CALL
MSTX on the eve of a pivotal Merger CC: CHART ANALYSYSMSTX (Mast therapeutics) shareholders have been overdue for some good news after the SEP data disaster wiped out nearly 80% of stock value dropping it from the .60s to a range of .10-15.
VAPOLAXOMER* was a novel technology designed by MSTX to help ease sufferers of sickle cell anemia that ultimately was proven ineffective and was abandoned.
Left with only AIR001, an inhaled sodium nitrite solution to treat heart failure with preserved ejection fraction (HFpEF) currently in Phase 2 development, MSTX had essentially become a shell with no substantial news until Q1'18.
Now MAST and SAVARA (a private company) have signed a DEFINITIVE MERGER AGREEMENT in effort to form a company focused on the development of novel inhalation therapies.
This reverse merger is essentially serving as an IPO for SAVARA and is likely to cause a nice pop in MSTX pps and a small P&D type move that could easily see pps of .33-57ish, potential gain % in the 200 which makes me a short term LONG but ultimately neutral.
Mast and Savara will hold the conference call TODAY Monday, January 9, 2017, at 8:30 a.m. EST / 5:30 a.m. PST to discuss the transaction. To access the conference call dial (855) 239-3120 from the U.S, (855) 669-9657 from Canada, and (412) 542-4127 from outside the U.S. and request the "Mast-Savara Conference Call". A live webcast of the conference call will be available from the Investors section of Mast's website at www.masttherapeutics.com
SIMPLE CHART ANALYSIS
SUP: backsliding is not likely to happen but if so look for a entry op @.0925-975
REALISTICALLY .095 should be the bounce point
RES: look for selling in the following zones WEAK @.107-12, MID @.13-15, STRONG @.17-26
REALISTICALLY .24 is the RES to look for
Notable RES:
W MBB @.1836/EMA50 @.2634
D EMAs .1175/17/25
-woof
Third Indicator of upward move for BABAHistorically when the Coppock Curve reaches this level, the stock moves at least 1% higher over the next few weeks with an average move of 15%. This chart depicts multiple levels of interest over the next few months.
In the current MACRO trend channel, it took BABA about 64 trading days to go from the top of the channel to the bottom (Nov 15-Feb 16) in a move that lost 31.44%. This same top to bottom was recently repeated in 60 trading days and only 21.72% was shed.
After the 2016 drop, BABA moved bottom to a top in about 49 trading days which gained 37.96%. My longer term outlook is for something similar to occur. IF BABA breaks above its current down trend channel, upward movement could continue toward 109.23 around March 1.
For now my conservative play is a move to at least 96.00 over the next few weeks. World events could keep BABA in the current down trend channel for a much longer period of time. Of interest is a potential selloff after DJY0 reaches 20K and/or the swearing in of President Trump which brings to fruition some international policies. Trump could stir up tariffs, embargos, or other vital trade implications especially with China that could weaken some of BABA's international imports and exports.
Bottom line, look for BABA to move to 96.00, and then 109.00 once the current MICRO trend is broken upward.
More Technical Positives for BABAHistorically when the Vortex Indicator reaches this level, the stock moves at least 1% higher over the next few weeks. This chart depicts multiple levels of interest over the next few months.
In the current MACRO trend channel, it took BABA about 64 trading days to go from the top of the channel to the bottom (Nov 15-Feb 16) in a move that lost 31.44%. This same top to bottom was recently repeated in 60 trading days and only 21.72% was shed.
After the 2016 drop, BABA moved bottom to a top in about 49 trading days which gained 37.96%. My longer term outlook is for something similar to occur. IF BABA breaks above its current down trend channel, upward movement could continue toward 109.23 around March 1.
For now my conservative play is a move to at least 96.00 over the next few weeks. World events could keep BABA in the current down trend channel for a much longer period of time. Of interest is a potential selloff after DJY0 reaches 20K and/or the swearing in of President Trump which brings to fruition some international policies. Trump could stir up tariffs, embargos, or other vital trade implications especially with China that could weaken some of BABA's international imports and exports.
Bottom line, look for BABA to move to 96.00, and then 109.00 once the current MICRO trend is broken upward.
Another indicator Visa will move upHistorically when the RSI reaches this level the stock moves up at least 1.00% over the next few weeks with an average move of 3.75%. The stock will most likely fall over the next few trading days before testing resistance at 83.70. I plan to place CALLS over the next few days on the dip.
Visa pointing up soonHistorically when the coppock curve reaches this level the stock gains a an average of 5.11% over the next few weeks. Because Visa has had 4 consecutive days of solid gains, it may drop over the next 1-2 trading days. Buying the dip would be a great options play. The pink zone is the target area for the price to reach. My conservative play is a move to at least 83.70 which has been a frequent area of resistance.
SLIGHT MOVE UP, BEFORE NEXT DROPHistorically when the TSI reaches this level, VZ rises at least 1.08% and moves an average of 3.10%. Most movement is between 2-3%. My conservative play is a movement to at least 55.75 over the next few weeks.
The previous movement from bottom to top in this trend channel took 52 trading days and the total move was 24.43%. I have laid out where those levels would be in this instance. the 52nd trading day is outside of my time period that I monitor but movement could still reach that level which is around 57.30. So far we are 35 trading days since the bottom was last attained.
UPSIDE FOR ALIBABAHistorically when the RSI reaches its current level with BABA, the stock rises a minimum of 3.27% and has an average movement of 9.91%. I have outlined a trendline that has served as support and resistance multiple times in the previous year. Although the top of the trendchannel is well above this point, I project a conservative move to 101.60 over the next few weeks.
There may be a slight pullback tomorrow, especially with the non-farm payroll and unemployment numbers are due out and looking less positive. Near the end of the day tomorrow or shortly after the OPEN on Monday could be great opportunities to BUY a CALL.
A little more room for AT&T to run upHistorically when the VI reaches this level, the stock rises an average of 2.77% more with a minimal move of 1.22%. If either of those occur, it would be part of a new trend. The stock is now above the previous channel that I have drawn. A commonly hit level is my forecasted move but it is roughly 0.79% from the closing price on December 21.
Historics do not lie, but they are ever changing. If the market continues its rally to #DOW20K then anything is possible. I am personally anticipating a correction in the near term hence my conservative movement for AT&T below the minimal movement ever seen in this situation.
$ON Buy to Open 012016 13 CallPurchased just before massive Call Sweep Volume @ .45 Near the Money Calls; Broke 52 HOY on 121416, showed strength through-after FED Hike and conditions still in a less risky range (RSI, MACD, Lack of GAPUPS). Looking to Hold for possibly week-2 while catching hopefully 2-3x more new HOY. Exit Goal; Same as all Call Options @ 400% or expiry of Wednesday - Week of Call Expiry.
ANOTHER 1% GAIN IN THE CARDS FOR AT&T?Historically when TSI reaches this level the stock climbs an average of 4.93% with the minimal movement of 1.25% over the next few weeks. My technical analysis has T at the top of the downward trendchannel which would signal an immediate retreat.
Both options could still occur in the near future which ultimately lead down, but not before quickly breaching the top of the trendchannel and immediately heading down.
Based on my analysis, the stock could move up to around the 42.70 level which is a commonly hit level from earlier this year. I would expect it to provide a conservative resistance level.
A quick up...and then drop for MDLZ?Historically when the coppock curve reaches this level the stock moves up an average of 4.93%. While I am tracking another indicator pointing down, both can happen. My conservative call is a move around the top of the wedge/trendline (white) and then a possible drop. A well placed call could fetch around 15-20% in a matter of days.
BTCUSD bear call strategyThe bitcoin price broke recently the $750 resistance... but not for long.
Observing the price action, a potential short oportunity would be to wait for a lower top (lower than $753) to be formed.
Then one can start selling calls or call spreads at the $760 or $780 strike price.
Last time I checked at deribit.com (an options and futures exchange) the bids were $16.30 and $10.30 respectively for these options.
So the breakeven prices would be respectively $776.30 and $790.30 for a short call strategy.
NOTE:
I am just starting to trade some bitcoin options.
Seems to be a relatively new market, with not much liquidity; but one can still take good advantage of such oportunities.
Trade with care, always observe the risks and don't oversize your positions.
NOTE2:
Anyone would be so kind to act as a marker maker for bitcoin options?
That would be really awesome. =)
If I had more knowledge/experience (and money) I would certanly do it.
GM break out is not overHistorically when the RSI breaks above this level, the stock continues to gain at least 1% more. In looking for the next trendline and resistance level, a conservative level would be above 38.00. While that level is likely the safer play is a call with anticipated movement to at least 37.67.
Well, we are still in an uptrend, technically speaking After the "healthy" correction, kc touched the 100 day MA around 153 as indicated previously as a potential target. Furthermore, we are hitting the lower end of the trend channel (blue).
I am looking for some support coming in here.
As vol softened during the sell off, threeways, selling put spread, buying call seem to be good long market, long vega strategies in my opinion.
11/16 TWTR Potential Long SetupIt's Wildcard Wednesday and TWTR is showing a potential turn for a low-risk, long entry either on the underlying stock or a set of call options with a .65 Delta or higher and 2 months until expiration. It has already tested the previous up fractal, but with a no-go on closing above. Once a market close occurs above that level, we'll look to submit a buy order. Otherwise, we're prepared for a smaller turn to the downside or a range.
Again, we need a market close above the $19.35 mark, with our trailing stop starting ~7% and closing. Happy Wednesdays everyone!
JLL- Fallen angel pattern long from $94, & $90 & $95 March CallsJLL
Date First Found - November 15, 2016
Pattern/Why- fallen angel, bullish momentum
Entry Target Criteria- break above $94.00 (hit November 15, 2016)
Exit Target Criteria- Target 1 $114.00 Target 2 $143.00
Stop Loss Criteria- $85.35
Indicator Notes- strong improvement in Twiggs Money Flow, insider buying
Special Note- we would consider March $90 Calls @ $12.10 or March $95 Calls @ $9.00