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Cable

GBP Cable Strength Took small Long position in GBPUSD on back of continued weakness in USD and strong trend to upside on GBP. Took position on Nov 20 via LGBP ETF, and has been somewhat anaemic - will watch closely to see if breakdown in trend emerges in coming days. Will likely be dependent upon BREXIT talks in UK and continuing near term risks in US macro environment on foot of future Fed printing and evolution of CV-19 spread/shutdown and subsequent implications through winter.
Long
by Fraser_G
GBPUSD - Liquidity TrapLooking for a potential Liquidity Trap here to trap new sellers predicting a change in trend and squeeze out current long positions. I am looking from an institutional point of view, where liquidity is needed before a further move to the upside. This area of business (blue rectangle) interests me as we have nice prior lows where there will be a lot of stops beneath and we have the Daily ATR also. Looking for a failure around this area before longing to the FTA.
by Kieran_Duff
Bearish Gartley (Daily)The Gartley Pattern , is a harmonic pattern discovered by H M Gartley and outlined in his book 'Profits in the Stock market', published in 1935. The pattern was further defined using specific Fibonacci levels by Scott Carney which he outlined in his book 'The Harmonic Trader', published in 1998. The pattern incorporates the 78.6% retracement of XA, as the defining element in the Potential Reversal Zone (PRZ). The B point must be at the 61.8% retracement of XA. The Gartley utilizes a minimum 127.2% projection of BC . In addition, the pattern should possess a distinct AB=CD pattern that converges in the same area as the 78.6% retracement of XA and the BC projection.
Short
by Cryptsyxalt
1
Bearish Bat Pattern (DAILY)The Bat Pattern , is a precise harmonic pattern discovered by Scott Carney in 2001 The pattern incorporates the 88.6%XA retracement, as the defining element in the Potential Reversal Zone (PRZ). The B point retracement must be less than a 61.8%, preferably a 50% or 38.2% of the XA leg. The Bat utilizes a minimum 161.8%BC projection. In addition, the AB=CD pattern within the Bat pattern is extended and usually requires a 127% AB=CD calculation. It is an incredibly accurate pattern and requires a smaller stop loss than most patterns.
Short
by Cryptsyxalt
Bearish Deep Crab (4H)“The Deep Crab pattern evolved from two patterns—invalid Bat patterns and a specific type of Crab pattern that Scott Carney developed as a further refinement of the basic structure. The Deep Crab is similar to the original Crab pattern, as it is a 5-point extension structure that utilizes exclusively a 161.8% XA projection for the defining level in the Potential Reversal Zone (PRZ).The difference can be found at the B point which must be an 88.6% retracement of XA. In fact, the Deep Crab pattern usually possesses a B point that is beyond the 88.6% level but it does not violate the initial point (X).
Short
by Cryptsyxalt
GBPUSD H4 - Long Trade SetupGBPUSD H4 - The big bearish H4 candle we saw yesterday was off the back of the USD data. A big move and excuse for some USD correction, big relief rally needed, but unlikely a trend changer, I think we can expect continuations of DXY and dollar weakness going forward this week, cable is a good example of a break and retest to set new highs and continue the bullish trend, check out AUDUSD and EURUSD analysis (to follow), hopefully we may see these follow similar suit.
Long
by Trade_Simple_FX
$GBPUSD - False Breakout - Going ShortAs it was nearing the highs, I put a small lot size on at 1.33104 for 10 pips to 1.33204 and got a short 10 pip scalp on the way up. Just because I knew it would break the highs to trigger the smart money stop runs and clear out tight stop losses people already had on sells. Now that it's above the Highs, I believe this is a false breakout as it's holding steady, letting people believe it will breakout, putting in their buy bids or waiting for it to retest the last high, or putting their stop losses just below the last high and already buying. I think Smart Money knows this and will go short to take out that liquidity that is building up at the current moment. Secondly, On a 4-hour chart, this is historically a great support/resistance level between 1.332 and 1.336. It's also at about the 80% retracement level on a Daily Chart (which is where you see most reversals occur). Now, It could turn to support and buy, but that's where I turned to the COT (Commitment of Traders) indicator. The Commercial Banks, you know like JP Morgan, IMF, Deutsch Bank, etc. decided to add more shorts last week. Not a lot more, but enough to be noticeable, that the shorts would've only netted about 116 pips. I believe if they were going to be adding shorts they're looking for more than 116 pips that only took about a day to achieve. (See Chart) On Barchart.com the COT report has commercial banks adding about 2,000 short positions as of 11/17. I believe they're looking for a much shorter move in the short term. But long term I do expect this resistance area to be broken within the next few months. Additionally, I always like to compare GU to EU as they move similarly. And EU is definitely looking like a swing sell. The Pound is definitely much stronger than the Euro, which is why I think the Euro will sell off much more, but in the short term, I think we'll see the Pound sell with it. I'm not 100% it will reach 1.32000. So I'm looking for take profit zones to shave off some earnings on the way down. The first about 25 pips, the second about 65 pips, the third about 115 pips, and I always leave a trailer at the end to see if I have a miracle drop below that. But then again, I could be completely wrong. This is just my analysis and I'm just some guy that likes to post his ideas. Good Luck and Good Trading.
Short
by BodiesXWix
2
GBP/USD Is At a Difficult Position - Here is How to Trade it.After a fantastic trade set-up for GBP/USD on my previous idea where we saw that indeed the confluence between the support zone and the trendline caused the price to go up, we are now at a difficult situation. If you were long already a great place to exit could be directly underneath the horizontal resistance. However, if you're not in the trade at the moment this is not a good moment to buy. Instead, I suggest waiting until the price reaches the resistance and go short there for a better risk-reward on your trade. For the take profit position, you can see that I deviate from my normal suggestion. Instead of taking profit at the horizontal level, I decided to be more conservative here and suggest holding to the trendline only. The reason for this is that the ascending trendline indicates a bullish trend overall, and therefore I feel waiting until the horizontal support would be too optimistic and risky. - Trading-Guru
Short
by Trading-Guru
7
GBPUSD Bullish and Bearish Technical Outlook➖⚡➖ KEY TAKEAWAYS ➖⚡➖ ✔️ The pair overall remains bullish on larger timeframes. ✔️ USD Continues to remain under pressure across the board. DXY near lowest level since Feb 2018 ✔️ Stimulus is continuing to be delayed with vaccine just around the corner. ✔️ Brexit deal unlikely with Michel Barnier, the bloc’s chief negotiator, is to go into quarantine just as time to reach a deal runs out. ➖⚡➖ TECHNICAL ANALYSIS ➖⚡➖ Bullish Outlook: The 4 year Brexit deal that began back in 2016 and put the pound into a tailspin might finally close out with no deal. This might actually add some strength to Cable hence the well supported Bullish rally. With timing running out, European officials discussed whether they could implement an agreement by Dec. 31 but leave the formal ratification process to next year. That could put the bloc’s executive arm on collision course with the European Parliament and member states anxious to protect their rights to approve any accord. Bearish Outlook: In terms of technicals, I believe if we're unable to break above the 1.333 area, this might add some downside pressure. However we would need to see some recovery with the greenback which might remain supported near the 2018 lows. Regards, Michael Harding 😎 Chief Technical Strategist @ LEFTURN Inc.
by Michael_Harding
GBPUSD 17 November The cable GU is a very violate market and is difficult for even institute traders. UK are releasing there data tomorrow and indicators are showing low figures already so fundamentals are there. I am bearish and it has a descending triangle on the 4hr chart high on many oscillators if it hit tp1 then we could go to tp2 this week this is just my speculation. Please like and follow for more updates! glad to those who kept with my last few trades great wins,
Short
by issafx1
GBPUSD PREDICTIONFor the first time in months I'm excited to trade GU this week! So on the daily, we have a bullish pennant whereas on the 4hr we have a Head and Shoulders. What does that mean? Simple, we don't take the sell, as that goes against our higher timeframe bias as we're still in an uptrend due to higher highs and lows. We wait for that neckline to be breached and for the magic to happen in the orange circle, taking buys all the way up. Magic? 3rd touch of trendline. Golden 61,8% Fib area Daily support. 3 great confluences for buys! Sells if the pennant is broken.
Long
by RealistFX