Downward Pressure Persists as Yen Strengthens on Rate Hike HopeHey Realistic Traders, Will OANDA:CADJPY continue its bearish trend? Let’s Dive In....
In the H4 timeframe, CADJPY has broken out of a distribution phase as it continues to move below the bearish trendline and the EMA-200 line. The pair also formed a Rising Wedge pattern, followed by an impulsive breakout, which strongly indicates the continuation of the prevailing bearish trend.
Further confirming this outlook, the MACD momentum indicator has signaled a bearish crossover, strengthening our bearish hypothesis.
Given these technical factors, we anticipate a potential downward movement toward the nearest historical support area (Target 1) at 105.955. After reaching this level, we foresee a minor correction back to the green zone before the pair resumes its bearish journey to the second target at 104.902.
However, this bearish outlook remains valid only if the price holds resistance below the critical stop-loss level at 108.976.
Fundamental Reason Supporting Yen Strength:
The Bank of Japan (BOJ) is signaling further rate hikes as economic data, including wage growth and inflation, align with its projections. BOJ Governor Kazuo Ueda recently suggested that another rate hike is "nearing," citing steady progress in economic conditions. This hawkish stance further supports the bearish outlook on CADJPY, as a stronger yen typically exerts downward pressure on the pair.
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Disclaimer: "Please note that this analysis is solely for educational purposes and should not be considered a recommendation to take a long or short position on CADJPY".
