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USDCAD critical 1M MA50 test. Sell higher or wait for break-out.The USDCAD pair hit again the bottom (Lower Lows trend-line) of the Channel Down that started on the March 10 High and on top of that almost touched the 1M MA50 (red trend-line) for the first time since September 13 2022. Naturally, this is a major long-term Support, which if broken (full 1M candle closing below it), invalidates the Channel Down and could start an even more aggressive sell-off. In that case, we will target Support 1 (1.29625) and Support 2 (1.28980) and after each 1D closing below them we will go all the way until Support 3 (1.27290). If however the 1M MA50 and bottom of the Channel Down hold, we will wait for a test (rejection) of the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) to open a sell. If it rises more to the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line), we will open a second sell and target Support 1 at 1.29625. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
by TradingShot
USD/CAD: Potential swing trade shortWe outlined a bearish bias in a previous USD/CAD article which clearly did not play out, thanks to hawkish comments from Fed members, hawkish FOMC minutes and stronger economic data for the US. However, a strong Canadian employment report on Friday has now seen odds shift in favour of a 25bp BOC hike this week – and if that is to be coupled with a soft(er) than expected US inflation report, perhaps we’ll finally see that swing trade short play out after all. A 3-wave rally has stalled at the 50% retracement level and 50-day EMA to suggest a swing high is in place. We’ve seen a minor attempt to retrace within Friday’s range during Asian trade (and a higher retracement would be welcomed to help improve the potential reward to risk ratio). Assuming momentum has realigned with the bearish daily trend, a move towards (and break beneath) the June low on its way to 1.3000 is now in focus.
Short
by CityIndex
USD/CAD is heading to 1.34Hello Traders USD/CAD has sharp moves in the last few days. We assume its an upward correction, so we treat it carefully. Our technical view has been shown in the chart. If you like it then Support us by Like, Following, and Sharing. Thanks For Reading Team Fortuna -RC (Disclaimer: Published ideas and other Contents on this page are for educational purposes and do not include a financial recommendation. Trading is Risky, so before any action do your research.)
Long
by FortunaInvestments
CADJPY: Sell this consolidation.CADJPY is testing the 1D MA50 in the form of support on bearish 1D technicals (RSI = 42.279, MACD = -0.050, ADX = 56.167). A 1D candle close under the 1D MA50 signifies a validation of selling extension as after the rejection on R1, the long term support of the HL trendline broke. We will sell this week's consolidation, which isn't just taking on the 1D MA50 but the S1 (104.120) as well, targeting initially the S2 (TP1 = 102.245) and then the S3 (TP2 = 99.350) assuming the 1D MA200 breaks. ## If you like our free content follow our profile to get more daily ideas. ## ## Comments and likes are greatly appreciated. ##
Short
by InvestingScope
3
AUDCAD is starting a long-term corrective legIt's been 2.5 months since we last traded AUDCAD, when it gave us a sell signal (see chart below) right at the top of its Channel Down for maximum gain: Right now, the pattern is getting wider and its new bearish leg to a new Lower Low may be starting as last Friday's inability to close above the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line) may result in a Lower High rejection at the top of the Channel Down. The 1D RSI is trading within a Rectangle pattern, which just hit its top and that matches with the tops of the Channel Down. We are opening two sell positions now, one targeting Support 1 at 0.88350 and the other Support 2 at 0.877450. If broken and the short-term rebound gets rejected on the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line), we will open a new sell to target the bottom of the Channel Down and Support 3 at 0.8600. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
Short
by TradingShot
5
AUDCAD: On the 1D MA200 and top of the Channel Down. Sell.AUDCAD hit the 1D MA200 yesteday and came just shu off the top of the Channel Down. The 1D timeframe is technically bullish (RSI = 62.944, MACD = 0.002, ADX = 28.766) but the RSI is also near the top of its Rectangle pattern. The previous top coincided with the Channel Down rejection. Consequently we are opening a sell now and target the S1 (TP1 = 0.874500) and if a 1D candle closes under, extend selling to the S2 (TP2 = 0.86630). Prior idea: ## If you like our free content follow our profile to get more daily ideas. ## ## Comments and likes are greatly appreciated. ##
Short
by InvestingScope
6
Going Long on USDCADThe Canadian dollar (CAD) is expected to see some positive movement compared to the US dollar (USD) in the coming months. Investors believe that both the Federal Reserve (Fed) and the Bank of Canada (BoC) will have similar policy cycles, and this could have a positive impact on the CAD. However, there are other factors that can contribute to the CAD gaining some strength against the USD. If the Fed rate cycle is reaching its peak, which seems likely, it could lead to improvements in risk assets. This, in turn, could provide additional support for the CAD. Additionally, a weaker USD is beneficial for commodity prices, and this can also help strengthen the CAD. Considering these various factors, there are indications that the CAD should experience some relative strength compared to the USD in the near future. Key element: we believe that USDCAD has reached the level we had announced back in our April analysis* and would expect a substantial up move from that Yellow Zone (from $1.31000). *April analysis link :
Long
by financialflagship