Perfect bearish Gartley on French CAC40The chart is the CAC40 with dividends + the futures market prices (8am-22pm sessions). It's like the DAX futures.
We have a perfect bearish Gartley, with a sell signal today at the 78% Fibonacci level.
On the CAC40 index, the lower target (TP3) would be 4840 points.
CAC
Cac 40: Long-Pull long tradeCac 40 Long-Pull Long
This index continues to make positive technical moves: the
little continuation pattern that brings the index perfectly
back to the long term dynamic that had acted as resistance
for 10 long years since 2007 highs - it comes back for one last
kiss - right on a line 10 years old - it turns it into support and
fires northwards - classic stuff, even in a big index. And then
for its next bull move it rallies from the long term dynamic to
make a new post crash high and then comes back down to use
the previous major high in 2015 as support - again resistance
has been turned into support. Every big move it makes is
positve. Now it should move up to 5850, consolidate a little
and then rally to 6152. Support is firm at 5261. This index has
890 points upside and 120 maximum downside. If you leave
the stop under 5255 on this trade there is a very low
likelihood of it being hit.
RSI bearish divergence+ overbought Short at 5382have a nice Bearish divergence in H1
overbought much in h4,daily,weekly
Many Gap have not been filled too
the us stock is much overbought so i think they will correct also and so will make the ger30 and fra40 follow them move.
and the eurusd will cetainly make a small puback who ill weigh on the ger30 who i repeat is linked with fra40 not at 100% this last week but usually around 95% positive correlation
i enter at 5382 we can see he block since 3-4 candle h1 to pass it so it should return back first/
i open 2 position same as all time
1 will be cut at target 1 and second in trailing stop
for the Stop loSS i let you manage it lie is not a big trade cannot do a good ration if put SL so me i will put it around 5435 and the RR will be 1/2
CAC40 in USD : 100% fibo prolongation touched for the 4th timeThis is the the CAC40 index in USD currency (CAC*EURUSD), as viewed by international investors.
As you can see, since the dip in 2009, this pattern happened 3 times. Each time it broke out the resistance (red), the rally did continue to 100% fibo prolongation. The error was less than 50 points. After that the index felt immediately at least 13%.
Now it could be the fourth time ...
CAC40 and other European markets: Excellent short opportunity!Top of the channel reached, bad fundamental data everywhere, US markets overshooting because of Trump, Bearish Gartley Pattern + Head and Shoulders pattern on the DAX (see my previous post), and so on.
It's bearish, with a very high probability.
Please Mind the CACOn the 24th April the CAC 40 made a huge gap up, from 5050 to 5260. An incredible 4%. In fact it is the largest gap we can see historically as far back as 2008.
Gaps, as trades know, 'always' get filled. Statistically its more like 90% of the time.
Whether bullish or bearish on the European reflation story, this trade is the same.. French stocks are likely to pull back to close this gap, before either continuing on their rally, or otherwise.
Trade execution:
A conservative way to play this would be see the actual gap as being highest high previously, which is actually 5140 (blue line). A more aggressive short target would be the 5050 from where it jumped.
Cac 40 Index on a knife-edge hereCac 40 index is sitting on a knife-edge here waiting for positive news from FOMC presser. Not quite as positive as the Dax but they are both going to move in same direction when it comes. Get ready to go long on a move above 5310 if we see it for rally to 5744 to begin with, then 5865
DAX "GER30" SHORTLongterm Short after opening gap for DAX "Ger30" same scenario with CAC "CAC40"
Remember to follow French Presidential Elections
Events at North Korea
etc..
Take Profit at Previous Swing LOWs appx 9400s
SL- With relatively safe trades .... who needs SL when at worst scenario you can hedge :p
Testing weekly harmonic pattern - Is it heading to 6000? Even before yesterday's results, the French CAC40 provided a bullish long term signal when it broke above a monthly downtrend line.
The CAC40 is testing the X point of a bearish Bat pattern (similar to what we see in German DAX) and if it'll break and close above it, it can continue all the way up to 6000 to test a bigger PRZ.
CACHello My friends!
French index CAC
Just Little fundamental analis:)
Oland dont meet with Putin.
France dont make money on Mistral deal and Poland asked Ollande "not hysteria" because of the failure to buy
helicopters from France.
Just disappointment.
But in technical analysis need go up until lvel 78.6 and after fall
I think market will start fall in December - January.
CAC 40 and the world: the End soon after the short at 4700August 31, 2016
Everything is on the chart. It is very precise and you may doubt that it's feasible I know. The lines are not random, they correspond to very specific levels (4700 -> 4450 -> 4500 -> 4280/4310 -> 4450 -> 4084 -> 4300 -> 4090 -> 4180 -> 4084 -> 3709 -> 3904 -> 3556 -> 3477 -> dead cat bounce -> 3050/3100
I would go long now until 4700. Some bad resistance will have to be taken away at 4600 and 4666.
It will drop from 4084 to 4709 in a single week. Probably in summer 2017 (August here). The ultimate target is around 3050-3100. Then I would go bullish until 4450 (May June 2019) then reshort a bit. We shall see !
Revamp: CAC 40 target 4700? Pre-US GDP and Janet Yellen's speechAugust 25, 2016
Hello folks, so I have mentioned several time the target of 4600 and 4666 regarding the CAC 40. I guess it will be made possible tomorrow Friday thanks to the GDP figure (rigged?) and the subsequent speech by Janet Yellen. However, regarding this week's erratic and incessant fights between bears and bulls to keep 4383 safe, I have set a new potential target that might change slightly the game. I finally understand why it took that much time: my original targets could have been wrong. But now ... after some tweaks, the real objective becomes:
CAC long until 4695-4700 is now a more than possible objective. I think there could be selling pressure from both 4600 and 4666. Then I would become extremely bearish and go short the crisis.
Here is a slightly messy picture from the CAC 40 (daily chart), but people who followed my previous articles would certainly understand what I wanted to pinpoint here.
Short Europe - FTSEShort risking last week's high. The central banks doing all they can but the world is in disarray and needs a breather.
CAC 40 + European Indices Forecast 2016-2018: False BreakoutHello folks ! This is my first post on tradingview.com. This is an abstract from one of my blogs: www.lucky-index-trading.blogspot.com
Enjoy :)
I have reconfirmed a short-selling target of the CAC 40 at about 4600. Stop-loss orders could be set above 4700.
First bearish target: ~3450-3500
Second bearish target: ~3050
Please find below a graph (weekly) with some comment's I've made.
It is very important to see how other markets are reacting and to spot any correlation or absence of correlation in order to strengthen/weaken confirmation(s).