CAC
CAC 40 Up Against Major Resistance LevelsCAC40 joined it's a rally today with the rest of the equity markets. The index has managed to climb 10% in just 1 week from its low at the end of October. Nevertheless, the fundamentals look weak for Europe with the 2nd wave still in full swing. Look to short at 4950.00 or below if the resistance level holds.
ridethepig | French Equities into the election and beyond📌 An update to the map for French Equities
By now we should have all positioned our portfolios defensively and be sure that in doing so by covering we are ensuring that our opponent will not try a steam roller!
Think back to the diagram and follow the flows....
We have a typical position here in which French Equities can be sold actively. Thanks to the economic slowdown, covid and election risk, we can quickly bring about the attack of our targets. Sellers have already completed the difficult part of the move, but we must not go to sleep on the job!
For the sake of the discussions here, encourage all those who are trading the moves down in equities to start sharing their charts and views in the comments and we can further the conversation and developments.
ridethepig | FTSEMIB📍 This diagram comes after the conversation with @lu1977hk, and is no more imaginative than the positional flows across the global equity board.
In Italian Equities the initial offensive targets for sellers come in at 18,466; 17,643 and 16,819 from a "fibs perspective". The connection of further downside in European and Global Equities is more or less the same sort of difficulty all round. Think of this like a composer trying to adapt the pianist to enter into the full orchestra. FTSEMIB shorts are another to add to the basket.
French Equities:
German Equities:
Eurostoxx:
The theme appears to be across the board on an epic level, with the whole series of European markets in a downwards move towards support. In reality, however, this manoeuvring shakeout is going to be strategically important from a positioning perspective for when we are loading the lows (we will cover that later in 2021).
Thanks as usual for keeping the feedback coming 👍 or 👎
ridethepig | Stoxx 50📌 Eurostoxx 50 is in question here and we have a good illustration of the ABC outpost. The main target 3,489 is still open for a test but a breakdown here will seal it for the year.
In a nutshell, this is a chart speculating that we are in the very early days of the "C" leg down.
It is the same opening move in play for German Equities, DAX:
This leg down in European Equities will be considered painful for the late buyers; the weakness of the real economy is shown via the following charts.
Unemployment Claims:
US 2's 5's:
Sharp speculators are adopting a wait-and-see policy, the fate of the moves in Eurostoxx depends on the range settlement. Sellers breaking through 3,200 will 'protect' the highs and because of the technical damage done, the flows will finally commit towards +/- 2,475.
As usual...thanks for keeping the feedback coming 👍 or 👎
ridethepig | CAC40📌 A short update on French Equities that are also full of dramatic events.
The nature of the down cycle came after the infamous leg we played to the topside and began profit taking. How to spot an early discovery of the flows?
The diagram clarifies the relationship between the ending of wave 5 and the beginning of the initial 'A' leg with Covid. This change we played with more weight together in DAX which was pinned at the highs. Here is the brief reminder in DAX:
Since we know we are in-between an ABC corrective leg the little inner flows can be played however we want because we know we are protected from the powerful macro direction.
Targets: 4,200 and 3,600 before anything else is resolved to the topside would be very useful for trading the next cycle up in 2021/2022.
Thanks as usual for keeping the feedback coming 👍 or 👎
AEX: longer-term it won't end well!Hi traders,
The chart shows what I am thinking right now. I was not going to post anymore analyses because I felt they were not appreciated (just by looking at the likes and follows). However, I felt like I needed to share this just to see if I am onto something and not totally crazy. :)
I knew this upmove was coming and I am expecting AEX 615 for some time now. You can read this in some previous analyses (check the comments as well) which I have added below this analysis. However, when THE TOP would arrive, was not clear yet (I expected it to come sooner in June/July). With this chart, I shine some light on a very probable date (give it some days deviation) to top this 'man made' market.
A little piece wisdom: keep an eye on tech because this market is insane! Even more insane than the year 2000 if you ask me! When the tech stocks 'say' it is over, than it is over... I use my cycles and signal system (which I trade the AEX/FTI with as well) to see when and where this bearmarket move up is done. For the AEX I check ASML and it is still not done. ±365 seems to be the next target to the upside.
Enjoy! And please leave a like and/or follow me if you think this content is useful. Also feel free to leave a comment and start a conversation. :)
Shalom,
Im
Disclaimer: think for yourself and search for the truth.
AEX: spike low completed! :)Hi traders,
This was the mid June spike low! My date was June 13 but I know it often comes a little earlier. Especially when the date falls in the weekend. ;)
So this morning at 536,50 I played a long position and just banked at 547. in 2,5 hours time. That is why time is so important, it makes me understand the moves way better and gives a huge edge in trading!
Now I am looking for a retrace of some sorts (mind the gap at 556,50 and the downward trendline). Later in June/at the beginning of July, I expect more downward action...
Shalom,
Im
Disclaimer: think for yourself and search the truth!
AEX: an example of the signalsystem at work!Hi traders,
This time I show you signals that came from my system (which I do not show in this chart). The blue ones are signals generated from the system (hard data) while the orange one is based on my own experience/feeling for the market.
Not bad and as I have told you, a low will come in mid June. I did not expect the AEX to go this high in the beginning of June, but after my trade got stopped out, I waited for this uptrend to be done because I know, based on my BOTTOM turn dates, we need to see some down action! :)
Trade what you see, not what you think!
Shalom,
Im
Disclaimer: as always, think for yourself and search for the truth!
AIR Long IdeaLogic: economic recovery/bounce back idea.
Entry: €64.50 or ideally at yearly S3 support, €55-€56 area.
Stop: €56 or < €48 in second case.
Risk: -13.18% or -14.29%
Target: initially €78.13, longer term mid €90's
Gain: +21.13% or +39.52%
Note: high risk/reward longer term speculative idea. AIR remains in downtrend.
AEX: this first bearmarket rally is insane!Hi traders,
As you all know, I believe the bearmarket has finally started since February 17 2020.
I have been thinking, for a few weeks, about the wave down of July 16 to Augustus 16 and the following wave up to October 12 2007. I really feel we will get a similar kind of follow up in the coming 2-3 years into 2022.
Timewise, the top should be very close. Our February 17 to March 18 2020 can be compared to the wave down in 2007. The big difference is that in 2020 we saw a decline of about 246 points while we 'only' went down 82 points in 2007. The strange thing is that 3 x 82 = 246...
After the wave down, the market went up for almost 2 months (just 2 tradingdays short). If I count 18 march + almost 2 months, I get to May 14 2020. So somehow, timewise we are 'off' now compared to the move because we are at June 5 2020. Is this a problem? I think not looking at my knowledge of Harmonic patterns ...
By the way, June 5 (today) we have a lunar eclipse and full moon . Something special is going to happen soon looking at my bible and looking at the market! June 21 a solar eclipse and to conclude the eclipse period, July 5 a lunar eclipse again…
I keep tracking this 'fractal' and also my trading system (monitoring the 60 and 15 minutes charts). When I see the top, I will short it.
I wish you all a good weekend and shabbat shalom!
Shalom,
Im
Disclaimer: think for yourself and search the truth!
AEX: the (up) trend is your friend!Hi traders,
I still remain bearish for June, but we are still in the beginning of the month. I tried one short position that failed and since than I am just analyzing and waiting for a big signal that will accompany my bearish view.
For now, a big uptrend is in progress with a few positive reversals already (see the orange lines). These reversals come from the RSI14 and let us calculate a minimum target.
We see above a gap at 574,15 that is still open from the downmove of Feb/Mar this year. Maybe that is the final target for now, or maybe not. But mid June for a low and the beginning of July for a low are getting closer and closer each day...
Shalom,
Im
Disclaimer: think for yourself and search for the truth.
AEX: the top is near!Hi to my fellow Dutch stockmarket 'liefhebbers' and others from around the world!
I have been tracing this Bearish Butterfly for more than a week now. This might very well point to the top of the bearmarket rally from March. A sidenote: Harmonics are valid WHEN THEY ARE VALID... Until that time, it is a pattern that seems to be in progress but proof is always NEEDED! I learned this the hard way. ;) Hard data is what makes money for me in the market, not what I think...
I expect a bearish June with a 'nice' bottom in the beginning of July. I have some good cycles pointing to mid June and the beginning of July for bottoms. I won't give exact dates, I learned my lesson from past efforts of sharing knowledge for free. :)
Besides the stockmarket, bad things will start to happen very soon in the world. For me 'the sword' (war) is around the corner. Daniel speaks about this as well as Leviticus 26 (the curses).
I can testify this: when I started to know Yeshua (Jesus Christ), and begged/prayed for help in my life (in all aspects of it) and I starting reading the bible (I was in so much pain physically and in the end always lost in the market), He was there. He blesses who seek Him and follow Him (believe in Him, testify of Him and keep his Torah, John 14 verses 15/21/23/24).
I wrote this for you to think about when you see things happening and have no hope in difficult times ahead. There is hope, always! His name is Yeshua (salvastion)!
Questions or comments? Feel free to post them!
Shalom,
Im
Disclaimer: always think for yourself and search for the truth.
BEWARE OF PULLBACK ON RESISTANCE - CAC40 - 30MNThanks for your likes and shares! Much appreciated!
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The market is in a recovery mood . The actual range can possibility be a good entry for a short direction profitable trade.
The upper level can possibly see a nice entry for long direction trade, BUT, beware of pullback because it is a strong resistance line. If pullback happen it will be a even better entry for Short Direction Trade!
CAC40 In a good position, but not the best YETAs we can see, we are waiting for the retest in the tendence for the most risky ones, if you want the best operation, we need to wait the broke of the offert zone to enter in the operation with a really low risk!
For more operations and analysis of this and other Index and Forex pairs, follow me and give a like for the effort!
EUR/CAD 4H SHORTEUR/CAD May fall 50-100 pips
Price is forming a symmetrical triangle and may consolidate further before a breakout. Support at 1.5510 has been broken previously, overall the daily trend is upwards but a recent down trend could take price to further lows.
Intraday - 4H
Trade: Sell
Entry 1.5491
Sell or Below: 1.5510
Target TP: 1.5439 & 1.5352
Pivot and Support 1.5510
Alternative scenario:
Trade: Sell
Bur or Above: 1.5510
Target TP:1.5581 & 1.5669