CAD
CADJPY: Next stop the monthly falling trendline?There's not much in the way of this move from what I can see.
Yen continues to be the weakest currency in the G10 (for now, BoJ look set to intervene at some point this year) and for the short term I expect this to continue to meet the descending long-term trendline that's formed.
I'll be looking for sells around 115 with any LTF confirmation, but until then I'm going to be doing some long scalps not that local resistance has been broken and retested.
AUDCAD Potential DownsidesHey Traders, in today's trading session we are monitoring AUDCAD for a selling opportunity around 0.88500 zone, AUDCAD is trading in a downtrend and currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the trend at 0.88500 support and resistance area.
Trade safe, Joe.
NZDCAD Bullish, dip buy opportunity targeting 0.85400The NZDCAD pair has hit the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) yet again today and remains under Resistance 1 (0.84300) since July 14 2023, having multiple rejections on it. We do see however the potential for the emergence of a Channel Up, as the 1D RSI is printing the same pattern as the October 20 2023 Low, which initiated a Bullish Leg.
If the Channel Up prevails, that can be its new Bullish Leg to a Higher High. As a result we turn bullish on the pair, aiming for Resistance 2 at 0.85400.
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🇪🇺 EURCAD 🇨🇦 - Retest of resistance before further declineThe currency is purposefully moving towards the resistance at 1.4728, which plays the role of the upper boundary of the flat. Accordingly, the global trend is downward and the resistance area in this context plays a key role before further decline.
Reasons for further decline:
1) Counter-trend correction
2) Liquidity and resistance areas at 1.4728 are strong enough for a breakout
3) Flat from the upper boundary of 1.47200 may push the price downwards
4) There are no fundamental reasons for the euro to rise
Sell CADJPY Bearish Channel The CAD/JPY pair on the M30 timeframe presents a potential selling opportunity due to the presence of a well-defined bearish channel pattern. This pattern suggests ongoing selling pressure and a higher likelihood of further declines in the coming minutes or hours.
Sell Entry: Consider entering a short position around the current price of 111.46, positioned close to the channel resistance. This offers an entry point near a potential reversal zone.
Target Levels: Initial bearish targets lie at the support levels of 111.07 and 110.82, marking previous support zones within the channel.
Stop-Loss: To manage risk, place a stop-loss order above the broken channel resistance line at 111.70. This helps limit potential losses if the trend unexpectedly reverses.
Thank You.
AUD/CAD: Identifying Significant ZonesTraders,
Let's delve into the key zones for AUD/CAD:
We're witnessing a formidable bullish channel, but beware, it could break, triggering stop losses, only to rise again.
Our 1-hour zone is currently active. Consider partially closing positions when it aligns with the 15-minute and 4-hour zones.
Additionally, we'll increase our volume around the lower 1-hour zone.
Stay vigilant and adapt to market movements accordingly.
Best regards,
NZDCAD: Local Bearish Reversal?! 🇳🇿🇨🇦
I see a nice bearish reaction to a key daily horizontal resistance on NZDCAD.
After a test of the underlined blue area, the price started to consolidate and formed
a horizontal range on a 4H time frame.
Its support was violated and for us, it is an import sign of strength of the sellers.
We can expect a bearish continuation now at least to 0.83
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NZDCAD:Bearish Stocks and Potential DownsidesHey Traders, in today's trading session we are monitoring NZDCAD for a selling opportunity around 0.83350 zone, NZDCAD is trading in a downtrend and currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the trend at 0.83350 support and resistance area.
the New Zealand economy is heavily reliant on its agricultural exports, particularly dairy products, which can also experience reduced demand during periods of economic downturn. Consequently, when stock markets falter, investors tend to favor safer assets, leading to a decrease in demand for riskier currencies like the NZD compared to safe-haven currencies or those perceived as less volatile, such as the US dollar (USD) or Japanese yen (JPY). This combination of factors contributes to the bearish outlook for NZDCAD when stocks are declining.
Trade safe, Joe.
EURCAD: Pullback From Key Level 🇪🇺🇨🇦
I see a nice bullish confirmation after a retest of a broken structure on EURCAD.
The price formed a falling wedge pattern and violated its resistance on an hourly time frame.
We can expect a local bullish movement to 1.4675
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USDCADUSDCAD is currently in a range, as we can see on the volume profile we have made a very nice distribution curve, we are also in a smaller distribution amongst this larger one. If we manage to break the high of the smaller balance, we may be likely to head to 1.3 area. Keep an eye on it next week, to find its path.
Fundamental Drivers: USDCAD ForecastIn the upcoming week, our focus shifts to USDCAD, where we're eyeing a potential buying opportunity around the 1.34300 zone. Currently, USDCAD is entrenched in an uptrend but is undergoing a corrective phase as it nears the 1.34300 support and resistance area. Adding a fundamental layer to this analysis, recent hot CPI and PPI data in the US underscore the potential upside for USDCAD. The robust Consumer Price Index (CPI) and Producer Price Index (PPI) numbers suggest strengthening inflationary pressures in the US economy, which could buoy the USD against the CAD. This fundamental backdrop aligns with our technical analysis, supporting the notion of a buying opportunity in USDCAD as it navigates its correction phase.
Trade safe,
Joe.
CADUSD: Looking very bearish to meI'm expecting to see USD strength through March with a Hawkish Fed that has strength ibn their economy, compared to all other crosses.
Looking at the 4hr chart I'm seeing a couple of bearish engulfing candles and therefor looking for a short in an LTF.
There is very choppy water between 0.735 and 0.7366 so we may see a lot of indecision here but I'm overall bearish and expect the drop down to major support.
NZDCAD - Top-Down Analysis 📹 From Weekly To H1Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst.
📈 Here is a detailed update top-down analysis for #NZDCAD.
NZDCAD is hovering around a weekly resistance, so we will be looking for sell setups on lower timeframes.
On H1, we are waiting for a break below the last major low to sell. Once the sell is activated, the stop loss would be above the previous high, and we will target double our stop loss size to have an edge over the market.
📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management.
Good Luck!.
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Rich
NZDCAD Breakout and Potential RetraceHey Traders, in today's trading session we are monitoring NZDCAD for a selling opportunity around 0.83800 zone, NZDCAD was trading in an uptrend and successfully managed to break it out. Currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the retrace area at 0.83800 support and resistance area.
Trade safe, Joe.
CADCHF Rejected on the 1D MA200. Sell opportunity.It has been more than 4 months since our last analysis on the CADCHF pair (October 10 2023, see chart below), which was a sell signal that hit directly our 0.64800 Target:
The current signal is no different, as the continuous rejection on the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line) since February 13, is giving a strong sell signal, which will be confirmed once the 1D MACD forms a Bearish Cross. As you can see, the pattern since December 2022 is a Channel Down and every 1D MACD Bearish Cross above 0.00, has formed a Lower High, hence issuing a strong sell signal. Our Target is the top of the Support Zone at 0.63500, which has been the first Target during the previous 2 Lower High rejections.
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USDCAD - CPI news today : Potential drop coming!US Dollar (USD) strengthens against Canadian Dollar (CAD) to 1.35, mainly due to:
Surprise inflation jump in US: January's Producer Price Index (PPI) rose more than expected, suggesting higher inflation. This makes investors think the US Federal Reserve (Fed) might not cut interest rates as soon as they thought.
Canadian inflation data coming up: Tuesday's Consumer Price Index (CPI) report is expected to show slightly lower inflation, but it's still a key event.
Oil price could help Canada: Rising oil prices could support the CAD, limiting how much the USD can gain. Canada is a big oil exporter, so its currency is sensitive to oil prices.
Things to watch this week:
Tuesday (today): Canada's CPI report. If inflation is lower than expected, the CAD could weaken.
Wednesday: Release of the Fed's meeting minutes and speeches from Fed officials. These could provide clues about future interest rate decisions.
Key points:
The USD/CAD pair is trading above 1.35 due to a stronger USD and upcoming inflation data in both countries.
The Fed might delay interest rate cuts due to higher US inflation.
Canadian inflation is expected to be slightly lower, but oil prices could impact the CAD.
USD/CAD could be nearing the end of its retracementA double top formed this month around a 50% retracement level on the daily charts ahead of its latest pullback. And it is interesting to note that the market tends to react around the 50% level.
The double top could actually be part of a 3-wave retracement, and that retracement could be nearing completion.
We saw a strong rally into the January high, hence the bias for an eventual continuation of that move. Bulls could look for a swing low to form around 1.3350 - which is near a high-volume node and another 50% level, and initially target the January highs - a break of which brings 1.36 into focus.
USD/CAD: Interpreting CPI Numbers Through Technical LensHey Traders, in today's trading session we are monitoring USDCAD for a buying opportunity around 1.34630 zone, USDCAD is trading in an uptrend and currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the trend at 1.34630 support and resistance area. Adding a fundamental layer, The recent CPI data in the US has shown signs of inflationary pressure, with the core CPI coming in stronger than expected at 0.4%, surpassing the market consensus of 0.3%. This unexpected uptick in inflation has sparked speculation that the Federal Reserve may adopt a more hawkish stance, as Chair Powell's recent comments hinted at a reluctance to implement rate cuts in the near term. As a result, the US dollar has strengthened, leading to potential buying opportunities in USD pairs like USDCAD. The robust CPI figures suggest a possible continuation of USD strength, which could support bullish momentum in USDCAD. Trade safe, Joe.