CABLE Long term viewLooking at how fundamentals have affected Cable in recent years, we can see how the Brexit uncertainty and Lockdown caused a pretty big drop. Currently in the UK, we have COVID cases on the rise and more Brexit complications on going. This could be a double whammy for cable, taking it to revisit lows.
Cable
Shorted GBPUSD Maybe a little late for a call but I just wanted to record this as my own personal journal entry. I shorted GBPUSD Prior to the FOMC Meeting Minutes in anticipation of a rise in the DXY. Also I saw that GBPUSD was unwilling to make a higher high so I didn't see a break in market structure, so I thought a short for a scalp was possible. Entry was 1.29165, SL Was 1.29350. TP is far off at 1.28700. Just looking to make 20 - 30 pips heading into the Asian Range. At the time I'm up 7 pips.
Again just recording this for personal use, not to be confused with a call.
EW Analysis: Cable Can See More Weakness After A PullbackHello tradars!
Today we will talk about Cable (GBPUSD) and its price action + wave structure from Elliott Wave perspective.
Cable is turning south and it's pointing even lower after we noticed a bigger A-B-C corrective rally from March lows. So currently, after recent broken channel support line, we are tracking at least a three-wave A/1-B/2-C/3 decline that can send the price at least back to the 1.2250 support area. But, before that sell-off for wave C/3, we may see a temporary intraday recovery for wave "c" to complete an a-b-c, a higher degree expanded flat correction in wave B/2, where ideal resistance would be at that trendline connected from March lows, 61,8% Fibonacci retracement and 1.30 - 1.32 zone. We will expect more weakness for GBPUSD as long as it's trading below 1.3488 invalidation level.
It is worth reporting that the UK Prime Minister Boris Johnson will hold talks with the European Commission President Ursula von der Leyen agreed in a phone call on Saturday to step up negotiations on a post-Brexit deal. Given the lack of progress in the ninth round of Brexit negotiations, the efforts to close gaps extended some support to the British pound. However, it might be only a temporary support and recovery ahead of important October 15 deadline for Brexit deal .
All that being said, wave structures and upcoming news match nicely, so timing can be perfect.
Be humble and trade smart!
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GBPUSD inverse H&S patternCable looks like an inverse H&S pattern with RSI divergence. Waiting for the signal, the break of the neckline and 200SMA. Target 1.32 MPO level. Stop below shoulder or tighter for aggressive traders on smaller time frames.
Please support the idea and share your thoughts on GBPUSD!
Good Luck and Stay Healthy!
Long Term $GBPUSD - Go Long SoonAccording to the Commitment of Traders report, Commcercial banks were start shorting the GBPUSD back around August 11-18. The price is now lower than when it was during August 11-18 which means they have profited off of those short calls back then. Just recently they started longing the GBPUSD and we saw that if we look at the build up of the lows of last week to the blast off during the London session. Looking for a retracement that I placed a fib on from the August 11-18 high's to the last week's lows and we're looking at a re-entry somewhere between 1.27290 and 1.28200. But when you're looking to end up with a couple hundred pips, hopefully between 1.3300 and 1.3400, in a few weeks, I think a one hundred pip window is a decent window to look for an entry. Usually the low of the week happens during this time so I'm taking a nap to wake up for the London session to see if I can't get a great entry on a long swing trade.
Here's the CoT for reference.
www.barchart.com
I have the opposite sentiment for EURUSD as the CoT's have been shorting that since March, and the same for EURGBP.
GBPUSD - Neutral at This Time, but Looking for Lower PricesHello and welcome back. If you found this idea helpful, please leave a like. The short I took Monday Night was met with consolidation. We are currently still in consolidation and I need to wait for more information. I am still looking for lower prices on Cable.
GBPUSD Intraday: Buying dips with 1,3000/3020 as targetHello,
The pound is gaining towards the end of the month / quarter, one reason may be the continuation of the EU / UK Brexit talks starts tomorrow (shorts profit taking ?).
GBPUSD strongly up from the beginning of the day, I hope for a slight pullback around the opening of the session in NY:
Longs 1.2860 / 40
stop below 1.2830
Target 1.3000 / 3020
Good luck
GBPUSD - WEEKLY OUTLOOKTechnical:
Weekly ascending trendline
Weekly orange fib
daily white fib
4hr grey resistance
daily red support
4hr descending channel
daily ascending structure Hh's Hl's
Buys:
Break of 4hr resistance
Break of 4hr descending channel
Target-weekly 61.8% fib
Sells:
Break of daily support
Break of daily 38.2% fib
Further sells on break of weekly 38.2% fib and trendline!