts have been incredibly successful so I'm using lower risk on this one.
My strategy is a confidential, but those that trade my posts don't get carried away with my extreme accuracy and how I usually have little to no drawdown - USE SLS!
This is a mid to potentially long term trade.
The target is lower than GU has been my entire lifetime and probably yours too, so most will disagree but I like to differ from the crowd in trading so the target is very much achievable nonetheless.
GBPUSD Today's Projection 21/09/22GBPUSD
GBPUSD again tried to penetrate the support area 1.13502 - 1.13695 for the third time this week and re-ejected. The downtrend is still quite visible in this pair with a reversal point at resistance 1.16714. Tonight's FOMC will determine whether the Cable will continue to fall deeper through this support or start a reversal and end the downtrend.
We test the waves with BUY LIMIT at 1.13750 SL 1.13397 TP 1.15400
R3 1.16714
R2 1.15414
R1 1.14139
PV 1.13695
S1 1.13502
S2 1.10793
S3 1.08693
GBPUSDGood news is that we are in profit and bad news is that a new level is forming.
According to my experience and long-term back-tests, we better to stay in the trade and the probabilities of breaking of the level is a little more higher than reversing from it in these cases. (Considering trend, formerly levels)
GBP/USD - Monthly Analysis - Sep Q3I'm back from vacation which means I'm back on the charts. Today I'll be sharing my monthly chart on the GBPUSD along with focusing on the interest rate differential and the 30 year US treasury bond supporting my directional market profile.
Clearly, GBPUSD is bearish and now trading below the previous 2020 low. Currently I can see price having the tendency to trade into the regions of <1.124, a monthly bullish order block before potentially turning bullish for the next seasonal period.
This is an important week, as we have interest rate decisions for both the FED (USD) and BoE (GBP). The current consensus is a 75bps hike for the Dollar and a 50bps hike for the Sterling, which again increases the interest rate differential between these two economies with the Dollar being stronger which supports my bias of this pair trading lower in the 1985 bullish order block.
Regarding the 30 year US treasury bond, without going too much into detail, I can see the treasury note creeping up higher (yields coming down) which generally means we could be seeing a weaker US Index in the horizon.
Finally, I just want to make a few points on this 1985 low and why price aggressively started trading higher for the Cable.
Ronald Reagan was in office in the 80's who had undertook major tax cuts boosting the American economy where in turn the FED decided to raise interest rates which prompts foreign investors to put their money into the US, thus sending the value of the Dollar higher against other foreign currencies. The strength of the dollar meant overseas buyers got less bang for their buck when trying to import goods from the US.
American manufacturers were therefore hard-hit by the exchange rate, which was harming its ability to export.
There were also concerns over protectionism, as other countries slapped tariffs on their own exports to take advantage of the dollar's value.
Eventually the US got together with France, West Germany, Japan and the UK and signed the Plaza Accord, which agreed to depreciate the value of the dollar.
Central bankers sold more dollars in exchange for other currencies, bringing its value down 40% in just two years, which is the sharp increase in the price of GBPUSD that you see on the charts in 1985.
I hope this post has been useful.
Aman | SMC Wolf FX
SWING SETUP GBPUSD ( LONG TERM )Identified Pattern :
- Falling Wedges ( Potential )
Key Level Area :
Support :
a) 1.14 - 1.16 ( Buyer Zone )
b) 1.226 ( Equilibrium Prices )
c) 1.265 ( Falling Wedges Projection Price )
1.278 ( Fibonacci Extend 1.618)
d) 1.348 ( Weekly Support Become Resistance )
1.364 ( Fibonacci Extend 2.618 )
e) 1.425 ( Strong Resistance )
1.45 ( Fibonacci Extend 3.618)
▪️GBPUSD LONG▪️TF- D1/WK▪️6-10R▪️400-700pipsType - Retracement trade; Very possible swing now
TF- Daily/Weekly
BIAS - Bullish
ENTRY - 1.1556
SL - 1.1490
TP - 1.1730(GrAA),1.1870(GrAAA), 1.1950(GrAAA),1.2240(GrAAA)
RR - 1:6 (10R max)
----------------------
Upside LVL's (RES)
1.1730(GrAA)
1.1870(GrAAA)
1.1950(GrAAA) - 6R case
1.2240(GrAAA) - 10R case
Downside LVL's (SUP)
1.1440 (GrAA)
1.1360 (GrAAA)
GBPUSD: Cable woes continue?!GBPUSD
Intraday - We look to Sell at 1.1820 (stop at 1.1900)
Buying pressure from 1.1621 resulted in prices rejecting the dip. Bullish divergence can be seen on the 4 hour chart (the chart makes a lower low while the oscillator makes a higher low), often a signal of exhausted bearish momentum, or at least a correction higher. A higher correction is expected. The bias is still for lower levels and we look for any gains to be limited. The trend of lower highs is located at 1.1901. Preferred trade is to sell into rallies.
Our profit targets will be 1.1600 and 1.1500
Resistance: 1.1840 / 1.2015 / 1.2155
Support: 1.1500 / 1.1330 / 1.1000
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