CADTRY BULLISH Rises further after Turkish inflation dataTurkish lira fell to new marginally lower record low in early Wednesday, as Turkish June inflation data sparked fresh weakness of the currency.
Monthly inflation rose by 3.9% in June, below 4.8% consensus and annualized figure was also below expectations (38.2% in June vs 39.4% f/c), while consumer prices were slightly below previous month’s figure (June PPI 40.4% vs May 40.7%).
Inflation remains elevated, though significantly below last October’s 85.5%, the highest in over two decades.
Turkish lira fell sharply in June (down over 20% vs US dollar, the biggest monthly fall on a record), following re-election of President Erdogan and despite CBRT’s new leadership and turn towards more orthodox approach to monetary policy, as the central bank already raised interest rates after a cycle of cutting rates last year.
Trend Bullish
Investors await Canada/US labor market data
Oil prices have printed a fresh two-week high at $72.35 despite global central banks preparing for a fresh rate hike cycle.
A poll from Reuters showed that the Bank of Canada (BoC) will hike interest rates by 25 basis points (bps) to 5% in July. This would be the last nail in the coffin and after that, the monetary policy would remain stable for a longer period.
On the oil front, oil prices have printed a fresh two-week high at $72.35 despite global central banks preparing for a fresh rate hike cycle. It is worth noting that Canada is the largest exporter of oil to the United States and higher oil prices support the Canadian Dollar.
