CADJPY Will Collapse! SELL!
My dear followers,
This is my opinion on the CADJPY next move:
The asset is approaching an important pivot point 110.86
Bias - Bearish
Technical Indicators: Supper Trend generates a clear short signal while Pivot Point HL is currently determining the overall Bearish trend of the market.
Goal - 110.00
About Used Indicators:
For more efficient signals, super-trend is used in combination with other indicators like Pivot Points.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
CADJPY
CADJPY Supply And Demand Swing Long Analysis-Price broke downward ML
-Price removed opposing pivot supply and created new HH/HL
-DBR demand created.
-Swing buyers valid with 2x Stop loss locations I would consider OR
Day-Traders can use 4hr demand as Higher timeframe and wait for new lower timeframe confirmation.
CADJPY at strong resistance in the Daily chartHistorical context: +60% up since 2020
The CAD/JPY pair has demonstrated a remarkable upward trajectory since March 2020, recording an impressive increase of over 60%. This surge can be partly attributed to Japan's prolonged monetary policy, which maintained negative interest rates while many other countries raised their rates to combat inflation following the pandemic.
Recently, the Bank of Japan signalled a significant shift in its monetary policy, indicating its intention to begin raising interest rates. This development has provided a boost to the Japanese Yen. The current pullback represents the sharpest decline observed since the onset of the uptrend in 2020, potentially signalling a change in market direction. This analysis will delve into the recent price action, loss of key support levels, and critical areas to monitor.
Technical Perspective: Key Indicators
Break Below the 200-Period Moving Average
The recent breach below the 200-period moving average signifies a weakening uptrend. This movement suggests a potential reversal in the prevailing direction, accompanied by increasing selling pressure. The 200-period moving average is often regarded as a critical threshold separating bull markets from bear markets, making a drop below this level particularly significant.
Accelerating Downward Movement
The decline observed between 10 July and 5 August marks the steepest drop in CAD/JPY since 2020. Most notably, this downturn has effectively engulfed all gains made by CAD/JPY over the previous 12 months. The acceleration of this downward movement underscores significant selling interest in the pair.
Fibonacci Analysis and Price Structure
Following the breakout of the SMA200 on the daily chart, the price has retraced to the 50% Fibonacci level of the recent downtrend. The 50% level is often viewed as a critical area of interest that can present opportunities aligned with the primary trend. The confluence of the 50% level with the 200-period moving average marks a pivotal point for sellers at this juncture.
Possible Sell Scenario
Given the breach of the 200-period moving average and the prevailing price structure indicating a potential reversal, a selling opportunity may arise if the pair continues to exhibit weakness.
A sell signal could be triggered if the price breaks below the uptrend line on the daily chart (highlighted in black). Initial targets for this sell-off could include the 23.6% Fibonacci level at 105.7, with an extended target around the 103.00 region.
A stop loss should be established if the price demonstrates a clear breakout above the range defined by the 50% Fibonacci level and the SMA200 on the daily chart, situated around 111.20.
The CAD/JPY pair is beginning to exhibit signs of exhaustion following a prolonged uptrend. The breach below the 200-period moving average and the testing of Fibonacci levels suggest a potential period of correction or reversal ahead. Close monitoring of price action around the 108.229 and 110.258 levels will be crucial in validating any potential short entries.
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CADJPY Will Go Higher From Support! Long!
Please, check our technical outlook for CADJPY.
Time Frame: 12h
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The market is on a crucial zone of demand 109.659.
The oversold market condition in a combination with key structure gives us a relatively strong bullish signal with goal 111.153 level.
P.S
We determine oversold/overbought condition with RSI indicator.
When it drops below 30 - the market is considered to be oversold.
When it bounces above 70 - the market is considered to be overbought.
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CADJPY The Target Is UP! BUY!
My dear subscribers,
My technical analysis for CADJPY is below:
The price is coiling around a solid key level - 109.29
Bias - Bullish
Technical Indicators: Pivot Points Low anticipates a potential price reversal.
Super trend shows a clear buy, giving a perfect indicators' convergence.
Goal - 109.91
About Used Indicators:
By the very nature of the supertrend indicator, it offers firm support and resistance levels for traders to enter and exit trades. Additionally, it also provides signals for setting stop losses
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
CAD/JPY BULLISH BIAS RIGHT NOW| LONG
Hello, Friends!
CAD/JPY pair is trading in a local downtrend which we know by looking at the previous 1W candle which is red. On the 1H timeframe the pair is going down too. The pair is oversold because the price is close to the lower band of the BB indicator. So we are looking to buy the pair with the lower BB line acting as support. The next target is 109.909 area.
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Potential bullish rise?CAD/JPY is reacting off the pivot and could rise to the 50% Fibonacci resistance.
Pivot: 108.93
1st Support: 108.02
1st Resistance: 109.82
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Scenario CADJPYThe running double top that stretches all the way in the channel is interesting, especially around the marked support where a correction structure was formed against the second peak, the value of the fibo level is 0.5, the situation around the marked circle will be decisive for me and if the price breaks through the lower wall of the channel, I will enter a short position
CADJPY: Short Trade with Entry/SL/TP
CADJPY
- Classic bearish setup
- Our team expects bearish continuation
SUGGESTED TRADE:
Swing Trade
Short CADJPY
Entry Point - 110.64
Stop Loss - 111.29
Take Profit - 109.57
Our Risk - 1%
Start protection of your profits from lower levels
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#CADJPY 4HCADJPY 4-Hour Analysis
The CADJPY pair is currently trading within a rising channel on the 4-hour chart, approaching the upper boundary of the channel, which acts as a strong resistance level. This setup indicates a potential reversal point, creating an opportunity for a sell position.
Technical Outlook:
- Pattern: Rising Channel
- Forecast: Bearish (Sell Opportunity)
- Resistance Level: Channel upper boundary
Traders may consider selling near the channel’s resistance, with targets set at lower support levels within the channel. To confirm bearish momentum, it’s advisable to check indicators such as RSI for overbought signals or MACD for bearish divergence before entering a short trade.
CADJPY: Accumulating under the 1W MA50. Low risk buy.CADJPY is on a healthy bullish 1D technical outlook (RSI = 59.003, MACD = 0.700, ADX = 25.174) as it hit this week the 1W MA50 for the first time in 3 months. Rejection or not, historical price action shows that every time it tests it coming from a bottom on the 2 year Channel Up, the price breaks it and goes for a HH. The 1W MACD just made this week the new Bullish Cross and the last time it did so on such a low level, it was on April 3rd 2023, exactly at the start of the previous bullish wave. We expect initiallt the price to approach the R1 level, which is our Target (TP = 118.000), like the price did on June 26 2023.
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CADJPY Set To Fall! SELL!
My dear friends,
Please, find my technical outlook for CADJPY below:
The price is coiling around a solid key level - 109.92
Bias - Bearish
Technical Indicators: Pivot Points Low anticipates a potential price reversal.
Super trend shows a clear sell, giving a perfect indicators' convergence.
Goal - 109.24
Safe Stop Loss - 110.30
About Used Indicators:
The pivot point itself is simply the average of the high, low and closing prices from the previous trading day.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
Bearish reversal?CAD/JPY is rising towards the pivot which is a pullback resistance and could reverse to the 1st support which acts as a pullback support.
Pivot: 110.94
1st Support: 109.71
1st Resistance: 111.77
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.