Cable
GBPUSD Pressure Mounting On the Pound
Hi Traders!
A symmetrical triangle has formed on the GBPUSD 1D chart, and we could have a breakout soon as pressure is quickly mounting on the pound.
Here are the details:
The market has found support and resistance at both the trendline support and trendline resistance of the triangle, as the market is looking for a direction. Looking at the price action, it looks bearish due to the market swings; the lows and highs are starting to get lower, and additionally, the market has broken and closed above the 20 EMA.
The fundamental news also supports our bearish view. Earlier today, the MPC Official Bank Rate Votes came out at 2-1-6 which was surprising and worse than expected. Traders will read this as uncertainty for the pound while the dollar continues to strengthen.
As long as the market is still below the 20 EMA, our view will remain bearish. We expect some more consolidation before a possible third attempt at the trendline resistance.
Preferred Direction: Sell
Technical Indicators: 20 EMA
Resistance: 1.27508
Support: 1.25965
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Trade safely and responsibly.
BluetonaFX
GBPUSD Points Higher After A ConsolidationCable has seen some nice recovery at the end of 2023; move that is looking impulsive so more gains can be seen after the corrective retracement that is now underway. Ideally, that's wave four correction, a higher degree pullback that can sooner or later send prices back to the highs, possibly already now after first support for a triangle near 1.26 held, but we still need broken upper triangle line near 1.2750 to make sure that fifth wave up is in play for 1.29-1.3 Deeper support is at 1.25 if 1.26 flor is broken.
Pound H4 | Pullback resistance at 78.6% Fibo projectionThe Pound (GBP/USD) could rise towards a pullback resistance and potentially reverse off this level to drop lower.
Sell entry is at 1.27799 which is a pullback resistance that aligns with the 78.6% Fibonacci projection level.
Stop loss is at 1.28420 which is a level that sits above the 100.0% Fibonacci projection level and a swing-high resistance.
Take profit is at 1.26815 which is a pullback support that aligns close to the 78.6% Fibonacci extension level.
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GBPUSD: BoS, weak GBP, strengthening USDI'm expecting a big collapse from this pair over the next few weeks.
I'm seeing a Break of Structure on the lower timeframes, with 1hr retest.
GBP data shocking and certainly indicating recession, USD not looking like a recession. Heightening global conflict could also lead to a stronger USD.
I'm going short on this pair, first target 1.255.
Pound H4 | Potential bullish bounceThe Pound (GBP/USD) is trading close to a pullback support and could potentially bounce off this level to climb higher.
Buy entry is at 1.26119 which is a pullback support.
Stop loss is at 1.25550 which is a support level that sits under the 100.0% Fibonacci projection level.
Take profit is at 1.26948 which is a pullback resistance that aligns close to the 50.0% Fibonacci retracement level.
High Risk Investment Warning
Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you.
Stratos Markets Limited (www.fxcm.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 67% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd, previously FXCM EU Ltd (www.fxcm.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 72% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (www.fxcm.com):
Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at www.fxcm.com
Stratos Global LLC (www.fxcm.com):
Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of FXCM and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of FXCM or any form of personal or investment advice. FXCM neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third party speakers, nor is FXCM responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
Will Cable Complete Its Head-n-Shoulders to Drag Price Down?GBPUSD daily bullish trend under threat with pair slowing down. The completion of the Head-n-Shoulders price pattern could drag price down below 1.25000...
N.B!
- GBPUSD price might not follow the drawn lines . Actual price movements may likely differ from the forecast.
- Let emotions and sentiments work for you
- ALWAYS Use Proper Risk Management In Your Trades
#gbpusd
#cable
GBPUSD Trading Plan - 05/Jan/2024Hello Traders,
Hope you all are doing good!!
I expect GBPUSD to go Up after finishing the correction.
NOTE: There is potential that it can take last low but the bias will be still up.
Look for your BUY setups.
Please follow me and like if you agree or this idea helps you out in your trading plan.
Disclaimer: This is just an idea. Please do your own analysis before opening a position. Always use SL & proper risk management.
Market can evolve anytime, hence, always do your analysis and learn trade management before following any idea.
GBP/USD Analysis: Supply and Demand PerspectiveHello traders,
Let's delve into the GBP/USD analysis with a focus on supply and demand dynamics. To grasp the current situation, take a moment to examine the 4-hour chart.
.
Key Levels:
A break below the 1.2620 level could trigger a bearish setup, leading towards 1.2695 and following the yellow path.
Additionally, consider the potential for a sell setup around 1.2720 if the price follows the red path.
It's crucial to remain attentive to these key levels and paths as they can significantly influence trading decisions. Always integrate your risk management strategy and adapt to the evolving market conditions.
Stay informed and trade wisely!
Market Catalyst:
It's important to note that the recent CPI news has made the market bearish, influencing the overall sentiment.
Cable H4 | Falling to Fibo supportCable (GBP/USD) is falling towards a pullback support and could potentially bounce off this level to rise towards our take-profit target.
Entry: 1.26336
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support that aligns with the 78.6% Fibonacci projection level
Stop Loss: 1.26027
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support that sits under the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level
Take Profit: 1.27430
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
Will Cable Find Support @ 1.26500 Order Block?GBPUSD pullbacks from strong bullish trend. Will the support at 1.26500 hold or deeper pullback anticipated? Look out for rejection and/or strength of the pair!
N.B!
- GBPUSD price might not follow the drawn lines . Actual price movements may likely differ from the forecast.
- Let emotions and sentiments work for you
- ALWAYS Use Proper Risk Management In Your Trades
#gbpusd
#cable
Cable Is Rising Within A Five-Wave ImpulseCable (GBPUSD) made a nice bounce, with price coming to a new high as BoE turned out to be more hawkish than expected if we consider the votes for the hike by BoE members. So it appears that the pound will stay in the uptrend as the whole pattern from an October low now shows an impulsive price action in progress. Ideally, that's wave five of 3 in progress with some short-term resistance around 1.2850.
GBPUSD H8 - Long SignalGBPUSD H8
Here is the analysis on GBPUSD, following the signal we posted, closed and fell just short of by 2 pips before flying a solid 210 points. Fuelled by the FED and BOE, both yesterday and today.
A rejection from this 1.27200 price down towards 1.26 could be the corrective retest we are looking for. The market bias and direction is now very much evident.
GBPUSD TECHNICAL ANALYSIS Here I present the simplest way of technical insight for Cable
FOR SHORTS :
- I would like to see Price trading below 1.26 level for me to continue looking for shorts when trading cable.
FOR LONG POSITIONS
- I would like to see Price trading above 1.27 level for me to continue looking for long positions , I hope in that area the long position will be validated.
GBP/USD Analysis : Bearish Trend, Technicals, and Upcoming NewsGBP/USD is currently in a bearish trend, supported by two key technical indicators - the breakdown of an uprising channel and a bearish crossover of the 50-period Simple Moving Average (SMA) below the 100-period SMA. Traders should be aware of the potential impact of tonight's FOMC and Thursday's BOE interest rate decisions, which could introduce volatility and potentially invalidate the current analysis.
Technical Analysis:
Bearish Trend:
GBP/USD has broken below an uprising channel, signaling a shift in trend dynamics.
The 50-period SMA has crossed below the 100-period SMA, confirming the bearish sentiment.
Entry Point:
Consider entering a short position in the bearish dynamic yellow zone, where the price may encounter resistance.
Activation Condition:
The signal activation condition is breaking below the key psychological level at 1.2500. A confirmed break below this level would further support the bearish bias.
Stop-Loss (SL):
Place the stop-loss just above the green horizontal line, acting as a key resistance level. This helps manage potential upside risk.
Take Profit (TP):
Set the take-profit target near the red horizontal line, representing a significant support level.
GBP/USD Faces Short-Term Volatility with Long-Term Bullish AnticThe GBP/USD pair is poised for a pivotal phase as a slew of significant macroeconomic events unfolds. Investors are preparing for crucial data releases from both the UK and the US, anticipating their impact on the currency pair's trajectory. This week and the following promise to be defining periods, with market attention drawn to pivotal reports and interest rate decisions.
The looming US nonfarm payrolls report and forthcoming CPI data, alongside interest rate verdicts from the Federal Reserve and Bank of England, stand as key markers for the GBP/USD. These events could profoundly sway market sentiment and currency valuation. Notably, the pair has closely mirrored stock market movements, aligning with the rally in major indexes during November.
Despite recent US market pauses, the DAX's continued ascent suggests a prevailing bullish trend in stocks. This trend may bolster the GBP/USD once profit-taking abates, potentially outweighing short-term volatility arising from impending macro events.
In recent trading sessions, the US Dollar Index slightly receded against various currencies, particularly the Japanese yen, following speculation about a potential shift in the Bank of Japan's policy. However, the dollar's overall direction remains uncertain pending the US jobs report, CPI data, and the Federal Open Market Committee meeting.
Market indicators suggest investor readiness for a subdued NFP figure, possibly resulting in a stronger dollar if the data remains moderate. However, sustained risk appetite could prompt a sell-off of any notable dollar rally in favor of risk-sensitive currencies like commodity dollars and the pound.
Regarding immediate data releases, expectations for today's jobless claims are subdued, likely maintaining the GBP/USD in a holding pattern ahead of the pivotal US nonfarm payrolls report on Friday.
From a technical perspective, the GBP/USD's upward trajectory since October, with higher highs and lows, indicates a bullish trend. Key support levels around 1.2550 and 1.2500 present potential bullish setups, with 1.2450 marking a critical threshold for a potential bearish reversal.
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EURUSD - Short/Long SignalEURUSD H8
We might not have highlighted this particular trade yesterday, as our attention was primarily on AUD/USD and GBP/USD. It's worth noting that EUR/USD tends to exhibit a pattern more closely aligned with GBP/USD than with AUD/USD. Despite this, we've observed a significant upward spike, and we've identified a promising setup for a new long order. Today's developments will reveal whether this opportunity is one we can capitalize on.
GBPUSD BULLISH MARKET PROJECTIONThe Cable broke out of a Range structure and we can be expecting bullish rally at least to the high of the RANGE STRUCTURE before the overall high.
I am expecting a retracement backt to discount of the Dealing Range to get into a trade and ride it till the target areas.
For educational purpose only. Like, comment and share to receive more educational tips and analysis.
Is The Cable Going Bearish Again...?On the 1 hour, we have seen how the market has danced back and forth in the past few days.
In our last analysis from yesterday, we noticed a strong threat by the bulls to invalidate our zone. The zone was finally invalidated and the bulls took over without giving us a chance to take the trade to the downside.
Following the bullish shift, we witnessed the market stay bullish for a very short term as it again u-turned bearish with the invalidation of our 1 hour zone and PB. It would be safe to say that the seeming bullishness was nothing but the market aiming to make a deeper retracement on the 4 hour timeframe.
THe 4 hour chart is still bearish and we expect prices to switch into the extension swing and stay so. With the 1 hour now aligning bearish with the 4 hour, we are confident the extension is here and that prices will ultimately begin to dip towards our liquidity target below.
We will look to catch this bearish trade and milk the market as it moves towards our target.
Cable Next Resistance Level Is @ 1.27000!GBPUSD closed above another daily swing high, may likely targeting above 1.27000.
N.B!
- GBPUSD price might not follow the drawn lines . Actual price movements may likely differ from the forecast.
- Let emotions and sentiments work for you
- ALWAYS Use Proper Risk Management In Your Trades
#gbpusd
#cable