WHERE DO WE STAND WITH GBPUSD??I felt like posting this so that some of the traders on here can see where we are in terms of the quarters of the year. Its important to see this because around yearly, monthly, weekly, and daily highs and lows those prices are sensitive! We can see that the market ran out the high that was created in the beginning of the first quarter and dropped. As of now. I have my bias for GU for this upcoming week I will post it in a few moments. I recommend traders mark up there charts like this it's helpful to know where you stand in terms of quarters and so on. Enjoy.
Cable
Potential Long Position GUArea of interest, price has tested the support trend line and rejected it on lower time frames. Price is at an area of confluence due to support and resistance trend lines and 200EMA indicating an area of value. Moreover, it is still bullish according to the 200EMA (Daily). However, fundamental analysis may indicate pound weakness due to Brexit negotiations reaching significant stumbling blocks and NHS workers striking. Furhermore, Dollar may be gaining stregth due to what seems to be a potential second spike emerging globally (France recording highest cases on record and India hitting 100,000 daily infections) indicative of liqudity shifting to the Dollar. Acting as a safe haven. Overall, strong confirmation must be shown before entering a long position on this trade as there is potential for a complete breakout of the current market structure which would offer selling opportunties. Either way, this area of confluence will likely offer good trading positions with a good R:R.
GBPUSD falling out of trend - 1h shaping up for the SELL? 📉Cable has recently fallen out of trend with a strong bearish candle. On the 1 hour timeframe price is forming a continuation pattern and I am looking to get involved on the hover . On the contrary, I have been bullish on the US Dollar for almost a month now and we can finally see the DXY pushing higher, rejecting a key monthly structure. There are many confluences for a move lower on the Great British Pound and it isn't a move you want to miss!
Cable Short after SMA cross We got in here on cable after a clear SMA cross had appeared.
No major data out of either country until 13:00 GMT which gives this position a good 4hrs before we need to either take profit or stop loss.
All of my criteria was met with this trade hence why i decided to enter.
The stop loss was fairly big but i decided to enter anyway as this trade set up was very appealing.
GBPAUD Approaching Support; Be aware of Bull TurnHello traders,
GBPAUD continued lower from latest 1.84 high, and is now trading close to potential support at 1.806 level, provided form a former swing high. Also fib. ratios of 50.0 and 61.8 (1.806/1.80 level) can react as support, and push price into a higher degree wave c. That said, once sub-wave c) or y) of b fully develop, and we see a rally in impulsive fashion, that is when correction as b may be completed, and wave c underway.
Trade well,
the EW-forecast team
GBPAUD In DowntrendGBPAUD is in a firm decline, a five-wave impulse down from March high. At the moment we see price resuming the downtrend, after recent minor corrective rally in wave 4, which ended at the 1.841 level. That said, wave 5 of an impulse can be underway, so be aware of new lows, as final leg lower can be targeting 1.73/1.72 area.
If wave 4 correction is still not completed, then be aware of a rise towards the Fib. ratio of 23.6 and 38.2 (1.84/1.87 level).
Trade well,
the EW-forecast team
GBPUSD outlookAfter a massive sell-off and the broken trend line, we saw the biggest lunge in cable since March this year, as the tech stocks plunged and USD grew.
Now price at 1.29 level, RSI very oversold. Here we are waiting for a pattern to show more technical direction. The reverse pattern for a buy and a plunge below 1.29 to sell more.
While the situation in the UK becomes very agitated as Boris Johnson seems to be failing as the PM and his critics grow bolder by the day.
Please support the idea and share your thoughts on GBPUSD!
Good Luck and Stay Healthy!
DXY ANALYSIS FOR THE WEEKFrom what I'm seeing last nights price action set the tone for the week. Since it hit off of the 4hr Order block which is the yellow bearish candle that I have highlighted. I don't see the market coming back to that price so I want it to come to the next one which would be the blue one that I have highlighted all the way to 94.00. Which would be the equal highs.
Pound sells off on Brexit woesThe pound is down 2% against the U.S dollar in the past couple of days, on growing prospects that the United Kingdom will leave the European Union without a trade agreement.
Brexit talks are set to continue this week, with UK’s Prime Minister Boris Johnson playing hardball with European Officials. He has imposed a October 15 deadline, to which he plans to quit Brexit talks if no deal is reached.
The pounds have mostly forgotten Brexit, with the Coronavirus pandemic guiding everyone’s attention away from the non-completion of Brexit.
Seema Shah, Portfolio manager at Principal Global Investors, stated that headlines over the weekend were a “timely reminder that, while the markets have been distracted by the UK’s struggle to rejuvenate the economy, Brexit negotiations have quietly been going nowhere.”
The main issues include competition, fisheries, and solving disputes.
UK government undermining Brexit, pushing pound lower
Further downwards pressure came from the revelation of the UK government is planning to release legislation that would override critical parts of the withdrawal agreement – notably the deal that would undermine the agreement that Boris Johnson signed last year to avoid a return to a hard border.
The pound has been rallying since its March lows, up 14.13%. However, it has underperformed compared to its peers. For example, the Australian dollar has rallied 31% since its March lows.
The main issue for the pound comes from its appreciation, not discounting Brexit talks. As headlines start to creep up about Brexit near Boris’ October 15 date, the pound’s volatility will increase. Petr Krapta, a currency strategist at ING bank, stated that “the Brexit head is back on and sterling is, in our view, unprepared.” This comes at a time when the UK’s grip on the Coronavirus continues to slip, with daily cases spiking, recording the highest number of daily Coronavirus cases since May.