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$GBPUSD - Price at Bullish Breaker - Continue Bullish Momentum?*SMT = Smart Money Theory = everything you think that is not retail related to trading. First, SMT does not believe that triangles, wedges, trendlines, channels, harmonics, etc. has any effect on how price reacts. The second is to recognize that the price is not random, it is set by an algorithm controlled by those that control the asset. The Third thing to remember is price will move toward Liquidity and Balance. That's the basics. The rest is very unique in the vocabulary you need to have and the concepts that wrap around these ideas. Currently on the daily chart the price has risen above a breaker. The Breaker would be the Low High Lower Low Formation seen here: And it has come down and touched that breaker region. The breaker would be the last up candle in the low high lower low formation. Which is in the main boxes on the main idea above. I once price touches the breaker it ususually means that there was a missed opportunity for "Smart Money" to remove a short position at that area so they bring the price back down to remove the short positions and give you a "Fake out as if they are going lower. My stop loss was to take take the highest 4 hour ATR (408) or 40.8 pips and place that below the body of the breaker. I added a few pips just in cases it tried a quick stab stop hunt. As it approaches the 1.35500, 1.36000, or even the 1.36500 mark price has a t endency to sweep those areas 10-40 pips before pulling back. Being that the next daily bearish order block ius neath e 1.36000 I would expect it to sweep at least half of the bearish order block which is approximately 40+ pips on this chart. Open: 1.34975 SL: 1.34545 Max TP: 1.36470 More than a 3:1 ratio with almost 150 pips to gain if my analysis is correct. This is a swing trade and we're hoping to find the bottom of that swing right now. FX:GBPUSD OANDA:GBPUSD FOREXCOM:GBPUSD GLOBALPRIME:GBPUSD EASYMARKETS:GBPUSD KRAKEN:GBPUSD FX_IDC:GBPUSD PEPPERSTONE:GBPUSD FTX:GBPUSD EIGHTCAP:GBPUSD CURRENCYCOM:GBPUSD
Long
by BodiesXWix
2
ICT OTE EUR USD - BACKTESTING when you are back testing, Make sure you are actually seeing what you are doing, its so important to look for things that you aren't necessarily trying to see, For example, I spend way more time studying my losses during a back test so that I can try to identify something that may have saved me from pulling the trigger. but in this instance, Something I have never really spotted before with the OTE set up, Look at that correlation between price movement and divergence on the volume. Volume tells the story here, Price pushing hard to our level, Then volume strikes out, Unfortunately I cannot provide a lower time frame image, But feel free to look at NY session 10 NOV 21 and see it yourself.
Short
by hunterprotocolFX
11
$GBPUSD: Upside to 1.3875...The Pound has triggered a bottom signal, in both the daily and weekly timeframe, right after seeing the 1st rate hike across developed nations since the Pandemic started. Weekly charts point to a rally towards 1.3875 within the next 11 weeks, and the daily chart has a buy signal right here. I'm long with a stop below 1.31625, aiming to capture the weekly move here, if possible. Don't risk over 1% in the position, I'd say. Calculate the sizing carefully. Risk management is key to stay in the game until we strike gold with a good trade. Cheers, Ivan Labrie.
Long
by IvanLabrie
$GBPUSD - Repeat of yesterday - Seek and Destroy Model *SMT**SMT = Smart Money Theory aka Institutional Trading = everything you think that is not retail related to trading. First, SMT does not believe that triangles, wedges , trendlines , channels, harmonics, etc. has any effect on how price reacts. The second is to recognize that the price is not random, it is set by an algorithm controlled by those that control the asset. The Third thing to remember is price will move toward Liquidity and Balance. That's the basics. The rest is very unique in the vocabulary you need to have and the concepts that wrap around these ideas. I keep seeing Ideas to buy GBPUSD and I keep wondering why? It's giobing us no indication it want's go higher. And powell to speak again tomorrow at 10 EST, same As today. I have measured out the standard deviations of the Asian range. 2 standard deviations above is the most recent high. Overnight, we should see the price lower then raise back up. Becasue if you look at thje DXY it is going to be going undewrneath the consequential encroachment of a break possibly touching the bottom of the boxed area then rising as soon as that happens it may take a while for it to get there which is why I am anticipating GBPUSD to fo the opposite slowly swoop down into an hourly fair value gap the raise the prices to the median bearish order block up if it wants to stay below the high. But I have a feeling it will take out the liquidity resting at the highs in the form of buy stops and pull back down very quickly taking out the stop losses. After that it would be heading toward the liquidity resting under the areas marked below the 4th standard deviation of the Asian Range. Here's what I think will happen with the DXY. Raise Above the current equal highs then pull back to the Bullish Breaker. It should be at that time powell is about to speak and we'll see anothjer sharo rise in prices in the dollar. Why? Because everyone is thinking the opposite. Andf if you're thinking the opposite, Smart money is thinking opposite of you. So that's why I think the GBPUSD will do something simlar but opposite, of course. Any my mentor said to try and idea, I'm not putting money on it as my mentoring has been great and I've learned more in Smart Money theory unlike retail where all I did was set my money on fire beliving the herd mentality. Instead I've learned to use many tools such as the asian range, weekly profiles, liquidity areas to form my ideas. It is the first of the month. So there is a definite possibility that the monthly candle could be the opposite. But it will go agains this "Trendline support theory" that I see from many people. Trendlines aren't support. But they do tell you where the liquidity is lying because so many people will trade off a trend line. Smart Money likes to go against those that would trade long off a trend line and force the price short. So I'm sticking with this idea. Anyway, good luck and good trading :) The only thing I think that would be slightly different is that it reachea
Short
by BodiesXWix
8