Cablelong
GBPUSD | Range | How To Work ItLooking for buys within this range at the moment. Things are looking like what we spoke about in this week's market prep.
Ideal scenario
We attack buy-side liquidity, then we see a minor sell-off from UK close to Asia Open.
Right now the activity within this range looks bullish because we have a void above price and the price has been clearing the sell-side orders.
This means the buy-side should be cleared next.
Price is like Pacman, all it wants to do is eat orders.
I'm actually still bearish overall on this pair at the moment, depending on how this progresses things could change, (targeting 1.3800)
I wouldn't be surprised if we retraced all the way up to those two red zones, then see a heavy dump off,
Keep in mind GBP has some red folders on Thursday morning. Might be safer to work within this until then, then let the news do its thing.
GBPUSD Analysis, Outlook & Buy SetupOverall Pound retains its bullish trend against the greenback and in light of the current Short term & Medium term bull trend we will look to buy the dips. On H1 & H4 there is one setup that I have pointed out that looks good in the pre-market analysis. Lets see how it turns out.
Long @ 1.3900
Targets @ 1.4030, 1.4100 & 1.4330
Stops @ 1.3830
GBP USD - Full analysis to the imbalanceHello traders and analysts,
GBP USD full breakdown technical analysis.
A note before reading - this is a forecast analysis - based upon Lupa Capitals trading strategy.
Please do not take this as face value and conduct individual entry points whether looking for long or short positions (time frame dependent).
Master Key:
Blue = Monthly
Purple = weekly
Orange = Daily
Grey = 4hour
Pink = 1 hour
Weekly and monthly imbalances combined
Price has moved from the monthly low of 1.1430 where price has immediately become oversold and an obvious imbalance has occurred here. The buyers imbalance has now taken over upon the Dollar strength - for it's position as a safe haven when looking at a fundamental view.
From here price has moved and closed between a newly created imbalance zone between 1.143 and 1.1980 - a huge imbalance but price has reached its double top for the DXY.
Weekly imbalances:
The cable had successfully stabilised within the zone above the imbalance over extension and has become bullish again completing a clear path to 1.35XX. The reason behind this is the imbalance has enough buying power within the next cycle to take price to the previous sell imbalance. However, the consolidation or breathing point for the cable can be marked between 1.308 to 1.32.
Daily imbalances
Look left to see where price has created "liquidity zones", these are the imbalances which match the weekly time frame so the candle using weekly and monthly for our structure shows, the long term selling imbalance is at 1.35XX. This area of imbalance had previously been tested by the bulls but maintained structure. However, price over the course of 847 days price has reached the imbalance four times, slowly but surely adding pressure to this 'swap zone'.
Here is the wider daily picture.
Daily Fibonacci - imbalance to test 50% daily zone for bullish run.
Imbalance view - using Fibonacci has been a great opportunity here for positional buyers to buy in.
The reason for this zone was important is the imbalance swing to a 50% retrace is clear on this pair where price looks to this pivot point more often than not. The second reason is due to the fact that the bullish momentum impact here caused a nice opportunity for the price to re-engineer a profit taking for sellers imbalance and convert to buyers.
Here is the current scenario, heading towards the extension -0.618 or 1.618 in extension Fibonacci terms.
GBP USD VS GBP Futures
both heading for the imbalance as the futures are aligning to the current market price.
See the previous update to our explanation to see further review tools and analysis takes:
Where will price take us from here?
The USD will continue to see a deepening soft dollar, which is what the US want right now to keep pushing the stocks into 2021 with cheaper import/exports as a major player. Furthermore a cheaper dollar will boost 2021 visitors to the US and see Gold rushed to as a hedge of inflation .
GBP we have a weekly zone the pound has now surpassed creating a good new daily demand to move further.
The monthly zone towards 1.50 as our target for a position buy. Before this zone on the daily to take us to 1.44 on our weekly zone.
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gbp usd longLongs from this area are now looking nice. We look to have broken our counter trend line, rejecting 50ma and 61.8 fib zone.
I'll be watching price action on lower time frames for further confirmation!
I recently posted a short idea on this pair but this is trading, have no bias and simply trade what you see!
GBPUSD - My humble analysis 👑🇬🇧💂In this video i go through the chart and my personal experience with the GBP and how it affected my life negatively in 2007 (first drop got me out of real estate) and positively during the Brexit (I got my money back, thank you trading).
Today will be a volatile session for pound sterling, trade with care people.
GBPUSD - Pathway to 1.38Hi everyone, sterling went through a turbulent previous week ranging from 1.36114 - 1.37500. Towards the back end of the week we saw price make yet another attempt at the 1.375 level but failed, visually producing a 'double top' price structure and ultimately price falling away from the highs. Sterling is still proving to be quite strong in these market conditions and i still hold onto my bullish bias with 1.38 in view.
This week i'm expecting cable to continue its bullish rally back into those high levels. It is important for me to highlight that sterling/usd is currently squeezing into a tight range and a breakout is forming so expect some range bound moves. The price entry, stop loss and take profit is highlighted. Use responsibly.
Will keep you all updated on GBPUSD as we move through the week.
effEX-ike
GBP/USD ConsolidatingVery strong resistance was broken at 134.5 level. Since breaking this level it has touched it twice and found support. If the Dollars short term strength continues in the coming days this support will offer a good long entry. There may be some resistance at 1.38 so it could be worth taking profit there or wait for 1.40 for a longer term target.
GBPUSD December OutlookThe cable has had a bullish run so far for some months. A swing low(as shown in the chart) was formed and price continues its bullish run. I expect price to continue its bullish run to the order block at the 1.3700 price level (also shown in the chart). There seems to be a lot of liquidity at the level as a result of relative equal highs which makes it an added confluence and high probability to go bullish to the order block. As per the analysis I expect a 'bullish cable Christmas'. haha. Follow me for more trade ideas and general market commentary
GBPUSD - Expecting bullish continuation 11 Jan 2021The daily chart above shows how this pair has been grinding its way to the up side within a channel structure since end Mar 2020. After 02 Nov, it has not come even close to the channel bottom and a much tighter inner channel has formed. The resistance at 1.3500 has been overcome, so I zoomed in on H1 chart (see below) to take a closer look.
A short term support has formed (blue box) and price has bounced above it for the entire previous week. I see no reason to change my bullish bias and can see a final target at 1.4350. However, for the coming week, I am looking to target 1.3660 with stop below the lowest low of last week. This trade, if it works out would yield 4.4R.
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GBPUSD long ideaPrice is moving in an up trend and it clearly needs a retracement (RSI Divergence).
After the broke of 1.36 (Our last setup wasn't respected.) we are watching to a retest of this zone and we found an IPA zone which corresponds exactly to our 0.5 fib level of the leg.
In my view price at the open will go to 1.3700 and than down to our IPA zone for the retracement.
I placed a buy limit to 1.35717 with 1.38 as TP and 1.3525 for the SL.
Let's see if my prediction is correct.
CABLE (GBPUSD): WAVE (C) in play - daily chartI think that we are in a corrective ABC structure inside a wave (C) in the daily chart.
According with this count we may are inside a bigger wave 4 before another big dip for the wave 5, or the previous impulsive movement may already be over also.
So if this count is correct we may have 3 different potential targets for the completition of this (C):
1) 1.374xx in case of a regular flat 3-3-5 ABC
2) 1.43 in case of an expanded flat 3-3-5 ABC
3) 1.518xx in case of a running flat 3-3-5 ABC (that's the mostly rare case of this type of corrections, so this target will be difficult to reach i think, but not impossibile)
Lets see what will happens!
GBPUSD long ideaPrice is currently moving in an uptrend and just broke 1.35 major level.
I expect a retest of this zone which also corresponds to a dynamic support and to .382 fib level (we have also the trend line).
I placed a buy limit at 1.35150 but if it isn't triggered i will enter during a retracement of the trend.
Let's see if this new trend is respected.
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EURUSD- Potential Bullish continuation?!Technical Analysis
- EURUSD has been in a uptrend since 25th may 2020 and has shown strong bullish momentum ever since.
- There has been loads of confluences shown in the higher time frames which indicates that we should be looking for buy this pair.
- 50 and 200 EMA added confluence to go long as it shows bullish trend on the higher timeframes.
- On the 4 hour we can see an ascending triangle which is another confluence for me to buy and a good opportunity for me to enter on the reversal of the resistance turned support of the triangle.
Fundamental Analysis
-The fundamental news for the this week shows loads of high impact news on the US Dollar 10 high impact news releases for the week.
-These impact news include news : retail sales, crude oil inventories, fed interest rate, FOMC press conference and many more...
I would be wary trading around these news releases as impact news can have a major impact on the EURUSD pair such as price spikes, sudden change of trend.
Sentimental Analysis
- According to COT Data, there has been a large amount of orders as 62% of short positions have been placed on the US Dollar in the past week by commercials (banks).
- This could show that there could be a potential reversal in prices to the downside to catch out the retail traders who are long on this pair.
Please make sure to follow, like and comment your ideas/opinions on the EURUSD!