Potential Long Opportunity on CableBased on my past experience in the market, the price action algorithm has given us a potential long opportunity for GBPUSD.
When price begins to reach into my POI at this area, I will be watching price action for signs of exhaustion and absorption.
If I see the type of price action discrepancies that I like to see before entering a setup, I will be pulling the trigger on this move here for a low risk, high reward setup of over 1:10.
I do my best to keep all my setups beyond 1:10 so I can ensure myself as many opportunities to profit as possible.
A high reward typically trumps a high accuracy in the long run.
Never risk more than what you can stomach losing on any one trade. The game is based on capital preservation 1st and risk management 2nd. Trade wisely.
Cable
GBPNZD caution recommended!For background information, see related ideas -
Strength evaluation is now taking place, however because event listeners are connected possibly in preparation for Buys, you should be careful of unexpected movements.
Observe your DD!
Reminder: Use caution when trading now more than ever before because significant movements are anticipated.
sell the poundstagflation is the base case for the UK! I cant see the Tories winning in 24months time, so I expect the pound to start pricing in a Labour victory, which also means a spending round to get public services back to par!
I really think the pound is now like a 3rd world country, when Labour comes into power, it will target the very rich, those who are mobile, and I suspect financial planning will start as early as 2023 and London house prices will take a massive hit. The BoE will have no choice but to cut rates and the government will have to rollback taxes, they are now the highest in peacetime.
It could go the other way, but I don't know what will make it, certainly wont be Sunak, it has to be something like paying off all of its debt while the US and EU plunge into some kind of war or economic depression and the UK stays out!
AFTER BREAKING TRENDLINE, GBPUSD SHOWING BEARISH OUTLOOK!Cable is now showing bearish outlook after breaking the ascending trendline trailing the pair bullish trend since Sept '22. Expected the pair to re-test recent high AND IF rejected, GBPUSD most likely will revert to its mean zone.
N.B
- Let emotions and sentiments work for you
-ALWAYS Use Proper Risk Management In Your Trades
Potential GBPUSD Rollover Buy SetupThe Market Price Action Algorithm has presented us with a potential long opportunity at London Session Rollover. Depending on how price reacts at this level, I may place a buy trade.
I'm expecting this area to be approached close to London session. If I start to see exhaustion of selling energy and nice wicks to the downside in this area, I will be entering the trade.
Regardless of how tight the stop loss is on this trade, do not overleverage.
The reason so many traders lose is because they choose to place unnecessary risk on each trade.
The name of the game is staying in long enough to compound, not getting rich overnight.
Trading is quite literally the tortoise and the hare parable.
The market transfers wealth from the impatient to the patient.
...Which group are you in?
#GBPUSD - GO LONG AFTER THE FALL? - *SMT**SMT = smart money theory = see relasted tutoprial regarding what smart money is. Sm,art money is how the charts can be manipulated, and how y0ourself can be manipulated into believing a false sense technical analysis.
With the price dropping in one day what iyt gained over the course of the week. The price has dropped below sell side liquidity levels, but to remain bullish needs to stay above a CERTAIN BULLISH ORDER BLOCK LEVEL, otherwise we could see the price turn right back around and go down for GBP, but I think the BOE will be quicker to adapt to the FED knowing the consequences now. S I would guesss that it is moving up into the the hourly fvg and then will get rejected above the premium by smart money, amnd that point it dips a little further, as to where y09ou can enter a second time afgter taking profit the first time around 1.22665 Enter again near 1.21420 if possible and continue to ride this up to 1.26090 to be safe.
I have two entries
both at 1.21420
First one reaches what is said above and you take your fiorst profit there, it could slip back down to the entrance or even further, into a small fair value gap below which I have prepared for on the second entry,. and ther stop losses at 1.21120 & 1.20525
the second run with the deeper stop loss also has a much larger target at 1.26090 ner the top of the bearish order block. the R:R is 6:1 and 5:1 respectively, so if this woprks out t he way I ho [e it doers in the next week or two, 10% can be added top the account if played correctly.
I was once the smarrt money student who has become an instructor. Let's Hope my intuitions are correct about thias.
With that said if you hit the first take profit but go out on the second sdtop loss, you should still be at a winning ratio. It's about how to grow yojur account. Everyday you won't hit a homerun. But if y0ou hold the bat long enough, the ball will go far.
Cheers, Good Luck and Good trading.
Uh Oh Cable (updated)Still moving in the same direction as the first post.
In my opinion, we are getting a complex correction. There is a possible chance of an expanded flat or running to occur given us an ABC structure to complete our Wave B of Wave Z in the bigger degree.
The calm before the storm. (I'm ready are you?)
Joe Gun2Head Trade - GBPUSD grinding higher?Trade Idea: Buying GBPUD
Reasoning: Grinding higher
Entry Level: 1.2239
Take Profit Level: 1.2334
Stop Loss: 1.2196
Risk/Reward: 2.19:1
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GBPUSD - Bulls in controlGBPUSD - Intraday - We look to Buy at 1.1970 (stop at 1.1875)
Although the bulls are in control, the stalling positive momentum indicates a turnaround is possible. We are trading at overbought extremes. A lower correction is expected. The bias is still for higher levels and we look for any dips to be limited. We therefore, prefer to fade into the dip with a tight stop in anticipation of a move back higher.
Our profit targets will be 1.2235 and 1.2660
Resistance: 1.2110 / 1.2660 / 1.3295
Support: 1.1760 / 1.1490 / 1.1215
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GBPUSD 1.2050 Target Achieved, New Pattern EmergingTechnical & Trade View
GBPUSD Bias: Bullish Above Bearish below 1.1950
1.2050 Target Achieved, New Pattern Emerging
Technicals
Primary support is 1.1950
Primary upside objective 1.22
Next pattern confirmation, acceptance above 1.21
Failure below 1.19 opens a test of 1.1770
20 Day VWAP bullish, 5 Day VWAP bullish
Today’s New York Cut Option Expiries: 1.1840 (236M), 1.1865-70 (300M)
Institutional Insights
Analysts at Credit Agricole note 'The GBP could remain an attractive stagflation and risk aversion hedge for now. Soaring energy costs, labour market shortages, global supply chain disruptions and persistent Brexit-related headwinds continue to plague the UK economic recovery and thus complicate the BoE’s ability to normalise in the face of uncomfortably high inflation. This could keep UK real rates and yields negative and weigh on the GBP for now. In addition, the war in Ukraine as well as idiosyncratic risks related to Brexit could make the UK’s economic recovery less robust as well. In the longer term, recovering UK real rates and yields could usher in a cautious recovery for the GBP in H223'
GBPUSD H4 - Short Signal on H4 closeGBPUSD H4 - Here is the slightly lower timeframe analysis we would be considering, just like the EURUSD short we took yesterday, the price action close on a key retest/zone after buyer exhaustion, no doubt you can see the slowdown in bullishness as we approach this 1.21 handle, a close on the H4 in 30 minutes would be the typical sell signal. Caught with a sequence of bad luck yesterday, technical play unfolded well, but the fundamental momentum took us out.
GBPUSD 1.20 Target Achieved, New Pattern EmergingTechnical & Trade View
GBUSD
Trade View
1.20 Target Achieved, New Pattern Emerging
Bias: Bullish Above Bearish below 1.1760
Technicals
Primary support is 1.1760
Primary upside objective 1.2060
Next pattern confirmation, acceptance above 1.1970
Failure below 1.1730 opens a test of 1.1630
20 Day VWAP bullish, 5 Day VWAP bullish
Today’s New York Cut Option Expiries: 1.1695-00 (414M), 1.1800 (319M)
Institutional Insights
According to analysts at Credit Agricole ‘The GBP could remain an attractive stagflation and risk aversion hedge for now. Soaring energy costs, labour market shortages, global supply chain disruptions and persistent Brexit-related headwinds continue to plague the UK economic recovery and thus complicate the BoE’s ability to normalise in the face of uncomfortably high inflation. This could keep UK real rates and yields negative and weigh on the GBP for now. In addition, the war in Ukraine as well as idiosyncratic risks related to Brexit could make the UK’s economic recovery less robust as well. In the longer term, recovering UK real rates and yields could usher in a cautious recovery for the GBP in H223’
According to analysts at Scotia Bank ‘IMM data for the week through Tuesday reflect a further moderation in USD bullish sentiment. Overall USD long positioning has been steadily pared back in the past few weeks but plunged sharply in last week’s data and eased further ahead of last week’s US CPI report. The aggregate USD long fell just under USD1bn this week and now stands at just USD1.2bn, effectively neutral, and reflects the least bullish sentiment on the USD among Non-Commercial (speculative) accounts overall since early 2021. Investors turned less bearish on the GBP apart from the USD351mn short-covering in the GBP, positioning changes were relatively minor’